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Election 1896 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1896 presidential election in California

William McKinley (Republican) beat William Jennings Bryan (Democrat) in California in 1896, 49.2% to 48.5%, a margin of 0.6 points and 1,922 votes.

California voted 3.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+4.3.

California changed party: in 1892 it went Democratic, for Grover Cleveland.

Democrats led in 40 of the 57 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 17. The largest, San Francisco, cast 63,151 votes and went to the Democrat by 1.5 points. The closest was Alpine, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
William McKinley won Republican 146,688 49.2%
William Jennings Bryan Democratic 144,766 48.5%
All other candidates 6,965 2.3%
Total298,419

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
San Francisco 32,045 50.7% 31,106 49.3% 63,151 D+1.5
Los Angeles 17,161 50.4% 16,891 49.6% 34,052 D+0.8
Alameda 8,794 39.6% 13,429 60.4% 22,223 R+20.9
Santa Clara 5,488 46.5% 6,315 53.5% 11,803 R+7.0
Sacramento 5,052 52.3% 4,600 47.7% 9,652 D+4.7
Sonoma 3,777 48.2% 4,053 51.8% 7,830 R+3.5
San Diego 4,123 53.2% 3,631 46.8% 7,754 D+6.3
San Joaquin 3,677 51.2% 3,500 48.8% 7,177 D+2.5
Fresno 3,993 59.8% 2,686 40.2% 6,679 D+19.6
San Bernardino 2,990 51.5% 2,818 48.5% 5,808 D+3.0
Humboldt 2,541 44.7% 3,142 55.3% 5,683 R+10.6
Solano 2,381 46.8% 2,702 53.2% 5,083 R+6.3
Nevada 2,450 55.2% 1,988 44.8% 4,438 D+10.4
Butte 2,220 51.7% 2,075 48.3% 4,295 D+3.4
Mendocino 2,191 51.1% 2,093 48.9% 4,284 D+2.3
Tulare 2,762 66.2% 1,410 33.8% 4,172 D+32.4
Monterey 2,221 54.2% 1,878 45.8% 4,099 D+8.4
Santa Cruz 2,118 51.8% 1,969 48.2% 4,087 D+3.6
Santa Barbara 2,046 50.5% 2,004 49.5% 4,050 D+1.0
Riverside 1,828 47.0% 2,063 53.0% 3,891 R+6.0
San Luis Obispo 2,149 56.3% 1,671 43.7% 3,820 D+12.5
Orange 1,852 48.9% 1,932 51.1% 3,784 R+2.1
Placer 1,792 48.7% 1,890 51.3% 3,682 R+2.7
Napa 1,533 43.0% 2,032 57.0% 3,565 R+14.0
Yolo 1,827 55.2% 1,485 44.8% 3,312 D+10.3
Siskiyou 1,800 55.0% 1,473 45.0% 3,273 D+10.0
Contra Costa 1,437 43.9% 1,834 56.1% 3,271 R+12.1
Kern 1,835 56.2% 1,430 43.8% 3,265 D+12.4
Shasta 2,012 62.4% 1,210 37.6% 3,222 D+24.9
Calaveras 1,551 50.2% 1,541 49.8% 3,092 D+0.3
Ventura 1,531 49.6% 1,553 50.4% 3,084 R+0.7
El Dorado 1,728 60.5% 1,130 39.5% 2,858 D+20.9
San Mateo 1,023 38.9% 1,607 61.1% 2,630 R+22.2
Amador 1,431 55.6% 1,144 44.4% 2,575 D+11.1
Stanislaus 1,454 59.1% 1,007 40.9% 2,461 D+18.2
Marin 912 38.6% 1,448 61.4% 2,360 R+22.7
Yuba 1,036 46.3% 1,204 53.8% 2,240 R+7.5
Tuolumne 1,363 62.0% 834 38.0% 2,197 D+24.1
Tehama 1,166 54.6% 969 45.4% 2,135 D+9.2
Colusa 1,302 69.1% 581 30.9% 1,883 D+38.3
Merced 1,159 64.0% 653 36.0% 1,812 D+27.9
San Benito 987 57.5% 729 42.5% 1,716 D+15.0
Kings 889 56.9% 673 43.1% 1,562 D+13.8
Sutter 738 48.1% 796 51.9% 1,534 R+3.8
Lake 891 62.0% 546 38.0% 1,437 D+24.0
Mariposa 857 60.4% 563 39.6% 1,420 D+20.7
Glenn 832 63.5% 479 36.5% 1,311 D+26.9
Plumas 591 46.6% 678 53.4% 1,269 R+6.9
Sierra 543 43.4% 707 56.6% 1,250 R+13.1
Madera 759 62.7% 452 37.3% 1,211 D+25.4
Trinity 580 53.6% 502 46.4% 1,082 D+7.2
Lassen 541 56.3% 420 43.7% 961 D+12.6
Modoc 609 67.0% 300 33.0% 909 D+34.0
Inyo 555 66.0% 286 34.0% 841 D+32.0
Del Norte 351 50.4% 345 49.6% 696 D+0.9
Mono 326 55.7% 259 44.3% 585 D+11.5
Alpine 41 50.6% 40 49.4% 81 D+1.2

Counties as they stood in 1896; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

California in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+20.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.2
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+30.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+23.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+24.1
2004 John Kerry (D) D+9.9
2000 Al Gore (D) D+11.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+12.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.8
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.8
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+0.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+0.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+35.3
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+30.5
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+49.0
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+41.9
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+0.4
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+22.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+34.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+13.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.1
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+6.6
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+1.8
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+0.5