United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1940 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1940 presidential election in Arizona

Franklin D. Roosevelt (Democrat) beat Wendell Willkie (Republican) in Arizona in 1940, 63.5% to 36.0%, a margin of 27.5 points and 41,237 votes.

Arizona voted 17.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+10.0.

The Democratic hold continued from 1936, when Franklin D. Roosevelt also won.

Democrats led in 14 of the 14 counties as they stood then. The largest, Maricopa, cast 58,079 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.4 points. The closest was Santa Cruz, where 558 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Franklin D. Roosevelt won Democratic 95,267 63.5%
Wendell Willkie Republican 54,030 36.0%
All other candidates 742 0.5%
Total150,039

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 35,055 60.4% 22,610 38.9% 414 58,079 D+21.4
Pima 14,035 59.6% 9,445 40.1% 82 23,562 D+19.5
Cochise 8,748 73.2% 3,170 26.5% 32 11,950 D+46.7
Yavapai 6,217 60.5% 3,987 38.8% 78 10,282 D+21.7
Gila 5,752 68.4% 2,624 31.2% 31 8,407 D+37.2
Pinal 4,411 68.6% 1,996 31.0% 22 6,429 D+37.6
Yuma 4,138 68.6% 1,870 31.0% 23 6,031 D+37.6
Coconino 3,025 61.1% 1,913 38.6% 13 4,951 D+22.5
Navajo 3,052 66.4% 1,533 33.3% 12 4,597 D+33.0
Graham 3,130 72.6% 1,161 26.9% 19 4,310 D+45.7
Mohave 2,024 62.8% 1,198 37.2% 2 3,224 D+25.6
Apache 1,969 67.9% 926 32.0% 3 2,898 D+36.0
Greenlee 2,175 77.6% 619 22.1% 9 2,803 D+55.5
Santa Cruz 1,536 61.0% 978 38.9% 2 2,516 D+22.2

Counties as they stood in 1940; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+5.5
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.5
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.1
2008 John McCain (R) R+8.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+10.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+6.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.2
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+21.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+33.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+32.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+16.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+31.3
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+19.8
1964 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+11.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.7
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+10.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+42.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+15.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.2
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+21.8
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+30.8