Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 US House elections in Hawaii
Hawaii elected 2 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 0.
The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 25.5 points: Ed Case (Democrat) beat Mike Gabbard (Republican), 62.8% to 37.2%, a margin of 25.5 points and 54,245 votes.
In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 289,180 votes and went to the Democrat by 24.9 points. The closest was Kauai, where 8,981 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Abercrombie | 128,567 (63.0%) | Dalton Tanonaka | 69,371 (34.0%) | 6,243 | D+29.0 |
| 2 | Ed Case | 133,317 (62.8%) | Mike Gabbard | 79,072 (37.2%) | D+25.5 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu | 177,490 61.4% | 105,457 36.5% | 6,233 | 289,180 | D+24.9 |
| Hawaii | 37,629 66.3% | 19,167 33.7% | 56,796 | D+32.5 | |
| Maui | 29,814 64.9% | 16,099 35.1% | 45,913 | D+29.9 | |
| Kauai | 16,625 68.5% | 7,644 31.5% | 24,269 | D+37.0 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Hawaii in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 2, R 0 | D+39.8 |
| 2022 | D 2, R 0 | D+36.9 |
| 2020 | D 2, R 0 | D+37.9 |
| 2018 | D 2, R 0 | D+52.5 |
| 2016 | D 2, R 0 | D+55.9 |
| 2014 | D 2, R 0 | D+31.2 |
| 2012 | D 2, R 0 | D+33.7 |
| 2010 | D 2, R 0 | D+27.0 |
| 2008 | D 2, R 0 | D+56.8 |
| 2006 | D 2, R 0 | D+30.1 |
| 2004 | D 2, R 0 | D+27.2 |
| 2002 | D 2, R 0 | D+32.1 |
| 2000 | D 2, R 0 | D+32.5 |
| 1998 | D 2, R 0 | D+35.6 |
| 1996 | D 2, R 0 | D+17.0 |
| 1994 | D 2, R 0 | D+28.1 |
| 1992 | D 2, R 0 | D+50.0 |
| 1990 | D 2, R 0 | D+28.8 |