United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2014 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2014 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2014: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 20.0 points: Andy Barr (Republican) beat Elizabeth Jensen (Democrat), 60.0% to 40.0%, a margin of 20.0 points and 49,114 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 117 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Jefferson, cast 256,162 votes and went to the Democrat by 25.4 points. The closest was Robertson, where 158 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Charles Kendall Hatchett63,596 (26.9%) Ed Whitfield173,022 (73.1%) R+46.3
2 Ron Leach69,898 (30.8%) Brett Guthrie156,936 (69.2%) R+38.4
3 John A. Yarmuth157,056 (63.5%) Michael Macfarlane87,981 (35.6%) 2,318 D+27.9
4 Peter Newberry71,694 (32.3%) Thomas Massie150,464 (67.7%) R+35.5
5 Kennth S. Stepp47,617 (21.7%) Harold Rogers171,350 (78.3%) R+56.5
6 Elizabeth Jensen98,290 (40.0%) Andy Barr147,404 (60.0%) R+20.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 159,512 62.3% 94,332 36.8% 2,318 256,162 D+25.4
Fayette 45,675 47.3% 50,802 52.7% 96,477 R+5.3
Kenton 14,297 31.8% 30,602 68.2% 44,899 R+36.3
Boone 8,244 24.6% 25,333 75.4% 33,577 R+50.9
Warren 8,901 27.2% 23,835 72.8% 32,736 R+45.6
Daviess 11,084 35.0% 20,601 65.0% 31,685 R+30.0
Hardin 9,947 33.4% 19,825 66.6% 29,772 R+33.2
Campbell 9,806 34.1% 18,923 65.9% 28,729 R+31.7
Madison 8,729 32.7% 17,926 67.3% 26,655 R+34.5
McCracken 6,581 28.1% 16,850 71.9% 23,431 R+43.8
Bullitt 7,493 32.1% 15,845 67.9% 23,338 R+35.8
Oldham 6,681 29.5% 15,966 70.5% 22,647 R+41.0
Pulaski 3,190 15.0% 18,036 85.0% 21,226 R+69.9
Franklin 9,409 48.2% 10,130 51.8% 19,539 R+3.7
Pike 4,575 25.1% 13,639 74.9% 18,214 R+49.8
Scott 5,610 33.6% 11,081 66.4% 16,691 R+32.8
Laurel 2,559 15.3% 14,131 84.7% 16,690 R+69.3
Jessamine 4,492 26.9% 12,176 73.1% 16,668 R+46.1
Hopkins 3,270 20.8% 12,441 79.2% 15,711 R+58.4
Christian 4,128 27.3% 11,006 72.7% 15,134 R+45.4
Shelby 4,728 32.8% 9,703 67.2% 14,431 R+34.5
Nelson 5,211 36.3% 9,136 63.7% 14,347 R+27.4
Boyd 6,012 43.4% 7,838 56.6% 13,850 R+13.2
Henderson 4,730 34.5% 8,967 65.5% 13,697 R+30.9
Barren 3,628 27.2% 9,719 72.8% 13,347 R+45.6
Marshall 4,100 31.3% 8,990 68.7% 13,090 R+37.4
Graves 3,424 26.7% 9,402 73.3% 12,826 R+46.6
Floyd 3,901 31.4% 8,508 68.6% 12,409 R+37.1
Clark 3,996 32.4% 8,328 67.6% 12,324 R+35.2
Calloway 3,484 28.7% 8,647 71.3% 12,131 R+42.6
Greenup 4,646 41.4% 6,587 58.6% 11,233 R+17.3
Woodford 3,967 38.3% 6,381 61.7% 10,348 R+23.3
Knox 1,510 15.4% 8,317 84.6% 9,827 R+69.3
Whitley 1,421 15.1% 7,998 84.9% 9,419 R+69.8
Muhlenberg 3,242 34.6% 6,123 65.4% 9,365 R+30.8
Perry 2,043 21.9% 7,290 78.1% 9,333 R+56.2
Boyle 3,373 37.5% 5,622 62.5% 8,995 R+25.0
Taylor 2,631 29.4% 6,322 70.6% 8,953 R+41.2
Meade 3,113 35.1% 5,751 64.9% 8,864 R+29.8
Montgomery 2,991 34.0% 5,796 66.0% 8,787 R+31.9
Anderson 2,646 30.4% 6,062 69.6% 8,708 R+39.2
Harlan 1,624 18.7% 7,077 81.3% 8,701 R+62.7
Ohio 2,272 26.5% 6,307 73.5% 8,579 R+47.0
Bell 1,251 15.7% 6,716 84.3% 7,967 R+68.6
Johnson 1,350 17.1% 6,548 82.9% 7,898 R+65.8
Carter 3,256 41.4% 4,607 58.6% 7,863 R+17.2
Grayson 1,764 23.3% 5,810 76.7% 7,574 R+53.4
Logan 2,198 29.4% 5,284 70.6% 7,482 R+41.2
Letcher 1,650 22.5% 5,674 77.5% 7,324 R+54.9
Mercer 2,240 30.6% 5,083 69.4% 7,323 R+38.8
Lincoln 1,730 24.1% 5,434 75.9% 7,164 R+51.7
Spencer 2,051 29.1% 5,003 70.9% 7,054 R+41.8
Rowan 2,529 36.3% 4,444 63.7% 6,973 R+27.5
Breckinridge 2,159 31.5% 4,698 68.5% 6,857 R+37.0
Adair 1,201 17.8% 5,539 82.2% 6,740 R+64.4
Wayne 1,328 19.8% 5,381 80.2% 6,709 R+60.4
Bourbon 2,342 35.5% 4,247 64.5% 6,589 R+28.9
Russell 1,094 16.9% 5,389 83.1% 6,483 R+66.3
Allen 1,172 18.4% 5,213 81.6% 6,385 R+63.3
Magoffin 1,667 27.3% 4,441 72.7% 6,108 R+45.4
Grant 1,608 26.6% 4,446 73.4% 6,054 R+46.9
Clay 947 15.9% 5,002 84.1% 5,949 R+68.2
Harrison 2,256 40.2% 3,362 59.8% 5,618 R+19.7
Henry 2,061 37.7% 3,410 62.3% 5,471 R+24.7
Hart 1,718 31.8% 3,687 68.2% 5,405 R+36.4
Marion 2,800 53.1% 2,471 46.9% 5,271 D+6.2
Mason 1,719 32.8% 3,525 67.2% 5,244 R+34.4
Trigg 1,277 24.5% 3,931 75.5% 5,208 R+51.0
Garrard 1,213 24.0% 3,833 76.0% 5,046 R+51.9
Union 1,122 22.4% 3,893 77.6% 5,015 R+55.3
Lawrence 1,413 28.4% 3,556 71.6% 4,969 R+43.1
Rockcastle 579 11.7% 4,375 88.3% 4,954 R+76.6
Caldwell 1,215 24.7% 3,714 75.3% 4,929 R+50.7
McCreary 719 14.6% 4,206 85.4% 4,925 R+70.8
Fleming 1,443 29.7% 3,418 70.3% 4,861 R+40.6
Casey 726 15.3% 4,026 84.7% 4,752 R+69.4
Simpson 1,436 30.8% 3,224 69.2% 4,660 R+38.4
Estill 1,164 25.2% 3,458 74.8% 4,622 R+49.6
Larue 1,318 28.8% 3,255 71.2% 4,573 R+42.4
Monroe 585 13.1% 3,875 86.9% 4,460 R+73.8
Green 900 20.2% 3,547 79.8% 4,447 R+59.5
Breathitt 1,458 32.9% 2,975 67.1% 4,433 R+34.2
Jackson 501 11.4% 3,898 88.6% 4,399 R+77.2
Webster 1,151 26.2% 3,244 73.8% 4,395 R+47.6
Powell 1,538 35.6% 2,780 64.4% 4,318 R+28.8
Washington 1,400 33.4% 2,792 66.6% 4,192 R+33.2
Leslie 407 9.8% 3,744 90.2% 4,151 R+80.4
Knott 1,353 32.9% 2,764 67.1% 4,117 R+34.3
Edmonson 843 20.5% 3,261 79.5% 4,104 R+58.9
Pendleton 1,398 34.4% 2,669 65.6% 4,067 R+31.3
Morgan 1,281 31.9% 2,738 68.1% 4,019 R+36.3
Martin 514 12.9% 3,456 87.1% 3,970 R+74.1
Butler 677 17.2% 3,266 82.8% 3,943 R+65.7
Clinton 517 13.3% 3,369 86.7% 3,886 R+73.4
Livingston 1,094 28.7% 2,723 71.3% 3,817 R+42.7
Bath 1,419 37.9% 2,326 62.1% 3,745 R+24.2
Owen 1,348 36.3% 2,361 63.7% 3,709 R+27.3
McLean 1,077 29.3% 2,593 70.7% 3,670 R+41.3
Metcalfe 1,228 33.6% 2,430 66.4% 3,658 R+32.9
Todd 873 24.1% 2,747 75.9% 3,620 R+51.8
Lyon 1,007 28.3% 2,556 71.7% 3,563 R+43.5
Hancock 1,335 37.8% 2,201 62.2% 3,536 R+24.5
Ballard 1,000 28.3% 2,531 71.7% 3,531 R+43.4
Crittenden 675 20.5% 2,618 79.5% 3,293 R+59.0
Lewis 815 24.9% 2,459 75.1% 3,274 R+50.2
Carroll 1,398 43.9% 1,786 56.1% 3,184 R+12.2
Trimble 1,120 40.2% 1,667 59.8% 2,787 R+19.6
Cumberland 418 15.1% 2,353 84.9% 2,771 R+69.8
Menifee 969 38.5% 1,550 61.5% 2,519 R+23.1
Lee 415 16.6% 2,088 83.4% 2,503 R+66.8
Bracken 791 32.1% 1,675 67.9% 2,466 R+35.8
Gallatin 939 38.4% 1,508 61.6% 2,447 R+23.3
Wolfe 954 41.1% 1,367 58.9% 2,321 R+17.8
Nicholas 785 35.9% 1,404 64.1% 2,189 R+28.3
Carlisle 587 27.1% 1,577 72.9% 2,164 R+45.7
Owsley 268 13.6% 1,706 86.4% 1,974 R+72.8
Fulton 644 34.1% 1,246 65.9% 1,890 R+31.9
Hickman 546 29.0% 1,340 71.0% 1,886 R+42.1
Elliott 1,025 54.7% 849 45.3% 1,874 D+9.4
Robertson 306 39.7% 464 60.3% 770 R+20.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8