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United States · Election results history · 2022 House · Kentucky
Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 24.0 points: Morgan McGarvey (Democrat) beat Stuart Ray (Republican), 62.0% to 38.0%, a margin of 24.0 points and 62,283 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 119 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 1. The largest, Jefferson, cast 275,939 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.8 points. The closest was Robertson, where 471 votes separated the two parties.

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If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Jimmy Ausbrooks61,701 (25.1%) James Comer184,157 (74.9%) R+49.8
2 Hank Linderman66,769 (28.1%) Brett Guthrie170,487 (71.9%) R+43.7
3 Morgan McGarvey160,920 (62.0%) Stuart Ray98,637 (38.0%) 30 D+24.0
4 Matt Lehman79,977 (31.0%) Thomas Massie167,541 (65.0%) 10,111 R+34.0
5 Conor Halbleib38,549 (17.8%) Hal Rogers177,712 (82.2%) 9 R+64.4
6 Geoff Young83,005 (33.6%) Andy Barr154,762 (62.7%) 9,051 R+29.1

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 166,661 60.4% 109,278 39.6% 275,939 D+20.8
Fayette 45,691 44.6% 50,033 48.8% 6,798 102,522 R+4.2
Kenton 19,800 38.8% 29,218 57.3% 2,011 51,029 R+18.5
Boone 13,001 28.7% 30,266 66.9% 1,998 45,265 R+38.1
Warren 13,186 34.4% 25,127 65.6% 38,313 R+31.2
Campbell 13,797 38.8% 20,362 57.2% 1,413 35,572 R+18.5
Daviess 10,580 32.3% 22,200 67.7% 32,780 R+35.4
Hardin 10,105 33.0% 20,557 67.0% 30,662 R+34.1
Madison 8,728 30.2% 20,135 69.8% 28,863 R+39.5
Oldham 9,164 35.1% 15,768 60.4% 1,170 26,102 R+25.3
Bullitt 6,262 25.5% 18,335 74.5% 24,597 R+49.1
McCracken 6,625 29.3% 16,023 70.7% 22,648 R+41.5
Pulaski 3,151 15.0% 17,820 85.0% 1 20,972 R+69.9
Scott 6,043 30.2% 13,593 67.8% 404 20,040 R+37.7
Franklin 9,210 46.4% 10,638 53.6% 19,848 R+7.2
Shelby 5,351 30.3% 11,560 65.5% 729 17,640 R+35.2
Laurel 2,538 14.6% 14,816 85.4% 17,354 R+70.8
Jessamine 4,257 24.8% 12,599 73.5% 276 17,132 R+48.7
Nelson 4,920 29.5% 11,401 68.3% 360 16,681 R+38.9
Pike 2,734 17.4% 12,989 82.6% 1 15,724 R+65.2
Christian 4,688 30.6% 10,638 69.4% 15,326 R+38.8
Hopkins 3,685 25.1% 10,993 74.9% 14,678 R+49.8
Barren 2,942 20.9% 11,133 79.1% 14,075 R+58.2
Boyd 4,330 31.1% 9,612 68.9% 1 13,943 R+37.9
Henderson 4,655 33.4% 9,267 66.6% 13,922 R+33.1
Marshall 2,681 20.8% 10,182 79.2% 12,863 R+58.3
Clark 3,381 26.7% 9,075 71.8% 186 12,642 R+45.0
Greenup 3,102 24.7% 9,056 72.1% 396 12,554 R+47.4
Graves 2,105 17.6% 9,887 82.4% 11,992 R+64.9
Calloway 3,483 29.6% 8,288 70.4% 11,771 R+40.8
Floyd 2,494 21.5% 9,090 78.5% 11,584 R+56.9
Woodford 3,541 32.8% 7,016 65.0% 243 10,800 R+32.2
Boyle 3,456 33.9% 6,724 66.1% 10,180 R+32.1
Muhlenberg 2,792 28.1% 7,156 71.9% 9,948 R+43.9
Whitley 1,326 13.4% 8,578 86.6% 1 9,905 R+73.2
Meade 2,347 24.7% 7,156 75.3% 9,503 R+50.6
Anderson 2,051 22.1% 7,146 77.1% 71 9,268 R+55.0
Taylor 1,782 20.0% 7,143 80.0% 8,925 R+60.1
Montgomery 1,985 22.3% 6,822 76.5% 106 8,913 R+54.3
Logan 1,932 22.8% 6,529 77.2% 8,461 R+54.3
Mercer 1,746 21.2% 6,399 77.7% 94 8,239 R+56.5
Carter 1,756 21.8% 6,255 77.8% 26 8,037 R+56.0
Knox 1,069 13.5% 6,841 86.5% 7,910 R+73.0
Grayson 1,397 17.7% 6,500 82.3% 7,897 R+64.6
Harlan 907 11.8% 6,791 88.2% 7,698 R+76.4
Spencer 1,610 20.9% 5,832 75.9% 246 7,688 R+54.9
Perry 1,455 19.5% 6,012 80.5% 7,467 R+61.0
Grant 1,319 17.8% 5,786 78.3% 285 7,390 R+60.4
Lincoln 1,224 16.6% 6,164 83.4% 1 7,389 R+66.9
Rowan 2,454 33.5% 4,881 66.5% 7,335 R+33.1
Ohio 1,448 20.0% 5,778 80.0% 7,226 R+59.9
Bell 982 14.5% 5,808 85.5% 6,790 R+71.1
Breckinridge 1,462 21.6% 5,294 78.4% 6,756 R+56.7
Bourbon 1,709 25.4% 4,919 73.1% 101 6,729 R+47.7
Harrison 1,790 27.1% 4,649 70.3% 172 6,611 R+43.2
Russell 701 11.1% 5,600 88.9% 6,301 R+77.7
Adair 851 13.6% 5,422 86.4% 6,273 R+72.9
Wayne 916 14.7% 5,331 85.3% 6,247 R+70.7
Hart 1,410 22.9% 4,754 77.1% 6,164 R+54.3
Allen 944 15.5% 5,141 84.5% 6,085 R+69.0
Henry 1,527 25.4% 4,221 70.3% 255 6,003 R+44.9
Garrard 1,030 17.5% 4,808 81.9% 35 5,873 R+64.3
Marion 1,764 30.4% 4,045 69.6% 5,809 R+39.3
Mason 1,555 27.0% 4,016 69.7% 192 5,763 R+42.7
Letcher 1,184 20.7% 4,538 79.3% 5,722 R+58.6
Simpson 1,509 26.5% 4,192 73.5% 5,701 R+47.1
Johnson 741 13.1% 4,894 86.9% 5,635 R+73.7
Trigg 1,245 22.9% 4,189 77.1% 5,434 R+54.2
Larue 969 18.9% 4,167 81.1% 5,136 R+62.3
Casey 551 10.8% 4,573 89.2% 5,124 R+78.5
Fleming 917 18.1% 4,123 81.5% 17 5,057 R+63.4
Clay 521 10.6% 4,376 89.4% 4,897 R+78.7
Pendleton 888 18.2% 3,844 78.9% 141 4,873 R+60.7
Magoffin 957 19.8% 3,888 80.2% 4,845 R+60.5
Union 1,048 21.7% 3,774 78.3% 4,822 R+56.5
Washington 1,166 24.2% 3,653 75.8% 4,819 R+51.6
Knott 1,050 21.9% 3,743 78.1% 4,793 R+56.2
Rockcastle 554 11.7% 4,174 88.3% 4,728 R+76.6
Caldwell 934 20.0% 3,727 80.0% 4,661 R+59.9
Estill 685 14.8% 3,888 84.2% 44 4,617 R+69.4
McCreary 466 10.6% 3,911 89.4% 4,377 R+78.7
Green 519 12.1% 3,764 87.9% 4,283 R+75.8
Edmonson 776 18.1% 3,502 81.9% 4,278 R+63.7
Webster 943 22.6% 3,237 77.4% 4,180 R+54.9
Butler 609 14.6% 3,569 85.4% 4,178 R+70.8
Bath 1,045 25.1% 3,125 74.9% 1 4,171 R+49.9
Lawrence 705 17.2% 3,400 82.8% 4,105 R+65.7
Morgan 798 19.9% 3,208 80.1% 4,006 R+60.2
Metcalfe 681 17.1% 3,305 82.9% 3,986 R+65.8
Owen 793 20.5% 2,941 76.0% 134 3,868 R+55.5
Monroe 283 7.4% 3,561 92.6% 3,844 R+85.3
Lewis 441 11.5% 3,265 85.4% 115 3,821 R+73.9
McLean 795 22.0% 2,825 78.0% 3,620 R+56.1
Jackson 301 8.3% 3,316 91.7% 3,617 R+83.4
Powell 790 22.2% 2,766 77.8% 3,556 R+55.6
Breathitt 784 22.1% 2,763 77.9% 3,547 R+55.8
Todd 737 21.3% 2,719 78.7% 3,456 R+57.3
Clinton 311 9.2% 3,081 90.8% 3,392 R+81.7
Hancock 923 28.4% 2,323 71.6% 3,246 R+43.1
Bracken 619 19.2% 2,517 78.0% 90 3,226 R+58.8
Lyon 722 22.5% 2,492 77.5% 3,214 R+55.1
Livingston 542 16.9% 2,662 83.1% 3,204 R+66.2
Trimble 716 22.6% 2,340 73.9% 109 3,165 R+51.3
Ballard 554 17.8% 2,554 82.2% 3,108 R+64.4
Crittenden 460 15.0% 2,608 85.0% 3,068 R+70.0
Gallatin 651 21.9% 2,199 73.9% 125 2,975 R+52.0
Carroll 780 27.4% 1,945 68.3% 122 2,847 R+40.9
Leslie 254 9.0% 2,580 91.0% 2,834 R+82.1
Martin 194 7.5% 2,401 92.5% 2,595 R+85.0
Nicholas 543 21.9% 1,900 76.8% 32 2,475 R+54.8
Cumberland 266 10.8% 2,206 89.2% 2,472 R+78.5
Menifee 496 22.3% 1,727 77.7% 2,223 R+55.4
Wolfe 580 26.1% 1,640 73.9% 2,220 R+47.7
Carlisle 324 15.3% 1,790 84.7% 2,114 R+69.3
Lee 291 14.3% 1,746 85.7% 2,037 R+71.4
Elliott 555 27.5% 1,465 72.5% 2,020 R+45.0
Owsley 187 10.6% 1,576 89.4% 1,763 R+78.8
Hickman 249 16.2% 1,285 83.8% 1,534 R+67.5
Fulton 414 27.3% 1,102 72.7% 1,516 R+45.4
Robertson 238 24.5% 709 73.0% 24 971 R+48.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8