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Election 1976 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1976 presidential election in Tennessee

Jimmy Carter (Democrat) beat Gerald Ford (Republican) in Tennessee in 1976, 55.9% to 42.9%, a margin of 13.0 points and 191,910 votes.

Tennessee voted 10.9 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Tennessee changed party: in 1972 it went Republican, for Richard Nixon.

Democrats led in 74 of the 95 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 21. The largest, Shelby, cast 279,601 votes and went to the Democrat by 6.9 points. The closest was Monroe, where 33 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jimmy Carter won Democratic 825,879 55.9%
Gerald Ford Republican 633,969 42.9%
All other candidates 16,498 1.1%
Total1,476,346

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 147,893 52.9% 128,646 46.0% 3,062 279,601 D+6.9
Davidson 99,007 61.3% 60,662 37.5% 1,929 161,598 D+23.7
Knox 53,034 48.0% 56,013 50.7% 1,362 110,409 R+2.7
Hamilton 45,348 48.0% 47,969 50.8% 1,104 94,421 R+2.8
Sullivan 23,353 49.9% 22,087 47.2% 1,322 46,762 D+2.7
Washington 13,951 48.1% 14,770 50.9% 311 29,032 R+2.8
Blount 12,096 46.1% 13,851 52.8% 293 26,240 R+6.7
Madison 12,989 52.7% 11,364 46.1% 306 24,659 D+6.6
Anderson 13,455 55.5% 10,494 43.3% 293 24,242 D+12.2
Rutherford 14,854 64.4% 7,921 34.3% 307 23,082 D+30.0
Sumner 13,848 62.9% 7,946 36.1% 213 22,007 D+26.8
Montgomery 12,310 66.7% 5,923 32.1% 215 18,448 D+34.6
Bradley 8,776 48.6% 9,136 50.6% 139 18,051 R+2.0
Carter 7,443 45.1% 8,934 54.1% 133 16,510 R+9.0
Roane 9,216 55.9% 7,121 43.2% 154 16,491 D+12.7
Williamson 8,183 50.3% 7,880 48.4% 203 16,266 D+1.9
Gibson 10,356 64.6% 5,563 34.7% 112 16,031 D+29.9
Greene 7,070 44.5% 8,664 54.6% 146 15,880 R+10.0
Wilson 10,537 68.6% 4,696 30.6% 129 15,362 D+38.0
Hamblen 7,504 51.3% 6,989 47.8% 135 14,628 D+3.5
Maury 8,747 61.3% 5,327 37.3% 191 14,265 D+24.0
McMinn 7,020 51.1% 6,638 48.3% 74 13,732 D+2.8
Putnam 8,485 66.8% 4,079 32.1% 144 12,708 D+34.7
Hawkins 5,931 47.8% 6,407 51.6% 74 12,412 R+3.8
Lawrence 7,140 58.6% 4,967 40.7% 83 12,190 D+17.8
Coffee 8,017 66.8% 3,848 32.1% 140 12,005 D+34.7
Sevier 3,993 33.8% 7,608 64.4% 213 11,814 R+30.6
Monroe 5,368 49.9% 5,335 49.6% 53 10,756 D+0.3
Dyer 5,937 56.7% 4,391 41.9% 150 10,478 D+14.8
Bedford 7,228 69.8% 3,023 29.2% 106 10,357 D+40.6
Obion 7,204 69.8% 2,986 28.9% 130 10,320 D+40.9
Robertson 7,547 74.6% 2,505 24.8% 62 10,114 D+49.9
Henry 7,162 72.5% 2,585 26.2% 134 9,881 D+46.3
Carroll 5,581 57.4% 4,031 41.5% 109 9,721 D+15.9
Weakley 6,605 68.1% 2,875 29.7% 216 9,696 D+38.5
Campbell 5,206 54.5% 4,277 44.8% 74 9,557 D+9.7
Jefferson 3,995 41.9% 5,459 57.2% 84 9,538 R+15.3
Franklin 6,788 71.3% 2,619 27.5% 117 9,524 D+43.8
Loudon 4,683 50.7% 4,458 48.3% 92 9,233 D+2.4
Warren 6,666 73.1% 2,364 25.9% 85 9,115 D+47.2
Tipton 5,667 62.5% 3,329 36.7% 76 9,072 D+25.8
Dickson 6,551 73.4% 2,285 25.6% 86 8,922 D+47.8
Cumberland 4,543 51.8% 4,119 47.0% 101 8,763 D+4.8
Cocke 3,141 38.2% 5,004 60.9% 74 8,219 R+22.7
McNairy 4,293 55.5% 3,388 43.8% 55 7,736 D+11.7
Marion 4,615 60.4% 2,965 38.8% 62 7,642 D+21.6
Henderson 3,366 44.4% 4,152 54.7% 68 7,586 R+10.4
Lincoln 5,732 76.2% 1,724 22.9% 62 7,518 D+53.3
Giles 5,225 72.1% 1,952 26.9% 71 7,248 D+45.2
Rhea 3,735 51.6% 3,449 47.6% 57 7,241 D+3.9
Lauderdale 4,747 69.0% 2,105 30.6% 25 6,877 D+38.4
Hardin 3,438 50.2% 3,362 49.1% 52 6,852 D+1.1
Claiborne 3,461 51.3% 3,227 47.9% 55 6,743 D+3.5
Hardeman 3,934 62.7% 2,254 35.9% 82 6,270 D+26.8
Marshall 4,457 71.8% 1,674 27.0% 78 6,209 D+44.8
Fayette 3,853 63.8% 2,133 35.3% 54 6,040 D+28.5
Benton 4,088 70.4% 1,678 28.9% 40 5,806 D+41.5
Unicoi 2,526 43.7% 3,211 55.5% 45 5,782 R+11.8
Cheatham 4,225 74.6% 1,376 24.3% 63 5,664 D+50.3
Haywood 3,681 65.0% 1,952 34.5% 28 5,661 D+30.5
Humphreys 4,021 74.3% 1,338 24.7% 54 5,413 D+49.6
White 3,874 72.9% 1,382 26.0% 58 5,314 D+46.9
Polk 3,284 63.7% 1,835 35.6% 36 5,155 D+28.1
Smith 3,753 73.1% 1,332 25.9% 51 5,136 D+47.1
Overton 3,897 77.2% 1,115 22.1% 35 5,047 D+55.1
Morgan 2,953 59.8% 1,949 39.5% 37 4,939 D+20.3
Grainger 2,018 41.5% 2,805 57.7% 40 4,863 R+16.2
Hickman 3,590 75.0% 1,154 24.1% 43 4,787 D+50.9
Scott 2,260 47.8% 2,432 51.4% 38 4,730 R+3.6
Dekalb 3,222 68.5% 1,443 30.7% 37 4,702 D+37.8
Crockett 2,963 63.1% 1,694 36.1% 40 4,697 D+27.0
Chester 2,532 56.1% 1,949 43.1% 36 4,517 D+12.9
Wayne 1,891 41.9% 2,597 57.6% 23 4,511 R+15.7
Johnson 1,464 32.7% 2,986 66.7% 28 4,478 R+34.0
Decatur 2,432 59.1% 1,637 39.8% 47 4,116 D+19.3
Macon 1,951 48.2% 2,063 50.9% 37 4,051 R+2.8
Fentress 1,953 52.0% 1,767 47.0% 38 3,758 D+4.9
Grundy 2,850 76.6% 850 22.8% 21 3,721 D+53.7
Jackson 2,959 82.9% 591 16.6% 19 3,569 D+66.3
Union 1,631 47.2% 1,801 52.1% 25 3,457 R+4.9
Bledsoe 1,757 51.7% 1,620 47.6% 24 3,401 D+4.0
Cannon 2,463 72.5% 908 26.7% 28 3,399 D+45.7
Lewis 2,391 78.8% 617 20.3% 28 3,036 D+58.4
Stewart 2,442 82.2% 510 17.2% 20 2,972 D+65.0
Sequatchie 1,733 61.0% 1,065 37.5% 44 2,842 D+23.5
Clay 1,671 62.4% 982 36.7% 25 2,678 D+25.7
Lake 1,933 75.8% 591 23.2% 25 2,549 D+52.6
Houston 1,990 82.0% 407 16.8% 30 2,427 D+65.2
Meigs 1,254 55.9% 975 43.5% 13 2,242 D+12.4
Perry 1,660 75.4% 520 23.6% 21 2,201 D+51.8
Hancock 764 36.6% 1,309 62.6% 17 2,090 R+26.1
Pickett 948 48.8% 986 50.7% 10 1,944 R+2.0
Trousdale 1,385 80.2% 332 19.2% 9 1,726 D+61.0
Moore 1,101 76.0% 331 22.9% 16 1,448 D+53.2
Van Buren 1,085 75.2% 346 24.0% 11 1,442 D+51.2

Counties as they stood in 1976; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9