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Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 0.3 points: Ben Chandler (Democrat) beat Garland "Andy" Barr (Republican), 50.1% to 49.8%, a margin of 0.3 points and 648 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 112 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Jefferson, cast 260,037 votes and went to the Democrat by 10.3 points. The closest was Robertson, where 118 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Charles Kendall Hatchett62,090 (28.8%) Ed Whitfield153,840 (71.2%) R+42.5
2 Ed Marksberry73,749 (32.1%) Brett Guthrie155,906 (67.9%) R+35.8
3 John A. Yarmuth139,940 (54.7%) Todd Lally112,627 (44.0%) 3,363 D+10.7
4 John Waltz66,694 (30.5%) Geoff Davis151,813 (69.5%) R+39.0
5 James E. "Jim" Holbert44,034 (22.6%) Harold Rogers151,019 (77.4%) R+54.9
6 Ben Chandler119,812 (50.1%) Garland "Andy" Barr119,164 (49.8%) 247 D+0.3

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 141,698 54.5% 114,976 44.2% 3,363 260,037 D+10.3
Fayette 46,370 52.4% 41,985 47.4% 135 88,490 D+5.0
Kenton 12,641 28.8% 31,306 71.2% 43,947 R+42.5
Boone 7,006 21.4% 25,714 78.6% 32,720 R+57.2
Daviess 12,537 40.8% 18,191 59.2% 30,728 R+18.4
Warren 7,751 25.6% 22,564 74.4% 30,315 R+48.9
Campbell 8,583 30.4% 19,672 69.6% 28,255 R+39.2
Hardin 8,509 31.4% 18,597 68.6% 27,106 R+37.2
Madison 11,605 47.6% 12,767 52.3% 31 24,403 R+4.8
Bullitt 7,047 31.0% 15,681 69.0% 22,728 R+38.0
McCracken 6,342 28.7% 15,790 71.3% 22,132 R+42.7
Oldham 5,637 25.5% 16,426 74.5% 22,063 R+48.9
Pulaski 3,059 15.6% 16,528 84.4% 19,587 R+68.8
Franklin 11,659 62.2% 7,084 37.8% 13 18,756 D+24.4
Jessamine 6,094 38.5% 9,721 61.4% 6 15,821 R+22.9
Hopkins 3,636 23.8% 11,668 76.2% 15,304 R+52.5
Pike 4,819 32.0% 10,217 68.0% 15,036 R+35.9
Laurel 2,544 17.0% 12,457 83.0% 15,001 R+66.1
Scott 6,633 44.6% 8,217 55.3% 7 14,857 R+10.7
Christian 3,968 27.7% 10,372 72.3% 14,340 R+44.7
Boyd 4,814 33.8% 9,439 66.2% 14,253 R+32.4
Shelby 4,474 31.6% 9,678 68.4% 14,152 R+36.8
Nelson 5,205 37.6% 8,648 62.4% 13,853 R+24.9
Henderson 4,997 37.0% 8,521 63.0% 13,518 R+26.1
Barren 3,399 27.0% 9,201 73.0% 12,600 R+46.0
Graves 3,890 31.3% 8,528 68.7% 12,418 R+37.3
Marshall 4,114 34.3% 7,871 65.7% 11,985 R+31.3
Greenup 4,530 39.5% 6,935 60.5% 11,465 R+21.0
Clark 4,919 45.4% 5,892 54.4% 16 10,827 R+9.0
Floyd 3,197 30.0% 7,443 70.0% 10,640 R+39.9
Calloway 3,282 31.2% 7,250 68.8% 10,532 R+37.7
Woodford 5,182 51.8% 4,817 48.1% 12 10,011 D+3.6
Taylor 2,589 27.8% 6,733 72.2% 9,322 R+44.5
Whitley 1,513 16.6% 7,598 83.4% 9,111 R+66.8
Meade 3,231 35.7% 5,826 64.3% 9,057 R+28.7
Knox 1,484 16.5% 7,485 83.5% 8,969 R+66.9
Boyle 4,155 46.6% 4,755 53.4% 8,910 R+6.7
Perry 2,011 22.6% 6,876 77.4% 8,887 R+54.7
Muhlenberg 3,638 41.1% 5,211 58.9% 8,849 R+17.8
Bell 1,397 15.9% 7,392 84.1% 8,789 R+68.2
Harlan 1,853 21.7% 6,676 78.3% 8,529 R+56.5
Grayson 1,893 22.3% 6,609 77.7% 8,502 R+55.5
Ohio 2,744 33.0% 5,572 67.0% 8,316 R+34.0
Anderson 3,947 48.4% 4,199 51.5% 7 8,153 R+3.1
Carter 3,226 39.8% 4,874 60.2% 8,100 R+20.3
Logan 2,536 31.4% 5,529 68.6% 8,065 R+37.1
Montgomery 4,328 54.5% 3,612 45.5% 2 7,942 D+9.0
Johnson 1,472 18.6% 6,444 81.4% 7,916 R+62.8
Mercer 3,439 44.4% 4,295 55.4% 13 7,747 R+11.0
Letcher 1,926 25.3% 5,687 74.7% 7,613 R+49.4
Lincoln 3,152 44.2% 3,986 55.8% 7,138 R+11.7
Wayne 1,490 21.5% 5,456 78.5% 6,946 R+57.1
Spencer 2,006 29.8% 4,732 70.2% 6,738 R+40.5
Rowan 2,486 38.5% 3,964 61.5% 6,450 R+22.9
Allen 1,374 21.4% 5,048 78.6% 6,422 R+57.2
Adair 1,251 19.5% 5,153 80.5% 6,404 R+60.9
Breckinridge 1,959 31.2% 4,323 68.8% 6,282 R+37.6
Russell 1,178 18.9% 5,071 81.1% 6,249 R+62.3
Grant 1,696 28.1% 4,331 71.9% 6,027 R+43.7
Bourbon 3,083 52.0% 2,841 47.9% 4 5,928 D+4.1
Magoffin 2,023 34.6% 3,821 65.4% 5,844 R+30.8
Knott 2,143 37.5% 3,567 62.5% 5,710 R+24.9
Harrison 1,997 35.6% 3,613 64.4% 5,610 R+28.8
Trigg 1,383 24.7% 4,225 75.3% 5,608 R+50.7
Henry 1,905 34.8% 3,573 65.2% 5,478 R+30.4
Garrard 1,931 36.0% 3,436 64.0% 1 5,368 R+28.0
Marion 2,338 45.9% 2,754 54.1% 5,092 R+8.2
Clay 660 13.2% 4,328 86.8% 4,988 R+73.5
McCreary 684 13.7% 4,298 86.3% 4,982 R+72.5
Union 1,566 31.5% 3,399 68.5% 4,965 R+36.9
Mason 1,699 34.3% 3,252 65.7% 4,951 R+31.4
Fleming 1,708 34.7% 3,217 65.3% 4,925 R+30.6
Hart 1,619 33.1% 3,268 66.9% 4,887 R+33.7
Simpson 1,569 32.5% 3,261 67.5% 4,830 R+35.0
Lawrence 1,608 33.3% 3,220 66.7% 4,828 R+33.4
Caldwell 1,336 28.5% 3,358 71.5% 4,694 R+43.1
Estill 2,215 48.2% 2,379 51.8% 4,594 R+3.6
Rockcastle 544 11.9% 4,030 88.1% 4,574 R+76.2
Monroe 614 13.6% 3,911 86.4% 4,525 R+72.9
Larue 1,370 30.4% 3,139 69.6% 4,509 R+39.2
Leslie 481 10.7% 4,007 89.3% 4,488 R+78.6
Jackson 491 11.1% 3,939 88.9% 4,430 R+77.8
Green 948 21.4% 3,480 78.6% 4,428 R+57.2
Breathitt 1,536 35.1% 2,840 64.9% 4,376 R+29.8
Edmonson 920 21.5% 3,366 78.5% 4,286 R+57.1
Casey 666 16.0% 3,496 84.0% 4,162 R+68.0
Washington 1,390 33.7% 2,737 66.3% 4,127 R+32.6
Webster 1,408 34.6% 2,658 65.4% 4,066 R+30.7
Morgan 1,300 32.1% 2,751 67.9% 4,051 R+35.8
Pendleton 1,166 29.5% 2,788 70.5% 3,954 R+41.0
Butler 728 18.5% 3,211 81.5% 3,939 R+63.0
Powell 2,328 59.6% 1,578 40.4% 3,906 D+19.2
Livingston 1,307 33.7% 2,569 66.3% 3,876 R+32.6
Todd 1,024 26.6% 2,823 73.4% 3,847 R+46.8
Martin 620 16.9% 3,044 83.1% 3,664 R+66.2
Metcalfe 1,287 35.4% 2,349 64.6% 3,636 R+29.2
McLean 1,142 32.0% 2,431 68.0% 3,573 R+36.1
Clinton 512 14.9% 2,915 85.1% 3,427 R+70.1
Crittenden 889 26.0% 2,535 74.0% 3,424 R+48.1
Lewis 768 22.5% 2,646 77.5% 3,414 R+55.0
Owen 1,185 35.0% 2,200 65.0% 3,385 R+30.0
Carroll 1,409 43.3% 1,844 56.7% 3,253 R+13.4
Lyon 1,051 33.0% 2,135 67.0% 3,186 R+34.0
Bath 1,484 46.6% 1,698 53.4% 3,182 R+6.7
Bracken 1,077 34.7% 2,029 65.3% 3,106 R+30.7
Hancock 1,455 47.0% 1,640 53.0% 3,095 R+6.0
Ballard 951 31.4% 2,075 68.6% 3,026 R+37.1
Lee 342 12.4% 2,407 87.6% 2,749 R+75.1
Gallatin 1,065 39.0% 1,665 61.0% 2,730 R+22.0
Trimble 1,011 37.8% 1,665 62.2% 2,676 R+24.4
Cumberland 440 17.5% 2,080 82.5% 2,520 R+65.1
Menifee 881 37.0% 1,498 63.0% 2,379 R+25.9
Carlisle 643 29.0% 1,571 71.0% 2,214 R+41.9
Fulton 752 36.5% 1,307 63.5% 2,059 R+27.0
Nicholas 771 40.2% 1,149 59.8% 1,920 R+19.7
Owsley 296 15.4% 1,623 84.6% 1,919 R+69.2
Wolfe 781 43.8% 1,002 56.2% 1,783 R+12.4
Hickman 577 34.0% 1,119 66.0% 1,696 R+32.0
Elliott 818 58.1% 589 41.9% 1,407 D+16.3
Robertson 309 42.0% 427 58.0% 736 R+16.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8