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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US Senate election in Arizona

John McCain (Republican) beat Ann Kirkpatrick (Democrat) in Arizona in 2016, 53.7% to 40.7%, a margin of 13.0 points and 328,022 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2010, when John McCain also won.

Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,534,633 votes and went to the Republican by 15.6 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 595 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 1,359,267 53.7%
Ann Kirkpatrick Democratic 1,031,245 40.7%
Gary Swing Green 138,634 5.5%
All other candidates 1,584 0.1%
Total2,530,730

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 602,635 39.3% 842,425 54.9% 89,573 1,534,633 R+15.6
Pima 202,213 49.1% 187,910 45.6% 21,879 412,002 D+3.5
Pinal 45,402 35.6% 72,787 57.1% 9,326 127,515 R+21.5
Yavapai 34,527 31.0% 68,032 61.1% 8,807 111,366 R+30.1
Mohave 19,045 24.6% 50,486 65.2% 7,873 77,404 R+40.6
Coconino 31,695 53.6% 24,031 40.6% 3,455 59,181 D+13.0
Yuma 19,451 39.0% 27,290 54.7% 3,141 49,882 R+15.7
Cochise 17,638 36.0% 27,627 56.4% 3,710 48,975 R+20.4
Navajo 17,645 44.7% 18,760 47.5% 3,065 39,470 R+2.8
Apache 18,446 66.2% 7,944 28.5% 1,476 27,866 D+37.7
Gila 6,701 30.9% 13,157 60.8% 1,794 21,652 R+29.8
Santa Cruz 9,745 60.8% 5,635 35.2% 651 16,031 D+25.6
Graham 3,280 27.4% 7,728 64.5% 978 11,986 R+37.1
La Paz 1,629 28.1% 3,662 63.1% 512 5,803 R+35.0
Greenlee 1,189 36.3% 1,784 54.5% 303 3,276 R+18.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ruben Gallego (D) D+2.4
2022 Mark Kelly (D) D+4.9
2018 Kyrsten Sinema (D) D+2.3
2016 John McCain (R) R+13.0
2012 Jeff Flake (R) R+3.0
2010 John McCain (R) R+24.2
2006 Jon Kyl (R) R+9.8
2004 John McCain (R) R+56.1
2000 Jon Kyl (R) R+79.3
1998 John McCain (R) R+41.6
1994 Jon Kyl (R) R+14.2
1992 John McCain (R) R+24.2
1988 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+15.7
1986 John McCain (R) R+21.0
1982 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+16.6
1980 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.1
1976 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+10.7
1974 Barry Goldwater (R) R+16.5
1970 Paul Fannin (R) R+12.0
1968 Barry Goldwater (R) R+14.4
1964 Paul Fannin (R) R+2.9
1962 Carl Hayden (D) D+9.9
1958 Barry Goldwater (R) R+12.1
1956 Carl Hayden (D) D+22.8
1952 Barry Goldwater (R) R+2.6
1950 Carl Hayden (D) D+25.6
1946 Ernest McFarland (D) D+39.1
1944 Carl Hayden (D) D+38.7
1940 Ernest McFarland (D) D+43.6
1938 Carl Hayden (D) D+53.0
1934 Henry Ashurst (D) D+46.4
1932 Carl Hayden (D) D+34.6
1928 Henry Ashurst (D) D+8.5
1926 Carl Hayden (D) D+16.7
1922 Henry Ashurst (D) D+30.1
1920 Ralph H. Cameron (R) R+10.3
1916 Henry Ashurst (D) D+16.0
1914 Marcus A. Smith (D) D+34.3