United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Minnesota

Minnesota elected 8 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 4 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 5.2 points: Angie Craig (Democrat) beat Tyler Kistner (Republican), 50.9% to 45.6%, a margin of 5.2 points and 17,007 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 76 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Hennepin, cast 568,494 votes and went to the Democrat by 35.6 points. The closest was Nicollet, where 23 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Jeff Ettinger125,457 (42.3%) Brad Finstad159,621 (53.8%) 11,469 R+11.5
2 Angie Craig165,583 (50.9%) Tyler Kistner148,576 (45.6%) 11,313 D+5.2
3 Dean Phillips198,883 (59.6%) Tom Weiler134,797 (40.4%) 241 D+19.2
4 Betty McCollum200,055 (67.6%) May Lor Xiong95,493 (32.3%) 425 D+35.3
5 Ilhan Omar214,224 (74.3%) Cicely Davis70,702 (24.5%) 3,280 D+49.8
6 Jeanne Hendricks120,852 (37.8%) Tom Emmer198,145 (62.0%) 770 R+24.2
7 Jill Abahsain84,455 (27.6%) Michelle Fischbach204,766 (66.9%) 16,645 R+39.3
8 Jennifer Schultz141,009 (42.7%) Pete Stauber188,755 (57.2%) 316 R+14.5

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 383,778 67.5% 181,389 31.9% 3,327 568,494 D+35.6
Ramsey 155,030 71.5% 61,484 28.3% 371 216,885 D+43.1
Dakota 108,329 54.0% 85,362 42.6% 6,849 200,540 D+11.5
Anoka 69,723 44.9% 85,195 54.9% 359 155,277 R+10.0
Washington 69,476 53.5% 59,327 45.7% 1,077 129,880 D+7.8
Saint Louis 52,509 56.5% 40,312 43.4% 145 92,966 D+13.1
Olmsted 36,164 53.2% 29,846 43.9% 1,950 67,960 D+9.3
Scott 29,587 43.6% 35,918 53.0% 2,307 67,812 R+9.3
Wright 21,458 32.6% 44,059 67.0% 285 65,802 R+34.3
Stearns 22,285 34.2% 41,660 64.0% 1,155 65,100 R+29.8
Carver 23,120 43.0% 30,570 56.9% 56 53,746 R+13.9
Sherburne 12,932 31.2% 28,414 68.5% 145 41,491 R+37.3
Crow Wing 10,923 33.5% 21,636 66.4% 18 32,577 R+32.9
Otter Tail 7,998 28.2% 18,787 66.2% 1,613 28,398 R+38.0
Rice 13,707 48.4% 13,435 47.5% 1,163 28,305 D+1.0
Blue Earth 12,785 48.4% 12,300 46.6% 1,312 26,397 D+1.8
Chisago 8,914 34.5% 16,894 65.4% 19 25,827 R+30.9
Goodhue 8,961 39.1% 12,880 56.2% 1,072 22,913 R+17.1
Clay 10,168 46.0% 10,595 47.9% 1,362 22,125 R+1.9
Itasca 8,722 40.8% 12,623 59.1% 7 21,352 R+18.3
Winona 9,417 46.2% 10,116 49.6% 848 20,381 R+3.4
Douglas 5,540 28.3% 13,113 66.9% 938 19,591 R+38.7
Isanti 5,571 29.6% 13,215 70.3% 9 18,795 R+40.7
Kandiyohi 5,552 30.6% 11,613 64.0% 973 18,138 R+33.4
Beltrami 8,188 45.4% 9,834 54.5% 30 18,052 R+9.1
Steele 5,897 35.8% 9,804 59.6% 751 16,452 R+23.7
McLeod 4,286 26.2% 10,998 67.3% 1,066 16,350 R+41.1
Benton 5,058 31.0% 11,227 68.8% 31 16,316 R+37.8
Carlton 7,709 48.4% 8,193 51.5% 17 15,919 R+3.0
Morrison 3,065 20.0% 11,469 74.9% 786 15,320 R+54.9
Nicollet 7,309 48.0% 7,332 48.1% 592 15,233 R+0.2
Cass 4,881 32.1% 10,288 67.8% 16 15,185 R+35.6
Becker 4,333 29.5% 9,651 65.7% 708 14,692 R+36.2
Mower 6,911 49.0% 6,726 47.6% 479 14,116 D+1.3
Le Sueur 4,295 32.6% 8,287 63.0% 573 13,155 R+30.3
Freeborn 5,049 38.8% 7,444 57.2% 524 13,017 R+18.4
Pine 4,050 32.7% 8,307 67.2% 11 12,368 R+34.4
Brown 3,307 28.4% 7,999 68.7% 333 11,639 R+40.3
Mille Lacs 3,337 30.2% 7,712 69.8% 5 11,054 R+39.6
Polk 3,041 27.9% 7,224 66.3% 634 10,899 R+38.4
Todd 2,347 21.7% 7,806 72.3% 638 10,791 R+50.6
Meeker 2,725 25.3% 7,437 69.2% 589 10,751 R+43.8
Wabasha 3,644 34.2% 6,508 61.1% 497 10,649 R+26.9
Hubbard 3,389 32.0% 6,851 64.6% 360 10,600 R+32.7
Lyon 2,853 29.2% 6,425 65.9% 478 9,756 R+36.6
Fillmore 3,642 38.4% 5,541 58.4% 304 9,487 R+20.0
Dodge 3,063 32.6% 5,995 63.9% 325 9,383 R+31.2
Houston 3,476 39.8% 4,930 56.4% 329 8,735 R+16.6
Aitkin 2,867 34.1% 5,545 65.9% 5 8,417 R+31.8
Martin 2,313 27.7% 5,748 68.7% 301 8,362 R+41.1
Waseca 2,615 31.3% 5,347 64.0% 387 8,349 R+32.7
Kanabec 2,155 30.2% 4,965 69.7% 5 7,125 R+39.4
Sibley 1,574 24.0% 4,578 69.9% 398 6,550 R+45.9
Roseau 1,323 20.4% 4,874 75.2% 286 6,483 R+54.8
Redwood 1,425 22.2% 4,664 72.7% 325 6,414 R+50.5
Renville 1,594 25.5% 4,310 68.8% 357 6,261 R+43.4
Nobles 1,754 29.2% 3,981 66.2% 281 6,016 R+37.0
Faribault 1,828 30.4% 3,955 65.9% 223 6,006 R+35.4
Wadena 1,338 22.6% 4,283 72.3% 304 5,925 R+49.7
Lake 2,898 51.1% 2,760 48.7% 10 5,668 D+2.4
Pope 1,757 31.1% 3,595 63.6% 300 5,652 R+32.5
Pennington 1,583 29.1% 3,414 62.8% 435 5,432 R+33.7
Koochiching 2,006 38.2% 3,239 61.7% 2 5,247 R+23.5
Chippewa 1,460 29.7% 3,221 65.6% 232 4,913 R+35.8
Cottonwood 1,144 24.9% 3,198 69.7% 246 4,588 R+44.8
Jackson 1,224 26.9% 3,154 69.3% 173 4,551 R+42.4
Yellow Medicine 1,153 26.5% 2,940 67.5% 260 4,353 R+41.1
Rock 1,120 27.2% 2,842 69.1% 153 4,115 R+41.8
Marshall 865 21.5% 2,940 73.0% 220 4,025 R+51.6
Stevens 1,283 32.0% 2,549 63.6% 178 4,010 R+31.6
Swift 1,234 31.7% 2,452 63.0% 209 3,895 R+31.3
Murray 964 24.9% 2,755 71.0% 160 3,879 R+46.2
Watonwan 1,267 32.7% 2,487 64.2% 120 3,874 R+31.5
Pipestone 817 21.5% 2,857 75.2% 125 3,799 R+53.7
Clearwater 912 25.8% 2,626 74.2% 1 3,539 R+48.4
Cook 2,163 66.8% 1,074 33.2% 1 3,238 D+33.6
Lac Qui Parle 974 31.1% 1,999 63.9% 154 3,127 R+32.8
Grant 922 31.5% 1,806 61.6% 202 2,930 R+30.2
Wilkin 638 24.6% 1,799 69.5% 153 2,590 R+44.8
Norman 851 34.4% 1,472 59.5% 152 2,475 R+25.1
Big Stone 767 31.6% 1,523 62.7% 139 2,429 R+31.1
Lincoln 630 25.9% 1,664 68.5% 135 2,429 R+42.6
Kittson 598 31.2% 1,157 60.4% 162 1,917 R+29.2
Lake of the Woods 477 26.3% 1,337 73.7% 1 1,815 R+47.4
Mahnomen 679 41.6% 954 58.4% 1 1,634 R+16.8
Red Lake 414 26.1% 1,054 66.5% 117 1,585 R+40.4
Traverse 428 27.7% 1,006 65.2% 110 1,544 R+37.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 4 D+0.9
2022 D 4, R 4 D+2.0
2020 D 4, R 4 D+2.5
2018 D 5, R 3 D+11.5
2016 D 5, R 3 D+3.5
2014 D 5, R 3 D+3.7
2012 D 5, R 3 D+12.5
2010 D 4, R 4 D+1.5
2008 D 5, R 3 D+19.4
2006 D 5, R 3 D+10.5
2004 D 4, R 4 D+6.0
2002 D 4, R 4 R+0.6
2000 D 5, R 3 D+10.2
1998 D 6, R 2 D+11.2
1996 D 6, R 2 D+13.3
1994 D 6, R 2 D+2.1
1992 D 6, R 2 D+10.9
1990 D 6, R 2 D+17.2