United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2024 president · North Carolina
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in North Carolina

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in North Carolina in 2024, 50.9% to 47.6%, a margin of 3.2 points and 183,048 votes.

North Carolina voted 1.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 78 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 22. The largest, Wake, cast 653,722 votes and went to the Democrat by 25.4 points. The closest was Wilson, where 163 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,898,423 50.9%
Kamala Harris Democratic 2,715,375 47.6%
All other candidates 85,343 1.5%
Total5,699,141

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 403,115 61.7% 236,761 36.2% 13,846 653,722 D+25.4
Mecklenburg 376,591 65.2% 187,798 32.5% 13,264 577,653 D+32.7
Guilford 171,174 60.0% 109,089 38.3% 4,852 285,115 D+21.8
Forsyth 113,258 55.7% 86,824 42.7% 3,253 203,335 D+13.0
Durham 144,497 79.9% 32,856 18.2% 3,597 180,950 D+61.7
Buncombe 98,694 61.5% 59,023 36.8% 2,828 160,545 D+24.7
Cumberland 78,657 56.0% 59,847 42.6% 2,040 140,544 D+13.4
Union 51,185 36.7% 86,281 61.9% 1,919 139,385 R+25.2
New Hanover 68,836 49.6% 67,957 49.0% 1,971 138,764 D+0.6
Johnston 48,132 38.6% 74,886 60.1% 1,687 124,705 R+21.5
Cabarrus 54,512 45.3% 63,753 53.0% 1,963 120,228 R+7.7
Gaston 44,076 37.0% 73,836 61.9% 1,370 119,282 R+24.9
Iredell 36,751 33.1% 72,809 65.7% 1,339 110,899 R+32.5
Brunswick 40,570 37.1% 67,666 61.9% 1,166 109,402 R+24.8
Davidson 24,158 25.8% 67,967 72.7% 1,347 93,472 R+46.9
Alamance 40,637 45.2% 47,942 53.4% 1,272 89,851 R+8.1
Orange 65,465 74.5% 20,808 23.7% 1,553 87,826 D+50.8
Pitt 45,611 52.3% 40,408 46.4% 1,131 87,150 D+6.0
Catawba 26,578 30.5% 59,584 68.4% 966 87,128 R+37.9
Onslow 25,692 31.4% 54,966 67.3% 1,041 81,699 R+35.8
Randolph 15,956 21.0% 59,364 78.1% 705 76,025 R+57.1
Rowan 23,796 31.6% 50,813 67.4% 801 75,410 R+35.8
Henderson 29,371 42.0% 39,501 56.4% 1,117 69,989 R+14.5
Harnett 23,480 36.8% 39,444 61.9% 847 63,771 R+25.0
Moore 21,456 34.7% 39,637 64.1% 739 61,832 R+29.4
Craven 21,754 39.1% 33,224 59.7% 679 55,657 R+20.6
Lincoln 14,847 26.7% 40,187 72.3% 560 55,594 R+45.6
Wayne 22,625 41.3% 31,584 57.7% 565 54,774 R+16.4
Nash 25,516 48.6% 26,434 50.4% 532 52,482 R+1.7
Chatham 29,023 55.5% 22,510 43.0% 779 52,312 D+12.5
Cleveland 16,608 32.1% 34,658 67.0% 451 51,717 R+34.9
Rockingham 15,681 31.6% 33,451 67.4% 474 49,606 R+35.8
Robeson 16,733 35.8% 29,650 63.4% 397 46,780 R+27.6
Burke 13,276 29.0% 32,134 70.1% 447 45,857 R+41.1
Carteret 12,817 28.0% 32,512 70.9% 498 45,827 R+43.0
Caldwell 10,149 23.3% 33,013 75.8% 387 43,549 R+52.5
Franklin 18,173 42.6% 23,941 56.1% 562 42,676 R+13.5
Wilson 19,915 49.7% 19,752 49.3% 387 40,054 D+0.4
Pender 12,464 32.0% 26,045 66.9% 408 38,917 R+34.9
Haywood 13,918 36.8% 23,396 61.8% 545 37,859 R+25.0
Surry 8,616 23.0% 28,568 76.1% 332 37,516 R+53.2
Stanly 8,884 24.2% 27,521 74.9% 317 36,722 R+50.8
Wilkes 7,196 19.8% 28,815 79.3% 317 36,328 R+59.5
Rutherford 8,917 25.7% 25,459 73.4% 302 34,678 R+47.7
Watauga 17,231 52.1% 15,256 46.1% 615 33,102 D+6.0
Granville 14,373 44.8% 17,387 54.1% 356 32,116 R+9.4
Lee 12,249 40.7% 17,491 58.1% 348 30,088 R+17.4
Sampson 9,800 34.7% 18,180 64.5% 227 28,207 R+29.7
Lenoir 12,704 46.2% 14,566 52.9% 239 27,509 R+6.8
Stokes 5,382 19.8% 21,550 79.3% 249 27,181 R+59.5
Columbus 8,951 33.0% 17,998 66.4% 167 27,116 R+33.4
Davie 6,990 26.0% 19,400 72.2% 466 26,856 R+46.2
Beaufort 9,052 34.1% 17,298 65.1% 228 26,578 R+31.0
Dare 10,077 40.0% 14,794 58.7% 330 25,201 R+18.7
Edgecombe 14,907 61.0% 9,357 38.3% 192 24,456 D+22.7
Halifax 14,019 58.5% 9,779 40.8% 172 23,970 D+17.7
McDowell 5,913 25.0% 17,522 74.1% 225 23,660 R+49.1
Duplin 8,060 35.2% 14,681 64.1% 164 22,905 R+28.9
Hoke 11,900 52.3% 10,548 46.3% 324 22,772 D+5.9
Person 8,298 37.6% 13,511 61.3% 232 22,041 R+23.7
Jackson 9,749 44.4% 11,797 53.8% 401 21,947 R+9.3
Macon 6,677 30.4% 14,983 68.3% 279 21,939 R+37.9
Transylvania 8,975 43.2% 11,493 55.3% 317 20,785 R+12.1
Alexander 4,061 19.6% 16,406 79.3% 214 20,681 R+59.7
Yadkin 3,740 18.3% 16,441 80.6% 220 20,401 R+62.3
Pasquotank 9,552 46.9% 10,538 51.8% 257 20,347 R+4.8
Vance 11,296 56.2% 8,615 42.9% 185 20,096 D+13.3
Richmond 7,790 39.2% 11,932 60.0% 155 19,877 R+20.8
Currituck 4,605 25.5% 13,236 73.3% 216 18,057 R+47.8
Cherokee 3,687 20.7% 13,885 77.9% 256 17,828 R+57.2
Bladen 6,622 39.5% 10,036 59.9% 110 16,768 R+20.4
Ashe 4,432 27.3% 11,630 71.5% 195 16,257 R+44.3
Scotland 6,756 46.2% 7,768 53.1% 105 14,629 R+6.9
Madison 5,092 37.4% 8,276 60.7% 256 13,624 R+23.4
Montgomery 4,046 30.7% 9,027 68.5% 109 13,182 R+37.8
Polk 4,829 36.9% 8,108 62.0% 134 13,071 R+25.1
Caswell 4,494 37.3% 7,446 61.8% 103 12,043 R+24.5
Martin 5,362 44.5% 6,602 54.8% 79 12,043 R+10.3
Yancey 3,636 32.2% 7,512 66.6% 139 11,287 R+34.3
Anson 5,255 48.3% 5,526 50.8% 96 10,877 R+2.5
Warren 5,874 58.7% 3,976 39.7% 165 10,015 D+19.0
Hertford 6,173 62.9% 3,556 36.2% 91 9,820 D+26.6
Avery 2,221 23.4% 7,182 75.7% 88 9,491 R+52.3
Northampton 5,241 56.9% 3,905 42.4% 71 9,217 D+14.5
Bertie 5,281 57.5% 3,840 41.8% 67 9,188 D+15.7
Mitchell 1,919 21.7% 6,845 77.4% 84 8,848 R+55.7
Greene 3,438 40.7% 4,966 58.8% 48 8,452 R+18.1
Pamlico 2,677 33.6% 5,230 65.6% 71 7,978 R+32.0
Clay 1,900 24.6% 5,762 74.5% 68 7,730 R+50.0
Perquimans 2,270 29.6% 5,279 68.8% 119 7,668 R+39.2
Chowan 2,896 38.3% 4,588 60.7% 70 7,554 R+22.4
Swain 2,644 37.5% 4,311 61.1% 99 7,054 R+23.6
Alleghany 1,533 23.6% 4,901 75.4% 63 6,497 R+51.8
Camden 1,522 24.1% 4,717 74.8% 66 6,305 R+50.7
Washington 3,139 52.8% 2,768 46.6% 38 5,945 D+6.2
Gates 2,269 38.7% 3,538 60.3% 62 5,869 R+21.6
Jones 2,008 36.7% 3,409 62.4% 47 5,464 R+25.6
Graham 839 17.6% 3,883 81.2% 58 4,780 R+63.7
Hyde 931 38.4% 1,465 60.5% 26 2,422 R+22.0
Tyrrell 680 38.7% 1,057 60.2% 20 1,757 R+21.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+3.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+1.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.7
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+2.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+0.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+12.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+12.8
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+0.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+11.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+40.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+4.2
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+1.3
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+7.8
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+25.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+46.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+19.2
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+13.5
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+16.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+47.3
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+20.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.6
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+3.6
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+7.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.8