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Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US House elections in Arizona

Arizona elected 8 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 8th district, decided by 1.5 points: Gabrielle Giffords (Democrat) beat Jesse Kelly (Republican), 48.8% to 47.3%, a margin of 1.5 points and 4,156 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 10 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Maricopa, cast 969,706 votes and went to the Republican by 15.9 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 346 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Ann Kirkpatrick99,233 (43.7%) Paul Gosar112,816 (49.7%) 14,869 R+6.0
2 John Thrasher82,891 (31.1%) Trent Franks173,173 (64.9%) 10,830 R+33.8
3 Jon Hulburd85,610 (41.1%) Ben Quayle108,689 (52.2%) 13,772 R+11.1
4 Ed Pastor61,524 (66.9%) Janet Contreras25,300 (27.5%) 5,083 D+39.4
5 Harry E. Mitchell91,749 (43.2%) David Schweikert110,374 (52.0%) 10,127 R+8.8
6 Rebecca Schneider72,615 (29.1%) Jeff Flake165,649 (66.4%) 11,119 R+37.3
7 Raul M. Grijalva79,935 (50.2%) Ruth McClung70,385 (44.2%) 8,824 D+6.0
8 Gabrielle Giffords138,280 (48.8%) Jesse Kelly134,124 (47.3%) 11,174 D+1.5

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 383,040 39.5% 537,145 55.4% 49,521 969,706 R+15.9
Pima 163,479 52.4% 136,941 43.9% 11,339 311,759 D+8.5
Yavapai 27,179 33.9% 47,449 59.2% 5,590 80,218 R+25.3
Pinal 29,060 37.3% 43,812 56.3% 4,961 77,833 R+19.0
Mohave 13,084 24.7% 36,882 69.6% 2,990 52,956 R+44.9
Cochise 17,049 42.7% 20,999 52.6% 1,902 39,950 R+9.9
Coconino 21,097 54.8% 15,251 39.6% 2,165 38,513 D+15.2
Yuma 11,998 36.3% 20,224 61.2% 816 33,038 R+24.9
Navajo 13,345 45.3% 14,104 47.8% 2,032 29,481 R+2.6
Apache 14,227 69.2% 5,445 26.5% 901 20,573 D+42.7
Gila 6,475 36.4% 9,701 54.5% 1,616 17,792 R+18.1
Santa Cruz 6,250 43.4% 3,432 23.8% 4,731 14,413 D+19.6
Graham 3,104 31.7% 5,263 53.8% 1,414 9,781 R+22.1
La Paz 1,163 27.4% 2,921 68.8% 161 4,245 R+41.4
Greenlee 1,287 53.8% 941 39.3% 165 2,393 D+14.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 6 R+4.0
2022 D 3, R 6 R+13.2
2020 D 5, R 4 R+0.3
2018 D 5, R 4 D+1.7
2016 D 4, R 5 R+9.5
2014 D 4, R 5 R+16.3
2012 D 5, R 4 R+8.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+11.1
2008 D 5, R 3 D+1.6
2006 D 4, R 4 R+9.6
2004 D 2, R 6 R+28.3
2002 D 2, R 6 R+17.6
2000 D 1, R 5 R+20.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.6
1996 D 1, R 5 R+20.6
1994 D 1, R 5 R+22.1
1992 D 3, R 3 R+11.2
1990 D 1, R 4 R+28.6