United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Ohio

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Ohio in 2016, 51.7% to 43.6%, a margin of 8.1 points and 446,841 votes.

Ohio voted 10.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Ohio changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 80 of the 88 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Cuyahoga, cast 603,822 votes and went to the Democrat by 35.5 points. The closest was Lorain, where 131 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,841,005 51.7%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,394,164 43.6%
All other candidates 261,318 4.8%
Total5,496,487

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Cuyahoga 398,271 66.0% 184,211 30.5% 21,340 603,822 D+35.5
Franklin 351,198 60.4% 199,331 34.3% 30,611 581,140 D+26.1
Hamilton 215,719 52.7% 173,665 42.4% 19,725 409,109 D+10.3
Montgomery 122,016 47.2% 123,909 48.0% 12,376 258,301 R+0.7
Summit 134,256 52.0% 112,026 43.4% 11,697 257,979 D+8.6
Lucas 110,833 56.1% 75,698 38.3% 11,025 197,556 D+17.8
Stark 68,146 38.9% 98,388 56.1% 8,705 175,239 R+17.3
Butler 58,642 33.7% 106,976 61.5% 8,221 173,839 R+27.8
Lorain 66,949 47.6% 66,818 47.5% 6,795 140,562 D+0.1
Warren 33,730 28.8% 77,643 66.2% 5,894 117,267 R+37.4
Lake 46,397 39.9% 64,255 55.3% 5,594 116,246 R+15.4
Mahoning 57,381 49.9% 53,616 46.6% 4,075 115,072 D+3.3
Delaware 40,872 39.4% 57,568 55.4% 5,420 103,860 R+16.1
Clermont 26,715 27.0% 67,518 68.1% 4,888 99,121 R+41.2
Trumbull 43,014 44.8% 49,024 51.1% 3,991 96,029 R+6.3
Medina 32,182 35.2% 54,810 60.0% 4,381 91,373 R+24.8
Licking 27,376 33.1% 51,241 61.9% 4,144 82,761 R+28.8
Greene 28,943 35.4% 48,540 59.3% 4,375 81,858 R+23.9
Portage 32,397 42.5% 39,971 52.5% 3,771 76,139 R+9.9
Fairfield 24,881 34.1% 44,314 60.8% 3,718 72,913 R+26.7
Wood 27,318 42.5% 32,498 50.5% 4,525 64,341 R+8.1
Clark 23,328 38.0% 35,205 57.3% 2,896 61,429 R+19.3
Richland 16,085 29.1% 36,590 66.3% 2,539 55,214 R+37.1
Miami 13,120 24.9% 37,079 70.3% 2,535 52,734 R+45.4
Geauga 17,569 35.2% 30,227 60.5% 2,145 49,941 R+25.3
Wayne 15,031 30.2% 32,270 64.7% 2,552 49,853 R+34.6
Columbiana 12,432 26.9% 31,676 68.6% 2,093 46,201 R+41.7
Allen 13,294 29.0% 30,487 66.4% 2,113 45,894 R+37.5
Tuscarawas 12,188 29.5% 26,918 65.2% 2,183 41,289 R+35.7
Ashtabula 15,577 38.1% 23,318 57.1% 1,972 40,867 R+18.9
Erie 16,057 42.7% 19,648 52.3% 1,873 37,578 R+9.6
Muskingum 11,123 30.1% 24,056 65.0% 1,812 36,991 R+35.0
Hancock 9,609 26.7% 24,183 67.1% 2,231 36,023 R+40.5
Jefferson 9,675 30.0% 21,117 65.6% 1,409 32,201 R+35.5
Belmont 8,785 28.2% 21,108 67.8% 1,229 31,122 R+39.6
Scioto 9,132 29.7% 20,550 66.8% 1,102 30,784 R+37.1
Ross 10,356 34.1% 18,652 61.4% 1,372 30,380 R+27.3
Washington 8,026 26.9% 20,514 68.7% 1,300 29,840 R+41.8
Athens 16,370 55.6% 11,354 38.6% 1,719 29,443 D+17.0
Knox 8,171 28.5% 19,131 66.7% 1,385 28,687 R+38.2
Sandusky 9,929 35.4% 16,316 58.2% 1,799 28,044 R+22.8
Union 7,718 28.1% 18,096 66.0% 1,615 27,429 R+37.8
Lawrence 6,974 26.2% 18,689 70.2% 944 26,607 R+44.0
Marion 7,928 30.1% 16,961 64.4% 1,433 26,322 R+34.3
Darke 4,470 17.5% 20,012 78.5% 1,002 25,484 R+61.0
Huron 7,192 29.0% 16,226 65.3% 1,416 24,834 R+36.4
Pickaway 6,529 26.4% 17,076 69.0% 1,140 24,745 R+42.6
Ashland 5,740 23.3% 17,493 71.1% 1,357 24,590 R+47.8
Seneca 7,404 30.9% 14,825 61.8% 1,758 23,987 R+30.9
Shelby 4,243 17.9% 18,590 78.3% 907 23,740 R+60.4
Auglaize 3,980 16.8% 18,658 79.0% 989 23,627 R+62.1
Ottawa 8,285 37.3% 12,653 56.9% 1,280 22,218 R+19.7
Mercer 3,384 15.6% 17,506 80.6% 836 21,726 R+65.0
Logan 4,647 21.5% 15,957 74.0% 967 21,571 R+52.4
Fulton 6,069 28.6% 13,709 64.6% 1,447 21,225 R+36.0
Preble 4,325 21.0% 15,446 75.1% 794 20,565 R+54.1
Brown 4,353 22.2% 14,573 74.3% 681 19,607 R+52.1
Crawford 4,625 24.0% 13,611 70.8% 1,001 19,237 R+46.7
Putnam 2,922 15.6% 14,961 79.7% 884 18,767 R+64.1
Clinton 4,066 21.8% 13,838 74.1% 771 18,675 R+52.3
Highland 3,773 20.4% 14,020 75.8% 708 18,501 R+55.4
Defiance 5,368 29.5% 11,688 64.2% 1,136 18,192 R+34.7
Champaign 4,594 25.4% 12,631 69.8% 879 18,104 R+44.4
Williams 4,358 25.2% 11,939 69.0% 1,011 17,308 R+43.8
Madison 4,779 27.6% 11,631 67.3% 880 17,290 R+39.6
Guernsey 4,359 26.3% 11,445 69.1% 753 16,557 R+42.8
Morrow 3,761 22.7% 11,948 72.2% 839 16,548 R+49.5
Coshocton 4,013 25.8% 10,785 69.3% 754 15,552 R+43.5
Perry 4,138 27.6% 10,228 68.2% 629 14,995 R+40.6
Henry 3,756 27.0% 9,301 66.8% 875 13,932 R+39.8
Van Wert 2,697 19.6% 10,469 76.0% 604 13,770 R+56.4
Jackson 3,226 23.6% 9,949 72.7% 518 13,693 R+49.1
Carroll 3,154 24.1% 9,254 70.8% 666 13,074 R+46.7
Gallia 2,628 20.3% 9,822 76.0% 481 12,931 R+55.6
Hocking 3,775 29.4% 8,497 66.2% 566 12,838 R+36.8
Hardin 2,920 23.8% 8,717 70.9% 657 12,294 R+47.2
Pike 3,539 29.8% 7,902 66.5% 438 11,879 R+36.7
Adams 2,326 20.5% 8,659 76.2% 374 11,359 R+55.8
Fayette 2,739 24.5% 7,995 71.6% 428 11,162 R+47.1
Holmes 1,788 16.2% 8,720 78.9% 546 11,054 R+62.7
Wyandot 2,515 23.7% 7,468 70.5% 609 10,592 R+46.8
Meigs 2,260 22.6% 7,309 73.2% 416 9,985 R+50.6
Paulding 2,093 23.1% 6,500 71.8% 454 9,047 R+48.7
Harrison 1,688 23.8% 5,098 72.0% 293 7,079 R+48.2
Monroe 1,662 24.5% 4,868 71.6% 265 6,795 R+47.2
Morgan 1,736 26.9% 4,431 68.8% 276 6,443 R+41.8
Noble 1,221 20.3% 4,549 75.7% 243 6,013 R+55.3
Vinton 1,351 24.6% 3,883 70.6% 268 5,502 R+46.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Ohio in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+11.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.0
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+8.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+3.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+4.6
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+2.1
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+10.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+10.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+0.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+21.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+25.9
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.6
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.5
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+0.2
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+0.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+30.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.6
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+19.9
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+7.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+14.1
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+6.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+25.4
1900 William McKinley (R) R+6.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+5.0
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+0.1
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+4.1
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.7
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+1.1
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+8.0