United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in North Carolina

Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in North Carolina in 2012, 50.4% to 48.4%, a margin of 2.0 points and 92,004 votes.

North Carolina voted 5.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

North Carolina changed party: in 2008 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 70 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 30. The largest, Wake, cast 486,427 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.4 points. The closest was Hyde, where 30 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mitt Romney won Republican 2,270,395 50.4%
Barack Obama Democratic 2,178,391 48.4%
All other candidates 56,586 1.3%
Total4,505,372

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 267,262 54.9% 211,596 43.5% 7,569 486,427 D+11.4
Mecklenburg 272,262 60.7% 171,668 38.2% 4,970 448,900 D+22.4
Guilford 146,365 57.7% 104,789 41.3% 2,698 253,852 D+16.4
Forsyth 92,323 53.0% 79,768 45.8% 1,978 174,069 D+7.2
Durham 111,224 75.8% 33,769 23.0% 1,742 146,735 D+52.8
Buncombe 70,625 55.3% 54,701 42.8% 2,370 127,696 D+12.5
Cumberland 75,792 59.4% 50,666 39.7% 1,183 127,641 D+19.7
New Hanover 48,668 47.0% 53,385 51.5% 1,575 103,628 R+4.6
Union 32,473 34.3% 61,107 64.5% 1,148 94,728 R+30.2
Gaston 33,171 36.7% 56,138 62.0% 1,174 90,483 R+25.4
Cabarrus 32,849 39.3% 49,557 59.3% 1,160 83,566 R+20.0
Pitt 41,843 53.1% 36,214 45.9% 799 78,856 D+7.1
Orange 53,901 70.2% 21,539 28.1% 1,317 76,757 D+42.2
Johnston 27,290 35.6% 48,427 63.1% 974 76,691 R+27.6
Iredell 26,076 34.1% 49,299 64.6% 990 76,365 R+30.4
Davidson 20,624 29.1% 49,383 69.6% 928 70,935 R+40.5
Catawba 24,069 34.6% 44,538 64.0% 994 69,601 R+29.4
Alamance 28,875 42.6% 38,170 56.3% 731 67,776 R+13.7
Rowan 22,650 36.3% 38,775 62.2% 887 62,312 R+25.9
Randolph 14,773 24.3% 45,160 74.4% 782 60,715 R+50.0
Brunswick 22,038 38.4% 34,743 60.6% 581 57,362 R+22.1
Henderson 18,642 35.6% 32,994 63.0% 756 52,392 R+27.4
Onslow 18,490 35.9% 32,243 62.7% 702 51,435 R+26.7
Wayne 23,314 45.4% 27,641 53.8% 397 51,352 R+8.4
Nash 24,313 50.1% 23,842 49.2% 337 48,492 D+1.0
Moore 16,505 35.6% 29,495 63.5% 415 46,415 R+28.0
Craven 18,763 40.6% 26,928 58.3% 479 46,170 R+17.7
Harnett 17,331 39.9% 25,565 58.9% 519 43,415 R+19.0
Cleveland 17,062 39.4% 25,793 59.5% 485 43,340 R+20.1
Robeson 24,988 58.2% 17,510 40.8% 448 42,946 D+17.4
Rockingham 16,351 38.9% 25,227 60.0% 442 42,020 R+21.1
Wilson 20,875 53.4% 17,954 45.9% 280 39,109 D+7.5
Lincoln 11,024 30.0% 25,267 68.7% 484 36,775 R+38.7
Burke 13,701 37.5% 22,267 60.9% 576 36,544 R+23.4
Carteret 10,301 29.0% 24,775 69.8% 441 35,517 R+40.8
Chatham 18,361 51.8% 16,665 47.0% 408 35,434 D+4.8
Caldwell 10,898 31.4% 23,229 66.9% 605 34,732 R+35.5
Surry 9,112 30.9% 19,923 67.6% 435 29,470 R+36.7
Wilkes 8,148 28.0% 20,515 70.4% 482 29,145 R+42.4
Stanly 8,431 29.4% 19,904 69.3% 382 28,717 R+40.0
Rutherford 9,374 32.7% 18,954 66.0% 374 28,702 R+33.4
Franklin 13,436 47.3% 14,603 51.4% 350 28,389 R+4.1
Lenoir 13,948 49.7% 13,980 49.8% 158 28,086 R+0.1
Haywood 11,833 42.3% 15,633 55.9% 508 27,974 R+13.6
Watauga 13,002 47.0% 13,861 50.1% 811 27,674 R+3.1
Edgecombe 18,310 67.9% 8,546 31.7% 116 26,972 D+36.2
Granville 13,598 51.8% 12,405 47.2% 272 26,275 D+4.5
Sampson 11,566 44.2% 14,422 55.1% 186 26,174 R+10.9
Halifax 17,176 65.9% 8,763 33.6% 140 26,079 D+32.3
Pender 9,632 39.3% 14,617 59.6% 278 24,527 R+20.3
Columbus 11,050 45.6% 12,941 53.4% 252 24,243 R+7.8
Lee 10,801 44.6% 13,158 54.3% 280 24,239 R+9.7
Beaufort 9,435 39.9% 13,977 59.2% 208 23,620 R+19.2
Stokes 6,018 27.8% 15,237 70.5% 364 21,619 R+42.6
Vance 13,323 63.9% 7,429 35.6% 102 20,854 D+28.3
Davie 5,735 27.7% 14,687 71.1% 248 20,670 R+43.3
Duplin 9,033 43.9% 11,416 55.4% 143 20,592 R+11.6
Richmond 9,904 51.0% 9,332 48.1% 181 19,417 D+2.9
Person 8,418 44.1% 10,496 54.9% 192 19,106 R+10.9
Pasquotank 10,282 56.8% 7,633 42.2% 192 18,107 D+14.6
McDowell 6,031 33.3% 11,775 65.1% 293 18,099 R+31.7
Dare 7,393 41.1% 10,248 57.0% 333 17,974 R+15.9
Alexander 4,611 26.8% 12,253 71.3% 332 17,196 R+44.4
Hoke 10,076 59.0% 6,819 39.9% 194 17,089 D+19.1
Macon 5,712 33.9% 10,835 64.3% 314 16,861 R+30.4
Yadkin 3,957 23.5% 12,578 74.8% 278 16,813 R+51.3
Transylvania 6,826 40.7% 9,634 57.5% 303 16,763 R+16.8
Jackson 8,095 48.5% 8,254 49.4% 352 16,701 R+1.0
Bladen 8,062 50.5% 7,748 48.6% 147 15,957 D+2.0
Scotland 8,215 58.0% 5,831 41.2% 110 14,156 D+16.8
Cherokee 3,378 26.3% 9,278 72.1% 211 12,867 R+45.9
Martin 6,583 52.0% 5,995 47.4% 74 12,652 D+4.6
Ashe 4,116 32.6% 8,242 65.4% 252 12,610 R+32.7
Currituck 3,562 31.5% 7,496 66.3% 246 11,304 R+34.8
Anson 7,019 62.4% 4,166 37.0% 71 11,256 D+25.3
Montgomery 4,706 41.9% 6,404 57.0% 121 11,231 R+15.1
Caswell 5,348 48.4% 5,594 50.7% 97 11,039 R+2.2
Hertford 7,843 71.8% 3,007 27.5% 68 10,918 D+44.3
Northampton 7,232 67.2% 3,483 32.4% 41 10,756 D+34.9
Polk 4,013 38.6% 6,236 60.0% 140 10,389 R+21.4
Warren 6,978 68.7% 3,140 30.9% 44 10,162 D+37.8
Bertie 6,695 66.1% 3,387 33.5% 41 10,123 D+32.7
Madison 4,484 44.3% 5,404 53.4% 225 10,113 R+9.1
Yancey 3,981 42.1% 5,278 55.8% 192 9,451 R+13.7
Greene 3,778 45.9% 4,411 53.6% 47 8,236 R+7.7
Mitchell 1,838 23.7% 5,806 74.8% 121 7,765 R+51.1
Avery 1,882 24.3% 5,766 74.3% 111 7,759 R+50.1
Chowan 3,556 47.4% 3,891 51.8% 58 7,505 R+4.5
Pamlico 2,647 39.1% 4,051 59.9% 64 6,762 R+20.8
Perquimans 2,759 41.5% 3,822 57.5% 71 6,652 R+16.0
Washington 3,833 59.0% 2,622 40.3% 44 6,499 D+18.6
Swain 2,618 45.7% 2,976 52.0% 134 5,728 R+6.3
Clay 1,579 28.0% 3,973 70.4% 90 5,642 R+42.4
Gates 2,786 51.6% 2,564 47.5% 46 5,396 D+4.1
Jones 2,352 45.0% 2,837 54.2% 41 5,230 R+9.3
Alleghany 1,583 31.2% 3,390 66.9% 94 5,067 R+35.7
Camden 1,508 32.1% 3,109 66.1% 87 4,704 R+34.0
Graham 1,119 28.4% 2,750 69.7% 78 3,947 R+41.3
Hyde 1,163 48.8% 1,193 50.1% 27 2,383 R+1.3
Tyrrell 837 46.9% 930 52.2% 16 1,783 R+5.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+3.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+1.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.7
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+2.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+0.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+12.4
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+12.8
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+0.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+11.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+40.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+4.2
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+1.3
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+7.8
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+25.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+46.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+19.2
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+13.5
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+16.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+47.3
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+20.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.6
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+3.6
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+7.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.8