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Election 1938 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1938 governor election results by state and county

Republicans recovered strongly in 1938, gaining Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Massachusetts and other states, while Herbert H. Lehman narrowly held New York against Thomas E. Dewey.

33 governor races were held in 1938. Democrats won 15 and Republicans 18.

The closest were Connecticut (R+0.4), New York (D+1.4) and Nebraska (D+3.4). 17 governorships changed party: California to the Democrats, Colorado to the Republicans, Connecticut to the Republicans, Idaho to the Republicans, Iowa to the Republicans, Kansas to the Republicans, Maryland to the Democrats, Massachusetts to the Republicans, Michigan to the Republicans, Minnesota to the Republicans, North Dakota to the Democrats, Ohio to the Republicans, Oregon to the Republicans, Pennsylvania to the Republicans, Rhode Island to the Republicans, Wisconsin to the Republicans and Wyoming to the Republicans.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 1938 governor elections

The recession of 1937 and 1938, Franklin D. Roosevelt's court-packing plan and his failed purge of conservative Democrats all hurt his party in the 1938 midterms. Republicans gained seats in both houses of Congress and won back a long list of governorships. John W. Bricker took Ohio by about 5 points, Arthur H. James won Pennsylvania, and Frank D. Fitzgerald returned in Michigan by about 6 points over Frank Murphy. Leverett Saltonstall won Massachusetts, George Wilson took Iowa by about 7 points, and Payne Ratner won Kansas by a similar margin. Republicans also gained Maine, Oregon, Idaho, Colorado, Wyoming and Rhode Island. In Minnesota, Harold Stassen won for the Republicans, and in Wisconsin, Julius P. Heil beat Philip La Follette. In New York, Herbert H. Lehman won a fourth term over Thomas E. Dewey, the racket-busting prosecutor, with help from the American Labor Party line. In Connecticut, Raymond E. Baldwin unseated Wilbur L. Cross by a fraction of a point in a three-way race. Democrats gained California with Culbert L. Olson and Maryland with Herbert R. O'Conor.

Every race

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
Alabama Frank M. Dixon115,761 (87.4%) W. A. Clardy16,522 (12.5%) 234 D+74.9
Arizona Robert T. Jones80,350 (68.6%) Jerrie W. Lee32,022 (27.3%) 4,814 D+41.2
Arkansas Carl E. Bailey118,696 (86.3%) Charles F. Cole12,077 (8.8%) 6,775 D+77.5
California flip Culbert L. Olson1,391,734 (52.5%) Frank F. Merriam1,171,019 (44.2%) 88,710 D+8.3
Colorado flip Teller Ammons199,562 (43.7%) Ralph L. Carr255,159 (55.8%) 2,402 R+12.2
Connecticut flip Wilbur Lucius Cross227,549 (36.0%) Raymond E. Baldwin230,237 (36.4%) Jasper McLevy (Socialist) 166,253 (26.3%)
R+0.4
Georgia Eurith D. Rivers66,863 (94.3%) none 4,056 D+94.3
Idaho flip C. Ben Ross77,697 (41.9%) C. A. Bottolfsen106,268 (57.3%) 1,494 R+15.4
Iowa flip Nelson G. Kraschel387,779 (45.7%) George Wilson447,061 (52.7%) 13,391 R+7.0
Kansas flip Walter A. Huxman341,271 (45.1%) Payne Ratner393,989 (52.1%) 21,438 R+7.0
Maine Louis J. Brann139,745 (47.0%) Lewis O. Barrows157,350 (52.9%) 143 R+5.9
Maryland flip Herbert R. O'Conor308,372 (54.6%) Harry W. Nice242,095 (42.9%) 14,073 D+11.7
Massachusetts flip James M. Curley793,884 (45.0%) Leverett Saltonstall941,465 (53.3%) 30,520 R+8.4
Michigan flip Frank Murphy753,752 (47.0%) Frank D. Fitzgerald847,245 (52.8%) 4,244 R+5.8
Minnesota flip Thomas F. Gallagher65,875 (5.8%) Harold Stassen678,839 (59.9%) Elmer Benson (Farmer-Labor) 387,263 (34.2%)
R+54.1
Nebraska Robert L. Cochran218,787 (44.0%) Charles J. Warner201,898 (40.6%) Charles W. Bryan (Independent) 76,258 (15.3%)
D+3.4
Nevada Edward P. Carville28,528 (61.9%) John A. Fulton17,586 (38.1%) D+23.7
New Hampshire John L. Sullivan80,847 (42.8%) Francis P. Murphy107,841 (57.1%) 237 R+14.3
New Mexico John E. Miles82,344 (52.2%) Albert K. Mitchell75,017 (47.6%) 270 D+4.7
New York Herbert H. Lehman2,391,286 (50.4%) Thomas E. Dewey2,326,892 (49.0%) 28,446 D+1.4
North Dakota flip John Moses138,270 (52.5%) John N. Hagan125,246 (47.5%) D+4.9
Ohio flip Charles Sawyer1,147,323 (47.6%) John W. Bricker1,265,548 (52.4%) R+4.9
Oklahoma Leon C. Phillips355,740 (70.0%) Ross Rizley148,861 (29.3%) 3,355 D+40.7
Oregon flip Henry L. Hess158,744 (42.6%) Charles A. Sprague214,062 (57.4%) 57 R+14.8
Pennsylvania flip Charles Jones1,745,465 (45.8%) Arthur H. James2,036,345 (53.4%) 31,250 R+7.6
Rhode Island flip Robert E. Quinn129,603 (41.6%) William Henry Vanderbilt III168,624 (54.2%) 13,059 R+12.5
South Carolina Burnet Rhett Maybank49,009 (99.4%) Joseph Augustis Tolbert283 (0.6%) D+98.9
South Dakota Oscar Fosheim127,485 (46.0%) Harlan J. Bushfield149,362 (54.0%) R+7.9
Tennessee Prentice Cooper210,567 (71.7%) Howard Baker Sr.83,031 (28.3%) D+43.4
Texas W. Lee O'Daniel358,943 (96.8%) Alexander Boynton11,309 (3.0%) 535 D+93.8
Vermont Fred C. Martin37,404 (33.2%) George David Aiken75,098 (66.8%) R+33.5
Wisconsin flip Harry W. Bolens78,446 (8.0%) Julius P. Heil543,675 (55.4%) Philip La Follette (Progressive) 353,381 (36.0%)
R+47.4
Wyoming flip Leslie A. Miller38,501 (40.2%) Nels H. Smith57,288 (59.8%) R+19.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). By county: "As they were" draws each county as it stood on election day; "Today's" shares the old votes among today's counties by area. County boundaries: Newberry Library, Atlas of Historical County Boundaries (CC BY-NC-SA 2.5). How these results were checked.

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