United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US Senate election in Florida

Marco Rubio (Republican) beat Patrick Murphy (Democrat) in Florida in 2016, 52.0% to 44.3%, a margin of 7.7 points and 713,103 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2010, when Marco Rubio also won.

Republicans led in 58 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 971,184 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.3 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 128 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Marco Rubio won Republican 4,835,191 52.0%
Patrick Murphy Democratic 4,122,088 44.3%
All other candidates 344,541 3.7%
Total9,301,820

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 529,445 54.5% 420,063 43.3% 21,676 971,184 D+11.3
Broward 522,932 63.8% 278,766 34.0% 18,337 820,035 D+29.8
Palm Beach 350,625 53.7% 287,899 44.1% 14,793 653,317 D+9.6
Hillsborough 281,122 47.5% 283,871 48.0% 26,652 591,645 R+0.5
Orange 293,696 54.3% 224,853 41.6% 22,027 540,576 D+12.7
Pinellas 222,928 45.9% 236,421 48.7% 26,002 485,351 R+2.8
Duval 171,598 40.0% 241,000 56.2% 15,992 428,590 R+16.2
Lee 104,591 32.5% 204,778 63.6% 12,471 321,840 R+31.1
Brevard 112,914 36.2% 181,496 58.2% 17,591 312,001 R+22.0
Polk 110,363 39.3% 156,196 55.6% 14,247 280,806 R+16.3
Volusia 104,531 40.7% 139,933 54.4% 12,652 257,116 R+13.8
Pasco 88,665 37.2% 134,779 56.6% 14,637 238,081 R+19.4
Sarasota 92,332 40.9% 124,163 55.0% 9,459 225,954 R+14.1
Seminole 94,435 42.6% 117,728 53.1% 9,597 221,760 R+10.5
Manatee 66,545 37.5% 102,717 57.9% 8,264 177,526 R+20.4
Marion 59,537 34.5% 104,400 60.5% 8,669 172,606 R+26.0
Collier 49,470 29.2% 115,719 68.3% 4,335 169,524 R+39.1
Lake 59,151 35.2% 100,664 59.9% 8,145 167,960 R+24.7
Escambia 51,316 33.8% 94,200 62.1% 6,163 151,679 R+28.3
Leon 86,641 57.3% 59,958 39.6% 4,677 151,276 D+17.6
St. Lucie 69,590 49.8% 66,222 47.4% 3,964 139,776 D+2.4
Osceola 75,646 54.5% 57,103 41.2% 5,987 138,736 D+13.4
St. Johns 35,580 26.2% 95,753 70.5% 4,443 135,776 R+44.3
Alachua 69,399 54.4% 54,203 42.5% 3,936 127,538 D+11.9
Clay 23,251 22.0% 77,965 73.9% 4,241 105,457 R+51.9
Okaloosa 20,813 20.8% 74,749 74.6% 4,620 100,182 R+53.8
Charlotte 30,207 31.7% 60,194 63.2% 4,821 95,222 R+31.5
Hernando 32,766 35.4% 53,708 58.0% 6,099 92,573 R+22.6
Santa Rosa 16,284 18.7% 66,921 76.7% 4,029 87,234 R+58.0
Bay 19,971 23.0% 62,906 72.4% 3,982 86,859 R+49.4
Martin 33,685 39.4% 49,806 58.2% 2,110 85,601 R+18.8
Indian River 28,288 35.8% 48,181 60.9% 2,625 79,094 R+25.2
Citrus 24,038 30.7% 48,798 62.2% 5,583 78,419 R+31.6
Sumter 21,187 27.9% 51,846 68.2% 2,951 75,984 R+40.3
Flagler 21,260 37.5% 32,914 58.0% 2,534 56,708 R+20.6
Nassau 9,544 20.7% 34,974 75.7% 1,674 46,192 R+55.1
Highlands 14,498 32.2% 28,123 62.4% 2,426 45,047 R+30.2
Monroe 18,738 44.7% 21,629 51.7% 1,508 41,875 R+6.9
Walton 6,334 19.0% 25,722 77.0% 1,343 33,399 R+58.0
Putnam 9,910 30.3% 21,474 65.6% 1,361 32,745 R+35.3
Columbia 7,361 26.0% 19,924 70.3% 1,056 28,341 R+44.3
Gadsden 14,573 66.4% 6,887 31.4% 493 21,953 D+35.0
Jackson 6,362 30.5% 13,820 66.2% 700 20,882 R+35.7
Levy 5,294 27.7% 12,914 67.6% 904 19,112 R+39.9
Suwannee 4,483 24.2% 13,335 72.0% 711 18,529 R+47.8
Wakulla 4,852 31.9% 9,773 64.2% 586 15,211 R+32.4
Okeechobee 4,287 31.7% 8,647 64.0% 571 13,505 R+32.3
Baker 2,135 17.1% 9,901 79.3% 450 12,486 R+62.2
Bradford 2,694 22.7% 8,720 73.4% 467 11,881 R+50.7
Washington 2,232 20.2% 8,323 75.4% 489 11,044 R+55.2
Hendry 3,892 35.6% 6,683 61.1% 364 10,939 R+25.5
Desoto 3,346 31.4% 6,844 64.2% 471 10,661 R+32.8
Taylor 2,658 28.8% 6,216 67.3% 367 9,241 R+38.5
Holmes 976 11.6% 7,039 83.5% 411 8,426 R+72.0
Madison 3,564 42.4% 4,584 54.5% 261 8,409 R+12.1
Gilchrist 1,675 20.1% 6,303 75.6% 358 8,336 R+55.5
Jefferson 3,623 47.7% 3,751 49.3% 228 7,602 R+1.7
Hardee 2,025 27.0% 5,151 68.6% 335 7,511 R+41.6
Gulf 1,750 24.3% 5,191 72.0% 271 7,212 R+47.7
Dixie 1,582 22.6% 5,040 72.1% 369 6,991 R+49.5
Calhoun 1,275 21.2% 4,331 72.1% 403 6,009 R+50.9
Franklin 1,826 30.9% 3,861 65.3% 226 5,913 R+34.4
Union 1,064 19.0% 4,313 77.2% 212 5,589 R+58.1
Hamilton 2,106 39.3% 3,050 56.9% 206 5,362 R+17.6
Glades 1,196 27.8% 2,927 68.1% 175 4,298 R+40.3
Lafayette 669 19.9% 2,572 76.4% 124 3,365 R+56.6
Liberty 748 23.3% 2,290 71.3% 174 3,212 R+48.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Rick Scott (R) R+12.8
2022 Marco Rubio (R) R+16.3
2018 Rick Scott (R) R+0.1
2016 Marco Rubio (R) R+7.7
2012 Bill Nelson (D) D+13.0
2010 Marco Rubio (R) R+28.7
2006 Bill Nelson (D) D+22.2
2004 Mel Martinez (R) R+1.1
2000 Bill Nelson (D) D+4.9
1998 Bob Graham (D) D+24.9
1994 Connie Mack (R) R+41.0
1992 Bob Graham (D) D+30.8
1988 Connie Mack (R) R+0.8
1986 Bob Graham (D) D+9.5
1982 Lawton Chiles (D) D+23.5
1980 Paula Hawkins (R) R+3.3
1976 Lawton Chiles (D) D+26.0
1974 Richard Stone (D) D+2.5
1970 Lawton Chiles (D) D+7.7
1968 Edward J. Gurney (R) R+11.8
1964 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+27.9
1962 George A. Smathers (D) D+40.1
1958 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+42.5
1956 George A. Smathers (D) D+100.0
1952 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+100.0
1950 George A. Smathers (D) D+52.6
1946 Spessard L. Holland (D) D+57.3
1944 Claude Pepper (D) D+42.6
1940 Charles O. Andrews (D) D+100.0
1938 Claude Pepper (D) D+64.9
1934 Park Trammell (D) D+100.0
1932 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+100.0
1928 Park Trammell (D) D+37.1
1926 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+65.1
1922 Park Trammell (D) D+88.3
1920 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+43.5
1916 Park Trammell (D) D+70.4
1914 Duncan U. Fletcher (D) D+99.5