United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 8 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 11.8 points: Ann Wagner (Republican) beat Trish Gunby (Democrat), 54.9% to 43.1%, a margin of 11.8 points and 37,382 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 110 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 368,188 votes and went to the Democrat by 14.9 points. The closest was Worth, where 548 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Cori Bush160,999 (72.9%) Andrew Jones53,767 (24.3%) 6,192 D+48.5
2 Trish Gunby135,895 (43.1%) Ann Wagner173,277 (54.9%) 6,494 R+11.8
3 Bethany Mann96,853 (34.9%) Blaine Luetkemeyer180,760 (65.1%) R+30.2
4 Jack Truman66,824 (26.3%) Mark Alford181,287 (71.3%) 6,107 R+45.0
5 Emanuel Cleaver140,688 (61.0%) Jacob Turk84,008 (36.4%) 5,859 D+24.6
6 Henry Martin72,253 (27.5%) Sam Graves184,865 (70.3%) 5,774 R+42.8
7 Kristen Radaker-Sheafer67,410 (26.8%) Eric Burlison178,408 (70.9%) 5,862 R+44.1
8 Randi McCallian53,738 (21.9%) Jason Smith186,472 (76.0%) 5,185 R+54.1

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 207,508 56.4% 152,610 41.4% 8,070 368,188 D+14.9
Jackson 104,821 55.7% 78,753 41.8% 4,723 188,297 D+13.8
St. Charles 57,997 38.8% 90,623 60.6% 903 149,523 R+21.8
Clay 61,400 53.3% 50,915 44.2% 2,815 115,130 D+9.1
Greene 36,863 37.7% 58,363 59.7% 2,517 97,743 R+22.0
St. Louis City 63,740 76.5% 17,173 20.6% 2,414 83,327 D+55.9
Jefferson 25,998 33.1% 51,037 65.0% 1,543 78,578 R+31.9
Boone 33,364 53.3% 28,485 45.5% 766 62,615 D+7.8
Platte 17,827 43.5% 22,310 54.4% 870 41,007 R+10.9
Cass 11,764 29.6% 26,975 68.0% 951 39,690 R+38.3
Franklin 9,662 26.3% 26,096 70.9% 1,042 36,800 R+44.7
Jasper 8,253 23.8% 25,657 74.0% 770 34,680 R+50.2
Christian 7,363 22.2% 25,059 75.4% 806 33,228 R+53.3
Cole 8,302 29.2% 20,116 70.8% 28,418 R+41.6
Cape Girardeau 6,409 23.1% 20,776 74.8% 599 27,784 R+51.7
Buchanan 7,946 32.4% 15,955 65.0% 654 24,555 R+32.6
Newton 3,771 18.9% 15,803 79.3% 352 19,926 R+60.4
Lincoln 4,469 22.7% 14,681 74.5% 551 19,701 R+51.8
St. Francois 4,481 24.6% 13,262 72.9% 442 18,185 R+48.3
Camden 3,820 21.0% 14,057 77.5% 271 18,148 R+56.4
Taney 3,247 18.3% 14,160 79.9% 307 17,714 R+61.6
Johnson 4,229 27.1% 10,849 69.5% 526 15,604 R+42.4
Callaway 4,022 26.9% 10,940 73.1% 14,962 R+46.2
Stone 2,362 17.2% 11,132 81.0% 251 13,745 R+63.8
Phelps 3,576 26.3% 9,690 71.2% 337 13,603 R+44.9
Howell 2,077 15.7% 10,867 81.9% 321 13,265 R+66.3
Warren 3,249 24.7% 9,637 73.3% 257 13,143 R+48.6
Pettis 2,935 22.5% 9,794 74.9% 342 13,071 R+52.5
Webster 2,333 17.9% 10,386 79.7% 314 13,033 R+61.8
Lawrence 2,036 16.3% 10,252 81.8% 240 12,528 R+65.6
Lafayette 2,785 23.2% 8,982 74.7% 262 12,029 R+51.5
Scott 2,099 18.1% 9,348 80.5% 163 11,610 R+62.4
Butler 1,764 15.3% 9,535 82.9% 203 11,502 R+67.6
Laclede 1,664 14.7% 9,453 83.4% 216 11,333 R+68.7
Barry 1,792 16.4% 8,813 80.7% 321 10,926 R+64.3
Polk 1,889 17.9% 8,400 79.7% 254 10,543 R+61.8
Pulaski 1,643 18.3% 7,104 79.3% 213 8,960 R+60.9
Miller 1,318 15.1% 7,391 84.9% 8,709 R+69.7
Marion 1,781 20.5% 6,790 78.0% 131 8,702 R+57.6
Stoddard 1,061 12.2% 7,499 86.5% 109 8,669 R+74.3
Texas 1,152 13.9% 6,945 84.1% 163 8,260 R+70.1
Ray 1,919 24.3% 5,723 72.6% 241 7,883 R+48.3
Benton 1,514 19.7% 6,022 78.4% 147 7,683 R+58.7
Crawford 1,412 18.6% 6,167 81.4% 7,579 R+62.7
Clinton 1,829 24.2% 5,537 73.3% 188 7,554 R+49.1
Henry 1,587 21.3% 5,643 75.9% 204 7,434 R+54.6
Audrain 1,671 22.6% 5,569 75.2% 164 7,404 R+52.6
Randolph 1,592 21.6% 5,632 76.3% 160 7,384 R+54.7
Adair 2,171 30.7% 4,768 67.3% 142 7,081 R+36.7
Nodaway 1,737 24.6% 5,204 73.6% 132 7,073 R+49.0
Morgan 1,311 19.1% 5,376 78.4% 173 6,860 R+59.3
Washington 1,395 20.5% 5,416 79.5% 6,811 R+59.0
Andrew 1,405 20.9% 5,182 76.9% 148 6,735 R+56.1
Ste. Genevieve 1,883 28.7% 4,561 69.5% 119 6,563 R+40.8
Perry 1,023 16.2% 5,213 82.4% 89 6,325 R+66.2
Wright 705 11.3% 5,418 86.7% 124 6,247 R+75.4
Saline 1,722 27.6% 4,374 70.1% 140 6,236 R+42.5
Dunklin 1,075 17.3% 5,044 81.1% 97 6,216 R+63.9
Cooper 1,487 24.3% 4,628 75.7% 6,115 R+51.4
Vernon 1,205 19.7% 4,789 78.4% 113 6,107 R+58.7
McDonald 871 14.3% 5,081 83.4% 140 6,092 R+69.1
Bates 988 17.2% 4,651 80.8% 119 5,758 R+63.6
Dallas 917 16.0% 4,669 81.6% 133 5,719 R+65.6
Gasconade 1,024 18.0% 4,674 82.0% 5,698 R+64.1
Macon 977 17.5% 4,531 81.1% 81 5,589 R+63.6
Osage 684 12.4% 4,832 87.6% 5,516 R+75.2
Pike 1,075 20.9% 4,020 78.0% 60 5,155 R+57.1
Moniteau 852 16.6% 4,278 83.4% 5,130 R+66.8
Cedar 776 15.2% 4,211 82.7% 102 5,089 R+67.5
Dent 714 14.2% 4,191 83.5% 117 5,022 R+69.2
Douglas 645 12.9% 4,269 85.2% 98 5,012 R+72.3
Livingston 803 16.8% 3,892 81.6% 76 4,771 R+64.7
New Madrid 903 20.5% 3,440 78.2% 56 4,399 R+57.7
Barton 531 12.4% 3,699 86.1% 66 4,296 R+73.7
Bollinger 469 11.3% 3,644 87.5% 53 4,166 R+76.2
Linn 795 19.2% 3,241 78.5% 95 4,131 R+59.2
Wayne 576 14.2% 3,425 84.3% 64 4,065 R+70.1
Montgomery 794 19.5% 3,268 80.5% 4,062 R+60.9
Ralls 761 19.1% 3,167 79.5% 54 3,982 R+60.4
Howard 1,011 26.7% 2,651 69.9% 129 3,791 R+43.3
Ripley 561 14.9% 3,139 83.5% 58 3,758 R+68.6
Madison 688 18.5% 2,972 79.8% 62 3,722 R+61.4
Ozark 492 13.3% 3,121 84.6% 76 3,689 R+71.3
St. Clair 665 18.1% 2,920 79.4% 92 3,677 R+61.3
Hickory 665 18.3% 2,907 79.9% 68 3,640 R+61.6
Maries 558 16.2% 2,881 83.8% 3,439 R+67.5
Caldwell 542 15.8% 2,801 81.9% 79 3,422 R+66.0
DeKalb 532 15.8% 2,744 81.3% 99 3,375 R+65.5
Carroll 467 13.8% 2,851 84.5% 54 3,372 R+70.7
Grundy 454 14.1% 2,711 83.9% 65 3,230 R+69.9
Pemiscot 665 20.7% 2,526 78.5% 27 3,218 R+57.8
Lewis 535 16.8% 2,591 81.4% 57 3,183 R+64.6
Monroe 517 16.4% 2,581 81.8% 56 3,154 R+65.4
Oregon 505 16.4% 2,528 82.0% 50 3,083 R+65.6
Iron 633 20.7% 2,350 77.0% 69 3,052 R+56.3
Dade 433 14.5% 2,509 83.8% 53 2,995 R+69.3
Shannon 515 17.7% 2,355 80.9% 41 2,911 R+63.2
Mississippi 539 18.7% 2,301 79.8% 42 2,882 R+61.1
Chariton 525 18.7% 2,243 79.7% 45 2,813 R+61.1
Harrison 319 11.7% 2,368 86.6% 46 2,733 R+75.0
Daviess 473 17.4% 2,182 80.5% 57 2,712 R+63.0
Reynolds 436 18.1% 1,934 80.3% 38 2,408 R+62.2
Clark 392 16.7% 1,906 81.2% 50 2,348 R+64.5
Gentry 427 18.4% 1,852 79.7% 44 2,323 R+61.3
Shelby 373 16.2% 1,882 81.7% 48 2,303 R+65.5
Atchison 302 15.7% 1,583 82.1% 43 1,928 R+66.4
Carter 266 14.0% 1,613 84.7% 25 1,904 R+70.7
Sullivan 249 14.3% 1,467 84.1% 29 1,745 R+69.8
Putnam 214 12.5% 1,478 86.1% 24 1,716 R+73.7
Holt 204 12.2% 1,423 85.2% 44 1,671 R+73.0
Schuyler 232 15.1% 1,272 82.7% 35 1,539 R+67.6
Scotland 218 15.9% 1,123 82.0% 28 1,369 R+66.1
Knox 183 13.4% 1,164 85.4% 16 1,363 R+72.0
Mercer 152 12.0% 1,097 86.7% 17 1,266 R+74.6
Worth 148 17.1% 696 80.3% 23 867 R+63.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6