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Election 1938 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1938 Pennsylvania governor election

Arthur H. James (Republican) beat Charles Jones (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 1938, 53.4% to 45.8%, a margin of 7.6 points and 290,880 votes.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 1934 it went Democratic, for George H. Earle.

Republicans led in 61 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 6. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 826,611 votes and went to the Republican by 1.5 points. The closest was Montour, where 77 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Arthur H. James won Republican 2,036,345 53.4%
Charles Jones Democratic 1,745,465 45.8%
All other candidates 31,250 0.8%
Total3,813,060

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 404,602 48.9% 417,050 50.5% 4,959 826,611 R+1.5
Allegheny 270,513 52.4% 241,102 46.7% 4,365 515,980 D+5.7
Luzerne 96,307 49.5% 97,373 50.0% 920 194,600 R+0.5
Lackawanna 66,412 51.9% 60,752 47.5% 681 127,845 D+4.4
Delaware 39,596 31.4% 85,727 67.9% 956 126,279 R+36.5
Montgomery 32,984 31.1% 72,538 68.3% 610 106,132 R+37.3
Schuylkill 46,808 46.1% 54,211 53.4% 413 101,432 R+7.3
Westmoreland 49,536 51.1% 46,433 47.9% 918 96,887 D+3.2
Dauphin 36,789 43.8% 46,815 55.7% 388 83,992 R+11.9
Berks 33,210 44.6% 35,320 47.4% 6,003 74,533 R+2.8
Lancaster 26,455 35.7% 47,244 63.8% 409 74,108 R+28.1
Cambria 36,495 49.5% 36,834 50.0% 385 73,714 R+0.5
York 32,829 48.0% 35,182 51.5% 315 68,326 R+3.4
Washington 35,655 53.7% 30,281 45.6% 443 66,379 D+8.1
Erie 28,050 44.1% 34,701 54.6% 807 63,558 R+10.5
Fayette 33,573 55.6% 26,245 43.5% 534 60,352 D+12.1
Lehigh 24,708 42.4% 33,051 56.8% 447 58,206 R+14.3
Northampton 23,723 46.4% 27,062 52.9% 370 51,155 R+6.5
Beaver 24,701 48.8% 25,570 50.5% 388 50,659 R+1.7
Blair 20,926 41.3% 29,505 58.3% 211 50,642 R+16.9
Chester 18,131 36.3% 31,547 63.2% 233 49,911 R+26.9
Northumberland 22,079 45.3% 26,440 54.2% 262 48,781 R+8.9
Bucks 16,424 37.9% 26,663 61.5% 297 43,384 R+23.6
Lycoming 15,532 40.2% 22,716 58.8% 361 38,609 R+18.6
Lawrence 16,582 46.7% 18,581 52.3% 366 35,529 R+5.6
Clearfield 16,922 48.1% 17,962 51.1% 288 35,172 R+3.0
Mercer 15,109 43.3% 19,357 55.5% 411 34,877 R+12.2
Somerset 13,080 40.5% 19,078 59.1% 116 32,274 R+18.6
Cumberland 15,237 47.4% 16,769 52.2% 146 32,152 R+4.8
Butler 10,701 37.3% 17,669 61.6% 309 28,679 R+24.3
Indiana 11,048 39.9% 16,401 59.2% 235 27,684 R+19.3
Franklin 12,138 46.0% 14,189 53.7% 85 26,412 R+7.8
Lebanon 10,561 41.8% 14,484 57.4% 200 25,245 R+15.5
Armstrong 9,897 39.5% 15,002 59.8% 183 25,082 R+20.4
Venango 6,474 26.1% 17,944 72.4% 370 24,788 R+46.3
Carbon 10,939 45.0% 13,278 54.6% 86 24,303 R+9.6
Crawford 8,660 36.3% 14,847 62.3% 330 23,837 R+26.0
Bradford 6,951 30.7% 15,609 68.9% 92 22,652 R+38.2
Columbia 10,547 47.4% 11,617 52.2% 95 22,259 R+4.8
McKean 6,517 30.0% 14,970 69.0% 215 21,702 R+39.0
Centre 9,534 44.1% 11,943 55.3% 129 21,606 R+11.1
Jefferson 8,296 39.2% 12,697 60.0% 167 21,160 R+20.8
Bedford 8,051 46.2% 9,285 53.3% 82 17,418 R+7.1
Warren 6,032 35.2% 10,830 63.2% 266 17,128 R+28.0
Tioga 4,980 29.5% 11,846 70.1% 64 16,890 R+40.7
Greene 8,505 52.5% 7,586 46.8% 121 16,212 D+5.7
Adams 6,949 43.0% 9,146 56.6% 62 16,157 R+13.6
Susquehanna 5,898 37.1% 9,931 62.5% 73 15,902 R+25.4
Huntingdon 5,401 34.0% 10,416 65.6% 70 15,887 R+31.6
Clarion 6,156 40.0% 8,915 58.0% 300 15,371 R+17.9
Clinton 6,458 44.1% 8,118 55.4% 75 14,651 R+11.3
Mifflin 6,556 45.4% 7,839 54.3% 54 14,449 R+8.9
Elk 6,430 48.0% 6,805 50.8% 162 13,397 R+2.8
Wayne 3,789 28.4% 9,492 71.1% 66 13,347 R+42.7
Perry 4,832 42.6% 6,466 57.0% 36 11,334 R+14.4
Monroe 5,059 44.8% 6,183 54.8% 39 11,281 R+10.0
Snyder 2,690 30.3% 6,181 69.5% 19 8,890 R+39.3
Potter 3,158 36.8% 5,381 62.7% 40 8,579 R+25.9
Union 2,394 28.6% 5,925 70.9% 38 8,357 R+42.3
Wyoming 2,571 31.6% 5,518 67.8% 55 8,144 R+36.2
Juniata 3,677 48.0% 3,977 51.9% 11 7,665 R+3.9
Montour 2,824 49.2% 2,901 50.6% 11 5,736 R+1.3
Fulton 2,089 46.6% 2,372 52.9% 22 4,483 R+6.3
Pike 2,082 46.6% 2,368 53.0% 15 4,465 R+6.4
Sullivan 1,456 38.7% 2,292 60.9% 13 3,761 R+22.2
Cameron 1,099 35.3% 1,994 64.1% 18 3,111 R+28.8
Forest 1,098 37.1% 1,819 61.5% 40 2,957 R+24.4

Counties as they stood in 1938; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Josh Shapiro (D) D+14.8
2018 Thomas W Wolf (D) D+17.1
2014 Thomas W. Wolf (D) D+9.9
2010 Tom Corbett (R) R+9.0
2006 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+20.7
2002 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+9.0
1998 Tom Ridge (R) R+26.4
1994 Tom Ridge (R) R+5.5
1990 Robert Casey (D) D+35.3
1986 Robert Casey (D) D+2.3
1982 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+2.7
1978 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+6.1
1974 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+8.6
1970 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+13.5
1966 Raymond P. Shafer (R) R+6.0
1962 William W. Scranton (R) R+11.1
1958 David L. Lawrence (D) D+1.9
1954 George M. Leader (D) D+7.5
1950 John S. Fine (R) R+2.4
1946 James H. Duff (R) R+17.8
1942 Edward Martin (R) R+8.5
1938 Arthur H. James (R) R+7.6
1934 George H. Earle (D) D+2.2
1930 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+2.8
1926 John Stuchell Fisher (R) R+49.0
1922 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+17.1
1918 William Cameron Sproul (R) R+27.3
1914 Martin Grove Brumbaugh (R) R+12.2
1910 John K. Tener (R) R+28.7
1906 Edwin Sydney Stuart (R) R+4.8
1902 Samuel W. Pennypacker (R) R+13.0
1898 William A. Stone (R) R+12.1
1894 Daniel H. Hastings (R) R+25.3
1890 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+1.8
1886 James A. Beaver (R) R+5.2
1882 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+5.4
1878 Henry Martyn Hoyt (R) R+3.2
1875 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+2.0
1872 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+5.3
1869 John White Geary (R) R+0.8
1866 John White Geary (R) R+2.9