United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2018: Democrats won 7 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 7th district, decided by 1.9 points: Abigail A. Spanberger (Democrat) beat Dave A. Brat (Republican), 50.3% to 48.4%, a margin of 1.9 points and 6,784 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 89 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 44. The largest, Fairfax, cast 480,085 votes and went to the Democrat by 38.1 points. The closest was Nelson, where 17 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Vangie A. Williams148,464 (44.7%) Robert J. "Rob" Wittman183,250 (55.2%) 387 R+10.5
2 Elaine G. Luria139,571 (51.1%) Scott W. Taylor133,458 (48.8%) 371 D+2.2
3 Robert C. "Bobby" Scott198,615 (91.2%) none 19,107 D+91.2
4 A. Donald McEachin187,642 (62.6%) Ryan A. McAdams107,706 (35.9%) 4,506 D+26.7
5 Leslie C. Cockburn145,040 (46.6%) Denver L. Riggleman, III165,339 (53.2%) 547 R+6.5
6 Jennifer Lynn Lewis113,133 (40.2%) Ben L. Cline167,957 (59.7%) 287 R+19.5
7 Abigail A. Spanberger176,079 (50.3%) Dave A. Brat169,295 (48.4%) 4,429 D+1.9
8 Donald S. Beyer, Jr.247,137 (76.1%) Thomas S. Oh76,899 (23.7%) 712 D+52.4
9 Anthony J. Flaccavento85,833 (34.8%) H. Morgan Griffith160,933 (65.2%) 214 R+30.4
10 Jennifer T. Wexton206,356 (56.1%) Barbara J. Comstock160,841 (43.7%) 598 D+12.4
11 Gerald Edward Connolly219,191 (71.1%) Jeff A. Dove Jr.83,023 (26.9%) 6,036 D+44.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 328,815 68.5% 145,996 30.4% 5,274 480,085 D+38.1
Virginia Beach city 86,822 51.2% 82,586 48.7% 217 169,625 D+2.5
Loudoun 100,515 59.7% 67,545 40.1% 262 168,322 D+19.6
Prince William 102,595 62.6% 59,998 36.6% 1,268 163,861 D+26.0
Chesterfield 81,001 52.6% 71,086 46.1% 1,974 154,061 D+6.4
Henrico 92,455 63.4% 51,768 35.5% 1,695 145,918 D+27.9
Arlington 84,506 79.1% 22,046 20.6% 230 106,782 D+58.5
Richmond city 73,254 82.2% 14,005 15.7% 1,869 89,128 D+66.5
Chesapeake city 51,629 61.5% 27,865 33.2% 4,444 83,938 D+28.3
Alexandria city 52,006 79.1% 13,569 20.6% 151 65,726 D+58.5
Norfolk city 52,119 81.5% 9,421 14.7% 2,430 63,970 D+66.7
Stafford 26,763 47.7% 29,214 52.1% 74 56,051 R+4.4
Hanover 18,146 33.8% 35,497 66.1% 60 53,703 R+32.3
Albemarle 34,409 64.5% 18,807 35.3% 117 53,333 D+29.3
Spotsylvania 23,718 45.6% 27,718 53.3% 539 51,975 R+7.7
Newport News city 44,518 90.4% 0 0.0% 4,747 49,265 D+90.4
Hampton city 38,720 82.8% 5,927 12.7% 2,123 46,770 D+70.1
Roanoke 16,124 38.4% 25,790 61.4% 58 41,972 R+23.0
James City 18,412 47.4% 20,346 52.4% 51 38,809 R+5.0
Montgomery 19,969 56.2% 15,506 43.7% 35 35,510 D+12.6
Bedford 9,173 25.9% 26,220 74.0% 51 35,444 R+48.1
Frederick 12,109 35.4% 22,064 64.4% 65 34,238 R+29.1
Fauquier 13,105 40.8% 18,962 59.1% 44 32,111 R+18.2
Rockingham 9,754 30.8% 21,876 69.1% 29 31,659 R+38.3
Roanoke city 19,669 63.0% 11,538 36.9% 36 31,243 D+26.0
Suffolk city 23,477 75.7% 5,453 17.6% 2,072 31,002 D+58.1
Augusta 8,371 28.1% 21,412 71.8% 28 29,811 R+43.7
York 12,960 44.6% 16,067 55.3% 48 29,075 R+10.7
Portsmouth city 26,301 93.4% 0 0.0% 1,868 28,169 D+93.4
Lynchburg city 13,191 49.2% 13,579 50.6% 52 26,822 R+1.4
Pittsylvania 7,788 30.8% 17,429 69.0% 31 25,248 R+38.2
Franklin 6,727 30.4% 15,355 69.4% 45 22,127 R+39.0
Campbell 6,045 27.6% 15,829 72.2% 49 21,923 R+44.6
Washington 6,001 29.3% 14,490 70.6% 25 20,516 R+41.4
Charlottesville city 17,422 85.0% 3,010 14.7% 58 20,490 D+70.3
Culpeper 7,910 40.7% 11,239 57.8% 295 19,444 R+17.1
Henry 6,893 36.9% 11,794 63.1% 10 18,697 R+26.2
Shenandoah 5,269 32.0% 11,211 68.0% 10 16,490 R+36.0
Gloucester 4,818 30.8% 10,792 69.0% 21 15,631 R+38.2
Botetourt 4,258 27.4% 11,261 72.5% 13 15,532 R+45.1
Louisa 6,256 40.5% 8,982 58.1% 221 15,459 R+17.6
Danville city 9,216 61.1% 5,847 38.8% 16 15,079 D+22.3
Powhatan 4,333 28.9% 10,434 69.6% 231 14,998 R+40.7
Orange 6,007 40.1% 8,797 58.7% 187 14,991 R+18.6
Warren 5,031 35.3% 9,190 64.5% 23 14,244 R+29.2
Harrisonburg city 9,130 66.6% 4,562 33.3% 23 13,715 D+33.3
Halifax 5,791 42.4% 7,843 57.5% 15 13,649 R+15.0
Tazewell 2,732 20.4% 10,643 79.5% 12 13,387 R+59.1
Goochland 5,248 39.5% 7,913 59.6% 120 13,281 R+20.1
Manassas city 7,794 60.3% 5,118 39.6% 18 12,930 D+20.7
Accomack 5,729 44.9% 7,025 55.0% 12 12,766 R+10.2
Prince George 5,321 42.2% 7,139 56.6% 148 12,608 R+14.4
Amherst 4,217 33.6% 8,326 66.3% 8 12,551 R+32.7
Pulaski 4,056 33.5% 8,021 66.3% 15 12,092 R+32.8
Fluvanna 5,790 48.3% 6,172 51.5% 24 11,986 R+3.2
Mecklenburg 5,153 43.7% 6,616 56.2% 11 11,780 R+12.4
Caroline 5,575 49.1% 5,775 50.9% 6 11,356 R+1.8
Isle of Wight 8,975 79.6% 0 0.0% 2,297 11,272 D+79.6
Wise 2,955 26.9% 8,022 73.0% 9 10,986 R+46.1
Wythe 2,868 26.8% 7,829 73.1% 11 10,708 R+46.3
New Kent 3,412 32.0% 7,259 68.0% 7 10,678 R+36.0
Carroll 2,551 24.0% 8,052 75.9% 8 10,611 R+51.8
Dinwiddie 4,756 45.1% 5,705 54.1% 92 10,553 R+9.0
Fairfax city 7,089 67.2% 3,229 30.6% 231 10,549 D+36.6
Petersburg city 9,074 88.9% 1,024 10.0% 111 10,209 D+78.9
Salem city 3,890 39.3% 6,008 60.7% 5 9,903 R+21.4
King George 3,618 37.1% 6,138 62.9% 8 9,764 R+25.8
Fredericksburg city 6,312 64.9% 3,393 34.9% 16 9,721 D+30.0
Smyth 2,825 29.2% 6,843 70.8% 3 9,671 R+41.5
Staunton city 5,422 56.4% 4,182 43.5% 10 9,614 D+12.9
Rockbridge 3,310 35.3% 6,059 64.7% 9,369 R+29.3
Winchester city 4,924 53.9% 4,209 46.0% 10 9,143 D+7.8
Russell 2,695 30.0% 6,283 69.9% 6 8,984 R+39.9
Page 2,372 28.7% 5,898 71.3% 7 8,277 R+42.6
Greene 3,062 37.7% 5,050 62.1% 14 8,126 R+24.5
Waynesboro city 3,840 49.7% 3,875 50.2% 4 7,719 R+0.5
Scott 1,687 22.3% 5,865 77.6% 6 7,558 R+55.3
King William 2,455 32.7% 5,054 67.3% 6 7,515 R+34.6
Nelson 3,669 49.8% 3,686 50.0% 13 7,368 R+0.2
Clarke 3,037 42.2% 4,152 57.7% 11 7,200 R+15.5
Falls Church city 5,761 80.1% 1,410 19.6% 21 7,192 D+60.5
Prince Edward 3,815 54.1% 3,227 45.8% 8 7,050 D+8.3
Westmoreland 3,129 44.9% 3,836 55.0% 6 6,971 R+10.1
Southampton 2,895 41.6% 3,967 57.0% 97 6,959 R+15.4
Hopewell city 3,803 55.3% 2,971 43.2% 100 6,874 D+12.1
Lee 1,735 25.4% 5,104 74.6% 3 6,842 R+49.2
Floyd 2,512 37.2% 4,237 62.7% 5 6,754 R+25.5
Patrick 1,620 24.2% 5,071 75.7% 10 6,701 R+51.5
Appomattox 1,744 26.2% 4,909 73.7% 11 6,664 R+47.5
Giles 1,933 29.1% 4,714 70.9% 1 6,648 R+41.8
Colonial Heights city 1,948 30.4% 4,357 68.0% 100 6,405 R+37.6
Northumberland 2,384 38.0% 3,892 62.0% 3 6,279 R+24.0
Williamsburg city 4,408 71.0% 1,787 28.8% 16 6,211 D+42.2
Brunswick 3,666 59.7% 2,463 40.1% 8 6,137 D+19.6
Buckingham 2,737 44.8% 3,363 55.1% 8 6,108 R+10.2
Madison 2,202 36.5% 3,813 63.3% 10 6,025 R+26.7
Poquoson city 1,555 25.9% 4,429 73.9% 10 5,994 R+47.9
Buchanan 1,824 30.5% 4,149 69.4% 6 5,979 R+38.9
Amelia 1,926 32.9% 3,879 66.2% 55 5,860 R+33.3
Grayson 1,543 26.9% 4,187 73.0% 3 5,733 R+46.1
Lancaster 2,439 42.7% 3,271 57.2% 5 5,715 R+14.6
Alleghany 1,892 34.7% 3,563 65.3% 2 5,457 R+30.6
Nottoway 2,401 45.0% 2,862 53.7% 67 5,330 R+8.6
Bristol city 1,751 33.1% 3,521 66.6% 11 5,283 R+33.5
Middlesex 1,800 35.1% 3,328 64.8% 4 5,132 R+29.8
Northampton 2,807 54.7% 2,312 45.1% 8 5,127 D+9.7
Radford city 2,978 58.5% 2,103 41.3% 8 5,089 D+17.2
Charlotte 1,820 38.6% 2,888 61.3% 7 4,715 R+22.7
Martinsville city 2,865 62.9% 1,673 36.8% 14 4,552 D+26.2
Dickenson 1,631 36.3% 2,864 63.7% 4 4,499 R+27.4
Lunenburg 1,911 42.7% 2,557 57.1% 8 4,476 R+14.4
Essex 2,113 47.7% 2,313 52.2% 2 4,428 R+4.5
Mathews 1,378 31.2% 3,027 68.6% 6 4,411 R+37.4
Manassas Park city 2,959 67.5% 1,419 32.4% 3 4,381 D+35.2
Cumberland 1,790 43.2% 2,350 56.7% 5 4,145 R+13.5
Rappahannock 1,837 47.3% 2,042 52.6% 6 3,885 R+5.3
Sussex 2,232 57.5% 1,619 41.7% 30 3,881 D+15.8
Greensville 2,067 59.5% 1,381 39.8% 24 3,472 D+19.8
Surry 1,944 56.2% 1,478 42.7% 37 3,459 D+13.5
Charles City 2,085 62.5% 1,224 36.7% 29 3,338 D+25.8
King and Queen 1,239 41.7% 1,728 58.2% 4 2,971 R+16.5
Richmond 1,012 34.8% 1,893 65.1% 1 2,906 R+30.3
Bland 505 20.6% 1,950 79.4% 1 2,456 R+58.8
Franklin city 2,152 90.7% 0 0.0% 221 2,373 D+90.7
Craig 529 24.1% 1,670 75.9% 2,199 R+51.9
Lexington city 1,431 67.1% 697 32.7% 5 2,133 D+34.4
Galax city 658 35.9% 1,173 64.0% 1 1,832 R+28.1
Covington city 755 42.4% 1,024 57.5% 1 1,780 R+15.1
Emporia city 1,138 64.0% 626 35.2% 13 1,777 D+28.8
Buena Vista city 564 32.1% 1,191 67.7% 4 1,759 R+35.6
Bath 526 30.1% 1,216 69.5% 7 1,749 R+39.5
Highland 382 32.3% 800 67.7% 1,182 R+35.4
Norton city 416 37.7% 684 62.0% 3 1,103 R+24.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8