United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in California

Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in California in 2024, 58.5% to 38.3%, a margin of 20.1 points and 3,194,482 votes.

California voted 21.6 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.

Republicans led in 33 of the 58 counties and Democrats in 25. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 3,731,911 votes and went to the Democrat by 32.9 points. The closest was Alpine, where 236 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kamala Harris won Democratic 9,276,179 58.5%
Donald Trump Republican 6,081,697 38.3%
All other candidates 507,599 3.2%
Total15,865,475

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Los Angeles 2,418,286 64.8% 1,191,182 31.9% 122,443 3,731,911 D+32.9
San Diego 841,652 56.9% 593,847 40.2% 43,417 1,478,916 D+16.8
Orange 692,082 49.7% 655,570 47.1% 44,591 1,392,243 D+2.6
Riverside 451,772 48.0% 463,718 49.3% 25,028 940,518 R+1.3
San Bernardino 361,520 47.6% 377,444 49.7% 21,197 760,161 R+2.1
Santa Clara 510,925 68.0% 211,078 28.1% 28,980 750,983 D+39.9
Alameda 499,741 74.6% 140,882 21.0% 29,710 670,333 D+53.5
Sacramento 381,741 58.1% 252,427 38.4% 23,061 657,229 D+19.7
Contra Costa 355,719 67.3% 155,005 29.3% 17,706 528,430 D+38.0
San Francisco 323,942 80.3% 62,695 15.5% 16,825 403,462 D+64.8
Ventura 216,939 56.1% 158,428 41.0% 11,298 386,665 D+15.1
San Mateo 243,011 73.5% 76,641 23.2% 11,046 330,698 D+50.3
Fresno 151,549 46.5% 165,830 50.9% 8,468 325,847 R+4.4
Kern 108,126 38.2% 167,689 59.3% 7,124 282,939 R+21.1
San Joaquin 126,675 48.0% 129,058 48.9% 8,056 263,789 R+0.9
Sonoma 179,307 71.4% 63,323 25.2% 8,462 251,092 D+46.2
Placer 103,971 44.3% 123,904 52.8% 6,924 234,799 R+8.5
Stanislaus 85,368 43.2% 107,025 54.2% 5,149 197,542 R+11.0
Solano 113,998 60.1% 70,302 37.0% 5,530 189,830 D+23.0
Santa Barbara 114,085 61.8% 64,839 35.1% 5,730 184,654 D+26.7
San Luis Obispo 81,349 53.9% 64,986 43.1% 4,546 150,881 D+10.8
Monterey 93,128 63.4% 49,307 33.6% 4,470 146,905 D+29.8
Marin 116,168 80.6% 24,058 16.7% 3,963 144,189 D+63.9
Tulare 53,260 38.5% 81,989 59.2% 3,198 138,447 R+20.8
Santa Cruz 100,951 75.3% 27,970 20.9% 5,198 134,119 D+54.4
El Dorado 47,710 42.6% 61,120 54.6% 3,079 111,909 R+12.0
Butte 44,198 46.8% 47,114 49.9% 3,122 94,434 R+3.1
Yolo 61,450 66.3% 27,890 30.1% 3,367 92,707 D+36.2
Shasta 27,150 30.5% 59,629 67.0% 2,226 89,005 R+36.5
Merced 39,798 46.8% 43,074 50.6% 2,230 85,102 R+3.8
Napa 43,123 66.0% 20,266 31.0% 1,991 65,380 D+35.0
Humboldt 39,793 62.0% 21,555 33.6% 2,881 64,229 D+28.4
Nevada 33,794 54.4% 26,178 42.1% 2,180 62,152 D+12.3
Madera 20,961 38.4% 32,347 59.2% 1,297 54,605 R+20.9
Imperial 25,945 48.3% 26,345 49.1% 1,388 53,678 R+0.7
Kings 15,491 37.4% 24,996 60.4% 902 41,389 R+23.0
Sutter 13,025 33.1% 25,414 64.5% 947 39,386 R+31.5
Mendocino 23,847 61.4% 13,389 34.5% 1,628 38,864 D+26.9
Yuba 10,733 35.6% 18,521 61.5% 854 30,108 R+25.9
Tuolumne 10,914 37.9% 17,220 59.7% 692 28,826 R+21.9
San Benito 15,190 54.9% 11,721 42.3% 773 27,684 D+12.5
Lake 12,800 47.8% 13,176 49.2% 807 26,783 R+1.4
Tehama 7,411 28.0% 18,493 69.7% 611 26,515 R+41.8
Calaveras 9,188 34.7% 16,652 62.8% 673 26,513 R+28.2
Amador 7,781 34.8% 13,990 62.5% 600 22,371 R+27.8
Siskiyou 8,335 38.7% 12,481 58.0% 700 21,516 R+19.3
Lassen 2,457 21.8% 8,531 75.8% 270 11,258 R+54.0
Del Norte 4,269 40.4% 6,001 56.8% 299 10,569 R+16.4
Glenn 3,193 31.3% 6,748 66.1% 273 10,214 R+34.8
Plumas 4,023 39.9% 5,734 56.9% 323 10,080 R+17.0
Mariposa 3,600 38.2% 5,571 59.1% 260 9,431 R+20.9
Inyo 4,202 47.0% 4,458 49.9% 281 8,941 R+2.9
Colusa 2,433 34.6% 4,421 62.9% 176 7,030 R+28.3
Mono 3,521 58.1% 2,294 37.8% 247 6,062 D+20.2
Trinity 2,451 43.4% 2,984 52.8% 217 5,652 R+9.4
Modoc 1,007 25.2% 2,873 71.8% 123 4,003 R+46.6
Sierra 641 36.5% 1,068 60.8% 47 1,756 R+24.3
Alpine 479 64.8% 243 32.9% 17 739 D+31.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

California in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+20.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.2
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+30.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+23.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+24.1
2004 John Kerry (D) D+9.9
2000 Al Gore (D) D+11.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+12.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.8
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.8
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+0.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+0.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+35.3
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+30.5
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+49.0
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+41.9
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+0.4
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+22.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+34.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+13.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.1
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+6.6
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+1.8
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+0.5