United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 8 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 12.0 points: Ann Wagner (Republican) beat Ray Hartmann (Democrat), 54.5% to 42.5%, a margin of 12.0 points and 51,388 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 112 of the 116 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 498,309 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.1 points. The closest was Worth, where 691 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Wesley Bell233,312 (75.9%) Andrew Jones56,453 (18.4%) 17,500 D+57.6
2 Ray Hartmann182,056 (42.5%) Ann Wagner233,444 (54.5%) 12,892 R+12.0
3 Bethany Mann138,532 (35.3%) Bob Onder240,620 (61.3%) 13,311 R+26.0
4 Jeanette Cass96,568 (26.4%) Mark Alford259,886 (71.1%) 9,242 R+44.7
5 Emanuel Cleaver199,900 (60.2%) Sean Smith120,957 (36.4%) 11,072 D+23.8
6 Pam May100,999 (26.9%) Sam Graves265,210 (70.7%) 8,977 R+43.8
7 Missi Hesketh96,655 (26.3%) Eric Burlison263,231 (71.6%) 7,982 R+45.3
8 Randi McCallian77,649 (21.8%) Jason Smith271,249 (76.2%) 7,166 R+54.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 290,408 58.3% 190,058 38.1% 17,843 498,309 D+20.1
St. Charles 85,774 39.3% 126,321 57.8% 6,290 218,385 R+18.6
Jackson 86,993 46.0% 96,048 50.8% 6,097 189,138 R+4.8
Greene 51,532 36.4% 86,902 61.4% 3,103 141,537 R+25.0
Clay 56,698 44.4% 67,518 52.8% 3,572 127,788 R+8.5
Kansas City 93,992 76.6% 24,634 20.1% 4,005 122,631 D+56.6
Jefferson 36,810 32.2% 74,448 65.1% 3,058 114,316 R+32.9
St. Louis City 87,015 77.9% 16,856 15.1% 7,852 111,723 D+62.8
Boone 45,417 52.7% 38,005 44.1% 2,690 86,112 D+8.6
Cass 17,595 30.2% 39,295 67.5% 1,338 58,228 R+37.3
Platte 24,611 43.2% 31,127 54.6% 1,295 57,033 R+11.4
Franklin 14,199 26.4% 37,255 69.2% 2,403 53,857 R+42.8
Jasper 12,685 24.1% 38,823 73.6% 1,205 52,713 R+49.6
Christian 10,683 21.5% 37,970 76.4% 1,063 49,716 R+54.9
Cape Girardeau 9,516 24.2% 28,938 73.5% 900 39,354 R+49.4
Cole 12,172 31.3% 24,885 64.1% 1,788 38,845 R+32.7
Buchanan 11,186 31.8% 23,131 65.7% 888 35,205 R+33.9
Lincoln 6,576 21.3% 23,423 75.9% 869 30,868 R+54.6
Newton 5,396 18.9% 22,656 79.2% 549 28,601 R+60.3
St. Francois 6,431 23.4% 20,542 74.7% 516 27,489 R+51.3
Taney 5,013 19.2% 20,525 78.8% 523 26,061 R+59.5
Camden 5,232 21.2% 18,641 75.7% 760 24,633 R+54.4
Johnson 6,233 27.0% 16,253 70.4% 601 23,087 R+43.4
Callaway 5,730 27.6% 14,010 67.5% 1,024 20,764 R+39.9
Warren 4,722 24.3% 14,066 72.4% 653 19,441 R+48.1
Webster 3,390 17.5% 15,399 79.7% 534 19,323 R+62.1
Phelps 5,009 26.4% 13,567 71.5% 398 18,974 R+45.1
Stone 3,201 17.2% 15,139 81.1% 320 18,660 R+64.0
Pettis 4,165 22.5% 13,961 75.3% 413 18,539 R+52.8
Howell 2,840 15.3% 15,337 82.8% 350 18,527 R+67.5
Lawrence 2,961 16.5% 14,551 81.3% 381 17,893 R+64.8
Butler 2,892 16.5% 14,394 81.9% 283 17,569 R+65.5
Scott 3,259 19.1% 13,566 79.5% 247 17,072 R+60.4
Lafayette 3,829 22.5% 12,927 75.9% 281 17,037 R+53.4
Laclede 2,543 15.1% 13,902 82.6% 384 16,829 R+67.5
Barry 2,619 16.6% 12,677 80.6% 435 15,731 R+63.9
Polk 2,611 16.8% 12,567 80.9% 353 15,531 R+64.1
Pulaski 3,493 23.3% 10,962 73.0% 552 15,007 R+49.8
Stoddard 1,600 12.0% 11,549 86.6% 186 13,335 R+74.6
Marion 2,581 20.0% 10,066 78.0% 262 12,909 R+58.0
Miller 1,939 15.6% 9,787 78.6% 732 12,458 R+63.0
Ray 2,609 23.0% 8,421 74.1% 333 11,363 R+51.1
Texas 1,501 13.2% 9,618 84.7% 234 11,353 R+71.5
Clinton 2,506 22.8% 8,175 74.5% 294 10,975 R+51.7
Randolph 2,373 22.2% 8,039 75.0% 300 10,712 R+52.9
Henry 2,215 20.7% 8,193 76.7% 270 10,678 R+56.0
Benton 1,955 18.6% 8,279 78.6% 297 10,531 R+60.1
Crawford 2,020 19.2% 8,196 78.0% 293 10,509 R+58.8
Audrain 2,345 23.1% 7,522 74.0% 304 10,171 R+50.9
Adair 2,839 28.3% 6,975 69.5% 217 10,031 R+41.2
Dunklin 1,684 17.2% 7,943 81.1% 167 9,794 R+63.9
Washington 1,816 18.6% 7,568 77.4% 388 9,772 R+58.9
Andrew 2,034 21.0% 7,392 76.4% 253 9,679 R+55.4
Nodaway 2,366 24.6% 7,047 73.4% 188 9,601 R+48.8
Perry 1,545 16.4% 7,714 82.0% 149 9,408 R+65.6
Ste. Genevieve 2,512 27.0% 6,645 71.4% 150 9,307 R+44.4
Morgan 1,750 18.8% 7,247 78.0% 297 9,294 R+59.1
McDonald 1,332 14.6% 7,623 83.5% 179 9,134 R+68.9
Saline 2,410 26.4% 6,469 70.9% 240 9,119 R+44.5
Wright 942 10.7% 7,725 87.4% 169 8,836 R+76.8
Vernon 1,643 19.0% 6,803 78.8% 192 8,638 R+59.7
Cooper 2,197 25.5% 6,078 70.4% 355 8,630 R+45.0
Dallas 1,325 16.2% 6,589 80.8% 242 8,156 R+64.5
Bates 1,402 17.2% 6,592 80.9% 157 8,151 R+63.7
Gasconade 1,427 18.5% 6,113 79.1% 186 7,726 R+60.7
Macon 1,249 16.2% 6,306 82.0% 138 7,693 R+65.7
Pike 1,401 18.4% 6,087 79.9% 130 7,618 R+61.5
Osage 1,014 13.6% 6,236 83.4% 227 7,477 R+69.8
Douglas 879 12.5% 6,001 85.0% 180 7,060 R+72.5
Moniteau 1,270 18.2% 5,412 77.5% 304 6,986 R+59.3
Dent 1,010 14.5% 5,778 82.8% 193 6,981 R+68.3
Cedar 1,019 14.7% 5,716 82.4% 202 6,937 R+67.7
Livingston 1,108 16.4% 5,505 81.7% 126 6,739 R+65.2
New Madrid 1,373 20.8% 5,083 77.0% 145 6,601 R+56.2
Bollinger 689 11.4% 5,267 86.9% 102 6,058 R+75.6
Montgomery 1,103 19.0% 4,520 77.9% 178 5,801 R+58.9
Barton 748 12.9% 4,919 84.8% 131 5,798 R+71.9
Wayne 772 13.5% 4,855 84.8% 97 5,724 R+71.3
Ralls 969 17.1% 4,589 81.1% 102 5,660 R+64.0
Ripley 743 13.2% 4,796 85.0% 101 5,640 R+71.9
Madison 940 16.7% 4,574 81.4% 106 5,620 R+64.7
Linn 1,042 18.6% 4,424 79.0% 132 5,598 R+60.4
Pemiscot 1,224 24.2% 3,777 74.7% 53 5,054 R+50.5
Hickory 903 18.1% 3,940 79.1% 141 4,984 R+60.9
St. Clair 902 18.3% 4,031 81.7% 4,933 R+63.4
Howard 1,251 26.3% 3,313 69.7% 190 4,754 R+43.4
DeKalb 763 16.1% 3,837 80.9% 142 4,742 R+64.8
Maries 732 15.7% 3,723 80.0% 197 4,652 R+64.3
Ozark 586 12.6% 3,972 85.4% 91 4,649 R+72.8
Caldwell 748 16.2% 3,721 80.5% 155 4,624 R+64.3
Oregon 680 15.2% 3,720 83.0% 82 4,482 R+67.8
Carroll 609 13.7% 3,729 84.2% 92 4,430 R+70.4
Lewis 714 16.3% 3,586 81.8% 86 4,386 R+65.5
Iron 893 20.5% 3,369 77.5% 85 4,347 R+57.0
Grundy 641 14.8% 3,595 83.1% 91 4,327 R+68.3
Mississippi 904 20.9% 3,336 77.3% 77 4,317 R+56.3
Monroe 721 16.9% 3,451 81.0% 89 4,261 R+64.1
Dade 613 15.0% 3,352 82.3% 109 4,074 R+67.2
Chariton 689 17.2% 3,211 80.3% 101 4,001 R+63.0
Shannon 614 15.8% 3,200 82.2% 77 3,891 R+66.5
Daviess 628 16.2% 3,150 81.3% 98 3,876 R+65.1
Harrison 480 12.6% 3,260 85.9% 55 3,795 R+73.3
Clark 523 16.1% 2,659 81.9% 64 3,246 R+65.8
Gentry 525 16.3% 2,627 81.4% 74 3,226 R+65.2
Shelby 477 14.9% 2,662 83.2% 59 3,198 R+68.3
Reynolds 467 15.7% 2,443 82.1% 65 2,975 R+66.4
Carter 351 12.5% 2,426 86.5% 28 2,805 R+74.0
Atchison 406 15.3% 2,169 81.8% 76 2,651 R+66.5
Sullivan 339 13.9% 2,052 84.4% 41 2,432 R+70.4
Putnam 269 11.5% 2,027 86.5% 46 2,342 R+75.1
Holt 314 13.6% 1,941 83.9% 58 2,313 R+70.3
Schuyler 255 13.5% 1,583 83.9% 48 1,886 R+70.4
Scotland 258 13.9% 1,572 84.9% 22 1,852 R+71.0
Knox 202 11.5% 1,515 86.6% 32 1,749 R+75.1
Mercer 186 10.6% 1,519 86.8% 44 1,749 R+76.2
Worth 176 16.4% 867 80.8% 30 1,073 R+64.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6