United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2024 president · Iowa
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Iowa

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Iowa in 2024, 55.7% to 42.5%, a margin of 13.2 points and 219,741 votes.

Iowa voted 11.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 94 of the 99 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Polk, cast 256,838 votes and went to the Democrat by 10.8 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 565 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 927,019 55.7%
Kamala Harris Democratic 707,278 42.5%
All other candidates 29,209 1.8%
Total1,663,506

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Polk 140,075 54.5% 112,240 43.7% 4,523 256,838 D+10.8
Linn 66,358 54.0% 54,237 44.1% 2,364 122,959 D+9.9
Scott 42,479 47.1% 45,976 51.0% 1,678 90,133 R+3.9
Johnson 58,846 67.9% 26,087 30.1% 1,711 86,644 D+37.8
Dallas 29,402 46.7% 32,374 51.4% 1,185 62,961 R+4.7
Black Hawk 31,299 49.8% 30,572 48.6% 1,035 62,906 D+1.2
Dubuque 23,705 44.9% 28,224 53.5% 841 52,770 R+8.6
Story 26,765 54.0% 21,665 43.7% 1,096 49,526 D+10.3
Pottawattamie 17,468 39.2% 26,335 59.1% 756 44,559 R+19.9
Woodbury 16,145 37.6% 25,969 60.5% 807 42,921 R+22.9
Warren 12,712 38.8% 19,486 59.4% 606 32,804 R+20.6
Clinton 9,472 39.7% 13,964 58.5% 442 23,878 R+18.8
Cerro Gordo 9,955 43.2% 12,627 54.9% 438 23,020 R+11.6
Jasper 7,141 35.4% 12,701 62.9% 356 20,198 R+27.5
Muscatine 8,212 41.6% 11,152 56.5% 388 19,752 R+14.9
Marion 5,928 30.3% 13,289 67.9% 349 19,566 R+37.6
Des Moines 7,935 41.6% 10,794 56.6% 325 19,054 R+15.0
Sioux 2,626 13.8% 16,053 84.5% 322 19,001 R+70.7
Marshall 7,134 41.3% 9,815 56.8% 321 17,270 R+15.5
Webster 5,641 33.7% 10,850 64.8% 257 16,748 R+31.1
Lee 5,659 34.9% 10,152 62.7% 387 16,198 R+27.7
Boone 5,895 38.3% 9,199 59.7% 309 15,403 R+21.5
Bremer 5,571 38.1% 8,799 60.2% 237 14,607 R+22.1
Wapello 4,896 33.6% 9,479 65.0% 208 14,583 R+31.4
Benton 4,739 32.7% 9,549 65.8% 221 14,509 R+33.2
Plymouth 3,104 22.2% 10,661 76.3% 206 13,971 R+54.1
Winneshiek 5,321 44.4% 6,427 53.7% 231 11,979 R+9.2
Washington 4,297 37.1% 7,119 61.4% 172 11,588 R+24.4
Dickinson 3,297 29.3% 7,775 69.2% 162 11,234 R+39.9
Carroll 3,153 28.3% 7,814 70.1% 173 11,140 R+41.8
Jones 3,942 35.9% 6,820 62.1% 218 10,980 R+26.2
Mahaska 2,577 23.5% 8,207 75.0% 162 10,946 R+51.4
Jackson 3,567 33.0% 7,074 65.5% 160 10,801 R+32.5
Buchanan 3,766 35.0% 6,790 63.2% 194 10,750 R+28.1
Cedar 4,075 38.3% 6,390 60.0% 179 10,644 R+21.7
Delaware 2,978 29.4% 6,984 68.9% 176 10,138 R+39.5
Madison 3,008 30.0% 6,864 68.4% 156 10,028 R+38.5
Poweshiek 4,067 40.6% 5,758 57.5% 188 10,013 R+16.9
Fayette 3,334 33.9% 6,325 64.2% 189 9,848 R+30.4
Iowa 3,400 35.3% 6,068 63.0% 171 9,639 R+27.7
Henry 2,995 31.2% 6,439 67.1% 166 9,600 R+35.9
Clayton 3,017 32.1% 6,255 66.5% 128 9,400 R+34.4
Tama 3,070 35.6% 5,379 62.4% 167 8,616 R+26.8
Clay 2,367 27.7% 6,047 70.8% 127 8,541 R+43.1
Hardin 2,553 30.2% 5,790 68.4% 117 8,460 R+38.3
Kossuth 2,284 27.2% 5,983 71.3% 130 8,397 R+44.1
Jefferson 3,788 45.4% 4,353 52.2% 205 8,346 R+6.8
Mills 2,456 29.8% 5,671 68.7% 126 8,253 R+39.0
Butler 2,144 26.6% 5,784 71.9% 118 8,046 R+45.2
Harrison 2,245 28.2% 5,566 69.9% 148 7,959 R+41.7
Floyd 2,782 36.4% 4,744 62.0% 124 7,650 R+25.6
Hamilton 2,482 32.7% 5,004 65.9% 111 7,597 R+33.2
Buena Vista 2,462 32.7% 4,962 65.8% 113 7,537 R+33.2
O'Brien 1,428 19.0% 5,998 79.7% 99 7,525 R+60.7
Page 2,060 28.1% 5,153 70.4% 109 7,322 R+42.2
Allamakee 2,350 32.1% 4,857 66.4% 111 7,318 R+34.3
Cass 2,077 28.8% 5,007 69.4% 133 7,217 R+40.6
Grundy 2,019 28.3% 4,998 69.9% 129 7,146 R+41.7
Lyon 1,023 14.6% 5,899 84.2% 80 7,002 R+69.6
Crawford 1,812 27.7% 4,651 71.1% 82 6,545 R+43.4
Guthrie 1,974 30.2% 4,446 68.0% 123 6,543 R+37.8
Shelby 1,811 27.8% 4,600 70.7% 94 6,505 R+42.9
Appanoose 1,686 26.0% 4,704 72.5% 94 6,484 R+46.5
Chickasaw 1,919 30.8% 4,234 67.9% 86 6,239 R+37.1
Cherokee 1,611 26.4% 4,398 72.0% 96 6,105 R+45.7
Union 1,874 31.2% 4,044 67.3% 95 6,013 R+36.1
Hancock 1,523 25.6% 4,336 73.0% 80 5,939 R+47.4
Mitchell 1,943 33.7% 3,736 64.7% 92 5,771 R+31.1
Wright 1,770 30.9% 3,853 67.3% 100 5,723 R+36.4
Winnebago 1,909 33.8% 3,636 64.4% 97 5,642 R+30.6
Sac 1,289 23.6% 4,100 75.1% 71 5,460 R+51.5
Keokuk 1,219 23.7% 3,869 75.1% 62 5,150 R+51.5
Louisa 1,480 28.8% 3,584 69.7% 78 5,142 R+40.9
Calhoun 1,328 26.1% 3,708 72.7% 61 5,097 R+46.7
Humboldt 1,236 24.3% 3,770 74.2% 77 5,083 R+49.9
Montgomery 1,508 29.7% 3,486 68.7% 80 5,074 R+39.0
Palo Alto 1,338 26.9% 3,576 71.8% 68 4,982 R+44.9
Franklin 1,393 28.4% 3,431 70.0% 76 4,900 R+41.6
Greene 1,603 32.8% 3,211 65.8% 67 4,881 R+32.9
Howard 1,619 33.4% 3,157 65.1% 74 4,850 R+31.7
Emmet 1,315 27.4% 3,422 71.3% 61 4,798 R+43.9
Lucas 1,169 25.2% 3,400 73.2% 77 4,646 R+48.0
Monona 1,236 26.7% 3,331 71.8% 70 4,637 R+45.2
Clarke 1,265 28.2% 3,140 70.1% 74 4,479 R+41.9
Worth 1,508 35.2% 2,715 63.3% 64 4,287 R+28.2
Monroe 1,002 24.1% 3,104 74.7% 52 4,158 R+50.6
Adair 1,086 26.6% 2,916 71.5% 78 4,080 R+44.9
Davis 878 22.2% 3,027 76.6% 49 3,954 R+54.4
Fremont 1,023 27.0% 2,711 71.4% 61 3,795 R+44.5
Decatur 957 25.6% 2,711 72.5% 71 3,739 R+46.9
Ida 826 22.6% 2,771 75.8% 58 3,655 R+53.2
Van Buren 778 21.5% 2,785 76.8% 62 3,625 R+55.4
Pocahontas 796 22.2% 2,727 76.1% 59 3,582 R+53.9
Audubon 970 29.9% 2,214 68.1% 65 3,249 R+38.3
Osceola 555 17.2% 2,623 81.2% 51 3,229 R+64.0
Wayne 643 20.6% 2,426 77.7% 55 3,124 R+57.1
Taylor 666 21.6% 2,381 77.3% 34 3,081 R+55.7
Ringgold 638 23.8% 2,015 75.0% 33 2,686 R+51.3
Adams 576 27.0% 1,517 71.1% 42 2,135 R+44.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.0
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+10.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+18.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+28.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.5
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+24.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+38.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+45.4
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+12.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.3
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+15.0
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+32.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+18.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+12.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+5.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+7.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+5.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+24.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+20.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.8