United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 North Carolina governor election

Josh Stein (Democrat) beat Mark Robinson (Republican) in North Carolina in 2024, 54.9% to 40.1%, a margin of 14.8 points and 827,469 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Roy Cooper won.

Republicans led in 63 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 37. The largest, Wake, cast 642,792 votes and went to the Democrat by 45.3 points. The closest was Pasquotank, where 4 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Josh Stein won Democratic 3,068,605 54.9%
Mark Robinson Republican 2,241,136 40.1%
All other candidates 280,630 5.0%
Total5,590,371

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 448,870 69.8% 157,912 24.6% 36,010 642,792 D+45.3
Mecklenburg 408,896 71.8% 131,367 23.1% 29,176 569,439 D+48.7
Guilford 187,564 67.1% 78,462 28.1% 13,409 279,435 D+39.0
Forsyth 126,581 63.7% 62,013 31.2% 10,126 198,720 D+32.5
Durham 150,556 84.0% 22,540 12.6% 6,071 179,167 D+71.5
Buncombe 106,611 67.6% 44,373 28.1% 6,671 157,655 D+39.5
Cumberland 83,637 60.6% 47,014 34.1% 7,259 137,910 D+26.6
Union 59,608 43.7% 69,031 50.6% 7,689 136,328 R+6.9
New Hanover 80,834 59.6% 46,537 34.3% 8,145 135,516 D+25.3
Johnston 57,605 47.2% 57,757 47.3% 6,789 122,151 R+0.1
Cabarrus 61,562 52.3% 49,500 42.0% 6,674 117,736 D+10.2
Gaston 51,428 44.1% 58,194 50.0% 6,865 116,487 R+5.8
Iredell 44,662 41.2% 57,376 52.9% 6,321 108,359 R+11.7
Brunswick 51,335 48.1% 48,250 45.2% 7,100 106,685 D+2.9
Davidson 32,421 35.2% 54,241 58.9% 5,389 92,051 R+23.7
Alamance 47,118 53.3% 36,979 41.9% 4,248 88,345 D+11.5
Orange 69,068 79.9% 14,524 16.8% 2,874 86,466 D+63.1
Catawba 32,574 38.0% 48,704 56.9% 4,345 85,623 R+18.8
Pitt 50,854 59.4% 31,268 36.5% 3,467 85,589 D+22.9
Onslow 30,722 38.8% 42,689 53.9% 5,786 79,197 R+15.1
Randolph 21,907 29.5% 48,450 65.3% 3,894 74,251 R+35.7
Rowan 28,431 38.6% 40,845 55.5% 4,312 73,588 R+16.9
Henderson 34,261 49.6% 31,303 45.4% 3,445 69,009 D+4.3
Harnett 27,621 44.1% 31,552 50.3% 3,505 62,678 R+6.3
Moore 26,213 43.6% 30,315 50.4% 3,608 60,136 R+6.8
Lincoln 19,084 35.0% 32,188 59.1% 3,225 54,497 R+24.0
Craven 25,449 46.7% 26,104 47.9% 2,941 54,494 R+1.2
Wayne 25,194 47.0% 26,254 49.0% 2,160 53,608 R+2.0
Nash 28,454 55.3% 21,317 41.4% 1,720 51,491 D+13.9
Chatham 32,244 62.8% 16,888 32.9% 2,204 51,336 D+29.9
Cleveland 19,733 39.1% 28,350 56.1% 2,446 50,529 R+17.1
Rockingham 19,133 39.4% 27,050 55.7% 2,415 48,598 R+16.3
Robeson 18,752 41.4% 24,804 54.8% 1,707 45,263 R+13.4
Burke 16,274 36.1% 26,602 59.1% 2,153 45,029 R+22.9
Carteret 16,808 37.6% 25,069 56.1% 2,811 44,688 R+18.5
Caldwell 12,932 30.3% 27,563 64.5% 2,241 42,736 R+34.2
Franklin 21,001 49.9% 18,958 45.1% 2,118 42,077 D+4.9
Wilson 22,157 56.4% 15,792 40.2% 1,357 39,306 D+16.2
Pender 15,485 40.8% 20,077 52.9% 2,415 37,977 R+12.1
Haywood 17,204 46.2% 18,155 48.7% 1,910 37,269 R+2.6
Surry 12,301 33.5% 22,620 61.5% 1,835 36,756 R+28.1
Stanly 11,231 31.2% 22,765 63.3% 1,973 35,969 R+32.1
Wilkes 9,909 28.0% 23,853 67.3% 1,682 35,444 R+39.3
Rutherford 11,175 33.0% 21,017 62.1% 1,625 33,817 R+29.1
Watauga 19,021 58.7% 11,697 36.1% 1,667 32,385 D+22.6
Granville 16,299 51.6% 13,887 43.9% 1,415 31,601 D+7.6
Lee 14,455 49.1% 13,363 45.4% 1,614 29,432 D+3.7
Sampson 11,211 40.7% 15,341 55.7% 995 27,547 R+15.0
Lenoir 13,889 51.6% 12,080 44.9% 964 26,933 D+6.7
Stokes 7,746 29.1% 17,413 65.3% 1,487 26,646 R+36.3
Columbus 10,242 38.6% 15,306 57.7% 965 26,513 R+19.1
Davie 9,373 35.5% 15,393 58.4% 1,607 26,373 R+22.8
Beaufort 10,871 41.7% 14,044 53.9% 1,136 26,051 R+12.2
Dare 11,031 44.5% 12,717 51.3% 1,029 24,777 R+6.8
Edgecombe 15,717 65.3% 7,676 31.9% 685 24,078 D+33.4
Halifax 14,952 63.1% 8,155 34.4% 580 23,687 D+28.7
McDowell 7,513 32.3% 14,724 63.3% 1,006 23,243 R+31.0
Duplin 8,905 39.8% 12,636 56.4% 859 22,400 R+16.7
Hoke 12,710 57.0% 8,335 37.4% 1,250 22,295 D+19.6
Jackson 11,309 52.4% 9,141 42.3% 1,149 21,599 D+10.0
Macon 8,286 38.7% 12,026 56.2% 1,080 21,392 R+17.5
Person 9,639 45.2% 10,852 50.8% 853 21,344 R+5.7
Transylvania 10,483 51.3% 9,024 44.2% 925 20,432 D+7.1
Alexander 5,435 26.7% 13,930 68.5% 982 20,347 R+41.8
Pasquotank 9,724 48.4% 9,720 48.4% 628 20,072 level
Yadkin 5,619 28.1% 13,287 66.5% 1,065 19,971 R+38.4
Vance 12,041 61.1% 7,103 36.0% 574 19,718 D+25.0
Richmond 8,594 44.3% 10,083 52.0% 719 19,396 R+7.7
Currituck 4,836 27.3% 12,153 68.5% 756 17,745 R+41.2
Cherokee 4,089 23.2% 12,884 73.3% 615 17,588 R+50.0
Bladen 7,460 45.2% 8,446 51.2% 601 16,507 R+6.0
Ashe 5,646 35.8% 9,359 59.3% 774 15,779 R+23.5
Scotland 7,123 49.8% 6,730 47.1% 439 14,292 D+2.7
Madison 6,207 46.4% 6,533 48.8% 644 13,384 R+2.4
Montgomery 4,954 38.3% 7,405 57.3% 562 12,921 R+19.0
Polk 5,509 42.9% 6,736 52.4% 608 12,853 R+9.5
Caswell 5,100 43.1% 6,279 53.1% 446 11,825 R+10.0
Martin 6,023 51.0% 5,441 46.1% 344 11,808 D+4.9
Yancey 4,483 40.3% 6,210 55.9% 422 11,115 R+15.5
Anson 5,708 53.1% 4,681 43.5% 370 10,759 D+9.5
Warren 6,412 64.5% 3,223 32.4% 303 9,938 D+32.1
Hertford 6,140 63.9% 3,230 33.6% 236 9,606 D+30.3
Avery 2,715 29.4% 6,123 66.4% 389 9,227 R+36.9
Northampton 5,549 61.1% 3,277 36.1% 255 9,081 D+25.0
Bertie 5,436 60.2% 3,382 37.5% 211 9,029 D+22.7
Mitchell 2,349 27.3% 5,962 69.2% 302 8,613 R+41.9
Greene 3,839 46.2% 4,229 50.9% 242 8,310 R+4.7
Pamlico 3,193 40.6% 4,309 54.8% 359 7,861 R+14.2
Perquimans 2,436 32.1% 4,967 65.4% 197 7,600 R+33.3
Clay 2,070 27.2% 5,281 69.5% 246 7,597 R+42.3
Chowan 3,144 42.2% 4,086 54.9% 213 7,443 R+12.7
Swain 3,053 44.7% 3,442 50.4% 337 6,832 R+5.7
Alleghany 2,193 34.7% 3,830 60.5% 304 6,327 R+25.9
Camden 1,597 25.8% 4,365 70.6% 219 6,181 R+44.8
Washington 3,312 56.6% 2,378 40.6% 163 5,853 D+16.0
Gates 2,334 40.5% 3,252 56.5% 170 5,756 R+15.9
Jones 2,217 41.2% 2,928 54.4% 235 5,380 R+13.2
Graham 1,143 24.6% 3,321 71.4% 189 4,653 R+46.8
Hyde 1,050 44.1% 1,247 52.4% 82 2,379 R+8.3
Tyrrell 761 44.8% 892 52.5% 47 1,700 R+7.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Josh Stein (D) D+14.8
2020 Roy Cooper (D) D+4.5
2016 Roy Cooper (D) D+0.2
2012 Pat McCrory (R) R+11.4
2008 Bev Perdue (D) D+3.4
2004 Mike Easley (D) D+12.7
2000 Mike Easley (D) D+5.8
1996 Jim Hunt (D) D+13.2
1992 Jim Hunt (D) D+9.5
1988 James G. Martin (R) R+12.1
1984 James G. Martin (R) R+8.8
1980 Jim Hunt (D) D+24.5
1976 Jim Hunt (D) D+31.1
1972 James Holshouser (R) R+2.5
1968 Robert W. Scott (D) D+5.4
1964 Dan K. Moore (D) D+13.2
1960 Terry Sanford (D) D+9.0
1956 Luther H. Hodges (D) D+33.9
1952 William B. Umstead (D) D+35.0
1948 W. Kerr Scott (D) D+47.0
1944 R. Gregg Cherry (D) D+39.2
1940 J. Melville Broughton (D) D+51.4
1936 Clyde R. Hoey (D) D+33.8
1932 J. C.B. Ehringhaus (D) D+40.1
1928 O. Max Gardner (D) D+11.1
1924 Angus Wilton McLean (D) D+22.7
1920 Cameron Morrison (D) D+14.5
1916 Thomas W. Bickett (D) D+16.6
1912 Locke Craig (D) D+43.5
1908 William W. Kitchin (D) D+14.7
1904 Robert B. Glenn (D) D+23.6
1900 Charles B. Aycock (D) D+19.3
1896 Daniel L. Russell (R) R+2.6
1892 Elias Carr (D) D+14.5
1888 Daniel G. Fowle (D) D+5.0
1884 Alfred M. Scales (D) D+7.7
1880 Thomas J. Jarvis (D) D+2.6
1876 Zebulon B. Vance (D) D+5.7
1872 Tod R. Caldwell (R) R+1.0
1868 William W. Holden (R) R+55.5
1866 Jonathan Worth (other)
1865 Jonathan Worth (other)