United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 1938 Senate · Pennsylvania
Election 1938 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1938 US Senate election in Pennsylvania

James J. Davis (Republican) beat George H. Earle (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 1938, 54.7% to 44.1%, a margin of 10.6 points and 402,849 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 1932, when James J. Davis also won.

Republicans led in 63 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 4. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 828,796 votes and went to the Republican by 2.1 points. The closest was Greene, where 78 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
James J. Davis won Republican 2,086,932 54.7%
George H. Earle Democratic 1,684,083 44.1%
All other candidates 44,004 1.2%
Total3,815,019

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 402,858 48.6% 420,025 50.7% 5,913 828,796 R+2.1
Allegheny 255,701 49.5% 255,802 49.5% 5,437 516,940 level
Luzerne 97,768 50.2% 96,125 49.3% 995 194,888 D+0.8
Lackawanna 66,975 52.3% 60,257 47.1% 718 127,950 D+5.3
Delaware 38,813 30.8% 86,201 68.4% 1,083 126,097 R+37.6
Montgomery 31,813 30.0% 73,466 69.2% 852 106,131 R+39.2
Schuylkill 46,815 46.1% 54,269 53.4% 536 101,620 R+7.3
Westmoreland 45,306 46.9% 50,042 51.8% 1,269 96,617 R+4.9
Dauphin 35,767 42.5% 47,873 56.9% 534 84,174 R+14.4
Berks 30,449 38.5% 36,863 46.7% 11,693 79,005 R+8.1
Lancaster 25,430 34.4% 48,066 64.9% 519 74,015 R+30.6
Cambria 34,693 47.2% 38,169 52.0% 565 73,427 R+4.7
York 30,257 44.5% 37,230 54.7% 550 68,037 R+10.2
Washington 33,827 51.0% 31,824 48.0% 622 66,273 D+3.0
Erie 27,019 42.4% 35,864 56.3% 847 63,730 R+13.9
Fayette 32,293 53.7% 27,253 45.3% 641 60,187 D+8.4
Lehigh 23,020 39.9% 34,116 59.2% 531 57,667 R+19.2
Blair 20,022 39.4% 30,440 59.9% 364 50,826 R+20.5
Northampton 22,491 44.3% 27,794 54.8% 473 50,758 R+10.4
Beaver 23,157 45.8% 26,893 53.2% 515 50,565 R+7.4
Chester 17,451 35.0% 32,051 64.4% 295 49,797 R+29.3
Northumberland 21,442 44.1% 26,801 55.1% 362 48,605 R+11.0
Bucks 15,859 37.5% 26,076 61.7% 354 42,289 R+24.2
Lycoming 14,468 37.6% 23,329 60.6% 687 38,484 R+23.0
Lawrence 15,456 43.6% 19,500 55.0% 496 35,452 R+11.4
Clearfield 15,958 45.4% 18,754 53.3% 457 35,169 R+8.0
Mercer 14,061 40.4% 20,250 58.1% 529 34,840 R+17.8
Somerset 12,506 38.9% 19,443 60.5% 190 32,139 R+21.6
Cumberland 14,267 44.5% 17,586 54.8% 209 32,062 R+10.4
Butler 9,664 33.7% 18,560 64.8% 414 28,638 R+31.1
Indiana 10,367 37.6% 16,864 61.2% 322 27,553 R+23.6
Franklin 11,477 43.6% 14,702 55.8% 150 26,329 R+12.2
Lebanon 10,025 39.8% 14,858 59.1% 276 25,159 R+19.2
Armstrong 9,046 36.3% 15,641 62.7% 262 24,949 R+26.4
Venango 5,864 23.7% 18,419 74.4% 462 24,745 R+50.7
Carbon 10,553 43.5% 13,597 56.0% 119 24,269 R+12.5
Crawford 7,826 32.8% 15,579 65.3% 442 23,847 R+32.5
Bradford 6,605 29.3% 15,841 70.2% 134 22,580 R+40.9
Columbia 10,087 45.7% 11,809 53.5% 183 22,079 R+7.8
McKean 6,105 28.2% 15,260 70.5% 269 21,634 R+42.3
Centre 9,042 42.0% 12,237 56.8% 252 21,531 R+14.8
Jefferson 7,526 35.7% 13,300 63.1% 248 21,074 R+27.4
Bedford 7,759 44.8% 9,459 54.6% 116 17,334 R+9.8
Warren 5,532 32.4% 11,260 65.9% 290 17,082 R+33.5
Tioga 4,770 28.3% 11,976 71.1% 94 16,840 R+42.8
Adams 6,432 40.0% 9,548 59.4% 97 16,077 R+19.4
Greene 7,940 49.4% 8,018 49.9% 106 16,064 R+0.5
Susquehanna 5,776 36.4% 9,984 63.0% 94 15,854 R+26.5
Huntingdon 5,018 31.8% 10,636 67.4% 133 15,787 R+35.6
Clarion 5,548 36.3% 9,466 62.0% 262 15,276 R+25.6
Clinton 6,193 42.4% 8,285 56.7% 135 14,613 R+14.3
Mifflin 6,212 43.1% 8,129 56.4% 75 14,416 R+13.3
Elk 6,035 45.1% 7,177 53.6% 183 13,395 R+8.5
Wayne 3,741 28.0% 9,522 71.4% 74 13,337 R+43.3
Perry 4,459 39.7% 6,707 59.7% 76 11,242 R+20.0
Monroe 4,767 42.9% 6,274 56.4% 76 11,117 R+13.6
Snyder 2,477 28.1% 6,315 71.6% 31 8,823 R+43.5
Potter 3,013 35.2% 5,478 64.0% 71 8,562 R+28.8
Union 2,182 26.3% 6,040 72.9% 62 8,284 R+46.6
Wyoming 2,477 30.7% 5,515 68.4% 68 8,060 R+37.7
Juniata 3,510 46.1% 4,079 53.6% 27 7,616 R+7.5
Montour 2,661 47.0% 2,979 52.6% 23 5,663 R+5.6
Fulton 1,973 44.3% 2,445 54.9% 35 4,453 R+10.6
Pike 2,004 45.2% 2,406 54.3% 22 4,432 R+9.1
Sullivan 1,406 37.7% 2,309 61.8% 19 3,734 R+24.2
Cameron 1,034 33.5% 2,032 65.8% 22 3,088 R+32.3
Forest 1,035 35.2% 1,864 63.3% 44 2,943 R+28.2

Counties as they stood in 1938; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Dave McCormick (R) R+0.2
2022 John K Fetterman (D) D+4.9
2018 Robert P Casey Jr (D) D+12.9
2016 Patrick J. Toomey (R) R+1.4
2012 Robert P. Casey, Jr. (D) D+9.1
2010 Pat Toomey (R) R+2.0
2006 Bob Casey, Jr. (D) D+17.4
2004 Arlen Specter (R) R+10.6
2000 Rick Santorum (R) R+6.9
1998 Arlen Specter (R) R+26.6
1994 Rick Santorum (R) R+2.5
1992 Arlen Specter (R) R+2.8
1988 John Heinz (R) R+34.0
1986 Arlen Specter (R) R+13.6
1982 John Heinz (R) R+20.1
1980 Arlen Specter (R) R+2.4
1976 H. John Heinz III (R) R+5.6
1974 Richard Schweiker (R) R+7.1
1970 Hugh Scott (R) R+6.0
1968 Richard Schweiker (R) R+6.1
1964 Hugh Scott (R) R+1.5
1962 Joseph S. Clark (D) D+2.4
1958 Hugh Scott (R) R+2.8
1956 Joseph S. Clark (D) D+0.4
1952 Edward Martin (R) R+3.6
1950 James H. Duff (R) R+3.6
1946 Edward Martin (R) R+19.4
1944 Francis Myers (D) D+0.6
1940 Joseph F. Guffey (D) D+4.4
1938 James J. Davis (R) R+10.6
1934 Joseph F. Guffey (D) D+4.3
1932 James J. Davis (R) R+6.2
1928 David A. Reed (R) R+30.4
1926 William S. Vare (R) R+11.5
1922 David A. Reed (R) R+25.5
1920 Boies Penrose (R) R+32.8
1916 Philander Knox (R) R+19.1
1914 Boies Penrose (R) R+22.8