United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 Pennsylvania governor election

Thomas W Wolf (Democrat) beat Scott R Wagner (Republican) in Pennsylvania in 2018, 57.8% to 40.7%, a margin of 17.1 points and 855,679 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2014, when Thomas W. Wolf also won.

Republicans led in 50 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 17. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 554,175 votes and went to the Democrat by 75.7 points. The closest was Forest, where 413 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas W Wolf won Democratic 2,895,848 57.8%
Scott R Wagner Republican 2,040,169 40.7%
All other candidates 77,029 1.5%
Total5,013,046

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 484,124 87.4% 64,514 11.6% 5,537 554,175 D+75.7
Allegheny 364,710 67.4% 168,893 31.2% 7,702 541,305 D+36.2
Montgomery 256,252 67.2% 120,206 31.5% 4,988 381,446 D+35.7
Bucks 172,302 58.5% 117,912 40.1% 4,115 294,329 D+18.5
Delaware 167,211 66.7% 80,576 32.1% 2,856 250,643 D+34.6
Chester 145,212 61.3% 87,873 37.1% 3,690 236,775 D+24.2
Lancaster 96,040 47.5% 102,229 50.6% 3,955 202,224 R+3.1
York 75,313 44.6% 90,590 53.6% 3,075 168,978 R+9.0
Westmoreland 68,146 46.4% 76,413 52.1% 2,227 146,786 R+5.6
Berks 76,136 52.7% 65,756 45.5% 2,534 144,426 D+7.2
Lehigh 77,248 60.1% 49,071 38.2% 2,287 128,606 D+21.9
Northampton 65,749 57.1% 47,527 41.3% 1,846 115,122 D+15.8
Dauphin 64,045 59.0% 42,436 39.1% 2,068 108,549 D+19.9
Luzerne 55,734 51.7% 50,701 47.0% 1,388 107,823 D+4.7
Cumberland 52,807 50.5% 49,496 47.4% 2,175 104,478 D+3.2
Erie 60,790 59.8% 39,387 38.7% 1,534 101,711 D+21.0
Lackawanna 54,237 64.6% 28,616 34.1% 1,060 83,913 D+30.5
Washington 39,898 48.4% 40,662 49.3% 1,858 82,418 R+0.9
Butler 32,891 41.3% 45,242 56.8% 1,578 79,711 R+15.5
Beaver 36,166 53.3% 30,593 45.1% 1,117 67,876 D+8.2
Centre 34,961 57.6% 24,353 40.1% 1,364 60,678 D+17.5
Monroe 32,064 57.8% 22,530 40.6% 843 55,437 D+17.2
Franklin 18,447 33.6% 35,634 64.9% 841 54,922 R+31.3
Cambria 21,639 43.4% 27,530 55.2% 725 49,894 R+11.8
Lebanon 20,159 41.1% 28,096 57.2% 853 49,108 R+16.2
Schuylkill 21,179 43.5% 26,640 54.7% 899 48,718 R+11.2
Blair 14,622 33.6% 28,175 64.7% 725 43,522 R+31.1
Mercer 18,200 44.3% 22,211 54.0% 689 41,100 R+9.8
Lycoming 14,727 35.9% 25,570 62.3% 728 41,025 R+26.4
Fayette 19,791 48.4% 20,471 50.0% 647 40,909 R+1.7
Adams 15,862 40.6% 22,501 57.6% 690 39,053 R+17.0
Lawrence 15,035 46.6% 16,714 51.8% 492 32,241 R+5.2
Crawford 12,137 39.7% 17,859 58.5% 548 30,544 R+18.7
Indiana 12,715 43.3% 16,179 55.0% 502 29,396 R+11.8
Northumberland 12,135 42.1% 16,122 55.9% 564 28,821 R+13.8
Somerset 9,138 31.8% 19,020 66.2% 570 28,728 R+34.4
Clearfield 9,235 34.3% 17,241 64.1% 416 26,892 R+29.8
Armstrong 8,839 35.9% 15,373 62.4% 431 24,643 R+26.5
Columbia 9,822 43.4% 12,424 54.9% 392 22,638 R+11.5
Carbon 9,659 42.8% 12,476 55.3% 407 22,542 R+12.5
Pike 9,074 43.6% 11,408 54.8% 318 20,800 R+11.2
Bradford 6,852 33.6% 13,068 64.0% 500 20,420 R+30.4
Wayne 8,023 39.9% 11,751 58.5% 312 20,086 R+18.6
Bedford 4,408 23.4% 14,261 75.6% 194 18,863 R+52.2
Venango 7,431 39.9% 10,856 58.3% 338 18,625 R+18.4
Perry 5,905 34.3% 10,915 63.5% 376 17,196 R+29.1
Huntingdon 5,037 31.7% 10,586 66.6% 278 15,901 R+34.9
Susquehanna 5,273 33.5% 10,137 64.5% 309 15,719 R+30.9
Jefferson 4,277 27.5% 11,036 70.9% 261 15,574 R+43.4
Tioga 3,991 27.0% 10,472 70.9% 315 14,778 R+43.9
Warren 5,447 37.6% 8,766 60.5% 270 14,483 R+22.9
Union 6,426 44.6% 7,676 53.3% 294 14,396 R+8.7
Clarion 5,191 36.8% 8,594 61.0% 309 14,094 R+24.1
Mifflin 4,127 30.0% 9,408 68.4% 210 13,745 R+38.4
Snyder 4,833 36.3% 8,283 62.1% 216 13,332 R+25.9
McKean 3,899 31.0% 8,512 67.6% 182 12,593 R+36.6
Clinton 5,517 44.2% 6,727 53.9% 232 12,476 R+9.7
Greene 5,844 46.9% 6,381 51.3% 223 12,448 R+4.3
Elk 4,206 37.2% 6,918 61.2% 177 11,301 R+24.0
Wyoming 4,101 38.5% 6,344 59.6% 204 10,649 R+21.1
Juniata 2,550 30.0% 5,780 68.1% 163 8,493 R+38.0
Montour 3,228 46.0% 3,642 51.9% 145 7,015 R+5.9
Potter 1,452 23.2% 4,687 75.0% 109 6,248 R+51.8
Fulton 1,037 19.6% 4,202 79.3% 57 5,296 R+59.8
Sullivan 977 36.2% 1,661 61.5% 61 2,699 R+25.3
Forest 746 38.5% 1,159 59.8% 33 1,938 R+21.3
Cameron 619 34.9% 1,127 63.6% 27 1,773 R+28.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Josh Shapiro (D) D+14.8
2018 Thomas W Wolf (D) D+17.1
2014 Thomas W. Wolf (D) D+9.9
2010 Tom Corbett (R) R+9.0
2006 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+20.7
2002 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+9.0
1998 Tom Ridge (R) R+26.4
1994 Tom Ridge (R) R+5.5
1990 Robert Casey (D) D+35.3
1986 Robert Casey (D) D+2.3
1982 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+2.7
1978 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+6.1
1974 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+8.6
1970 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+13.5
1966 Raymond P. Shafer (R) R+6.0
1962 William W. Scranton (R) R+11.1
1958 David L. Lawrence (D) D+1.9
1954 George M. Leader (D) D+7.5
1950 John S. Fine (R) R+2.4
1946 James H. Duff (R) R+17.8
1942 Edward Martin (R) R+8.5
1938 Arthur H. James (R) R+7.6
1934 George H. Earle (D) D+2.2
1930 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+2.8
1926 John Stuchell Fisher (R) R+49.0
1922 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+17.1
1918 William Cameron Sproul (R) R+27.3
1914 Martin Grove Brumbaugh (R) R+12.2
1910 John K. Tener (R) R+28.7
1906 Edwin Sydney Stuart (R) R+4.8
1902 Samuel W. Pennypacker (R) R+13.0
1898 William A. Stone (R) R+12.1
1894 Daniel H. Hastings (R) R+25.3
1890 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+1.8
1886 James A. Beaver (R) R+5.2
1882 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+5.4
1878 Henry Martyn Hoyt (R) R+3.2
1875 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+2.0
1872 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+5.3
1869 John White Geary (R) R+0.8
1866 John White Geary (R) R+2.9