United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 8 members of the House in 2018: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 4.0 points: Ann Wagner (Republican) beat Cort Vanostran (Democrat), 51.2% to 47.2%, a margin of 4.0 points and 14,866 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 112 of the 116 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 454,449 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.1 points. The closest was Worth, where 530 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Lacy Clay219,781 (80.1%) Robert Vroman45,867 (16.7%) 8,727 D+63.4
2 Cort Vanostran177,611 (47.2%) Ann Wagner192,477 (51.2%) 5,978 R+4.0
3 Katy Geppert106,589 (32.8%) Blaine Luetkemeyer211,243 (65.1%) 6,776 R+32.2
4 Renee Hoagenson95,968 (32.7%) Vicky Hartzler190,138 (64.8%) 7,210 R+32.1
5 Emanuel Cleaver, II175,019 (61.7%) Jacob Turk101,069 (35.6%) 7,697 D+26.1
6 Henry Robert Martin97,660 (32.0%) Sam Graves199,796 (65.4%) 7,953 R+33.4
7 Jamie Daniel Schoolcraft89,190 (30.1%) Billy Long196,343 (66.2%) 10,922 R+36.1
8 Kathy Ellis66,151 (25.0%) Jason Smith194,042 (73.4%) 4,206 R+48.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 270,673 59.6% 174,661 38.4% 9,115 454,449 D+21.1
St. Charles 69,852 40.4% 99,626 57.7% 3,322 172,800 R+17.2
Jackson 71,013 47.5% 74,351 49.7% 4,222 149,586 R+2.2
Greene 46,680 40.5% 63,816 55.4% 4,697 115,193 R+14.9
St. Louis City 92,718 82.1% 16,391 14.5% 3,823 112,932 D+67.6
Kansas City 89,923 79.7% 20,306 18.0% 2,544 112,773 D+61.7
Clay 42,541 44.2% 50,979 52.9% 2,809 96,329 R+8.8
Jefferson 34,326 38.8% 51,814 58.5% 2,415 88,555 R+19.7
Boone 39,830 53.6% 32,797 44.1% 1,661 74,288 D+9.5
Platte 18,583 42.1% 24,518 55.5% 1,088 44,189 R+13.4
Cass 14,677 33.7% 27,737 63.7% 1,100 43,514 R+30.0
Franklin 12,847 30.3% 28,707 67.7% 858 42,412 R+37.4
Jasper 10,465 26.1% 28,146 70.2% 1,459 40,070 R+44.1
Christian 9,509 26.4% 25,190 69.9% 1,348 36,047 R+43.5
Cole 9,646 29.0% 23,049 69.3% 549 33,244 R+40.3
Cape Girardeau 8,048 25.0% 23,687 73.5% 505 32,240 R+48.5
Buchanan 10,422 34.8% 18,471 61.7% 1,060 29,953 R+26.9
Newton 4,799 21.4% 16,819 75.1% 774 22,392 R+53.7
St. Francois 7,052 32.7% 14,051 65.2% 444 21,547 R+32.5
Lincoln 6,232 29.4% 14,475 68.3% 495 21,202 R+38.9
Taney 4,357 21.3% 15,560 76.1% 521 20,438 R+54.8
Camden 4,424 22.3% 15,031 75.8% 377 19,832 R+53.5
Johnson 5,763 32.6% 11,324 64.1% 567 17,654 R+31.5
Callaway 4,799 28.1% 11,916 69.8% 359 17,074 R+41.7
Phelps 4,716 29.5% 10,977 68.6% 302 15,995 R+39.1
Pettis 4,226 28.1% 10,386 69.0% 435 15,047 R+40.9
Stone 2,948 20.1% 11,328 77.3% 388 14,664 R+57.1
Webster 2,964 20.5% 11,098 76.8% 396 14,458 R+56.3
Howell 2,766 19.2% 11,434 79.3% 213 14,413 R+60.1
Scott 3,199 22.4% 10,896 76.4% 164 14,259 R+54.0
Lawrence 3,184 22.9% 10,067 72.5% 636 13,887 R+49.6
Butler 2,616 18.8% 11,060 79.6% 210 13,886 R+60.8
Warren 3,978 28.8% 9,552 69.1% 301 13,831 R+40.3
Laclede 2,198 16.3% 10,959 81.4% 306 13,463 R+65.1
Lafayette 4,944 37.0% 8,065 60.4% 343 13,352 R+23.4
Barry 2,558 21.0% 9,261 76.0% 372 12,191 R+55.0
Polk 2,626 22.6% 8,586 73.9% 411 11,623 R+51.3
Stoddard 1,683 15.6% 8,981 83.2% 130 10,794 R+67.6
Pulaski 2,445 22.7% 8,024 74.5% 298 10,767 R+51.8
Marion 2,529 23.8% 7,911 74.3% 203 10,643 R+50.6
Miller 1,530 15.5% 8,129 82.6% 183 9,842 R+67.0
Ray 3,816 40.7% 5,297 56.4% 272 9,385 R+15.8
Texas 1,626 17.6% 7,487 81.0% 126 9,239 R+63.4
Randolph 2,211 25.1% 6,373 72.3% 234 8,818 R+47.2
Adair 2,883 33.4% 5,549 64.4% 188 8,620 R+30.9
Audrain 2,298 26.7% 6,107 70.9% 212 8,617 R+44.2
Clinton 2,376 27.6% 5,954 69.2% 275 8,605 R+41.6
Henry 2,484 29.0% 5,878 68.6% 210 8,572 R+39.6
Crawford 1,968 23.2% 6,390 75.3% 125 8,483 R+52.1
Benton 2,145 25.8% 5,966 71.7% 205 8,316 R+45.9
Dunklin 1,863 23.5% 5,990 75.5% 81 7,934 R+52.0
Morgan 1,651 21.2% 5,985 76.7% 168 7,804 R+55.5
Saline 3,200 41.1% 4,332 55.7% 249 7,781 R+14.5
Nodaway 2,050 26.7% 5,405 70.4% 228 7,683 R+43.7
Andrew 1,752 23.2% 5,529 73.1% 284 7,565 R+49.9
Ste. Genevieve 2,880 39.7% 4,252 58.6% 123 7,255 R+18.9
Perry 1,522 21.2% 5,578 77.6% 91 7,191 R+56.4
Vernon 1,617 22.5% 5,377 74.8% 195 7,189 R+52.3
Washington 2,061 28.9% 4,943 69.2% 136 7,140 R+40.4
Cooper 1,833 26.2% 5,000 71.4% 172 7,005 R+45.2
Wright 1,107 16.4% 5,528 81.8% 126 6,761 R+65.4
Bates 1,591 23.9% 4,893 73.4% 178 6,662 R+49.6
Macon 1,375 21.0% 5,041 77.2% 117 6,533 R+56.1
McDonald 1,209 18.6% 5,136 78.8% 171 6,516 R+60.3
Dallas 1,163 18.0% 5,129 79.5% 156 6,448 R+61.5
Gasconade 1,365 21.5% 4,883 76.8% 109 6,357 R+55.3
Pike 1,746 28.2% 4,300 69.5% 144 6,190 R+41.3
Osage 856 14.2% 5,094 84.6% 74 6,024 R+70.4
Dent 948 15.8% 4,988 82.9% 81 6,017 R+67.1
Moniteau 1,177 19.9% 4,627 78.1% 119 5,923 R+58.2
New Madrid 1,520 26.8% 4,093 72.1% 65 5,678 R+45.3
Douglas 907 16.5% 4,489 81.8% 95 5,491 R+65.2
Cedar 860 15.9% 4,406 81.3% 151 5,417 R+65.5
Livingston 965 18.7% 4,107 79.6% 87 5,159 R+60.9
Barton 670 13.5% 4,196 84.3% 113 4,979 R+70.8
Bollinger 764 16.0% 3,965 82.8% 59 4,788 R+66.9
Wayne 910 19.4% 3,733 79.5% 53 4,696 R+60.1
Montgomery 999 21.3% 3,592 76.7% 94 4,685 R+55.3
Linn 1,040 22.4% 3,523 75.9% 81 4,644 R+53.5
Pemiscot 1,455 32.5% 2,985 66.7% 35 4,475 R+34.2
Ripley 838 18.9% 3,526 79.7% 60 4,424 R+60.8
Madison 998 22.6% 3,224 72.9% 199 4,421 R+50.4
Ralls 1,008 23.2% 3,289 75.5% 57 4,354 R+52.4
Howard 1,264 30.3% 2,807 67.4% 94 4,165 R+37.0
St. Clair 1,047 25.6% 2,948 72.0% 98 4,093 R+46.4
Hickory 934 22.9% 3,069 75.1% 82 4,085 R+52.3
Ozark 722 18.2% 3,183 80.4% 56 3,961 R+62.1
Maries 771 19.7% 3,089 79.0% 51 3,911 R+59.3
Mississippi 1,025 27.1% 2,716 71.9% 37 3,778 R+44.8
Oregon 816 21.7% 2,896 77.0% 49 3,761 R+55.3
DeKalb 688 18.3% 2,923 77.7% 149 3,760 R+59.4
Caldwell 757 20.1% 2,893 77.0% 109 3,759 R+56.8
Carroll 569 15.3% 3,064 82.4% 87 3,720 R+67.1
Grundy 595 16.4% 2,921 80.6% 108 3,624 R+64.2
Monroe 750 20.7% 2,792 77.2% 76 3,618 R+56.4
Iron 1,078 30.7% 2,370 67.6% 60 3,508 R+36.8
Lewis 771 22.1% 2,664 76.2% 60 3,495 R+54.2
Dade 526 15.7% 2,746 81.9% 79 3,351 R+66.2
Chariton 783 23.5% 2,489 74.8% 56 3,328 R+51.3
Shannon 714 22.4% 2,433 76.3% 43 3,190 R+53.9
Daviess 592 19.6% 2,332 77.3% 92 3,016 R+57.7
Harrison 429 15.0% 2,358 82.4% 75 2,862 R+67.4
Shelby 551 20.3% 2,113 77.9% 47 2,711 R+57.6
Clark 567 21.2% 2,045 76.5% 61 2,673 R+55.3
Gentry 516 20.3% 1,927 75.9% 96 2,539 R+55.6
Reynolds 594 23.6% 1,892 75.1% 32 2,518 R+51.5
Carter 402 17.5% 1,870 81.3% 29 2,301 R+63.8
Atchison 436 19.7% 1,704 76.9% 77 2,217 R+57.2
Sullivan 364 18.5% 1,579 80.2% 25 1,968 R+61.7
Holt 276 14.4% 1,569 82.0% 69 1,914 R+67.6
Putnam 255 13.4% 1,617 85.1% 29 1,901 R+71.6
Schuyler 325 20.3% 1,255 78.2% 24 1,604 R+58.0
Scotland 284 17.7% 1,285 80.3% 32 1,601 R+62.5
Knox 256 16.5% 1,277 82.3% 18 1,551 R+65.8
Mercer 145 10.7% 1,182 87.0% 32 1,359 R+76.3
Worth 179 19.4% 709 76.7% 36 924 R+57.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6