United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Missouri

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Missouri in 2024, 58.5% to 40.1%, a margin of 18.4 points and 551,387 votes.

Missouri voted 16.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 111 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 502,738 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.4 points. The closest was Worth, where 714 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,751,986 58.5%
Kamala Harris Democratic 1,200,599 40.1%
All other candidates 42,742 1.4%
Total2,995,327

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 305,635 60.8% 187,982 37.4% 9,121 502,738 D+23.4
Jackson 187,026 58.8% 125,610 39.5% 5,381 318,017 D+19.3
St. Charles 92,226 40.8% 130,588 57.7% 3,352 226,166 R+17.0
Greene 55,971 38.9% 85,956 59.7% 2,110 144,037 R+20.8
Clay 60,345 46.4% 67,688 52.0% 2,127 130,160 R+5.6
Jefferson 36,965 31.0% 80,796 67.7% 1,553 119,314 R+36.7
St. Louis City 94,458 81.2% 19,342 16.6% 2,471 116,271 D+64.6
Boone 48,452 53.8% 39,673 44.0% 1,985 90,110 D+9.7
Cass 19,753 33.3% 38,792 65.4% 804 59,349 R+32.1
Platte 27,566 47.7% 29,381 50.8% 870 57,817 R+3.1
Franklin 14,694 26.5% 40,126 72.3% 644 55,464 R+45.9
Jasper 13,943 25.9% 39,084 72.6% 780 53,807 R+46.7
Christian 11,850 23.3% 38,379 75.6% 560 50,789 R+52.2
Cape Girardeau 10,561 26.2% 29,315 72.6% 477 40,353 R+46.5
Cole 12,874 32.1% 26,686 66.5% 592 40,152 R+34.4
Buchanan 12,598 35.2% 22,606 63.2% 539 35,743 R+28.0
Lincoln 6,908 21.5% 24,866 77.4% 359 32,133 R+55.9
Newton 5,867 20.2% 22,923 78.8% 307 29,097 R+58.6
St. Francois 6,811 23.8% 21,521 75.2% 283 28,615 R+51.4
Taney 5,329 19.9% 21,236 79.2% 259 26,824 R+59.3
Camden 5,724 22.4% 19,597 76.7% 227 25,548 R+54.3
Johnson 6,960 29.5% 16,298 69.1% 344 23,602 R+39.6
Callaway 5,926 27.6% 15,206 70.9% 323 21,455 R+43.3
Warren 4,970 24.7% 14,915 74.2% 210 20,095 R+49.5
Webster 3,653 18.4% 15,984 80.7% 177 19,814 R+62.2
Phelps 5,379 27.9% 13,658 70.8% 263 19,300 R+42.9
Stone 3,620 18.9% 15,357 80.3% 146 19,123 R+61.4
Howell 3,073 16.2% 15,733 82.9% 162 18,968 R+66.7
Pettis 4,703 24.9% 13,907 73.7% 272 18,882 R+48.7
Lawrence 3,248 17.6% 15,001 81.4% 178 18,427 R+63.8
Butler 3,160 17.7% 14,549 81.5% 151 17,860 R+63.8
Scott 3,525 20.2% 13,786 79.1% 110 17,421 R+58.9
Lafayette 4,294 24.9% 12,720 73.7% 234 17,248 R+48.9
Laclede 2,756 16.1% 14,155 82.9% 165 17,076 R+66.8
Barry 2,873 17.8% 13,138 81.3% 154 16,165 R+63.5
Polk 2,948 18.6% 12,691 80.2% 187 15,826 R+61.6
Pulaski 3,765 24.2% 11,579 74.5% 205 15,549 R+50.3
Stoddard 1,736 12.8% 11,783 86.6% 80 13,599 R+73.9
Marion 3,032 23.1% 9,991 76.0% 130 13,153 R+52.9
Miller 2,067 15.9% 10,826 83.2% 118 13,011 R+67.3
Ray 2,927 25.1% 8,602 73.8% 133 11,662 R+48.7
Texas 1,589 13.8% 9,855 85.5% 81 11,525 R+71.7
Clinton 2,855 25.4% 8,235 73.3% 140 11,230 R+47.9
Randolph 2,571 23.3% 8,322 75.5% 135 11,028 R+52.1
Henry 2,535 23.2% 8,286 75.8% 111 10,932 R+52.6
Crawford 2,007 18.5% 8,742 80.7% 80 10,829 R+62.2
Benton 2,166 20.1% 8,526 79.2% 77 10,769 R+59.1
Audrain 2,688 25.5% 7,699 73.2% 136 10,523 R+47.6
Adair 3,334 32.6% 6,771 66.1% 134 10,239 R+33.6
Washington 1,747 17.1% 8,424 82.3% 66 10,237 R+65.2
Dunklin 1,885 18.8% 8,096 80.5% 70 10,051 R+61.8
Andrew 2,312 23.5% 7,407 75.2% 128 9,847 R+51.7
Perry 1,757 17.9% 7,986 81.3% 81 9,824 R+63.4
Ste. Genevieve 2,629 26.9% 7,031 71.9% 116 9,776 R+45.0
Morgan 1,914 19.7% 7,725 79.4% 96 9,735 R+59.7
Nodaway 2,674 27.6% 6,909 71.3% 106 9,689 R+43.7
McDonald 1,423 15.2% 7,843 84.0% 72 9,338 R+68.8
Saline 2,726 29.2% 6,498 69.6% 106 9,330 R+40.4
Wright 1,057 11.8% 7,850 87.4% 73 8,980 R+75.6
Vernon 1,774 19.8% 7,112 79.3% 87 8,973 R+59.5
Cooper 2,347 26.6% 6,393 72.4% 95 8,835 R+45.8
Dallas 1,458 17.3% 6,907 81.8% 76 8,441 R+64.6
Bates 1,563 18.7% 6,702 80.3% 79 8,344 R+61.6
Gasconade 1,555 19.4% 6,370 79.7% 72 7,997 R+60.2
Macon 1,481 18.9% 6,300 80.4% 58 7,839 R+61.5
Pike 1,618 20.7% 6,151 78.6% 55 7,824 R+57.9
Osage 1,009 13.1% 6,657 86.2% 61 7,727 R+73.1
Douglas 996 13.7% 6,242 85.6% 51 7,289 R+72.0
Moniteau 1,313 18.0% 5,877 80.8% 85 7,275 R+62.7
Cedar 1,060 14.7% 6,064 84.4% 64 7,188 R+69.6
Dent 1,025 14.4% 6,013 84.7% 65 7,103 R+70.2
Livingston 1,422 20.7% 5,395 78.5% 56 6,873 R+57.8
New Madrid 1,561 22.9% 5,203 76.4% 47 6,811 R+53.5
Bollinger 756 12.3% 5,365 87.1% 40 6,161 R+74.8
Barton 820 13.6% 5,159 85.8% 36 6,015 R+72.1
Montgomery 1,170 19.5% 4,776 79.6% 52 5,998 R+60.1
Wayne 783 13.4% 5,030 86.0% 34 5,847 R+72.6
Ripley 763 13.1% 5,002 86.2% 39 5,804 R+73.0
Ralls 1,154 20.0% 4,575 79.2% 48 5,777 R+59.2
Madison 986 17.1% 4,721 82.1% 46 5,753 R+64.9
Linn 1,183 20.8% 4,437 78.0% 67 5,687 R+57.2
Pemiscot 1,331 25.3% 3,917 74.3% 22 5,270 R+49.1
Hickory 978 19.1% 4,108 80.2% 34 5,120 R+61.1
St. Clair 959 19.2% 3,982 79.8% 49 4,990 R+60.6
Howard 1,341 27.1% 3,534 71.3% 81 4,956 R+44.2
DeKalb 870 18.1% 3,885 80.7% 59 4,814 R+62.6
Maries 755 15.8% 3,987 83.3% 44 4,786 R+67.5
Ozark 698 14.6% 4,044 84.6% 38 4,780 R+70.0
Caldwell 888 18.9% 3,771 80.2% 44 4,703 R+61.3
Oregon 696 15.1% 3,884 84.2% 33 4,613 R+69.1
Carroll 789 17.4% 3,708 81.9% 31 4,528 R+64.5
Iron 824 18.2% 3,644 80.7% 50 4,518 R+62.4
Lewis 872 19.4% 3,565 79.5% 49 4,486 R+60.0
Mississippi 1,015 22.8% 3,404 76.5% 30 4,449 R+53.7
Grundy 784 17.8% 3,582 81.3% 38 4,404 R+63.5
Monroe 857 19.6% 3,476 79.4% 45 4,378 R+59.8
Dade 671 16.0% 3,480 83.1% 35 4,186 R+67.1
Chariton 875 21.4% 3,179 77.7% 35 4,089 R+56.3
Shannon 625 15.6% 3,364 83.7% 29 4,018 R+68.2
Daviess 701 17.9% 3,185 81.1% 39 3,925 R+63.3
Harrison 534 13.9% 3,293 85.6% 18 3,845 R+71.8
Clark 628 18.8% 2,679 80.4% 26 3,333 R+61.5
Gentry 616 18.7% 2,651 80.5% 25 3,292 R+61.8
Shelby 550 16.9% 2,691 82.5% 21 3,262 R+65.6
Reynolds 472 15.4% 2,560 83.7% 27 3,059 R+68.3
Carter 364 12.7% 2,488 86.9% 10 2,862 R+74.2
Atchison 529 19.5% 2,152 79.3% 32 2,713 R+59.8
Sullivan 408 16.6% 2,035 82.6% 20 2,463 R+66.1
Putnam 347 14.6% 2,021 84.9% 12 2,380 R+70.3
Holt 357 15.2% 1,982 84.3% 13 2,352 R+69.1
Schuyler 334 17.2% 1,588 81.6% 23 1,945 R+64.5
Scotland 358 18.7% 1,537 80.1% 23 1,918 R+61.5
Knox 311 17.2% 1,479 81.7% 20 1,810 R+64.5
Mercer 235 13.1% 1,545 86.2% 12 1,792 R+73.1
Worth 190 17.2% 904 81.8% 11 1,105 R+64.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9