United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 Tennessee governor election

Bill Lee (Republican) beat Karl Dean (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2018, 59.6% to 38.6%, a margin of 21.0 points and 471,243 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2014, when Bill Haslam won.

Republicans led in 92 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Shelby, cast 290,148 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.7 points. The closest was Lake, where 614 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Bill Lee won Republican 1,336,106 59.6%
Karl Dean Democratic 864,863 38.6%
All other candidates 42,325 1.9%
Total2,243,294

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 175,478 60.5% 106,594 36.7% 8,076 290,148 D+23.7
Davidson 152,441 62.3% 78,286 32.0% 13,801 244,528 D+30.3
Knox 68,437 41.1% 96,006 57.7% 2,000 166,443 R+16.6
Hamilton 57,794 43.3% 74,437 55.8% 1,202 133,433 R+12.5
Williamson 34,647 32.8% 68,189 64.5% 2,818 105,654 R+31.7
Rutherford 41,108 41.5% 56,957 57.5% 908 98,973 R+16.0
Sumner 20,914 31.9% 44,149 67.3% 513 65,576 R+35.4
Sullivan 12,373 22.8% 41,548 76.4% 449 54,370 R+53.7
Wilson 16,987 32.0% 35,488 66.9% 592 53,067 R+34.9
Montgomery 22,664 43.8% 27,920 54.0% 1,140 51,724 R+10.2
Blount 13,362 28.6% 32,958 70.5% 455 46,775 R+41.9
Washington 13,584 30.2% 31,066 69.0% 386 45,036 R+38.8
Bradley 7,287 21.6% 26,123 77.4% 355 33,765 R+55.8
Madison 13,759 41.9% 18,722 57.0% 372 32,853 R+15.1
Maury 11,149 34.1% 21,297 65.1% 284 32,730 R+31.0
Sevier 6,442 21.4% 23,059 76.7% 553 30,054 R+55.3
Anderson 9,462 36.3% 16,265 62.5% 313 26,040 R+26.1
Putnam 7,710 31.6% 16,407 67.3% 252 24,369 R+35.7
Robertson 7,177 29.7% 16,816 69.6% 165 24,158 R+39.9
Cumberland 5,396 22.6% 18,217 76.4% 216 23,829 R+53.8
Loudon 5,181 23.9% 16,245 75.0% 221 21,647 R+51.1
Greene 4,169 20.3% 16,196 78.7% 205 20,570 R+58.5
Tipton 4,908 25.4% 14,074 72.9% 336 19,318 R+47.4
Roane 5,207 27.0% 13,868 71.9% 209 19,284 R+44.9
Carter 3,525 18.9% 14,922 80.2% 170 18,617 R+61.2
Hawkins 3,202 18.4% 14,069 80.7% 173 17,444 R+62.3
Hamblen 4,063 23.4% 13,197 75.9% 133 17,393 R+52.5
Fayette 4,943 29.0% 11,883 69.6% 248 17,074 R+40.6
Coffee 4,867 28.6% 11,828 69.5% 313 17,008 R+40.9
Dickson 5,202 31.1% 11,413 68.3% 91 16,706 R+37.2
Jefferson 3,581 22.2% 12,411 76.9% 155 16,147 R+54.7
Gibson 4,474 27.8% 11,402 70.9% 215 16,091 R+43.1
McMinn 3,382 21.4% 12,268 77.5% 174 15,824 R+56.2
Monroe 3,206 22.1% 11,146 76.9% 143 14,495 R+54.8
Cheatham 4,417 30.5% 9,966 68.9% 76 14,459 R+38.4
Franklin 4,413 31.7% 9,432 67.7% 88 13,933 R+36.0
Bedford 3,447 26.4% 9,489 72.7% 113 13,049 R+46.3
Lawrence 3,048 23.5% 9,834 75.9% 72 12,954 R+52.4
Warren 3,643 31.8% 7,737 67.4% 92 11,472 R+35.7
Dyer 2,431 21.9% 8,515 76.7% 161 11,107 R+54.8
Henry 3,031 28.0% 7,698 71.0% 112 10,841 R+43.0
Lincoln 2,105 20.1% 8,110 77.3% 273 10,488 R+57.3
Cocke 2,080 20.1% 8,139 78.5% 143 10,362 R+58.5
Campbell 2,189 21.6% 7,820 77.0% 145 10,154 R+55.5
Marshall 2,891 28.8% 7,074 70.5% 66 10,031 R+41.7
Weakley 2,557 25.8% 7,203 72.8% 132 9,892 R+47.0
Giles 2,750 28.6% 6,730 70.1% 121 9,601 R+41.5
Obion 2,053 21.4% 7,425 77.5% 100 9,578 R+56.1
Rhea 1,926 20.5% 7,382 78.6% 86 9,394 R+58.1
Marion 2,806 30.4% 6,327 68.5% 98 9,231 R+38.1
Carroll 2,247 25.6% 6,451 73.4% 90 8,788 R+47.8
Henderson 1,642 19.0% 6,922 80.1% 76 8,640 R+61.1
Claiborne 1,871 22.0% 6,514 76.8% 102 8,487 R+54.7
White 2,005 23.7% 6,374 75.5% 65 8,444 R+51.7
Hardin 1,603 19.5% 6,410 78.2% 187 8,200 R+58.6
McNairy 1,825 22.3% 6,201 75.9% 148 8,174 R+53.5
Hardeman 3,336 44.4% 4,060 54.0% 116 7,512 R+9.6
Overton 2,213 30.6% 4,951 68.5% 60 7,224 R+37.9
Hickman 2,025 29.0% 4,894 70.0% 70 6,989 R+41.1
Grainger 1,285 18.8% 5,476 80.1% 77 6,838 R+61.3
Lauderdale 2,543 38.1% 4,026 60.4% 99 6,668 R+22.2
Smith 1,756 26.8% 4,745 72.4% 55 6,556 R+45.6
Fentress 1,255 19.6% 5,043 78.9% 91 6,389 R+59.3
Macon 1,246 19.6% 5,078 79.7% 49 6,373 R+60.1
Unicoi 1,228 19.5% 5,008 79.6% 58 6,294 R+60.1
DeKalb 1,737 29.2% 4,176 70.1% 44 5,957 R+40.9
Humphreys 2,037 34.5% 3,813 64.7% 46 5,896 R+30.1
Johnson 1,013 17.2% 4,809 81.6% 70 5,892 R+64.4
Haywood 3,269 55.8% 2,522 43.0% 70 5,861 D+12.7
Polk 1,422 24.4% 4,359 74.7% 52 5,833 R+50.4
Morgan 1,243 22.1% 4,331 76.9% 59 5,633 R+54.8
Scott 961 17.5% 4,472 81.5% 52 5,485 R+64.0
Chester 1,131 21.0% 4,161 77.2% 95 5,387 R+56.2
Benton 1,599 29.9% 3,696 69.1% 51 5,346 R+39.2
Union 1,133 21.7% 4,028 77.1% 63 5,224 R+55.4
Sequatchie 1,185 23.7% 3,766 75.2% 54 5,005 R+51.6
Wayne 818 17.3% 3,876 81.9% 37 4,731 R+64.6
Cannon 1,157 24.8% 3,473 74.6% 27 4,657 R+49.7
Crockett 1,173 26.2% 3,274 73.0% 37 4,484 R+46.9
Stewart 1,329 29.7% 3,102 69.2% 49 4,480 R+39.6
Bledsoe 923 22.7% 3,102 76.2% 47 4,072 R+53.5
Lewis 1,048 25.9% 2,969 73.4% 28 4,045 R+47.5
Jackson 1,242 31.6% 2,647 67.4% 38 3,927 R+35.8
Decatur 937 24.2% 2,844 73.6% 83 3,864 R+49.4
Meigs 846 22.2% 2,920 76.7% 40 3,806 R+54.5
Grundy 1,007 26.8% 2,699 71.9% 49 3,755 R+45.1
Houston 990 35.9% 1,738 63.1% 27 2,755 R+27.2
Trousdale 881 33.2% 1,739 65.6% 31 2,651 R+32.4
Clay 778 30.3% 1,773 69.0% 20 2,571 R+38.7
Moore 524 20.9% 1,944 77.6% 38 2,506 R+56.7
Perry 654 26.7% 1,771 72.4% 22 2,447 R+45.6
Pickett 586 25.7% 1,689 73.9% 9 2,284 R+48.3
Van Buren 624 28.2% 1,555 70.3% 34 2,213 R+42.1
Hancock 331 18.4% 1,447 80.4% 22 1,800 R+62.0
Lake 337 23.1% 951 65.0% 174 1,462 R+42.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Bill Lee (R) R+32.0
2018 Bill Lee (R) R+21.0
2014 Bill Haslam (R) R+47.5
2010 Bill Haslam (R) R+31.9
2006 Phil Bredesen (D) D+38.9
2002 Phil Bredesen (D) D+3.1
1998 Don Sundquist (R) R+39.2
1994 Don Sundquist (R) R+9.6
1990 Ned McWherter (D) D+24.2
1986 Ned McWherter (D) D+8.5
1982 Lamar Alexander (R) R+19.1
1978 Lamar Alexander (R) R+11.6
1974 L. Ray Blanton (D) D+11.7
1970 Winfield Dunn (R) R+6.0
1966 Buford Ellington (D) D+81.2
1962 Frank G. Clement (D) D+34.8
1958 Buford Ellington (D) D+49.2
1954 Frank G. Clement (D) D+86.7
1952 Frank G. Clement (D) D+58.7
1950 Gordon Browning (D) D+78.1
1948 Gordon Browning (D) D+33.8
1946 James N. McCord (D) D+33.4
1944 James N. McCord (D) D+26.5
1942 Prentice Cooper (D) D+40.3
1940 Prentice Cooper (D) D+44.2
1938 Prentice Cooper (D) D+43.4
1936 Gordon Browning (D) D+61.7
1934 Hill McAlister (D) D+61.8
1932 Hill McAlister (D) D+13.0
1930 Henry H. Horton (D) D+28.2
1928 Henry H. Horton (D) D+22.1
1926 Austin Peay (D) D+29.5
1924 Austin Peay (D) D+14.4
1922 Austin Peay (D) D+15.8
1920 Alfred A. Taylor (R) R+10.4
1918 Albert H. Roberts (D) D+25.0
1916 Tom C. Rye (D) D+11.0
1914 Tom C. Rye (D) D+7.8
1912 Ben W. Hooper (R) R+3.1
1910 Ben W. Hooper (R) R+4.3
1908 Malcolm R. Patterson (D) D+8.2
1906 Malcolm R. Patterson (D) D+9.4
1904 James B. Frazier (D) D+11.9
1902 James B. Frazier (D) D+25.0
1900 Benton McMillin (D) D+9.7
1898 Benton McMillin (D) D+18.2
1896 Robert L. Taylor (D) D+2.2
1894 Peter Turney (D) D+1.1
1892 Peter Turney (D) D+9.7
1890 John P. Buchanan (D) D+18.7
1888 Robert L. Taylor (D) D+6.0
1886 Robert L. Taylor (D) D+7.2
1884 William B. Bate (D) D+2.8
1882 William B. Bate (D) D+12.0
1880 Alvin Hawkins (R) R+10.2
1878 Albert S. Marks (D) D+31.2
1876 James D. Jr. Porter (D) D+62.7
1874 James D. Jr. Porter (D) D+29.8
1872 A. A. Freeman (R) R+100.0
1870 John C. Brown (D) D+31.1
1867 William G. Brownlow (R) R+76.8
1865 William G. Brownlow (R) R+99.9