Election 2016 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2016 Senate election results by state and county
Donald Trump won the presidency and Republicans kept the Senate, though Democrats gained two seats by taking Illinois and, by about a thousand votes, New Hampshire.
34 Senate races were held in 2016. Democrats won 12 and Republicans 22.
The closest were New Hampshire (D+0.1), Pennsylvania (R+1.4) and Nevada (D+2.4). 3 seats changed party: Alaska to the Republicans, Illinois to the Democrats and New Hampshire to the Democrats.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
About the 2016 Senate elections
Trump's win over Hillary Clinton surprised most forecasters, and so did the Senate results. Democrats had hoped to win the chamber, but Republicans held almost every competitive seat. Democrats won 12 Senate races and Republicans 22. Democrats gained only Illinois, where Tammy Duckworth beat Mark Kirk, and New Hampshire, where Maggie Hassan beat Kelly Ayotte by about 0.1 points. Republicans kept a 52-48 majority. In Pennsylvania, Pat Toomey beat Katie McGinty by 1.4 points, and in Wisconsin Ron Johnson beat Russ Feingold again, this time by 3.4 points. Roy Blunt held Missouri against Jason Kander, and Richard Burr held North Carolina. Marco Rubio, who had said he would not run again after his presidential campaign, changed his mind and won Florida. John McCain won a sixth term in Arizona. In Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto held Harry Reid's seat for the Democrats and became the first Latina senator. In Indiana, Evan Bayh's comeback attempt failed against Todd Young.
Every race
| State | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Ron Crumpton | 748,709 (35.9%) | Richard C. Shelby | 1,335,104 (64.0%) | 3,631 | R+28.1 |
| Alaska flip | Ray Metcalfe | 36,200 (11.6%) | Lisa Murkowski | 138,149 (44.4%) | Joe Miller (Libertarian) 90,825 (29.2%) |
R+32.7 |
| Arizona | Ann Kirkpatrick | 1,031,245 (40.7%) | John McCain | 1,359,267 (53.7%) | Gary Swing (Green) 138,634 (5.5%) |
R+13.0 |
| Arkansas | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 (36.2%) | John Boozman | 661,984 (59.8%) | 44,936 | R+23.6 |
| California | Kamala Harris | 7,542,753 (61.6%) | none | Loretta Sanchez (Democratic) 4,701,417 (38.4%) |
D+61.6 | |
| Colorado | Michael F. Bennet | 1,370,710 (50.0%) | Darryl Glenn | 1,215,318 (44.3%) | 156,995 | D+5.7 |
| Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal | 1,008,714 (63.2%) | Dan Carter | 552,621 (34.6%) | 34,941 | D+28.6 |
| Florida | Patrick Murphy | 4,122,088 (44.3%) | Marco Rubio | 4,835,191 (52.0%) | 344,541 | R+7.7 |
| Georgia | Jim Barksdale | 1,599,726 (41.0%) | Johnny Isakson | 2,135,806 (54.8%) | 163,073 | R+13.8 |
| Hawaii | Brian Schatz | 306,604 (73.6%) | John Carroll | 92,653 (22.2%) | 17,305 | D+51.4 |
| Idaho | Jerry Sturgill | 188,249 (27.7%) | Mike Crapo | 449,017 (66.1%) | Ray J. Writz (Constitution) 41,677 (6.1%) |
R+38.4 |
| Illinois flip | Tammy Duckworth | 3,012,940 (54.9%) | Mark Kirk | 2,184,692 (39.8%) | 294,246 | D+15.1 |
| Indiana | Evan Bayh | 1,158,947 (42.4%) | Todd Young | 1,423,991 (52.1%) | Lucy Brenton (Libertarian) 149,481 (5.5%) |
R+9.7 |
| Iowa | Patty Judge | 549,460 (35.7%) | Chuck Grassley | 926,007 (60.1%) | 65,569 | R+24.4 |
| Kansas | Patrick Wiesner | 379,740 (32.2%) | Jerry Moran | 732,376 (62.2%) | Robert D. Garrard (Libertarian) 65,760 (5.6%) |
R+29.9 |
| Kentucky | Jim Gray | 813,246 (42.7%) | Rand Paul | 1,090,177 (57.3%) | 42 | R+14.6 |
| Louisiana | Foster Campbell | 347,816 (39.3%) | John Neely Kennedy | 536,191 (60.7%) | R+21.3 | |
| Louisiana: Decided in the December runoff. | ||||||
| Maryland | Chris Van Hollen | 1,659,907 (60.9%) | Kathy Szeliga | 972,557 (35.7%) | 93,706 | D+25.2 |
| Missouri | Jason Kander | 1,300,200 (46.4%) | Roy Blunt | 1,378,458 (49.2%) | 123,979 | R+2.8 |
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez Masto | 521,994 (47.1%) | Joseph J. Heck | 495,079 (44.7%) | 91,221 | D+2.4 |
| New Hampshire flip | Maggie Hassan | 354,649 (48.0%) | Kelly Ayotte | 353,632 (47.8%) | 30,859 | D+0.1 |
| New York | Chuck Schumer | 5,221,945 (70.6%) | Wendy Long | 2,009,355 (27.2%) | 165,071 | D+43.4 |
| North Carolina | Deborah K. Ross | 2,128,165 (45.4%) | Richard Burr | 2,395,376 (51.1%) | 167,592 | R+5.7 |
| North Dakota | Eliot Glassheim | 58,116 (17.0%) | John Hoeven | 268,788 (78.5%) | 15,597 | R+61.5 |
| Ohio | Ted Strickland | 1,996,908 (37.2%) | Rob Portman | 3,118,567 (58.0%) | 258,689 | R+20.9 |
| Oklahoma | Mike Workman | 355,911 (24.6%) | James Lankford | 980,892 (67.7%) | 111,244 | R+43.2 |
| Oregon | Ron Wyden | 1,105,119 (56.6%) | Mark Callahan | 651,106 (33.3%) | 196,253 | D+23.3 |
| Pennsylvania | Katie McGinty | 2,865,012 (47.3%) | Patrick J. Toomey | 2,951,702 (48.8%) | 235,142 | R+1.4 |
| South Carolina | Thomas Dixon | 757,022 (36.9%) | Tim Scott | 1,241,609 (60.6%) | 51,262 | R+23.6 |
| South Dakota | Jay Williams | 104,140 (28.2%) | John R. Thune | 265,516 (71.8%) | R+43.7 | |
| Utah | Misty K. Snow | 301,858 (27.1%) | Mike Lee | 760,220 (68.1%) | 53,505 | R+41.1 |
| Vermont | Patrick Leahy | 192,243 (61.3%) | Scott Milne | 103,637 (33.0%) | 17,929 | D+28.2 |
| Washington | Patty Murray | 1,913,979 (59.0%) | Chris Vance | 1,329,338 (41.0%) | D+18.0 | |
| Wisconsin | Russ Feingold | 1,380,335 (46.8%) | Ron Johnson | 1,479,471 (50.2%) | 88,935 | R+3.4 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). How these results were checked.