United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Hawaii

Hawaii elected 2 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 0.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 36.3 points: Jill Tokuda (Democrat) beat Steve Bond (Republican), 66.5% to 30.2%, a margin of 36.3 points and 90,780 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 315,832 votes and went to the Democrat by 39.4 points. The closest was Kauai, where 10,449 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Ed Case164,237 (71.8%) Patrick Largey64,373 (28.2%) D+43.7
2 Jill Tokuda166,251 (66.5%) Steve Bond75,471 (30.2%) 8,434 D+36.3

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Honolulu 218,692 69.2% 94,324 29.9% 2,816 315,832 D+39.4
Hawaii 53,501 69.0% 21,346 27.5% 2,711 77,558 D+41.5
Maui 39,942 68.5% 16,270 27.9% 2,119 58,331 D+40.6
Kauai 18,353 67.9% 7,904 29.2% 788 27,045 D+38.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Hawaii in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 0 D+39.8
2022 D 2, R 0 D+36.9
2020 D 2, R 0 D+37.9
2018 D 2, R 0 D+52.5
2016 D 2, R 0 D+55.9
2014 D 2, R 0 D+31.2
2012 D 2, R 0 D+33.7
2010 D 2, R 0 D+27.0
2008 D 2, R 0 D+56.8
2006 D 2, R 0 D+30.1
2004 D 2, R 0 D+27.2
2002 D 2, R 0 D+32.1
2000 D 2, R 0 D+32.5
1998 D 2, R 0 D+35.6
1996 D 2, R 0 D+17.0
1994 D 2, R 0 D+28.1
1992 D 2, R 0 D+50.0
1990 D 2, R 0 D+28.8