United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Texas

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Texas in 2004, 61.1% to 38.2%, a margin of 22.9 points and 1,694,213 votes.

Texas voted 20.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 236 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 18. The largest, Harris, cast 1,067,968 votes and went to the Republican by 10.2 points. The closest was Kenedy, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 4,526,917 61.1%
John Kerry Democratic 2,832,704 38.2%
All other candidates 51,128 0.7%
Total7,410,749

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 475,865 44.6% 584,723 54.8% 7,380 1,067,968 R+10.2
Dallas 336,641 49.0% 346,246 50.3% 4,822 687,709 R+1.4
Tarrant 207,286 37.0% 349,462 62.4% 3,393 560,141 R+25.4
Bexar 210,976 44.4% 260,698 54.8% 3,640 475,314 R+10.5
Travis 197,235 56.0% 147,885 42.0% 6,993 352,113 D+14.0
Collin 68,935 28.1% 174,435 71.2% 1,784 245,154 R+43.0
Denton 59,346 29.5% 140,891 70.0% 1,173 201,410 R+40.5
El Paso 95,142 56.1% 73,261 43.2% 1,170 169,573 D+12.9
Fort Bend 68,722 42.1% 93,625 57.4% 822 163,169 R+15.3
Montgomery 28,628 21.4% 104,654 78.1% 706 133,988 R+56.7
Williamson 43,117 33.6% 83,284 65.0% 1,797 128,198 R+31.3
Hidalgo 62,369 54.9% 50,931 44.8% 383 113,683 D+10.1
Galveston 43,919 41.4% 61,290 57.8% 772 105,981 R+16.4
Nueces 44,439 42.5% 59,359 56.8% 762 104,560 R+14.3
Brazoria 28,904 31.0% 63,662 68.3% 682 93,248 R+37.3
Lubbock 22,472 24.1% 70,135 75.3% 544 93,151 R+51.2
Jefferson 47,066 51.2% 44,423 48.4% 377 91,866 D+2.9
Bell 27,165 34.1% 52,135 65.4% 424 79,724 R+31.3
McLennan 26,760 33.8% 52,090 65.7% 404 79,254 R+32.0
Smith 19,970 27.1% 53,392 72.5% 302 73,664 R+45.4
Cameron 33,998 49.2% 34,801 50.3% 357 69,156 R+1.2
Brazos 16,128 29.7% 37,594 69.2% 587 54,309 R+39.5
Randall 7,849 16.2% 40,520 83.4% 218 48,587 R+67.2
Taylor 10,648 22.1% 37,197 77.3% 254 48,099 R+55.2
Hays 20,110 42.1% 27,021 56.5% 692 47,823 R+14.5
Johnson 12,325 26.0% 34,818 73.4% 279 47,422 R+47.4
Ellis 11,640 25.1% 34,602 74.5% 202 46,444 R+49.4
Wichita 12,819 28.1% 32,472 71.3% 254 45,545 R+43.2
Midland 8,005 17.9% 36,585 81.6% 244 44,834 R+63.7
Grayson 13,452 30.3% 30,777 69.3% 194 44,423 R+39.0
Gregg 12,306 29.0% 29,939 70.6% 153 42,398 R+41.6
Webb 23,654 56.9% 17,753 42.7% 149 41,556 D+14.2
Comal 9,153 22.3% 31,574 76.9% 316 41,043 R+54.6
Parker 8,966 21.9% 31,795 77.6% 196 40,957 R+55.7
Guadalupe 10,290 26.6% 28,208 72.8% 254 38,752 R+46.2
Tom Green 9,007 24.1% 28,185 75.3% 225 37,417 R+51.3
Ector 8,579 23.6% 27,502 75.7% 229 36,310 R+52.1
Bowie 11,880 35.2% 21,791 64.5% 89 33,760 R+29.4
Orange 11,476 36.0% 20,292 63.6% 140 31,908 R+27.6
Kaufman 8,947 29.5% 21,304 70.2% 115 30,366 R+40.7
Victoria 8,553 28.9% 20,875 70.5% 174 29,602 R+41.6
Potter 7,489 25.8% 21,401 73.7% 166 29,056 R+47.9
Henderson 8,505 29.5% 20,210 70.1% 134 28,849 R+40.6
Angelina 9,302 32.8% 18,932 66.7% 130 28,364 R+34.0
Hunt 7,971 28.3% 20,065 71.2% 158 28,194 R+42.9
Harrison 9,642 36.8% 16,473 62.8% 108 26,223 R+26.0
Rockwall 5,320 20.8% 20,120 78.7% 141 25,581 R+57.9
Bastrop 9,794 41.8% 13,290 56.7% 357 23,441 R+14.9
Liberty 6,780 31.3% 14,821 68.3% 90 21,691 R+37.1
Nacogdoches 7,152 33.3% 14,160 66.0% 154 21,466 R+32.6
San Patricio 7,764 36.4% 13,474 63.2% 82 21,320 R+26.8
Hood 4,865 22.8% 16,280 76.5% 148 21,293 R+53.6
Kerr 4,557 21.4% 16,538 77.8% 151 21,246 R+56.4
Polk 6,964 33.4% 13,778 66.1% 104 20,846 R+32.7
Hardin 5,608 27.1% 15,030 72.6% 72 20,710 R+45.5
Wise 4,783 23.9% 15,177 75.8% 71 20,031 R+51.9
Van Zandt 4,822 24.3% 14,976 75.4% 58 19,856 R+51.1
Rusk 4,899 26.7% 13,390 73.0% 55 18,344 R+46.3
Walker 5,977 33.5% 11,710 65.7% 135 17,822 R+32.2
Coryell 5,122 29.1% 12,421 70.5% 82 17,625 R+41.4
Lamar 5,338 30.6% 12,054 69.0% 78 17,470 R+38.4
Wood 4,034 23.8% 12,831 75.8% 64 16,929 R+52.0
Anderson 4,678 28.7% 11,525 70.7% 98 16,301 R+42.0
Navarro 5,259 32.8% 10,715 66.8% 60 16,034 R+34.0
Cherokee 4,439 28.0% 11,329 71.5% 71 15,839 R+43.5
Burnet 4,147 26.3% 11,456 72.8% 139 15,742 R+46.4
Cooke 3,142 20.8% 11,908 78.8% 57 15,107 R+58.0
Wilson 4,409 29.6% 10,400 69.9% 76 14,885 R+40.2
Medina 4,322 29.2% 10,389 70.1% 115 14,826 R+40.9
Upshur 4,225 29.1% 10,232 70.4% 69 14,526 R+41.4
Brown 2,523 17.7% 11,640 81.7% 90 14,253 R+64.0
Kendall 2,532 18.0% 11,434 81.3% 106 14,072 R+63.3
Wharton 4,702 33.5% 9,288 66.2% 49 14,039 R+32.7
Waller 6,145 44.3% 7,679 55.3% 57 13,881 R+11.1
Washington 3,389 25.9% 9,597 73.5% 77 13,063 R+47.5
Hill 3,751 28.7% 9,225 70.7% 77 13,053 R+41.9
Jasper 4,471 34.7% 8,347 64.8% 55 12,873 R+30.1
Jim Wells 6,824 53.8% 5,817 45.8% 50 12,691 D+7.9
Matagorda 4,355 34.8% 8,119 64.8% 47 12,521 R+30.1
Erath 2,710 22.1% 9,506 77.4% 65 12,281 R+55.3
Atascosa 4,421 36.5% 7,635 63.0% 60 12,116 R+26.5
Hopkins 3,443 28.5% 8,582 71.1% 37 12,062 R+42.6
Cass 4,630 38.4% 7,383 61.3% 36 12,049 R+22.8
Fannin 4,001 33.5% 7,893 66.0% 66 11,960 R+32.5
Val Verde 4,757 40.3% 6,968 59.1% 70 11,795 R+18.7
Chambers 2,953 25.3% 8,618 74.0% 78 11,649 R+48.6
Caldwell 5,052 43.6% 6,436 55.5% 99 11,587 R+11.9
Gillespie 2,104 18.2% 9,297 80.5% 152 11,553 R+62.3
Austin 2,582 24.1% 8,072 75.4% 48 10,702 R+51.3
Fayette 2,803 27.0% 7,527 72.4% 67 10,397 R+45.4
Howard 2,663 26.1% 7,480 73.3% 58 10,201 R+47.2
Hale 2,078 20.5% 8,025 79.0% 51 10,154 R+58.6
Maverick 5,948 59.3% 4,025 40.1% 61 10,034 D+19.2
Palo Pinto 2,816 28.1% 7,137 71.3% 61 10,014 R+43.1
Panola 2,958 29.6% 7,021 70.2% 28 10,007 R+40.6
Kleberg 4,550 45.6% 5,366 53.8% 57 9,973 R+8.2
Starr 7,199 73.6% 2,552 26.1% 30 9,781 D+47.5
Llano 2,257 23.6% 7,241 75.7% 65 9,563 R+52.1
Bee 4,045 42.5% 5,428 57.0% 45 9,518 R+14.5
Hutchinson 1,503 16.0% 7,839 83.7% 27 9,369 R+67.6
Shelby 2,951 31.8% 6,295 67.8% 33 9,279 R+36.0
Aransas 2,640 28.5% 6,569 70.9% 59 9,268 R+42.4
Titus 3,173 35.6% 5,709 64.1% 25 8,907 R+28.5
Houston 2,921 33.2% 5,848 66.4% 37 8,806 R+33.2
Milam 3,445 39.2% 5,291 60.2% 47 8,783 R+21.0
Bandera 1,738 19.9% 6,933 79.3% 70 8,741 R+59.4
Gray 1,289 15.0% 7,260 84.7% 23 8,572 R+69.7
Uvalde 3,298 38.9% 5,148 60.7% 37 8,483 R+21.8
Lavaca 2,152 26.3% 5,974 73.1% 51 8,177 R+46.7
San Jacinto 2,688 33.1% 5,394 66.4% 43 8,125 R+33.3
Grimes 2,713 33.8% 5,263 65.5% 54 8,030 R+31.8
Montague 1,946 24.6% 5,910 74.8% 41 7,897 R+50.2
Limestone 2,752 35.2% 5,028 64.3% 38 7,818 R+29.1
Tyler 2,659 34.3% 5,043 65.1% 43 7,745 R+30.8
Colorado 2,161 28.1% 5,488 71.4% 41 7,690 R+43.3
Bosque 1,815 23.9% 5,737 75.6% 34 7,586 R+51.7
Hockley 1,385 18.3% 6,160 81.3% 32 7,577 R+63.0
Young 1,511 20.4% 5,874 79.3% 24 7,409 R+58.9
Freestone 2,070 28.9% 5,057 70.6% 34 7,161 R+41.7
Lampasas 1,593 22.7% 5,422 77.2% 10 7,025 R+54.5
Calhoun 2,561 37.0% 4,348 62.8% 20 6,929 R+25.8
Eastland 1,582 23.1% 5,249 76.5% 26 6,857 R+53.5
Leon 1,754 25.8% 5,023 73.9% 22 6,799 R+48.1
Robertson 2,979 43.8% 3,792 55.8% 24 6,795 R+12.0
Dewitt 1,610 23.9% 5,100 75.8% 22 6,732 R+51.8
Burleson 2,276 33.9% 4,405 65.5% 40 6,721 R+31.7
Trinity 2,204 35.5% 3,985 64.1% 24 6,213 R+28.7
Lee 1,899 31.2% 4,160 68.3% 29 6,088 R+37.1
Gonzales 1,709 28.4% 4,291 71.3% 22 6,022 R+42.9
Jones 1,658 28.0% 4,254 71.7% 19 5,931 R+43.8
Falls 2,427 41.1% 3,454 58.5% 21 5,902 R+17.4
Newton 2,513 44.1% 3,159 55.4% 28 5,700 R+11.3
Callahan 1,073 19.0% 4,542 80.3% 39 5,654 R+61.4
Moore 1,009 17.9% 4,601 81.8% 18 5,628 R+63.8
Scurry 981 17.6% 4,576 82.1% 15 5,572 R+64.5
Red River 2,097 38.2% 3,379 61.5% 14 5,490 R+23.4
Deaf Smith 1,133 21.4% 4,139 78.2% 19 5,291 R+56.8
Nolan 1,541 29.1% 3,722 70.4% 26 5,289 R+41.2
Clay 1,299 24.6% 3,971 75.1% 18 5,288 R+50.5
Morris 2,437 46.2% 2,818 53.4% 23 5,278 R+7.2
Comanche 1,431 27.2% 3,813 72.4% 24 5,268 R+45.2
Jackson 1,296 25.5% 3,766 74.2% 15 5,077 R+48.7
Wilbarger 1,284 25.7% 3,685 73.8% 21 4,990 R+48.1
Willacy 2,734 55.1% 2,209 44.5% 19 4,962 D+10.6
Karnes 1,543 33.0% 3,114 66.6% 16 4,673 R+33.6
Sabine 1,476 31.8% 3,138 67.6% 25 4,639 R+35.8
Blanco 1,267 27.6% 3,277 71.5% 40 4,584 R+43.8
Dawson 1,114 24.5% 3,419 75.2% 12 4,545 R+50.7
Andrews 677 14.9% 3,837 84.6% 22 4,536 R+69.7
Archer 878 19.7% 3,556 79.9% 17 4,451 R+60.2
Camp 1,778 40.1% 2,638 59.4% 23 4,439 R+19.4
Pecos 1,242 28.0% 3,167 71.5% 19 4,428 R+43.5
Marion 1,884 43.3% 2,441 56.1% 23 4,348 R+12.8
Lamb 857 20.1% 3,410 79.8% 4 4,271 R+59.8
Rains 1,213 28.7% 2,998 70.9% 18 4,229 R+42.2
Franklin 1,011 24.0% 3,185 75.5% 21 4,217 R+51.6
Live Oak 1,036 24.7% 3,147 74.9% 18 4,201 R+50.2
Gaines 608 14.6% 3,540 85.0% 16 4,164 R+70.4
Madison 1,235 30.1% 2,837 69.2% 29 4,101 R+39.1
Duval 2,916 71.3% 1,160 28.4% 15 4,091 D+42.9
Runnels 792 19.6% 3,239 80.0% 18 4,049 R+60.4
Terry 794 20.0% 3,166 79.7% 10 3,970 R+59.7
Frio 1,931 49.1% 1,991 50.7% 8 3,930 R+1.5
Coleman 778 20.3% 3,035 79.3% 13 3,826 R+59.0
Ward 901 23.9% 2,856 75.8% 11 3,768 R+51.9
Brewster 1,729 46.0% 1,980 52.7% 51 3,760 R+6.7
San Augustine 1,506 40.1% 2,235 59.5% 16 3,757 R+19.4
Hamilton 845 22.7% 2,856 76.6% 29 3,730 R+53.9
Dimmit 2,365 66.3% 1,188 33.3% 13 3,566 D+33.0
Somervell 831 23.4% 2,701 76.1% 19 3,551 R+52.7
Stephens 703 20.0% 2,803 79.7% 13 3,519 R+59.7
Goliad 1,219 34.8% 2,267 64.8% 15 3,501 R+29.9
Refugio 1,232 35.7% 2,212 64.0% 11 3,455 R+28.4
Reeves 1,600 47.1% 1,777 52.3% 18 3,395 R+5.2
McCulloch 745 23.1% 2,465 76.6% 10 3,220 R+53.4
Ochiltree 251 7.9% 2,922 92.0% 4 3,177 R+84.1
Jack 643 20.6% 2,470 79.0% 13 3,126 R+58.4
Zavala 2,332 74.8% 777 24.9% 9 3,118 D+49.9
Carson 485 16.5% 2,450 83.2% 9 2,944 R+66.7
Zapata 1,662 57.3% 1,228 42.4% 8 2,898 D+15.0
Parmer 389 14.0% 2,375 85.6% 9 2,773 R+71.6
Brooks 1,823 68.2% 845 31.6% 6 2,674 D+36.6
Yoakum 376 14.4% 2,228 85.3% 9 2,613 R+70.9
Floyd 545 21.1% 2,032 78.6% 7 2,584 R+57.5
Mitchell 639 25.0% 1,912 74.7% 7 2,558 R+49.8
San Saba 529 21.8% 1,894 77.9% 8 2,431 R+56.1
Castro 631 26.0% 1,794 73.8% 5 2,430 R+47.9
Haskell 867 35.9% 1,539 63.7% 10 2,416 R+27.8
Bailey 525 21.8% 1,882 78.0% 5 2,412 R+56.3
Wheeler 420 17.5% 1,960 81.9% 14 2,394 R+64.3
Crosby 622 27.3% 1,647 72.4% 6 2,275 R+45.1
Lynn 490 21.6% 1,776 78.2% 5 2,271 R+56.6
Mills 416 18.6% 1,794 80.4% 21 2,231 R+61.8
La Salle 1,229 55.1% 989 44.3% 12 2,230 D+10.8
Hansford 240 11.2% 1,903 88.6% 4 2,147 R+77.5
Childress 511 23.8% 1,629 76.0% 4 2,144 R+52.1
Swisher 626 29.5% 1,487 70.1% 7 2,120 R+40.6
Delta 627 30.1% 1,447 69.5% 8 2,082 R+39.4
Mason 459 22.1% 1,600 77.0% 18 2,077 R+54.9
Jim Hogg 1,344 65.1% 712 34.5% 9 2,065 D+30.6
Hartley 315 15.3% 1,736 84.3% 8 2,059 R+69.0
Winkler 391 19.5% 1,604 80.1% 7 2,002 R+60.6
Fisher 758 39.4% 1,161 60.4% 4 1,923 R+21.0
Presidio 1,159 61.3% 715 37.8% 16 1,890 D+23.5
Kimble 324 17.8% 1,482 81.6% 10 1,816 R+63.8
Garza 326 18.0% 1,480 81.7% 6 1,812 R+63.7
Martin 288 15.9% 1,514 83.8% 5 1,807 R+67.8
Donley 349 19.6% 1,429 80.1% 6 1,784 R+60.5
Dallam 305 17.1% 1,473 82.7% 4 1,782 R+65.5
Crockett 473 27.4% 1,248 72.2% 7 1,728 R+44.8
Hardeman 480 28.2% 1,214 71.3% 8 1,702 R+43.1
Real 325 19.8% 1,314 79.9% 6 1,645 R+60.1
Hemphill 257 15.6% 1,380 84.0% 6 1,643 R+68.4
Baylor 467 28.5% 1,169 71.3% 4 1,640 R+42.8
Coke 266 16.5% 1,338 83.1% 6 1,610 R+66.6
Kinney 542 33.9% 1,051 65.7% 7 1,600 R+31.8
Crane 254 16.1% 1,314 83.5% 6 1,574 R+67.3
Knox 464 29.9% 1,081 69.7% 7 1,552 R+39.8
Shackelford 229 15.0% 1,292 84.6% 6 1,527 R+69.6
Sutton 280 19.3% 1,173 80.7% 1,453 R+61.5
Collingsworth 346 24.7% 1,051 75.2% 1 1,398 R+50.4
Lipscomb 184 13.8% 1,147 85.8% 6 1,337 R+72.0
Schleicher 312 23.5% 1,012 76.1% 5 1,329 R+52.7
Hall 413 32.3% 860 67.3% 4 1,277 R+35.0
Upton 185 15.5% 1,009 84.3% 3 1,197 R+68.8
Concho 270 22.6% 911 76.4% 12 1,193 R+53.7
Jeff Davis 378 32.4% 764 65.5% 25 1,167 R+33.1
Reagan 184 16.1% 956 83.6% 3 1,143 R+67.5
Cochran 249 22.4% 856 77.1% 5 1,110 R+54.7
Menard 331 30.0% 761 69.0% 11 1,103 R+39.0
Sherman 124 11.6% 942 88.4% 1,066 R+76.7
Dickens 245 23.0% 815 76.7% 3 1,063 R+53.6
Armstrong 170 16.9% 830 82.7% 4 1,004 R+65.7
Edwards 217 22.5% 745 77.4% 1 963 R+54.8
Hudspeth 302 34.1% 577 65.1% 7 886 R+31.0
Throckmorton 202 23.4% 656 76.0% 5 863 R+52.6
Oldham 108 12.8% 733 87.0% 2 843 R+74.1
Irion 141 17.0% 684 82.6% 3 828 R+65.6
Briscoe 191 23.6% 620 76.4% 811 R+52.9
Culberson 375 47.6% 407 51.6% 6 788 R+4.1
Cottle 214 27.9% 549 71.5% 5 768 R+43.6
Stonewall 250 33.2% 499 66.4% 3 752 R+33.1
Motley 113 16.5% 564 82.5% 7 684 R+65.9
Sterling 71 11.5% 544 88.5% 615 R+76.9
Foard 235 40.0% 347 59.1% 5 587 R+19.1
McMullen 95 16.8% 467 82.8% 2 564 R+66.0
Glasscock 44 8.3% 488 91.6% 1 533 R+83.3
Kent 138 26.4% 382 73.2% 2 522 R+46.7
Roberts 46 9.1% 461 90.9% 507 R+81.9
Terrell 159 33.9% 306 65.2% 4 469 R+31.3
Borden 55 15.3% 303 84.4% 1 359 R+69.1
Kenedy 85 50.3% 82 48.5% 2 169 D+1.8
King 18 11.5% 137 87.8% 1 156 R+76.3
Loving 12 15.0% 65 81.3% 3 80 R+66.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+5.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+15.8
2008 John McCain (R) R+11.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+22.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+21.3
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.9
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+27.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+33.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+26.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+6.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+41.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+54.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+62.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+74.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+76.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+3.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+53.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+35.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+59.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+63.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+51.6
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+49.6
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+32.4
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+37.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+37.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+41.0
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+40.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+40.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+40.1
1872 Third party (other)