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United States · Election results history · 2016 House · Missouri
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 8 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 5th district, decided by 20.7 points: Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat) beat Jacob Turk (Republican), 58.8% to 38.2%, a margin of 20.7 points and 66,995 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 113 of the 116 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 506,555 votes and went to the Democrat by 7.9 points. The closest was Worth, where 574 votes separated the two parties.

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If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Wm. Lacy Clay236,993 (75.5%) Steven G. Bailey62,714 (20.0%) 14,317 D+55.5
2 Bill Otto155,689 (37.7%) Ann Wagner241,954 (58.5%) 15,653 R+20.9
3 Kevin Miller102,891 (27.9%) Blaine Luetkemeyer249,865 (67.8%) 15,577 R+39.9
4 Gordon Christensen92,510 (27.8%) Vicky Hartzler225,348 (67.8%) 14,376 R+40.0
5 Emanuel Cleaver190,766 (58.8%) Jacob Turk123,771 (38.2%) 9,733 D+20.7
6 David M. Blackwell99,692 (28.4%) Sam Graves238,388 (68.0%) 12,364 R+39.6
7 Genevieve "Gen" Williams92,756 (27.4%) Billy Long228,692 (67.5%) 17,159 R+40.2
8 Dave Cowell70,009 (22.7%) Jason Smith229,792 (74.4%) 9,070 R+51.7

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 263,722 52.1% 223,472 44.1% 19,361 506,555 D+7.9
St. Charles 63,301 32.7% 121,936 62.9% 8,631 193,868 R+30.2
Jackson 74,182 43.5% 90,730 53.2% 5,610 170,522 R+9.7
St. Louis City 98,674 77.1% 22,953 17.9% 6,289 127,916 D+59.2
99,065 77.5% 25,863 20.2% 2,966 127,894 D+57.2
Greene 45,382 35.5% 74,876 58.6% 7,582 127,840 R+23.1
Clay 42,207 39.1% 61,564 57.0% 4,274 108,045 R+17.9
Jefferson 34,030 33.3% 63,490 62.1% 4,673 102,193 R+28.8
Boone 36,517 46.0% 39,442 49.7% 3,462 79,421 R+3.7
Cass 13,198 26.3% 34,998 69.6% 2,082 50,278 R+43.4
Franklin 12,279 25.1% 34,308 70.2% 2,266 48,853 R+45.1
Platte 17,016 35.0% 29,596 60.9% 1,974 48,586 R+25.9
Jasper 11,681 24.5% 33,755 70.8% 2,218 47,654 R+46.3
Christian 9,890 24.2% 28,849 70.5% 2,179 40,918 R+46.3
Cole 9,368 25.3% 26,481 71.6% 1,129 36,978 R+46.3
Cape Girardeau 8,084 22.3% 26,982 74.4% 1,194 36,260 R+52.1
Buchanan 11,196 31.8% 22,604 64.3% 1,374 35,174 R+32.4
Newton 5,790 22.0% 19,497 74.1% 1,008 26,295 R+52.1
Lincoln 6,429 26.4% 16,826 69.0% 1,114 24,369 R+42.7
St. Francois 6,933 28.9% 16,309 68.1% 718 23,960 R+39.1
Taney 4,664 20.2% 17,569 76.2% 837 23,070 R+55.9
Camden 4,499 20.5% 16,740 76.1% 759 21,998 R+55.6
Johnson 5,584 26.8% 14,102 67.6% 1,167 20,853 R+40.8
Callaway 4,507 23.8% 13,591 71.7% 845 18,943 R+48.0
Phelps 4,453 24.3% 13,288 72.6% 564 18,305 R+48.3
Pettis 4,211 23.7% 12,636 71.0% 938 17,785 R+47.4
Howell 2,776 16.4% 13,665 80.6% 505 16,946 R+64.3
Scott 3,857 22.9% 12,565 74.6% 425 16,847 R+51.7
Butler 3,029 18.1% 13,325 79.4% 427 16,781 R+61.4
Webster 3,188 19.4% 12,599 76.6% 669 16,456 R+57.2
Lawrence 3,813 23.2% 11,622 70.8% 987 16,422 R+47.6
Stone 3,270 20.1% 12,384 76.0% 641 16,295 R+55.9
Laclede 2,353 14.9% 12,908 81.5% 580 15,841 R+66.6
Lafayette 5,744 36.5% 9,505 60.4% 490 15,739 R+23.9
Warren 3,847 24.9% 10,884 70.6% 696 15,427 R+45.6
Barry 3,037 21.0% 10,921 75.5% 500 14,458 R+54.5
Polk 2,880 21.1% 10,170 74.3% 630 13,680 R+53.3
Pulaski 2,796 21.1% 9,820 74.1% 637 13,253 R+53.0
Stoddard 2,059 15.7% 10,719 81.8% 323 13,101 R+66.1
Marion 2,915 23.1% 9,405 74.5% 311 12,631 R+51.4
Miller 1,641 14.6% 9,228 82.1% 377 11,246 R+67.5
Texas 1,696 15.7% 8,826 81.7% 283 10,805 R+66.0
Ray 4,394 41.1% 5,895 55.1% 402 10,691 R+14.0
Randolph 2,440 24.0% 7,193 70.8% 521 10,154 R+46.8
Dunklin 2,434 24.1% 7,406 73.3% 257 10,097 R+49.2
Clinton 2,620 26.0% 6,997 69.4% 464 10,081 R+43.4
Adair 3,072 30.7% 6,558 65.6% 363 9,993 R+34.9
Audrain 2,510 25.7% 6,823 69.9% 422 9,755 R+44.2
Henry 2,399 24.7% 6,927 71.3% 389 9,715 R+46.6
Crawford 1,849 19.0% 7,589 78.2% 271 9,709 R+59.1
Benton 2,056 21.9% 6,928 73.7% 413 9,397 R+51.8
Nodaway 2,246 24.1% 6,805 73.0% 272 9,323 R+48.9
Saline 3,824 41.8% 4,967 54.3% 350 9,141 R+12.5
Andrew 2,021 22.4% 6,748 74.7% 263 9,032 R+52.3
Washington 2,424 27.3% 6,186 69.7% 265 8,875 R+42.4
Morgan 1,748 20.4% 6,470 75.3% 370 8,588 R+55.0
Vernon 1,676 19.8% 6,526 77.0% 273 8,475 R+57.2
Perry 1,468 17.7% 6,616 79.6% 224 8,308 R+62.0
McDonald 1,428 17.7% 6,271 77.9% 349 8,048 R+60.2
Ste. Genevieve 2,790 34.9% 4,978 62.4% 215 7,983 R+27.4
Wright 1,150 14.5% 6,594 83.2% 182 7,926 R+68.7
Bates 1,740 22.1% 5,814 73.7% 336 7,890 R+51.6
Cooper 1,778 22.7% 5,721 72.9% 345 7,844 R+50.3
Macon 1,573 21.0% 5,688 76.0% 228 7,489 R+54.9
Gasconade 1,344 18.3% 5,770 78.6% 226 7,340 R+60.3
Dallas 1,192 16.3% 5,804 79.5% 302 7,298 R+63.2
Pike 2,051 28.6% 4,907 68.3% 223 7,181 R+39.8
New Madrid 2,022 28.7% 4,876 69.2% 151 7,049 R+40.5
Osage 889 12.7% 5,956 84.9% 171 7,016 R+72.2
Dent 923 13.7% 5,687 84.2% 142 6,752 R+70.6
Moniteau 1,272 19.1% 5,161 77.4% 237 6,670 R+58.3
Douglas 944 14.6% 5,313 82.3% 198 6,455 R+67.7
Livingston 1,112 17.7% 4,989 79.6% 170 6,271 R+61.8
Cedar 953 15.4% 4,970 80.4% 259 6,182 R+65.0
Barton 752 12.9% 4,893 83.9% 186 5,831 R+71.0
Pemiscot 1,945 34.2% 3,638 63.9% 108 5,691 R+29.7
Bollinger 845 15.3% 4,532 81.9% 156 5,533 R+66.6
Wayne 1,078 19.5% 4,297 77.7% 154 5,529 R+58.2
Linn 1,235 22.5% 4,102 74.7% 154 5,491 R+52.2
Montgomery 1,078 20.2% 4,080 76.4% 180 5,338 R+56.2
Ripley 903 17.1% 4,224 80.2% 141 5,268 R+63.0
Madison 1,079 20.7% 3,684 70.5% 460 5,223 R+49.9
Ralls 1,239 24.3% 3,745 73.5% 110 5,094 R+49.2
Mississippi 1,525 30.8% 3,345 67.6% 77 4,947 R+36.8
Howard 1,300 27.7% 3,131 66.8% 255 4,686 R+39.1
Hickory 994 21.5% 3,434 74.4% 185 4,613 R+52.9
St. Clair 993 21.5% 3,438 74.6% 178 4,609 R+53.0
DeKalb 906 20.0% 3,458 76.4% 161 4,525 R+56.4
Maries 825 18.5% 3,490 78.3% 141 4,456 R+59.8
Oregon 876 19.7% 3,447 77.5% 125 4,448 R+57.8
Grundy 747 17.0% 3,531 80.2% 126 4,404 R+63.2
Ozark 723 16.6% 3,487 80.1% 143 4,353 R+63.5
Lewis 899 20.8% 3,270 75.8% 144 4,313 R+55.0
Carroll 681 15.8% 3,496 81.3% 124 4,301 R+65.4
Caldwell 863 20.2% 3,184 74.6% 220 4,267 R+54.4
Iron 1,109 26.9% 2,896 70.2% 118 4,123 R+43.3
Monroe 899 22.6% 2,955 74.2% 131 3,985 R+51.6
Chariton 894 23.0% 2,889 74.2% 112 3,895 R+51.2
Dade 612 15.7% 3,121 80.3% 156 3,889 R+64.5
Shannon 816 21.6% 2,865 75.7% 102 3,783 R+54.2
Daviess 740 20.0% 2,827 76.5% 129 3,696 R+56.5
Harrison 578 15.9% 2,940 80.8% 119 3,637 R+64.9
Clark 673 21.0% 2,413 75.2% 121 3,207 R+54.3
Shelby 649 20.6% 2,428 77.1% 72 3,149 R+56.5
Gentry 623 20.8% 2,297 76.6% 77 2,997 R+55.9
Reynolds 587 20.3% 2,236 77.3% 68 2,891 R+57.0
Carter 477 17.4% 2,187 79.8% 78 2,742 R+62.4
Atchison 522 19.5% 2,065 77.0% 94 2,681 R+57.6
Sullivan 506 20.6% 1,897 77.3% 52 2,455 R+56.7
Holt 331 14.3% 1,921 83.0% 63 2,315 R+68.7
Putnam 315 14.0% 1,897 84.0% 46 2,258 R+70.1
Scotland 333 17.4% 1,509 79.0% 68 1,910 R+61.6
Schuyler 331 17.7% 1,490 79.6% 51 1,872 R+61.9
Knox 317 17.8% 1,425 80.2% 35 1,777 R+62.4
Mercer 197 11.7% 1,444 86.0% 38 1,679 R+74.3
Worth 206 20.0% 780 75.8% 43 1,029 R+55.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6