United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2002 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2002 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2002: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 3.2 points: Anne M. Northup (Republican) beat Jack Conway (Democrat), 51.6% to 48.4%, a margin of 3.2 points and 7,382 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 102 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 18. The largest, Jefferson, cast 233,124 votes and went to the Republican by 3.4 points. The closest was Pendleton, where 119 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Klint Alexander62,617 (34.7%) Ed Whitfield117,600 (65.3%) R+30.5
2 David L. Williams51,431 (29.2%) Ron Lewis122,773 (69.6%) 2,084 R+40.5
3 Jack Conway110,846 (48.4%) Anne M. Northup118,228 (51.6%) R+3.2
4 Ken Lucas87,776 (51.1%) Geoff Davis81,651 (47.5%) 2,308 D+3.6
5 Sidney Jane Bailey38,254 (21.7%) Harold "Hal" Rogers137,986 (78.3%) R+56.6
6 none Ernie Fletcher115,622 (72.0%) 45,066 R+72.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 112,549 48.3% 120,511 51.7% 64 233,124 R+3.4
Fayette 0 0.0% 42,609 67.1% 20,867 63,476 R+67.1
Kenton 16,223 45.8% 18,632 52.6% 560 35,415 R+6.8
Daviess 7,693 30.7% 17,086 68.2% 278 25,057 R+37.5
Warren 6,321 26.6% 17,093 72.1% 309 23,723 R+45.4
Campbell 10,176 45.9% 11,666 52.6% 339 22,181 R+6.7
Boone 8,915 40.9% 12,706 58.2% 199 21,820 R+17.4
Hardin 5,420 26.7% 14,651 72.3% 206 20,277 R+45.5
McCracken 6,284 34.6% 11,861 65.4% 18,145 R+30.7
Pike 5,798 34.3% 11,109 65.7% 16,907 R+31.4
Oldham 6,047 38.9% 9,517 61.1% 15,564 R+22.3
Bullitt 4,677 32.1% 9,681 66.5% 200 14,558 R+34.4
Madison 0 0.0% 10,372 74.4% 3,567 13,939 R+74.4
Boyd 7,796 58.7% 5,344 40.3% 131 13,271 D+18.5
Laurel 1,529 12.0% 11,184 88.0% 12,713 R+75.9
Pulaski 1,572 12.5% 11,027 87.5% 12,599 R+75.0
Christian 3,705 30.7% 8,371 69.3% 12,076 R+38.6
Franklin 0 0.0% 8,481 70.5% 3,555 12,036 R+70.5
Henderson 4,926 42.4% 6,686 57.6% 11,612 R+15.2
Floyd 3,435 30.7% 7,741 69.3% 11,176 R+38.5
Hopkins 3,638 32.9% 7,413 67.1% 11,051 R+34.2
Graves 4,364 41.0% 6,292 59.0% 10,656 R+18.1
Marshall 4,030 39.5% 6,178 60.5% 10,208 R+21.0
Shelby 3,564 36.1% 6,162 62.4% 142 9,868 R+26.3
Muhlenberg 4,332 45.0% 5,285 55.0% 9,617 R+9.9
Barren 2,153 22.9% 7,137 75.8% 122 9,412 R+53.0
Jessamine 0 0.0% 6,924 74.0% 2,430 9,354 R+74.0
Greenup 5,511 59.9% 3,614 39.2% 83 9,208 D+20.6
Knox 1,069 11.7% 8,050 88.3% 9,119 R+76.6
Perry 2,356 26.0% 6,714 74.0% 9,070 R+48.0
Calloway 3,573 41.0% 5,145 59.0% 8,718 R+18.0
Bell 1,524 17.6% 7,135 82.4% 8,659 R+64.8
Harlan 1,576 18.5% 6,931 81.5% 8,507 R+62.9
Whitley 1,280 15.7% 6,881 84.3% 8,161 R+68.6
Clark 0 0.0% 6,146 75.6% 1,982 8,128 R+75.6
Nelson 2,529 31.4% 5,416 67.3% 107 8,052 R+35.9
Scott 571 7.4% 5,353 69.8% 1,750 7,674 R+62.3
Boyle 0 0.0% 6,151 81.3% 1,415 7,566 R+81.3
Grayson 1,757 23.9% 5,523 75.1% 74 7,354 R+51.2
Johnson 1,071 14.9% 6,095 85.1% 7,166 R+70.1
Letcher 1,515 21.2% 5,632 78.8% 7,147 R+57.6
Taylor 1,679 23.5% 5,349 75.0% 103 7,131 R+51.5
Carter 4,273 61.4% 2,619 37.6% 69 6,961 D+23.8
Meade 2,329 34.2% 4,400 64.7% 74 6,803 R+30.4
Ohio 2,240 34.0% 4,319 65.6% 23 6,582 R+31.6
Logan 2,279 35.0% 4,228 65.0% 6,507 R+30.0
Breckinridge 1,770 27.6% 4,564 71.2% 75 6,409 R+43.6
Mercer 0 0.0% 4,534 79.7% 1,156 5,690 R+79.7
Wayne 910 17.4% 4,313 82.6% 5,223 R+65.2
Adair 1,050 20.2% 4,160 79.8% 5,210 R+59.7
Knott 1,729 33.2% 3,473 66.8% 5,202 R+33.5
Russell 1,104 21.2% 4,096 78.8% 5,200 R+57.5
Woodford 0 0.0% 3,475 66.9% 1,721 5,196 R+66.9
Lincoln 598 11.7% 3,778 74.2% 715 5,091 R+62.5
Allen 1,222 24.9% 3,676 75.1% 4,898 R+50.1
Rowan 2,222 45.6% 2,655 54.4% 4,877 R+8.9
Martin 714 14.6% 4,162 85.4% 4,876 R+70.7
Marion 1,848 38.0% 2,946 60.6% 70 4,864 R+22.6
Anderson 0 0.0% 3,665 77.2% 1,085 4,750 R+77.2
Magoffin 1,184 25.0% 3,555 75.0% 4,739 R+50.0
Lawrence 1,558 33.1% 3,154 66.9% 4,712 R+33.9
Montgomery 0 0.0% 3,676 79.1% 971 4,647 R+79.1
Harrison 2,887 62.3% 1,658 35.8% 91 4,636 D+26.5
Monroe 726 15.7% 3,906 84.3% 4,632 R+68.7
Fleming 2,960 64.9% 1,547 33.9% 52 4,559 D+31.0
Leslie 485 11.0% 3,905 89.0% 4,390 R+77.9
Bourbon 0 0.0% 3,172 72.5% 1,204 4,376 R+72.5
Hart 1,283 29.9% 2,965 69.0% 49 4,297 R+39.1
Breathitt 1,739 40.6% 2,547 59.4% 4,286 R+18.9
Clay 548 12.8% 3,722 87.2% 4,270 R+74.3
Spencer 1,335 31.8% 2,825 67.3% 37 4,197 R+35.5
Grant 2,298 54.9% 1,840 43.9% 49 4,187 D+10.9
Henry 2,732 65.4% 1,395 33.4% 48 4,175 D+32.0
McCreary 511 12.5% 3,566 87.5% 4,077 R+74.9
Simpson 1,384 34.0% 2,687 66.0% 4,071 R+32.0
Green 718 17.7% 3,301 81.2% 47 4,066 R+63.5
Trigg 1,259 31.4% 2,748 68.6% 4,007 R+37.2
Garrard 0 0.0% 3,146 79.8% 794 3,940 R+79.8
Estill 0 0.0% 3,053 77.9% 868 3,921 R+77.9
Caldwell 1,393 35.8% 2,503 64.2% 3,896 R+28.5
Union 1,581 42.0% 2,181 58.0% 3,762 R+15.9
Larue 1,005 26.8% 2,718 72.5% 24 3,747 R+45.7
Rockcastle 390 10.4% 3,349 89.6% 3,739 R+79.1
Clinton 684 18.4% 3,040 81.6% 3,724 R+63.3
Mason 2,357 63.4% 1,314 35.4% 45 3,716 D+28.1
Edmonson 833 22.5% 2,843 76.8% 25 3,701 R+54.3
Butler 778 21.1% 2,907 78.9% 3,685 R+57.8
Pendleton 1,853 51.7% 1,734 48.3% 3,587 D+3.3
Powell 0 0.0% 2,355 70.5% 986 3,341 R+70.5
Casey 600 18.3% 2,685 81.7% 3,285 R+63.5
McLean 1,124 34.7% 2,116 65.3% 3,240 R+30.6
Morgan 844 26.5% 2,335 73.5% 3,179 R+46.9
Webster 1,477 47.1% 1,662 52.9% 3,139 R+5.9
Owen 2,057 66.0% 1,060 34.0% 3,117 D+32.0
Lewis 1,149 37.5% 1,887 61.6% 29 3,065 R+24.1
Crittenden 949 31.9% 2,026 68.1% 2,975 R+36.2
Hancock 1,032 34.8% 1,904 64.1% 33 2,969 R+29.4
Todd 909 30.9% 2,034 69.1% 2,943 R+38.2
Washington 811 28.0% 2,063 71.2% 22 2,896 R+43.2
Ballard 1,366 47.2% 1,526 52.8% 2,892 R+5.5
Metcalfe 1,038 37.9% 1,703 62.1% 2,741 R+24.3
Livingston 1,261 46.9% 1,427 53.1% 2,688 R+6.2
Trimble 1,810 67.5% 873 32.5% 2,683 D+34.9
Lee 421 15.8% 2,243 84.2% 2,664 R+68.4
Bath 1,848 70.5% 742 28.3% 31 2,621 D+42.2
Lyon 1,051 44.6% 1,308 55.4% 2,359 R+10.9
Bracken 1,250 54.6% 1,016 44.4% 24 2,290 D+10.2
Cumberland 602 26.8% 1,642 73.2% 2,244 R+46.3
Carroll 1,554 70.7% 610 27.8% 33 2,197 D+43.0
Jackson 237 10.8% 1,953 89.2% 2,190 R+78.4
Wolfe 792 38.7% 1,256 61.3% 2,048 R+22.7
Owsley 342 17.3% 1,636 82.7% 1,978 R+65.4
Gallatin 1,129 59.0% 758 39.6% 27 1,914 D+19.4
Menifee 491 26.4% 1,370 73.6% 1,861 R+47.2
Fulton 716 41.4% 1,015 58.6% 1,731 R+17.3
Elliott 1,445 83.5% 247 14.3% 38 1,730 D+69.2
Carlisle 670 39.3% 1,035 60.7% 1,705 R+21.4
Hickman 675 45.1% 822 54.9% 1,497 R+9.8
Nicholas 876 63.7% 470 34.2% 30 1,376 D+29.5
Robertson 471 69.5% 207 30.5% 678 D+38.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8