Election 1948 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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1948 presidential election in California
Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in California in 1948, 47.6% to 47.1%, a margin of 0.4 points and 17,865 votes.
California voted 4.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.
Republicans led in 30 of the 58 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 28. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 1,729,082 votes and went to the Democrat by 0.5 points. The closest was Nevada, where 3 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry S. Truman won | Democratic | 1,913,134 | 47.6% |
| Thomas E. Dewey | Republican | 1,895,269 | 47.1% |
| All other candidates | 213,135 | 5.3% | |
| Total | 4,021,538 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 812,690 47.0% | 804,232 46.5% | 112,160 | 1,729,082 | D+0.5 |
| San Francisco | 167,726 47.8% | 160,135 45.7% | 22,848 | 350,709 | D+2.2 |
| Alameda | 154,549 47.8% | 150,588 46.6% | 18,194 | 323,331 | D+1.2 |
| San Diego | 98,217 47.8% | 101,552 49.4% | 5,690 | 205,459 | R+1.6 |
| Santa Clara | 41,905 42.1% | 52,982 53.2% | 4,615 | 99,502 | R+11.1 |
| San Bernardino | 45,691 47.7% | 46,570 48.6% | 3,577 | 95,838 | R+0.9 |
| Sacramento | 54,197 58.4% | 35,074 37.8% | 3,571 | 92,842 | D+20.6 |
| Contra Costa | 50,277 55.0% | 36,958 40.4% | 4,141 | 91,376 | D+14.6 |
| San Mateo | 34,215 39.7% | 48,909 56.7% | 3,148 | 86,272 | R+17.0 |
| Fresno | 47,762 58.5% | 30,379 37.2% | 3,524 | 81,665 | D+21.3 |
| Orange | 29,018 36.4% | 48,587 60.9% | 2,209 | 79,814 | R+24.5 |
| San Joaquin | 27,908 47.0% | 29,135 49.1% | 2,318 | 59,361 | R+2.1 |
| Kern | 33,029 56.2% | 24,464 41.6% | 1,318 | 58,811 | D+14.6 |
| Riverside | 23,305 40.3% | 32,209 55.7% | 2,350 | 57,864 | R+15.4 |
| Sonoma | 16,026 40.1% | 22,077 55.2% | 1,881 | 39,984 | R+15.1 |
| Tulare | 19,681 50.2% | 18,414 47.0% | 1,097 | 39,192 | D+3.2 |
| Stanislaus | 18,350 47.8% | 18,564 48.4% | 1,457 | 38,371 | R+0.6 |
| Solano | 23,257 63.5% | 12,345 33.7% | 1,022 | 36,624 | D+29.8 |
| Santa Barbara | 13,085 38.0% | 19,998 58.1% | 1,317 | 34,400 | R+20.1 |
| Monterey | 15,704 46.1% | 17,233 50.6% | 1,126 | 34,063 | R+4.5 |
| Ventura | 18,100 54.8% | 13,930 42.1% | 1,019 | 33,049 | D+12.6 |
| Marin | 12,540 38.2% | 18,747 57.1% | 1,568 | 32,855 | R+18.9 |
| Santa Cruz | 9,862 37.0% | 15,395 57.7% | 1,433 | 26,690 | R+20.7 |
| Humboldt | 11,268 48.4% | 10,979 47.2% | 1,019 | 23,266 | D+1.2 |
| Butte | 10,133 45.7% | 10,948 49.4% | 1,100 | 22,181 | R+3.7 |
| San Luis Obispo | 8,135 42.1% | 10,325 53.5% | 844 | 19,304 | R+11.3 |
| Merced | 9,959 54.9% | 7,721 42.6% | 444 | 18,124 | D+12.3 |
| Napa | 7,207 43.6% | 8,724 52.8% | 585 | 16,516 | R+9.2 |
| Placer | 8,837 58.5% | 5,570 36.9% | 702 | 15,109 | D+21.6 |
| Yolo | 6,655 52.5% | 5,560 43.8% | 469 | 12,684 | D+8.6 |
| Shasta | 7,177 56.9% | 5,010 39.7% | 436 | 12,623 | D+17.2 |
| Mendocino | 5,553 44.1% | 6,368 50.5% | 682 | 12,603 | R+6.5 |
| Siskiyou | 6,749 54.0% | 5,315 42.5% | 434 | 12,498 | D+11.5 |
| Imperial | 5,301 44.9% | 6,217 52.6% | 292 | 11,810 | R+7.8 |
| Kings | 6,909 60.0% | 4,289 37.2% | 323 | 11,521 | D+22.7 |
| Madera | 5,226 58.2% | 3,416 38.0% | 340 | 8,982 | D+20.2 |
| Nevada | 3,914 47.0% | 3,917 47.0% | 495 | 8,326 | level |
| Sutter | 3,362 45.1% | 3,913 52.5% | 183 | 7,458 | R+7.4 |
| Yuba | 3,608 49.7% | 3,403 46.9% | 252 | 7,263 | D+2.8 |
| El Dorado | 3,493 51.9% | 2,894 43.0% | 337 | 6,724 | D+8.9 |
| Tehama | 2,920 44.7% | 3,348 51.3% | 262 | 6,530 | R+6.6 |
| Lassen | 3,632 62.9% | 1,960 34.0% | 181 | 5,773 | D+29.0 |
| Glenn | 2,578 46.6% | 2,819 51.0% | 131 | 5,528 | R+4.4 |
| Tuolumne | 2,561 46.8% | 2,639 48.2% | 274 | 5,474 | R+1.4 |
| Lake | 1,999 37.5% | 3,054 57.3% | 280 | 5,333 | R+19.8 |
| Plumas | 3,125 61.8% | 1,657 32.8% | 276 | 5,058 | D+29.0 |
| San Benito | 2,096 42.0% | 2,775 55.6% | 116 | 4,987 | R+13.6 |
| Amador | 2,334 57.4% | 1,578 38.8% | 151 | 4,063 | D+18.6 |
| Calaveras | 1,995 49.4% | 1,888 46.8% | 154 | 4,037 | D+2.7 |
| Colusa | 2,020 51.8% | 1,803 46.2% | 78 | 3,901 | D+5.6 |
| Inyo | 1,539 40.2% | 2,135 55.8% | 153 | 3,827 | R+15.6 |
| Modoc | 1,607 50.5% | 1,480 46.5% | 93 | 3,180 | D+4.0 |
| Del Norte | 1,172 41.3% | 1,541 54.3% | 127 | 2,840 | R+13.0 |
| Mariposa | 983 39.8% | 1,378 55.9% | 106 | 2,467 | R+16.0 |
| Trinity | 1,053 48.7% | 975 45.1% | 135 | 2,163 | D+3.6 |
| Sierra | 660 52.5% | 546 43.4% | 52 | 1,258 | D+9.1 |
| Mono | 255 30.5% | 541 64.8% | 39 | 835 | R+34.3 |
| Alpine | 25 18.1% | 106 76.8% | 7 | 138 | R+58.7 |
Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
California in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+20.1 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+29.2 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+30.1 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+23.1 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+24.1 |
| 2004 | John Kerry (D) | D+9.9 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+11.8 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+12.9 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+13.4 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+3.6 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+16.2 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+16.8 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+1.8 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+13.5 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+3.1 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+18.3 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+0.5 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+11.1 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+14.6 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+0.4 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+13.5 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+16.1 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+35.3 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+21.0 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+30.5 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+49.0 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+41.9 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+0.4 |
| 1912 | Theodore Roosevelt (other) | |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+22.5 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+34.9 |
| 1900 | William McKinley (R) | R+13.2 |
| 1896 | William McKinley (R) | R+0.6 |
| 1892 | Grover Cleveland (D) | D+0.1 |
| 1888 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+2.8 |
| 1884 | James G. Blaine (R) | R+6.6 |
| 1880 | Winfield Scott Hancock (D) | D+0.1 |
| 1876 | Rutherford B. Hayes (R) | R+1.8 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+13.3 |
| 1868 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+0.5 |