United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1980 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1980 presidential election in New Mexico

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Jimmy Carter (Democrat) in New Mexico in 1980, 55.0% to 36.8%, a margin of 18.2 points and 82,953 votes.

New Mexico voted 8.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+9.7.

The Republican hold continued from 1976, when Gerald Ford won.

Republicans led in 27 of the 32 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 5. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 157,063 votes and went to the Republican by 18.5 points. The closest was Grant, where 28 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 250,779 55.0%
Jimmy Carter Democratic 167,826 36.8%
John B. Anderson Independent 29,459 6.5%
All other candidates 8,173 1.8%
Total456,237

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 54,841 34.9% 83,956 53.5% 18,266 157,063 R+18.5
Santa Fe 12,658 43.9% 12,361 42.9% 3,819 28,838 D+1.0
Doña Ana 10,839 37.6% 15,539 53.9% 2,442 28,820 R+16.3
San Juan 6,705 28.5% 15,579 66.3% 1,215 23,499 R+37.8
Valencia 6,886 36.0% 11,177 58.4% 1,079 19,142 R+22.4
Chaves 5,350 28.8% 12,502 67.2% 742 18,594 R+38.5
Eddy 7,028 40.5% 9,817 56.6% 514 17,359 R+16.1
Lea 5,006 30.9% 10,727 66.3% 452 16,185 R+35.3
McKinley 4,869 37.6% 7,329 56.7% 736 12,934 R+19.0
Sandoval 4,740 37.7% 6,762 53.7% 1,080 12,582 R+16.1
Curry 3,622 30.0% 8,132 67.4% 316 12,070 R+37.4
Otero 4,111 34.4% 7,210 60.3% 644 11,965 R+25.9
Rio Arriba 6,245 59.0% 3,794 35.8% 552 10,591 D+23.1
Grant 4,600 47.1% 4,628 47.4% 533 9,761 R+0.3
Los Alamos 2,368 25.2% 5,460 58.2% 1,555 9,383 R+33.0
Taos 4,346 50.5% 3,584 41.7% 671 8,601 D+8.9
San Miguel 4,514 53.9% 3,292 39.3% 563 8,369 D+14.6
Roosevelt 2,240 34.5% 3,950 60.9% 294 6,484 R+26.4
Luna 2,443 38.5% 3,636 57.3% 267 6,346 R+18.8
Socorro 2,226 41.1% 2,685 49.5% 511 5,422 R+8.5
Colfax 2,266 44.6% 2,537 49.9% 283 5,086 R+5.3
Lincoln 1,127 25.8% 3,009 68.8% 238 4,374 R+43.0
Quay 1,422 35.3% 2,499 62.1% 104 4,025 R+26.8
Sierra 1,169 32.9% 2,222 62.5% 164 3,555 R+29.6
Torrance 1,261 38.0% 1,907 57.4% 153 3,321 R+19.5
Mora 1,274 53.4% 1,037 43.5% 74 2,385 D+9.9
Guadalupe 980 45.7% 1,065 49.7% 100 2,145 R+4.0
Union 675 31.6% 1,407 65.9% 54 2,136 R+34.3
Hidalgo 840 42.2% 1,059 53.2% 92 1,991 R+11.0
Catron 466 32.3% 906 62.7% 72 1,444 R+30.5
De Baca 484 41.5% 655 56.2% 27 1,166 R+14.7
Harding 225 37.4% 356 59.2% 20 601 R+21.8

Counties as they stood in 1980; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5