United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2018: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 3.2 points: Andy Barr (Republican) beat Amy McGrath (Democrat), 51.0% to 47.8%, a margin of 3.2 points and 9,732 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 117 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Jefferson, cast 290,072 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.5 points. The closest was Elliott, where 161 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Paul Walker78,849 (31.4%) James R. Comer172,167 (68.6%) R+37.2
2 Hank Linderman79,964 (31.1%) S. Brett Guthrie171,700 (66.7%) 5,681 R+35.7
3 John A. Yarmuth173,002 (62.1%) Vickie Yates B. Glisson101,930 (36.6%) 3,788 D+25.5
4 Seth Hall90,536 (34.6%) Thomas Massie162,946 (62.2%) 8,330 R+27.7
5 Kenneth S. Stepp45,890 (21.0%) Harold "Hal" Rogers172,093 (78.9%) 34 R+57.9
6 Amy McGrath144,736 (47.8%) Andy Barr154,468 (51.0%) 3,684 R+3.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 177,171 61.1% 109,011 37.6% 3,890 290,072 D+23.5
Fayette 72,532 59.6% 47,735 39.3% 1,341 121,608 D+20.4
Kenton 20,195 37.9% 30,876 58.0% 2,148 53,219 R+20.1
Boone 12,548 29.9% 27,912 66.6% 1,437 41,897 R+36.7
Warren 13,935 35.1% 25,029 63.1% 687 39,651 R+28.0
Daviess 12,611 35.9% 21,709 61.8% 797 35,117 R+25.9
Madison 13,523 39.4% 20,367 59.4% 421 34,311 R+19.9
Campbell 13,111 38.7% 19,605 57.8% 1,195 33,911 R+19.2
Hardin 11,887 36.0% 20,258 61.4% 835 32,980 R+25.4
Oldham 9,824 36.4% 16,495 61.0% 706 27,025 R+24.7
Bullitt 7,810 29.2% 18,205 68.2% 696 26,711 R+38.9
McCracken 8,701 35.7% 15,638 64.3% 24,339 R+28.5
Scott 9,158 41.7% 12,522 57.0% 288 21,968 R+15.3
Franklin 11,702 53.4% 9,860 45.0% 359 21,921 D+8.4
Pulaski 3,384 15.8% 18,076 84.2% 21,460 R+68.5
Jessamine 7,000 34.1% 13,199 64.3% 331 20,530 R+30.2
Pike 4,328 22.8% 14,667 77.2% 18,995 R+54.4
Shelby 5,982 34.9% 10,567 61.7% 571 17,120 R+26.8
Christian 6,622 39.2% 10,261 60.8% 16,883 R+21.6
Laurel 2,597 15.8% 13,810 84.2% 16,407 R+68.3
Nelson 5,617 34.8% 10,150 62.9% 360 16,127 R+28.1
Hopkins 5,055 31.4% 11,034 68.6% 16,089 R+37.2
Boyd 5,787 38.5% 8,912 59.3% 326 15,025 R+20.8
Henderson 6,247 41.7% 8,746 58.3% 14,993 R+16.7
Barren 3,744 25.2% 10,812 72.8% 300 14,856 R+47.6
Clark 5,418 36.8% 9,119 62.0% 179 14,716 R+25.1
Marshall 4,576 31.9% 9,780 68.1% 14,356 R+36.2
Graves 3,701 27.7% 9,683 72.3% 13,384 R+44.7
Woodford 5,878 45.5% 6,932 53.6% 112 12,922 R+8.2
Greenup 4,467 34.7% 8,101 62.9% 308 12,876 R+28.2
Calloway 4,809 38.1% 7,818 61.9% 12,627 R+23.8
Floyd 3,499 28.5% 8,763 71.5% 12,262 R+42.9
Muhlenberg 4,739 43.1% 6,249 56.9% 10,988 R+13.7
Boyle 3,828 36.4% 6,479 61.5% 223 10,530 R+25.2
Anderson 3,386 32.7% 6,864 66.2% 119 10,369 R+33.5
Montgomery 3,661 35.6% 6,484 63.1% 136 10,281 R+27.5
Meade 3,189 31.7% 6,589 65.6% 273 10,051 R+33.8
Perry 2,332 24.3% 7,248 75.7% 9,580 R+51.3
Taylor 2,456 25.8% 7,062 74.2% 9,518 R+48.4
Whitley 1,434 15.2% 8,029 84.8% 9,463 R+69.7
Knox 1,445 15.9% 7,630 84.1% 9,075 R+68.2
Mercer 2,413 27.8% 6,090 70.1% 190 8,693 R+42.3
Logan 2,893 33.5% 5,753 66.5% 8,646 R+33.1
Carter 2,787 33.1% 5,621 66.9% 8,408 R+33.7
Grayson 1,713 20.5% 6,439 77.2% 191 8,343 R+56.6
Harlan 1,395 16.9% 6,849 83.1% 8,244 R+66.2
Bourbon 3,123 38.3% 4,922 60.3% 118 8,163 R+22.0
Spencer 2,000 25.0% 5,760 72.1% 226 7,986 R+47.1
Lincoln 1,732 21.7% 6,241 78.3% 7,973 R+56.6
Ohio 2,071 26.0% 5,888 74.0% 7,959 R+48.0
Johnson 1,261 16.2% 6,518 83.8% 7,779 R+67.6
Breckinridge 1,945 25.4% 5,573 72.7% 149 7,667 R+47.3
Letcher 1,749 22.8% 5,917 77.2% 7,666 R+54.4
Bell 1,320 17.7% 6,155 82.3% 7,475 R+64.7
Rowan 2,837 38.1% 4,603 61.9% 7,440 R+23.7
Grant 1,816 25.0% 5,205 71.8% 232 7,253 R+46.7
Russell 1,118 15.7% 6,013 84.3% 7,131 R+68.6
Adair 1,273 18.5% 5,624 81.5% 6,897 R+63.1
Wayne 1,232 18.6% 5,381 81.4% 6,613 R+62.7
Harrison 2,260 34.8% 4,094 63.1% 131 6,485 R+28.3
Hart 1,745 27.4% 4,444 69.9% 172 6,361 R+42.4
Allen 1,295 20.8% 4,943 79.2% 6,238 R+58.5
Simpson 2,332 37.4% 3,904 62.6% 6,236 R+25.2
Henry 2,230 36.2% 3,735 60.6% 200 6,165 R+24.4
Marion 2,750 45.3% 3,327 54.7% 6,077 R+9.5
Garrard 1,258 21.7% 4,416 76.3% 113 5,787 R+54.6
Trigg 1,866 32.3% 3,910 67.7% 5,776 R+35.4
Fleming 1,638 29.2% 3,926 69.9% 54 5,618 R+40.7
Mason 1,779 32.1% 3,666 66.2% 91 5,536 R+34.1
Union 1,964 35.5% 3,570 64.5% 5,534 R+29.0
Estill 1,471 26.9% 3,948 72.1% 54 5,473 R+45.3
Rockcastle 666 12.4% 4,688 87.6% 5,354 R+75.1
Magoffin 1,422 26.9% 3,859 73.1% 5,281 R+46.1
Lawrence 1,240 24.1% 3,903 75.9% 5,143 R+51.8
Knott 1,648 32.1% 3,484 67.9% 5,132 R+35.8
Clay 796 16.0% 4,175 84.0% 4,971 R+68.0
McCreary 637 12.8% 4,323 87.2% 4,960 R+74.3
Caldwell 1,474 29.8% 3,476 70.2% 4,950 R+40.4
Powell 1,671 33.8% 3,179 64.4% 90 4,940 R+30.5
Larue 1,178 24.6% 3,511 73.3% 104 4,793 R+48.7
Washington 1,480 30.9% 3,204 66.9% 105 4,789 R+36.0
Casey 630 13.2% 4,141 86.8% 4,771 R+73.6
Butler 749 16.1% 3,839 82.4% 70 4,658 R+66.3
Bath 1,776 38.6% 2,768 60.1% 60 4,604 R+21.5
Pendleton 1,193 26.1% 3,242 70.9% 140 4,575 R+44.8
Breathitt 1,367 30.3% 3,140 69.7% 4,507 R+39.3
Edmonson 911 20.7% 3,429 77.8% 67 4,407 R+57.1
Webster 1,361 31.0% 3,034 69.0% 4,395 R+38.1
Metcalfe 1,017 23.6% 3,300 76.4% 4,317 R+52.9
Monroe 386 9.1% 3,843 90.9% 4,229 R+81.7
Morgan 1,152 27.2% 3,077 72.8% 4,229 R+45.5
Green 669 15.9% 3,462 82.5% 67 4,198 R+66.5
Owen 1,168 28.6% 2,784 68.2% 132 4,084 R+39.6
Jackson 372 9.4% 3,579 90.6% 3,951 R+81.2
McLean 1,266 32.2% 2,663 67.8% 3,929 R+35.6
Todd 1,280 32.7% 2,640 67.3% 3,920 R+34.7
Clinton 516 13.5% 3,311 86.5% 3,827 R+73.0
Livingston 1,136 29.7% 2,687 70.3% 3,823 R+40.6
Leslie 376 10.3% 3,266 89.7% 3,642 R+79.4
Hancock 1,282 35.5% 2,240 62.0% 93 3,615 R+26.5
Lyon 1,169 33.9% 2,283 66.1% 3,452 R+32.3
Ballard 1,027 29.9% 2,413 70.1% 3,440 R+40.3
Crittenden 808 24.1% 2,548 75.9% 3,356 R+51.8
Carroll 1,350 40.3% 1,904 56.8% 99 3,353 R+16.5
Martin 401 12.4% 2,836 87.6% 3,237 R+75.2
Lewis 516 16.1% 2,620 81.6% 75 3,211 R+65.5
Trimble 1,030 34.7% 1,858 62.6% 79 2,967 R+27.9
Gallatin 898 30.8% 1,876 64.4% 139 2,913 R+33.6
Menifee 976 34.6% 1,800 63.9% 43 2,819 R+29.2
Bracken 790 28.0% 1,947 69.1% 81 2,818 R+41.1
Cumberland 422 15.1% 2,364 84.9% 2,786 R+69.7
Wolfe 1,125 43.1% 1,450 55.5% 36 2,611 R+12.4
Nicholas 924 36.2% 1,603 62.8% 24 2,551 R+26.6
Lee 423 17.9% 1,935 82.1% 2,358 R+64.1
Carlisle 603 26.1% 1,703 73.9% 2,306 R+47.7
Fulton 696 36.8% 1,193 63.2% 1,889 R+26.3
Owsley 288 15.8% 1,533 84.2% 1,821 R+68.4
Elliott 803 45.4% 964 54.6% 1,767 R+9.1
Hickman 521 29.7% 1,235 70.3% 1,756 R+40.7
Robertson 296 35.5% 531 63.7% 7 834 R+28.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8