United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Virginia

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in Virginia in 2012, 51.2% to 47.3%, a margin of 3.9 points and 149,298 votes.

Virginia voted in line with the country as a whole, where the margin was also D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Republicans led in 87 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 46. The largest, Fairfax, cast 529,287 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.5 points. The closest was Nottoway, where 65 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 1,971,820 51.2%
Mitt Romney Republican 1,822,522 47.3%
All other candidates 60,147 1.6%
Total3,854,489

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 315,273 59.6% 206,773 39.1% 7,241 529,287 D+20.5
Virginia Beach city 94,299 48.0% 99,291 50.5% 3,051 196,641 R+2.5
Prince William 103,331 57.3% 74,458 41.3% 2,406 180,195 D+16.0
Chesterfield 77,694 45.4% 90,934 53.2% 2,360 170,988 R+7.7
Henrico 89,594 55.2% 70,449 43.4% 2,198 162,241 D+11.8
Loudoun 82,479 51.5% 75,292 47.0% 2,289 160,060 D+4.5
Arlington 81,269 69.1% 34,474 29.3% 1,865 117,608 D+39.8
Chesapeake city 55,052 49.9% 53,900 48.8% 1,473 110,425 D+1.0
Richmond city 75,921 77.8% 20,050 20.5% 1,598 97,569 D+57.3
Norfolk city 62,687 72.0% 23,147 26.6% 1,209 87,043 D+45.4
Newport News city 51,100 64.3% 27,230 34.3% 1,114 79,444 D+30.0
Alexandria city 52,199 71.1% 20,249 27.6% 963 73,411 D+43.5
Hampton city 46,966 70.6% 18,640 28.0% 884 66,490 D+42.6
Stafford 27,182 44.9% 32,480 53.6% 921 60,583 R+8.7
Hanover 18,294 31.0% 39,940 67.6% 824 59,058 R+36.7
Spotsylvania 25,165 43.4% 31,844 54.9% 965 57,974 R+11.5
Albemarle 29,757 55.2% 23,297 43.2% 853 53,907 D+12.0
Roanoke 18,711 36.5% 31,624 61.7% 882 51,217 R+25.2
Portsmouth city 32,501 70.8% 12,858 28.0% 563 45,922 D+42.8
Suffolk city 24,267 57.0% 17,820 41.9% 479 42,566 D+15.1
James City 17,879 43.4% 22,843 55.4% 518 41,240 R+12.0
Montgomery 19,903 48.5% 20,006 48.8% 1,100 41,009 R+0.3
Bedford 11,434 28.4% 28,206 70.1% 590 40,230 R+41.7
Roanoke city 24,134 60.1% 14,991 37.3% 1,030 40,155 D+22.8
Lynchburg city 15,948 43.8% 19,806 54.3% 694 36,448 R+10.6
Frederick 12,690 34.9% 22,858 62.8% 846 36,394 R+27.9
Fauquier 13,965 39.3% 21,034 59.2% 556 35,555 R+19.9
Rockingham 10,065 28.9% 24,186 69.4% 615 34,866 R+40.5
York 13,183 38.8% 20,204 59.5% 566 33,953 R+20.7
Augusta 9,451 28.1% 23,624 70.2% 597 33,672 R+42.1
Pittsylvania 10,858 35.4% 19,263 62.8% 560 30,681 R+27.4
Franklin 9,090 34.0% 16,718 62.6% 899 26,707 R+28.6
Campbell 7,595 29.6% 17,695 68.9% 406 25,696 R+39.3
Washington 7,076 27.6% 18,141 70.8% 415 25,632 R+43.2
Henry 10,317 41.3% 13,984 56.0% 662 24,963 R+14.7
Charlottesville city 16,510 75.7% 4,844 22.2% 443 21,797 D+53.5
Isle of Wight 8,761 42.1% 11,802 56.7% 264 20,827 R+14.6
Culpeper 8,285 41.0% 11,580 57.3% 346 20,211 R+16.3
Danville city 12,218 60.5% 7,763 38.4% 223 20,204 D+22.1
Shenandoah 6,469 33.4% 12,538 64.7% 366 19,373 R+31.3
Gloucester 6,764 35.1% 12,137 62.9% 382 19,283 R+27.9
Botetourt 5,452 29.9% 12,479 68.4% 310 18,241 R+38.5
Tazewell 3,661 20.6% 13,843 78.1% 228 17,732 R+57.4
Warren 6,452 38.6% 9,869 59.1% 377 16,698 R+20.5
Halifax 7,766 46.5% 8,694 52.1% 232 16,692 R+5.6
Louisa 6,953 42.3% 9,215 56.0% 284 16,452 R+13.7
Orange 6,870 42.0% 9,244 56.5% 240 16,354 R+14.5
Accomack 7,655 47.7% 8,213 51.2% 183 16,051 R+3.5
Prince George 6,991 43.6% 8,879 55.3% 176 16,046 R+11.8
Petersburg city 14,283 89.8% 1,527 9.6% 98 15,908 D+80.2
Harrisonburg city 8,654 55.5% 6,565 42.1% 374 15,593 D+13.4
Powhatan 4,088 26.3% 11,200 72.1% 237 15,525 R+45.8
Manassas city 8,478 55.8% 6,463 42.5% 259 15,200 D+13.3
Mecklenburg 6,921 45.9% 7,973 52.9% 183 15,077 R+7.0
Wise 3,760 25.0% 11,076 73.8% 182 15,018 R+48.7
Amherst 5,900 39.4% 8,876 59.3% 194 14,970 R+19.9
Pulaski 5,292 36.0% 8,920 60.8% 468 14,680 R+24.7
Caroline 7,276 53.3% 6,151 45.1% 225 13,652 D+8.2
Dinwiddie 6,550 48.2% 6,875 50.6% 164 13,589 R+2.4
Goochland 4,676 35.1% 8,448 63.4% 191 13,315 R+28.3
Carroll 3,685 28.5% 8,736 67.6% 497 12,918 R+39.1
Smyth 4,171 32.6% 8,379 65.6% 227 12,777 R+32.9
Fluvanna 5,893 46.2% 6,678 52.4% 178 12,749 R+6.2
Wythe 3,783 30.6% 8,324 67.4% 251 12,358 R+36.7
Salem city 4,760 38.6% 7,299 59.3% 259 12,318 R+20.6
Russell 3,718 30.8% 8,180 67.7% 190 12,088 R+36.9
Fairfax city 6,651 57.2% 4,775 41.1% 203 11,629 D+16.1
Fredericksburg city 7,131 62.4% 4,060 35.5% 246 11,437 D+26.9
King George 4,477 39.5% 6,604 58.3% 244 11,325 R+18.8
Staunton city 5,728 51.1% 5,272 47.0% 210 11,210 D+4.1
New Kent 3,555 32.5% 7,246 66.2% 152 10,953 R+33.7
Winchester city 5,094 49.5% 4,946 48.0% 256 10,296 D+1.4
Page 3,724 36.4% 6,344 62.0% 160 10,228 R+25.6
Rockbridge 4,088 40.2% 5,898 58.0% 191 10,177 R+17.8
Scott 2,395 24.0% 7,439 74.4% 158 9,992 R+50.5
Buchanan 3,094 32.1% 6,436 66.7% 116 9,646 R+34.6
Lee 2,583 26.9% 6,847 71.3% 168 9,598 R+44.4
Southampton 4,437 47.9% 4,733 51.1% 94 9,264 R+3.2
Prince Edward 5,132 55.5% 3,952 42.8% 155 9,239 D+12.8
Hopewell city 5,179 57.3% 3,739 41.4% 113 9,031 D+15.9
Greene 3,290 36.5% 5,569 61.7% 164 9,023 R+25.3
King William 3,344 37.5% 5,466 61.3% 113 8,923 R+23.8
Waynesboro city 3,840 43.7% 4,790 54.5% 161 8,791 R+10.8
Colonial Heights city 2,544 29.5% 5,941 68.9% 139 8,624 R+39.4
Patrick 2,417 29.3% 5,622 68.1% 220 8,259 R+38.8
Nelson 4,171 50.6% 3,947 47.8% 132 8,250 D+2.7
Westmoreland 4,295 52.9% 3,731 45.9% 94 8,120 D+6.9
Brunswick 4,994 62.1% 2,968 36.9% 75 8,037 D+25.2
Appomattox 2,453 30.9% 5,340 67.3% 142 7,935 R+36.4
Clarke 3,239 41.7% 4,296 55.3% 227 7,762 R+13.6
Williamsburg city 4,903 63.3% 2,682 34.6% 163 7,748 D+28.7
Floyd 2,732 35.7% 4,673 61.1% 239 7,644 R+25.4
Giles 2,730 36.1% 4,660 61.7% 168 7,558 R+25.5
Northumberland 3,191 42.2% 4,310 57.0% 57 7,558 R+14.8
Buckingham 3,750 50.3% 3,569 47.9% 138 7,457 D+2.4
Bristol city 2,492 33.7% 4,780 64.7% 115 7,387 R+31.0
Falls Church city 5,015 68.9% 2,147 29.5% 114 7,276 D+39.4
Alleghany 3,403 47.4% 3,595 50.1% 175 7,173 R+2.7
Grayson 2,068 29.0% 4,801 67.4% 252 7,121 R+38.4
Poquoson city 1,679 23.6% 5,312 74.8% 115 7,106 R+51.1
Lancaster 3,149 45.2% 3,753 53.9% 59 6,961 R+8.7
Amelia 2,490 36.0% 4,331 62.6% 94 6,915 R+26.6
Dickenson 2,473 35.8% 4,274 61.9% 157 6,904 R+26.1
Nottoway 3,344 48.8% 3,409 49.8% 93 6,846 R+0.9
Madison 2,639 39.9% 3,869 58.5% 106 6,614 R+18.6
Northampton 3,741 57.6% 2,676 41.2% 74 6,491 D+16.4
Martinsville city 3,855 61.3% 2,312 36.8% 117 6,284 D+24.6
Middlesex 2,370 39.0% 3,619 59.5% 91 6,080 R+20.5
Charlotte 2,503 42.4% 3,311 56.1% 84 5,898 R+13.7
Lunenburg 2,684 46.8% 2,969 51.8% 81 5,734 R+5.0
Essex 3,016 53.1% 2,602 45.9% 57 5,675 D+7.3
Sussex 3,358 61.7% 2,021 37.2% 61 5,440 D+24.6
Radford city 2,732 50.6% 2,520 46.7% 147 5,399 D+3.9
Mathews 1,807 33.6% 3,488 64.9% 79 5,374 R+31.3
Cumberland 2,422 48.0% 2,538 50.3% 88 5,048 R+2.3
Greensville 3,135 63.6% 1,766 35.9% 25 4,926 D+27.8
Manassas Park city 2,879 61.8% 1,699 36.5% 78 4,656 D+25.3
Franklin city 2,833 65.0% 1,496 34.3% 31 4,360 D+30.7
Rappahannock 1,980 45.4% 2,311 53.0% 66 4,357 R+7.6
Surry 2,576 59.8% 1,671 38.8% 61 4,308 D+21.0
Charles City 2,772 65.5% 1,396 33.0% 64 4,232 D+32.5
Richmond 1,574 41.8% 2,160 57.3% 36 3,770 R+15.5
King and Queen 1,745 47.7% 1,865 51.0% 45 3,655 R+3.3
Bland 735 24.9% 2,144 72.7% 69 2,948 R+47.8
Emporia city 1,793 66.5% 886 32.9% 17 2,696 D+33.6
Lexington city 1,486 55.3% 1,146 42.6% 55 2,687 D+12.7
Craig 830 31.1% 1,757 65.9% 80 2,667 R+34.8
Buena Vista city 919 36.4% 1,564 61.9% 43 2,526 R+25.5
Covington city 1,319 56.6% 975 41.8% 36 2,330 D+14.8
Galax city 900 39.5% 1,332 58.5% 45 2,277 R+19.0
Bath 894 40.2% 1,274 57.3% 55 2,223 R+17.1
Norton city 566 37.9% 895 60.0% 31 1,492 R+22.1
Highland 459 32.5% 924 65.4% 30 1,413 R+32.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.8
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+5.3
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+3.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+6.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+8.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+8.0
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.0
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+20.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+25.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+37.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.9
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+7.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+17.0
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+6.8
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+25.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.4
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+8.0
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+29.7
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+23.7
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+35.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+48.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+22.2
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+24.8
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+11.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+6.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+21.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+1.0