United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1984 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1984 presidential election in New Mexico

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Walter Mondale (Democrat) in New Mexico in 1984, 59.7% to 39.2%, a margin of 20.5 points and 105,332 votes.

New Mexico voted 2.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+18.2.

The Republican hold continued from 1980, when Ronald Reagan also won.

Republicans led in 26 of the 33 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 7. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 174,262 votes and went to the Republican by 21.2 points. The closest was Guadalupe, where 44 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 307,101 59.7%
Walter Mondale Democratic 201,769 39.2%
All other candidates 5,500 1.1%
Total514,370

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 67,789 38.9% 104,694 60.1% 1,779 174,262 R+21.2
Doña Ana 13,878 38.1% 22,153 60.9% 362 36,393 R+22.7
Santa Fe 18,262 52.9% 15,886 46.0% 404 34,552 D+6.9
San Juan 8,963 32.1% 18,690 67.0% 257 27,910 R+34.9
Chaves 5,332 25.7% 15,248 73.4% 202 20,782 R+47.7
Eddy 7,364 38.0% 11,810 61.0% 191 19,365 R+23.0
Lea 4,558 23.5% 14,569 75.3% 230 19,357 R+51.7
Sandoval 7,080 43.6% 9,005 55.4% 161 16,246 R+11.8
McKinley 7,915 54.1% 6,557 44.8% 171 14,643 D+9.3
Otero 4,167 29.6% 9,751 69.2% 169 14,087 R+39.6
Valencia 5,393 38.4% 8,474 60.3% 182 14,049 R+21.9
Curry 3,108 25.0% 9,188 74.0% 119 12,415 R+49.0
Rio Arriba 6,938 62.2% 4,116 36.9% 92 11,146 D+25.3
Grant 5,755 53.1% 4,979 45.9% 106 10,840 D+7.2
Los Alamos 2,859 28.9% 6,882 69.6% 147 9,888 R+40.7
Taos 5,144 54.5% 4,154 44.0% 134 9,432 D+10.5
San Miguel 5,227 59.1% 3,485 39.4% 138 8,850 D+19.7
Luna 2,557 37.7% 4,145 61.2% 74 6,776 R+23.4
Cibola 3,140 46.6% 3,578 53.1% 22 6,740 R+6.5
Roosevelt 1,696 26.7% 4,598 72.3% 69 6,363 R+45.6
Socorro 2,541 42.0% 3,403 56.3% 104 6,048 R+14.3
Colfax 2,435 44.4% 2,994 54.6% 56 5,485 R+10.2
Lincoln 1,134 21.9% 3,992 77.0% 56 5,182 R+55.2
Quay 1,368 32.2% 2,842 66.8% 43 4,253 R+34.7
Sierra 1,335 33.1% 2,663 66.0% 37 4,035 R+32.9
Torrance 1,274 35.1% 2,326 64.0% 33 3,633 R+29.0
Mora 1,235 54.0% 1,017 44.5% 35 2,287 D+9.5
Hidalgo 860 39.8% 1,282 59.3% 19 2,161 R+19.5
Union 488 24.2% 1,503 74.4% 28 2,019 R+50.3
Guadalupe 946 48.1% 990 50.4% 30 1,966 R+2.2
Catron 418 29.5% 970 68.6% 27 1,415 R+39.0
De Baca 386 33.3% 756 65.2% 17 1,159 R+31.9
Harding 224 35.5% 401 63.5% 6 631 R+28.1

Counties as they stood in 1984; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5