United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 1928 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1928 presidential election in Kentucky

Herbert Hoover (Republican) beat Al Smith (Democrat) in Kentucky in 1928, 59.3% to 40.5%, a margin of 18.8 points and 177,004 votes.

Kentucky voted 1.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+17.4.

The Republican hold continued from 1924, when Calvin Coolidge won.

Republicans led in 93 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 27. The largest, Jefferson, cast 162,613 votes and went to the Republican by 20.5 points. The closest was Menifee, where 7 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Herbert Hoover won Republican 558,064 59.3%
Al Smith Democratic 381,060 40.5%
All other candidates 1,507 0.2%
Total940,631

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 64,472 39.6% 97,803 60.1% 338 162,613 R+20.5
Kenton 18,165 46.2% 21,043 53.6% 80 39,288 R+7.3
Campbell 14,508 45.4% 17,317 54.2% 100 31,925 R+8.8
Fayette 9,065 34.7% 16,988 65.1% 39 26,092 R+30.4
Pike 7,930 45.7% 9,386 54.1% 19 17,335 R+8.4
Harlan 3,958 24.4% 12,251 75.4% 37 16,246 R+51.0
Daviess 7,322 45.1% 8,896 54.8% 16 16,234 R+9.7
Boyd 4,611 33.6% 9,118 66.4% 7 13,736 R+32.8
Warren 5,092 39.1% 7,931 60.9% 1 13,024 R+21.8
Hopkins 6,640 51.1% 6,330 48.7% 30 13,000 D+2.4
McCracken 5,535 42.8% 7,368 56.9% 41 12,944 R+14.2
Christian 5,702 44.6% 7,069 55.4% 12,771 R+10.7
Pulaski 2,494 21.0% 9,348 78.8% 15 11,857 R+57.8
Muhlenberg 5,130 43.4% 6,651 56.2% 49 11,830 R+12.9
Madison 4,736 42.7% 6,325 57.0% 29 11,090 R+14.3
Floyd 5,721 52.8% 5,109 47.2% 10,830 D+5.7
Perry 3,814 38.4% 6,099 61.4% 14 9,927 R+23.0
Whitley 1,610 16.6% 8,060 83.3% 10 9,680 R+66.6
Henderson 4,068 42.6% 5,443 57.0% 33 9,544 R+14.4
Graves 6,237 65.8% 3,223 34.0% 24 9,484 D+31.8
Bell 2,551 27.9% 6,570 71.8% 24 9,145 R+43.9
Letcher 3,502 39.3% 5,400 60.6% 16 8,918 R+21.3
Logan 3,843 44.1% 4,858 55.8% 7 8,708 R+11.7
Barren 3,530 40.9% 5,101 59.1% 5 8,636 R+18.2
Ohio 2,784 32.7% 5,690 66.8% 41 8,515 R+34.1
Mason 3,364 40.1% 5,012 59.8% 6 8,382 R+19.7
Hardin 3,210 40.9% 4,624 58.9% 13 7,847 R+18.0
Carter 2,392 30.8% 5,342 68.7% 41 7,775 R+37.9
Breckinridge 2,987 38.4% 4,783 61.5% 3 7,773 R+23.1
Bourbon 3,218 41.6% 4,512 58.3% 4 7,734 R+16.7
Knox 1,497 20.1% 5,928 79.8% 7 7,432 R+59.6
Franklin 3,853 52.5% 3,485 47.4% 7 7,345 D+5.0
Johnson 1,869 25.9% 5,339 74.0% 10 7,218 R+48.1
Shelby 3,232 45.1% 3,933 54.9% 7,165 R+9.8
Webster 3,591 50.4% 3,527 49.5% 9 7,127 D+0.9
Nelson 4,031 57.9% 2,926 42.0% 3 6,960 D+15.9
Clark 3,460 49.7% 3,495 50.3% 6,955 R+0.5
Greenup 2,435 35.6% 4,410 64.4% 6,845 R+28.9
Boyle 2,992 45.9% 3,517 54.0% 3 6,512 R+8.1
Union 3,884 62.2% 2,350 37.6% 10 6,244 D+24.6
Grayson 2,295 36.8% 3,937 63.1% 9 6,241 R+26.3
Lincoln 2,314 37.2% 3,903 62.7% 10 6,227 R+25.5
Harrison 3,164 52.1% 2,909 47.9% 5 6,078 D+4.2
Laurel 1,141 18.9% 4,906 81.1% 5 6,052 R+62.2
Scott 2,843 47.0% 3,192 52.8% 9 6,044 R+5.8
Fleming 2,086 35.4% 3,798 64.5% 4 5,888 R+29.1
Marion 3,461 59.0% 2,395 40.8% 7 5,863 D+18.2
Hart 2,339 40.1% 3,480 59.7% 14 5,833 R+19.6
Allen 1,562 26.9% 4,253 73.1% 5,815 R+46.3
Mercer 2,140 38.2% 3,462 61.8% 4 5,606 R+23.6
Adair 1,732 31.0% 3,856 69.0% 5,588 R+38.0
Estill 1,886 34.1% 3,641 65.8% 5 5,532 R+31.7
Lawrence 2,217 40.3% 3,277 59.6% 5 5,499 R+19.3
Casey 1,519 28.5% 3,805 71.4% 6 5,330 R+42.9
Breathitt 3,017 56.6% 2,309 43.4% 5,326 D+13.3
Henry 2,929 55.6% 2,334 44.3% 7 5,270 D+11.3
Washington 2,266 43.5% 2,933 56.4% 5 5,204 R+12.8
Lewis 1,120 21.5% 4,077 78.4% 6 5,203 R+56.8
Jessamine 2,295 44.5% 2,857 55.5% 5,152 R+10.9
Clay 651 12.8% 4,439 87.0% 15 5,105 R+74.2
Calloway 3,431 68.6% 1,557 31.1% 14 5,002 D+37.5
Todd 2,416 49.1% 2,496 50.8% 4 4,916 R+1.6
Taylor 1,684 34.8% 3,149 65.0% 8 4,841 R+30.3
Pendleton 1,567 32.9% 3,196 67.0% 5 4,768 R+34.2
Rockcastle 908 19.1% 3,858 80.9% 4,766 R+61.9
Montgomery 1,938 41.2% 2,742 58.4% 19 4,699 R+17.1
Magoffin 1,806 39.1% 2,816 60.9% 4,622 R+21.9
Morgan 2,575 56.0% 2,025 44.0% 4,600 D+12.0
Garrard 1,729 37.7% 2,862 62.3% 4,591 R+24.7
Caldwell 1,695 37.2% 2,855 62.6% 10 4,560 R+25.4
Wayne 1,635 35.9% 2,907 63.9% 9 4,551 R+27.9
Woodford 2,056 45.2% 2,490 54.7% 5 4,551 R+9.5
Fulton 3,132 69.5% 1,366 30.3% 6 4,504 D+39.2
Boone 1,855 41.5% 2,604 58.3% 8 4,467 R+16.8
Trigg 2,031 46.3% 2,346 53.5% 6 4,383 R+7.2
Crittenden 1,376 31.4% 3,000 68.5% 6 4,382 R+37.1
Edmonson 1,076 25.7% 3,104 74.2% 6 4,186 R+48.4
McLean 1,728 41.7% 2,408 58.1% 11 4,147 R+16.4
Owen 2,552 61.7% 1,573 38.0% 10 4,135 D+23.7
Simpson 2,490 60.4% 1,635 39.6% 4,125 D+20.7
Grant 1,662 40.4% 2,448 59.5% 7 4,117 R+19.1
Green 1,272 31.0% 2,824 68.8% 6 4,102 R+37.8
McCreary 435 10.7% 3,622 89.1% 8 4,065 R+78.4
Bath 1,830 45.1% 2,223 54.7% 8 4,061 R+9.7
Bracken 1,201 29.8% 2,820 70.0% 9 4,030 R+40.2
Monroe 843 21.2% 3,127 78.6% 9 3,979 R+57.4
Butler 684 17.3% 3,272 82.6% 7 3,963 R+65.3
Marshall 2,036 51.9% 1,879 47.9% 10 3,925 D+4.0
Russell 823 21.3% 3,028 78.4% 11 3,862 R+57.1
Ballard 2,896 75.4% 940 24.5% 3 3,839 D+51.0
Knott 2,822 73.8% 1,004 26.2% 3,826 D+47.5
Nicholas 1,836 49.5% 1,867 50.4% 4 3,707 R+0.8
Jackson 123 3.3% 3,552 96.5% 5 3,680 R+93.2
Larue 1,727 47.6% 1,892 52.2% 7 3,626 R+4.6
Anderson 1,718 48.0% 1,859 52.0% 1 3,578 R+3.9
Bullitt 1,758 49.5% 1,793 50.5% 3 3,554 R+1.0
Carroll 1,863 53.0% 1,649 46.9% 3 3,515 D+6.1
Metcalfe 1,144 33.1% 2,314 66.9% 3,458 R+33.8
Meade 1,700 51.3% 1,610 48.5% 7 3,317 D+2.7
Lee 1,131 36.1% 2,005 63.9% 1 3,137 R+27.9
Cumberland 538 17.2% 2,593 82.8% 1 3,132 R+65.6
Rowan 1,170 38.6% 1,857 61.2% 5 3,032 R+22.7
Livingston 1,217 40.7% 1,767 59.1% 6 2,990 R+18.4
Leslie 159 5.4% 2,806 94.4% 6 2,971 R+89.1
Oldham 1,359 45.8% 1,604 54.0% 6 2,969 R+8.3
Hickman 2,163 73.7% 767 26.1% 6 2,936 D+47.5
Clinton 325 11.2% 2,580 88.8% 2,905 R+77.6
Carlisle 1,994 71.6% 787 28.3% 3 2,784 D+43.4
Hancock 1,151 41.6% 1,614 58.3% 2 2,767 R+16.7
Wolfe 1,356 51.6% 1,270 48.4% 2,626 D+3.3
Spencer 947 37.6% 1,565 62.2% 4 2,516 R+24.6
Lyon 1,286 51.2% 1,215 48.4% 10 2,511 D+2.8
Owsley 241 10.2% 2,107 89.5% 5 2,353 R+79.3
Martin 404 19.4% 1,674 80.4% 3 2,081 R+61.0
Elliott 1,317 68.7% 601 31.3% 1,918 D+37.3
Trimble 1,317 69.5% 573 30.2% 5 1,895 D+39.3
Powell 732 38.7% 1,160 61.3% 1,892 R+22.6
Gallatin 823 44.9% 1,010 55.0% 2 1,835 R+10.2
Menifee 725 49.8% 732 50.2% 1,457 R+0.5
Robertson 640 46.3% 742 53.7% 1,382 R+7.4

Counties as they stood in 1928; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4