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Election 1984 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1984 presidential election in Kentucky

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Walter Mondale (Democrat) in Kentucky in 1984, 60.0% to 39.4%, a margin of 20.6 points and 282,163 votes.

Kentucky voted 2.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+18.2.

The Republican hold continued from 1980, when Ronald Reagan also won.

Republicans led in 100 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 19. The largest, Jefferson, cast 290,750 votes and went to the Republican by 15.7 points. The closest was McLean, where 25 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 821,702 60.0%
Walter Mondale Democratic 539,539 39.4%
All other candidates 8,104 0.6%
Total1,369,345

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 122,133 42.0% 167,640 57.7% 977 290,750 R+15.7
Fayette 28,961 35.4% 51,993 63.6% 792 81,746 R+28.2
Kenton 14,642 29.7% 34,304 69.7% 299 49,245 R+39.9
Daviess 13,347 40.3% 19,495 58.9% 244 33,086 R+18.6
Campbell 9,068 29.6% 21,473 70.0% 138 30,679 R+40.4
Pike 15,817 56.9% 11,869 42.7% 126 27,812 D+14.2
McCracken 12,535 48.7% 12,903 50.1% 327 25,765 R+1.4
Warren 7,937 32.8% 16,167 66.9% 74 24,178 R+34.0
Hardin 6,329 30.5% 14,293 68.8% 149 20,771 R+38.3
Boyd 9,601 46.6% 10,925 53.0% 95 20,621 R+6.4
Franklin 7,790 40.9% 11,057 58.1% 177 19,024 R+17.2
Pulaski 4,384 23.2% 14,434 76.4% 75 18,893 R+53.2
Madison 6,509 36.3% 11,309 63.1% 108 17,926 R+26.8
Boone 4,853 27.5% 12,690 71.9% 106 17,649 R+44.4
Christian 5,432 33.5% 10,708 66.1% 69 16,209 R+32.5
Hopkins 6,743 41.7% 9,368 57.9% 55 16,166 R+16.2
Floyd 10,259 66.0% 5,218 33.6% 66 15,543 D+32.4
Harlan 7,663 51.9% 6,959 47.1% 140 14,762 D+4.8
Bullitt 5,005 34.1% 9,556 65.1% 115 14,676 R+31.0
Greenup 6,923 47.9% 7,451 51.5% 88 14,462 R+3.7
Henderson 6,795 47.7% 7,389 51.9% 58 14,242 R+4.2
Graves 6,759 47.7% 7,287 51.4% 124 14,170 R+3.7
Bell 5,490 42.4% 7,249 55.9% 222 12,961 R+13.6
Laurel 3,267 25.3% 9,621 74.4% 41 12,929 R+49.1
Barren 4,503 36.7% 7,717 62.9% 57 12,277 R+26.2
Muhlenberg 6,157 50.2% 6,094 49.6% 26 12,277 D+0.5
Whitley 3,575 31.0% 7,851 68.2% 90 11,516 R+37.1
Calloway 5,028 43.7% 6,442 55.9% 45 11,515 R+12.3
Oldham 2,857 26.0% 8,112 73.8% 22 10,991 R+47.8
Marshall 5,725 52.4% 5,152 47.2% 40 10,917 D+5.2
Perry 5,258 49.9% 5,218 49.5% 61 10,537 D+0.4
Nelson 4,199 40.7% 6,044 58.6% 76 10,319 R+17.9
Clark 3,595 36.8% 6,130 62.8% 33 9,758 R+26.0
Jessamine 2,379 24.9% 7,081 74.1% 96 9,556 R+49.2
Taylor 3,286 35.5% 5,932 64.2% 27 9,245 R+28.6
Boyle 3,378 37.2% 5,675 62.5% 23 9,076 R+25.3
Letcher 4,707 53.3% 4,073 46.1% 50 8,830 D+7.2
Shelby 3,326 38.1% 5,390 61.7% 23 8,739 R+23.6
Knox 2,932 33.7% 5,730 65.9% 37 8,699 R+32.2
Carter 3,985 45.9% 4,656 53.7% 34 8,675 R+7.7
Ohio 3,253 38.6% 5,119 60.8% 45 8,417 R+22.2
Johnson 3,078 36.9% 5,225 62.6% 46 8,349 R+25.7
Logan 3,347 40.3% 4,889 58.8% 74 8,310 R+18.6
Grayson 2,200 28.3% 5,524 71.0% 53 7,777 R+42.7
Mercer 2,516 35.0% 4,592 63.9% 81 7,189 R+28.9
Scott 2,606 36.5% 4,461 62.4% 77 7,144 R+26.0
Breckinridge 2,669 37.4% 4,432 62.1% 31 7,132 R+24.7
Woodford 2,290 32.2% 4,746 66.7% 76 7,112 R+34.5
Wayne 2,277 33.8% 4,449 66.0% 15 6,741 R+32.2
Bourbon 2,649 40.4% 3,836 58.5% 68 6,553 R+18.1
Lincoln 2,498 38.3% 3,996 61.3% 28 6,522 R+23.0
Rowan 2,748 42.5% 3,698 57.2% 24 6,470 R+14.7
Mason 2,663 41.3% 3,751 58.2% 32 6,446 R+16.9
Clay 1,634 25.4% 4,772 74.3% 20 6,426 R+48.8
Montgomery 2,490 39.0% 3,864 60.6% 23 6,377 R+21.5
Meade 2,503 39.4% 3,820 60.2% 24 6,347 R+20.7
Adair 1,812 28.6% 4,500 70.9% 32 6,344 R+42.4
Breathitt 3,435 54.4% 2,855 45.3% 19 6,309 D+9.2
Knott 4,487 71.8% 1,728 27.7% 33 6,248 D+44.2
Marion 2,835 46.0% 3,305 53.7% 19 6,159 R+7.6
Russell 1,448 24.3% 4,476 75.2% 30 5,954 R+50.9
Harrison 2,405 40.8% 3,467 58.9% 18 5,890 R+18.0
Monroe 1,052 18.0% 4,760 81.5% 31 5,843 R+63.5
McCreary 1,609 28.2% 4,028 70.6% 70 5,707 R+42.4
Caldwell 2,427 42.9% 3,162 55.9% 64 5,653 R+13.0
Union 3,090 54.8% 2,524 44.8% 23 5,637 D+10.0
Webster 3,042 54.5% 2,504 44.9% 34 5,580 D+9.6
Casey 1,122 20.4% 4,356 79.0% 35 5,513 R+58.7
Rockcastle 1,089 20.1% 4,328 79.7% 11 5,428 R+59.7
Hart 2,278 42.4% 3,065 57.1% 29 5,372 R+14.7
Magoffin 2,942 55.5% 2,343 44.2% 13 5,298 D+11.3
Simpson 2,140 40.9% 3,073 58.7% 23 5,236 R+17.8
Anderson 1,717 33.1% 3,425 66.1% 43 5,185 R+32.9
Estill 1,593 31.1% 3,512 68.6% 17 5,122 R+37.5
Henry 2,279 44.6% 2,802 54.8% 29 5,110 R+10.2
Allen 1,521 30.6% 3,427 69.0% 16 4,964 R+38.4
Lawrence 2,223 44.8% 2,713 54.7% 23 4,959 R+9.9
Lewis 1,484 30.0% 3,445 69.6% 18 4,947 R+39.6
Garrard 1,566 32.1% 3,284 67.2% 36 4,886 R+35.2
Green 1,611 33.3% 3,210 66.3% 17 4,838 R+33.1
Martin 1,471 30.9% 3,238 68.0% 51 4,760 R+37.1
Washington 1,786 38.4% 2,804 60.2% 65 4,655 R+21.9
Grant 1,685 36.6% 2,840 61.7% 78 4,603 R+25.1
Leslie 1,075 24.0% 3,385 75.6% 15 4,475 R+51.6
Fleming 1,616 36.2% 2,824 63.3% 19 4,459 R+27.1
Trigg 1,905 42.9% 2,512 56.6% 19 4,436 R+13.7
Jackson 542 12.3% 3,856 87.4% 15 4,413 R+75.1
Larue 1,514 34.4% 2,873 65.3% 13 4,400 R+30.9
Pendleton 1,529 35.2% 2,767 63.8% 44 4,340 R+28.5
Morgan 2,481 57.3% 1,834 42.4% 15 4,330 D+14.9
Clinton 838 19.4% 3,459 80.0% 25 4,322 R+60.6
Todd 1,505 35.2% 2,364 55.2% 411 4,280 R+20.1
Edmonson 1,200 28.4% 3,001 71.0% 23 4,224 R+42.6
Butler 1,055 25.2% 3,121 74.5% 15 4,191 R+49.3
Metcalfe 1,575 39.9% 2,349 59.6% 20 3,944 R+19.6
Livingston 2,007 51.6% 1,866 48.0% 18 3,891 D+3.6
McLean 1,917 49.4% 1,942 50.0% 23 3,882 R+0.6
Powell 1,575 40.8% 2,269 58.8% 13 3,857 R+18.0
Bath 1,781 46.6% 2,020 52.9% 19 3,820 R+6.3
Ballard 2,002 54.3% 1,663 45.1% 20 3,685 D+9.2
Crittenden 1,483 40.5% 2,167 59.2% 13 3,663 R+18.7
Cumberland 766 21.8% 2,729 77.8% 14 3,509 R+55.9
Owen 1,612 47.3% 1,778 52.2% 18 3,408 R+4.9
Carroll 1,564 46.0% 1,824 53.6% 12 3,400 R+7.6
Fulton 1,534 46.1% 1,780 53.5% 16 3,330 R+7.4
Hancock 1,287 39.0% 1,967 59.6% 47 3,301 R+20.6
Bracken 1,136 38.2% 1,812 60.9% 28 2,976 R+22.7
Wolfe 1,394 51.8% 1,257 46.7% 42 2,693 D+5.1
Nicholas 1,107 41.4% 1,535 57.4% 33 2,675 R+16.0
Lee 768 29.1% 1,862 70.5% 10 2,640 R+41.4
Carlisle 1,277 49.0% 1,308 50.2% 23 2,608 R+1.2
Trimble 1,088 43.7% 1,389 55.8% 13 2,490 R+12.1
Hickman 1,049 43.0% 1,380 56.6% 8 2,437 R+13.6
Spencer 910 38.4% 1,456 61.4% 6 2,372 R+23.0
Elliott 1,683 73.4% 601 26.2% 10 2,294 D+47.2
Lyon 1,272 56.4% 969 43.0% 14 2,255 D+13.4
Gallatin 1,042 49.8% 1,042 49.8% 9 2,093 level
Owsley 375 20.3% 1,466 79.2% 10 1,851 R+58.9
Menifee 956 54.0% 785 44.4% 29 1,770 D+9.7
Robertson 467 44.8% 567 54.4% 9 1,043 R+9.6

Counties as they stood in 1984; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4