United States · live results · 3 November 2026

Election 2026 midterms Live count

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

Live results

On election night we read the official results feeds of 26 states straight from their election offices, every few minutes, and show each Senate, governor and House race's count against the vote we expect there. A live model turns the count into a chance for each race and for control of each chamber, updated with every read, and we call a race once we are 97% sure of the winner. Our calls are our judgement; the states certify the results, weeks later.

Unofficial results until certified. Counts come from each state's own election office and change through the night and for days after, as mail and provisional ballots are counted. We call a race when our live model is 97% sure of the winner (see "Our calls"); every chance below updates with each read of the feeds. A call is our judgement, not an official result.

Live results are switched off; the last figures read are shown. Last read 4 min ago.

Senate control, live

over 99% Democrats · 0% Republicans

Before the count: Democrats 83%, Republicans 15%.

House majority, live

over 99% Democrats · 0% Republicans

Before the count: Democrats 90%. Based on 487 races with votes counted; races with nothing counted keep our forecast, moved by half the swing seen so far (D+3.6).

Our calls

We call a race once its polls have closed and we are 97% sure of the winner: from the count once it starts, or from our forecast for the seats that were never close. Races with no count yet move by half the swing the counted races show against our forecast. Every chance updates with each read of the feeds; if one falls back under 97%, the call is withdrawn and shown as such. Unofficial until certified.

House

Called: the Democrats win the House (over 99%)

Senate

Called: the Democrats control the Senate (over 99%)

Senate called: 20 Democratic, 13 Republican; 2 still open or too close
House called: 254 Democratic, 166 Republican; 15 still open or too close
Governors called: 22 Democratic, 12 Republican; 2 still open or too close

Too close to call 19

North Carolina's 5th district Republican 52% call withdrawn
Tennessee's 4th district Democrat 55%
Minnesota's 1st district Democrat 56% call withdrawn
Mississippi Senate Democrat 58%
North Carolina's 3rd district Republican 61%
Alaska Senate Democrat 64%
Alaska's at-large district Republican 75%
Florida's 27th district Republican 82% call withdrawn
Florida's 7th district Republican 85% call withdrawn
Florida's 9th district Democrat 85% call withdrawn
Kansas governor Democrat 88%
Washington's 5th district Republican 89% call withdrawn
Colorado's 4th district Democrat 93% call withdrawn
California's 23rd district Republican 93% call withdrawn
Florida's 26th district Republican 94% call withdrawn
North Carolina's 7th district Republican 94% call withdrawn
Florida's 13th district Republican 95% call withdrawn
Maine's 2nd district Republican over 99%
Alaska governor Democrat over 99%

Latest calls

North Carolina's 1st district: Democrat over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 6th district: Democrat over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 8th district: Republican over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 9th district: Democrat over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 10th district: Republican 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 13th district: Democrat over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
North Carolina's 14th district: Democrat over 99%, 12:16 pm ET
Indiana's 5th district: Democrat over 99%, 12:06 pm ET
Arkansas's 2nd district: Republican over 99%, 11:32 am ET
Virginia's 5th district: Republican over 99%, 11:26 am ET
Arizona's 2nd district: Republican 99%, 11:21 am ET
Colorado's 3rd district: Republican 97%, 11:21 am ET

Senate 35

Race	Votes counted	Of expected vote	Count	Live chance	Call	Feed time
Mississippi Senate	953,418	97% 97 of 100 units	Scott Colom (Democrat) leading by 0.3 pts	Democrat 58%	too close	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Alaska Senate	213,733	74% 74 of 100 units	Mary Peltola (Democrat) leading by 0.3 pts	Democrat 64%	too close	updated 12:07 PM ET (17:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Louisiana Senate	1,466,087	99% 99 of 100 units	Julia Letlow (Republican) leading by 1.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:31 PM ET (18:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Idaho Senate	710,679	60% 44 of 44 units	Jim Risch (Republican) leading by 23 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Florida Senate (special)	8,280,268	99% 99 of 100 units	Ashley Moody (Republican) leading by 2.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Alabama Senate	1,676,659	99% 99 of 100 units	Barry Moore (Republican) leading by 9.4 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:23 PM ET (17:23 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Arkansas Senate	886,168	over 99% 2768 of 2768 units	Tom Cotton (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado Senate	2,662,053	98% 98 of 100 units	John Hickenlooper (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:28 PM ET (18:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Delaware Senate	378,111	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris Coons (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:08 AM ET (15:08 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Georgia Senate	4,182,598	over 99% 159 of 159 units	Jon Ossoff (Democrat) leading by 18 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Iowa Senate	1,361,930	99% 99 of 100 units	Josh Turek (Democrat) leading by 4.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois Senate	4,085,815	96% 96 of 100 units	Juliana Stratton (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Kansas Senate	1,099,896	99% 99 of 100 units	Adam Hamilton (Democrat) leading by 5.1 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:04 PM ET (18:04 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Kentucky Senate	1,427,118	97% 99 of 100 units	Andy Barr (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:04 PM ET (22:04 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Massachusetts Senate	2,604,819	99% 99 of 100 units	Edward Markey (Democrat) leading by 31 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:24 PM ET (19:24 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Maine Senate	710,361	97% 97 of 100 units	Troy Jackson (Democrat) leading by 6.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:26 PM ET (22:26 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Michigan Senate	4,796,992	98% 98 of 100 units	Abdul El-Sayed (Democrat) leading by 7.1 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Minnesota Senate	2,831,759	over 99% 4105 of 4105 units	Peggy Flanagan (Democrat) leading by 10 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Montana Senate	482,018	98% 98 of 100 units	Kurt Alme (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:26 PM ET (23:26 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
North Carolina Senate	4,203,168	over 99% 2626 of 2626 units	Roy Cooper (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Nebraska Senate	754,367	over 99% 1322 of 1322 units	Pete Ricketts (Republican) leading by 6.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:59 PM ET (23:59 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Hampshire Senate	637,218	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris Pappas (Democrat) leading by 14 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:01 PM ET (23:01 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
New Jersey Senate	2,922,917	94% 96 of 100 units	Cory Booker (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:43 PM ET (22:43 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
New Mexico Senate	725,190	98% 98 of 100 units	Ben Lujan (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:12 PM ET (21:12 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Ohio Senate (special)	4,601,571	98% 98 of 100 units	Sherrod Brown (Democrat) leading by 4.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:00 PM ET (22:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Oklahoma Senate	1,117,932	97% 99 of 100 units	Kevin Hern (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Oregon Senate	1,869,210	93% 93 of 100 units	Jeff Merkley (Democrat) leading by 19 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:19 PM ET (23:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Rhode Island Senate	360,251	98% 98 of 100 units	John Reed (Democrat) leading by 38 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:30 PM ET (19:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
South Carolina Senate	2,040,928	99% 99 of 100 units	Annie Andrews (Democrat) leading by 4.5 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:23 PM ET (23:23 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
South Dakota Senate	305,102	87% 671 of 671 units	Mike Rounds (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee Senate	2,066,890	93% 99 of 100 units	Bill Hagerty (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:11 AM ET (14:11 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Texas Senate	9,888,109	99% 99 of 100 units	James Talarico (Democrat) leading by 12 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Virginia Senate	3,600,011	over 99% 133 of 133 units	Mark R. Warner (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
West Virginia Senate	457,443	82% 99 of 100 units	Shelley Capito (Republican) leading by 20 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:15 PM ET (22:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Wyoming Senate	187,254	97% 97 of 100 units	Harriet Hageman (Republican) leading by 30 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:16 AM ET (08:16 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]

Governors 36

Race	Votes counted	Of expected vote	Count	Live chance	Call	Feed time
Kansas governor	1,094,862	99% 99 of 100 units	Cindy Holscher (Democrat) leading by 0.7 pts	Democrat 88%	too close	updated 4:53 PM ET (21:53 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida governor	8,270,101	99% 99 of 100 units	Byron Donalds (Republican) leading by 1.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Tennessee governor	2,099,975	94% 99 of 100 units	Marsha Blackburn (Republican) leading by 2.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:11 AM ET (14:11 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Idaho governor	715,139	60% 44 of 44 units	Brad Little (Republican) leading by 25 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Alabama governor	1,679,602	99% 99 of 100 units	Thomas Tuberville (Republican) leading by 4.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:23 PM ET (17:23 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Alaska governor	211,337	74% 74 of 100 units	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	too close	updated 12:07 PM ET (17:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Arkansas governor	886,106	over 99% 2768 of 2768 units	Sarah Huckabee Sanders (Republican) leading by 15 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arizona governor	2,549,884	98% 98 of 100 units	Katie Hobbs (Democrat) leading by 13 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:59 PM ET (22:59 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
California governor	10,572,972	77% 23860 of 23860 units	Xavier Becerra (Democrat) leading by 31 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado governor	2,649,874	98% 98 of 100 units	Phil Weiser (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:28 PM ET (18:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Connecticut governor	1,297,210	98%	Ned Lamont (Democrat) leading by 19 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia governor	4,184,729	over 99% 159 of 159 units	Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democrat) leading by 8.7 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Hawaii governor	383,578	93% 99 of 100 units	Josh Green (Democrat) leading by 45 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:02 PM ET (20:02 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Iowa governor	1,367,493	99% 99 of 100 units	Rob Sand (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois governor	4,099,942	96% 96 of 100 units	JB Pritzker (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:01 PM ET (23:01 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Massachusetts governor	2,623,508	99% 99 of 100 units	Maura Healey (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:24 PM ET (19:24 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Maryland governor	2,049,696	87% 87 of 100 units	Wes Moore (Democrat) leading by 32 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:06 PM ET (18:06 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Maine governor	714,017	97% 97 of 100 units	Hannah Pingree (Democrat) leading by 17 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:05 PM ET (22:05 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Michigan governor	4,790,692	98% 98 of 100 units	Jocelyn Benson (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Minnesota governor	2,830,159	99% 99 of 100 units	Amy Klobuchar (Democrat) leading by 13 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:00 AM ET (08:00 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Nebraska governor	755,863	over 99% 1322 of 1322 units	Jim Pillen and Joe Kelly (Republican) leading by 8.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:59 PM ET (23:59 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Hampshire governor	632,398	99% 99 of 100 units	Kelly Ayotte (Republican) leading by 4.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:01 PM ET (23:01 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
New Mexico governor	725,612	98% 98 of 100 units	Deb Haaland (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:12 PM ET (21:12 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Nevada governor	1,089,701	98% 98 of 100 units	Aaron Ford (Democrat) leading by 7.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:56 PM ET (20:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
New York governor	6,100,301	94% 94 of 100 units	Kathy Hochul (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:09 PM ET (22:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Ohio governor	4,595,782	98% 98 of 100 units	Amy Acton (Democrat) leading by 7.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:00 PM ET (22:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Oklahoma governor	1,120,139	97% 99 of 100 units	Mike Mazzei (Republican) leading by 6.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Oregon governor	1,882,388	93% 93 of 100 units	Tina Kotek (Democrat) leading by 9.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:19 PM ET (23:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Pennsylvania governor	4,992,136	93% 99 of 100 units	Josh Shapiro (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:02 PM ET (22:02 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Rhode Island governor	359,539	98% 98 of 100 units	Helena Foulkes (Democrat) leading by 30 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:30 PM ET (19:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
South Carolina governor	2,037,662	99% 99 of 100 units	Alan Wilson (Republican) leading by 4.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:23 PM ET (23:23 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
South Dakota governor	304,495	87% 671 of 671 units	Larry Rhoden and Tony Venhuizen (Republican) leading by 27 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Texas governor	9,906,820	99% 99 of 100 units	Gina Hinojosa (Democrat) leading by 7.1 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Vermont governor	308,657	99% 283 of 283 units	Phil Scott (Republican) leading by 6.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 1:58 PM ET (18:58 UTC, 9 Nov)
Wisconsin governor	2,668,669	99% 99 of 100 units	David Crowley (Democrat) leading by 8.0 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:52 AM ET (14:52 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Wyoming governor	187,387	97% 97 of 100 units	Eric Barlow (Republican) leading by 52 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:16 AM ET (08:16 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]

House 434

Race	Votes counted	Of expected vote	Count	Live chance	Call	Feed time
North Carolina's 5th district	285,498	99% 230 of 230 units	Level	Republican 52%	withdrawn	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee's 4th district	195,576	99% 99 of 100 units	Victoria Broderick (Democrat) leading by 0.1 pts	Democrat 55%	too close	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Minnesota's 1st district	326,179	99% 750 of 750 units	Jake Johnson (Democrat) leading by 0.1 pts	Democrat 56%	withdrawn	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 3rd district	237,904	99% 190 of 190 units	Greg Murphy (Republican) leading by 0.1 pts	Republican 61%	too close	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Alaska's at-large district	213,009	74% 74 of 100 units	Nick Begich (Republican) leading by 9.2 pts	Republican 75%	too close	updated 12:07 PM ET (17:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Florida's 27th district	247,966	99% 99 of 100 units	Maria Elvira Salazar (Republican) leading by 0.4 pts	Republican 82%	withdrawn	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 7th district	324,454	99% 99 of 100 units	Ryan Elijah (Republican) leading by 0.5 pts	Republican 85%	withdrawn	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 9th district	285,122	99% 99 of 100 units	Darren Soto (Democrat) leading by 0.5 pts	Democrat 85%	withdrawn	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Washington's 5th district	271,709	82% 12 of 12 units	Michael Baumgartner (Republican) leading by 3.5 pts	Republican 89%	withdrawn	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado's 4th district	381,214	98% 98 of 100 units	Eileen Laubacher (Democrat) leading by 0.8 pts	Democrat 93%	withdrawn	updated 1:03 PM ET (18:03 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
California's 23rd district	190,836	86% 1324 of 1324 units	Jay Obernolte (Republican) leading by 2.8 pts	Republican 93%	withdrawn	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Florida's 26th district	229,804	99% 99 of 100 units	Mario Diaz-Balart (Republican) leading by 0.7 pts	Republican 94%	withdrawn	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
North Carolina's 7th district	320,680	99% 183 of 183 units	David Rouzer (Republican) leading by 0.8 pts	Republican 94%	withdrawn	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Florida's 13th district	313,669	99% 99 of 100 units	Anna Luna (Republican) leading by 0.8 pts	Republican 95%	withdrawn	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Colorado's 3rd district	332,044	95% 95 of 100 units	Jeff Hurd (Republican) leading by 1.8 pts	Republican 97%	Republican	updated 12:41 PM ET (17:41 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
South Carolina's 1st district	326,423	99% 99 of 100 units	Nancy Lacore (Democrat) leading by 1.0 pts	Democrat 98%	Democrat	updated 6:51 PM ET (23:51 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 2nd district	296,664	99% 99 of 100 units	Joe Wilson (Republican) leading by 1.0 pts	Republican 98%	Republican	updated 6:21 PM ET (23:21 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
North Carolina's 10th district	293,976	99% 187 of 187 units	Pat Harrigan (Republican) leading by 1.0 pts	Republican 99%	Republican	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee's 9th district	225,614	99% 99 of 100 units	Brent Taylor (Republican) leading by 1.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 2nd district	328,414	99% 99 of 100 units	Eli Crane (Republican) leading by 1.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:59 PM ET (22:59 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Virginia's 1st district	423,119	over 99% 18 of 18 units	Shannon L. Taylor (Democrat) leading by 1.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 8:21 AM ET (13:21 UTC, 4 Nov)
Oklahoma's 5th district	264,647	99% 99 of 100 units	Stephanie Bice (Republican) leading by 1.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 4th district	371,374	97% 97 of 100 units	Sean McCann (Democrat) leading by 1.8 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:29 PM ET (22:29 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maine's 2nd district	341,256	98% 98 of 100 units	Paul LePage (Republican) leading by 1.6 pts	Republican over 99%	too close	updated 5:25 PM ET (22:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 21st district	276,784	97% 97 of 100 units	Anthony Constantino (Republican) leading by 1.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:19 PM ET (21:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 5th district	217,688	71% 399 of 399 units	Tom McClintock (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Ohio's 10th district	302,016	98% 98 of 100 units	Kristina Knickerbocker (Democrat) leading by 1.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:10 PM ET (21:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 1st district	298,585	97% 97 of 100 units	Nicholas LaLota (Republican) leading by 2.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:00 PM ET (17:00 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 1st district	200,309	69% 788 of 788 units	Mike McGuire (Democrat) leading by 13 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas's 2nd district	250,548	99% 404 of 404 units	French Hill (Republican) leading by 1.7 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 48th district	192,797	62% 692 of 692 units	Marni von Wilpert (Democrat) leading by 19 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 8th district	291,899	99% 193 of 193 units	Mark Harris (Republican) leading by 1.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 3rd district	211,366	65% 531 of 531 units	Ami Bera (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Jersey's 2nd district	271,153	97% 97 of 100 units	Zack Mullock (Democrat) leading by 2.7 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:00 PM ET (21:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Virginia's 5th district	362,677	98% 24 of 24 units	John J. McGuire III (Republican) leading by 2.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 49th district	241,733	70% 699 of 699 units	Mike Levin (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Texas's 2nd district	283,915	99% 99 of 100 units	Steve Toth (Republican) leading by 2.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Florida's 4th district	301,127	99% 99 of 100 units	Aaron Bean (Republican) leading by 2.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:45 PM ET (22:45 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
North Carolina's 9th district	271,399	99% 169 of 169 units	Richard N. Ojeda II (Democrat) leading by 2.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 14th district	288,361	99% 142 of 142 units	Lakesha Womack (Democrat) leading by 2.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 6th district	273,738	99% 195 of 195 units	Cyril Jefferson (Democrat) leading by 2.3 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee's 7th district	240,886	99% 99 of 100 units	Matt Van Epps (Republican) leading by 2.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:11 AM ET (14:11 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 20th district	168,648	58% 764 of 764 units	Vince Fong (Republican) leading by 24 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 13th district	316,789	99% 140 of 140 units	Paul Barringer (Democrat) leading by 2.4 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado's 5th district	307,995	95% 95 of 100 units	Jessica Killin (Democrat) leading by 4.7 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:37 AM ET (14:37 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
California's 21st district	99,931	59% 323 of 323 units	Jim Costa (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 13th district	113,824	65% 974 of 974 units	Adam Gray (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Texas's 27th district	282,399	99% 99 of 100 units	Michael Cloud (Republican) leading by 2.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 22nd district	93,372	57% 575 of 575 units	Randy Villegas (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Maryland's 1st district	298,548	92% 92 of 100 units	Andy Harris (Republican) leading by 6.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:56 AM ET (15:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 2nd district	248,655	97% 97 of 100 units	Andrew Garbarino (Republican) leading by 3.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:29 AM ET (15:29 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 8th district	285,544	99% 99 of 100 units	Abraham Hamadeh (Republican) leading by 2.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:15 AM ET (15:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 25th district	147,500	59% 656 of 656 units	Raul Ruiz (Democrat) leading by 30 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Nebraska's 1st district	254,139	97% 438 of 438 units	Mike Flood (Republican) leading by 3.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 1st district	272,875	99% 15 of 15 units	James Jim Kingston (Republican) leading by 2.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 50th district	222,706	68% 713 of 713 units	Scott Peters (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 39th district	112,701	57% 210 of 210 units	Mark Takano (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 26th district	213,256	70% 1087 of 1087 units	Jacqui Irwin (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Texas's 32nd district	277,669	99% 99 of 100 units	Jace Yarbrough (Republican) leading by 2.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Washington's 4th district	230,304	93% 8 of 8 units	Amanda McKinney (Republican) leading by 7.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Texas's 5th district	253,133	99% 99 of 100 units	Lance Gooden (Republican) leading by 2.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 6th district	261,031	83% 83 of 100 units	Andrea Salinas (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:19 PM ET (23:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 17th district	310,690	95% 95 of 100 units	Cait Conley (Democrat) leading by 6.1 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:34 PM ET (21:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Indiana's 5th district	260,319	99%	J.D. Ford (Democrat) leading by 3.3 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 24th district	189,609	61% 627 of 627 units	Salud Carbajal (Democrat) leading by 32 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 1st district	312,740	99% 290 of 290 units	Don Davis (Democrat) leading by 3.3 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 47th district	249,011	85% 561 of 561 units	Dave Min (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 51st district	202,615	69% 663 of 663 units	Sara Jacobs (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee's 6th district	238,224	99% 99 of 100 units	Johnny Garrett (Republican) leading by 3.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 7th district	397,113	98% 98 of 100 units	William Lawrence (Democrat) leading by 3.3 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:28 PM ET (22:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 5th district	323,005	99% 99 of 100 units	Mark Lamb (Republican) leading by 3.4 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:15 AM ET (15:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Montana's 1st district	262,219	98% 98 of 100 units	Sam Forstag (Democrat) leading by 3.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:26 PM ET (23:26 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Florida's 18th district	273,579	99% 99 of 100 units	Scott Franklin (Republican) leading by 3.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Texas's 22nd district	289,777	99% 99 of 100 units	Trever Nehls (Republican) leading by 3.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 2nd district	214,951	67% 595 of 595 units	Jared Huffman (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Florida's 22nd district	295,116	99% 99 of 100 units	Pia Dandiya (Democrat) leading by 3.8 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
New York's 11th district	181,316	91% 91 of 100 units	Nicole Malliotakis (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 1st district	305,724	99% 99 of 100 units	Mitchell Berman (Democrat) leading by 3.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Iowa's 2nd district	346,311	99% 99 of 100 units	Lindsay James (Democrat) leading by 4.0 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:21 PM ET (22:21 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Georgia's 12th district	270,517	99% 24 of 24 units	Rick W. Allen (Republican) leading by 4.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Alabama's 1st district	231,965	99% 99 of 100 units	Jerry Carl (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:29 PM ET (22:29 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 2nd district	231,471	99% 99 of 100 units	Shomari Figures (Democrat) leading by 7.5 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:27 PM ET (22:27 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 3rd district	221,726	99% 99 of 100 units	Mike Rogers (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:17 PM ET (21:17 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 4th district	213,641	99% 99 of 100 units	Robert Aderholt (Republican) leading by 50 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:28 PM ET (22:28 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 5th district	266,843	99% 99 of 100 units	Dale Strong (Republican) leading by 6.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:23 PM ET (17:23 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 6th district	260,878	98% 98 of 100 units	Gary Palmer (Republican) leading by 15 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:26 PM ET (22:26 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Alabama's 7th district	251,908	99% 99 of 100 units	Terri Sewell (Democrat) leading by 39 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:26 PM ET (22:26 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arkansas's 1st district	194,244	99% 712 of 712 units	Rick Crawford (Republican) leading by 34 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas's 3rd district	231,938	99% 833 of 833 units	Steve Womack (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas's 4th district	200,483	99% 820 of 820 units	Bruce Westerman (Republican) leading by 31 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arizona's 1st district	352,449	99% 99 of 100 units	Amish Shah (Democrat) leading by 6.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:15 AM ET (15:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 4th district	253,315	99% 99 of 100 units	Greg Stanton (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:15 AM ET (15:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 6th district	355,624	99% 99 of 100 units	JoAnna Mendoza (Democrat) leading by 8.0 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:30 PM ET (19:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 7th district	198,187	96% 96 of 100 units	Adelita Grijalva (Democrat) leading by 44 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:59 PM ET (21:59 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 9th district	283,127	97% 97 of 100 units	Paul Gosar (Republican) leading by 15 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:57 PM ET (21:57 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 8th district	224,070	86% 396 of 396 units	John Garamendi (Democrat) leading by 45 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 9th district	167,062	79% 322 of 322 units	Josh Harder (Democrat) leading by 34 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 10th district	255,811	79% 728 of 728 units	Mark DeSaulnier (Democrat) leading by 39 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 15th district	165,423	67% 299 of 299 units	Kevin Mullin (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 16th district	209,285	67% 337 of 337 units	Sam Liccardo (Democrat) leading by 54 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 17th district	160,535	70% 241 of 241 units	Ro Khanna (Democrat) leading by 44 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 18th district	144,236	71% 376 of 376 units	Zoe Lofgren (Democrat) leading by 45 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 19th district	253,790	76% 428 of 428 units	Jimmy Panetta (Democrat) leading by 46 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 27th district	228,808	97% 378 of 378 units	George Whitesides (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 28th district	252,375	95% 391 of 391 units	Judy Chu (Democrat) leading by 40 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 30th district	255,385	97% 193 of 193 units	Laura Friedman (Democrat) leading by 55 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 31st district	230,535	96% 360 of 360 units	Gil Cisneros (Democrat) leading by 32 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 32nd district	254,812	90% 268 of 268 units	Brad Sherman (Democrat) leading by 36 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 33rd district	178,600	88% 491 of 491 units	Pete Aguilar (Democrat) leading by 37 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 35th district	173,372	83% 272 of 272 units	Norma J. Torres (Democrat) leading by 34 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 36th district	300,677	97% 156 of 156 units	Ted W. Lieu (Democrat) leading by 46 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 38th district	206,163	94% 415 of 415 units	Hilda Solis (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 41st district	241,749	95% 281 of 281 units	Linda Sánchez (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 42nd district	258,971	90% 402 of 402 units	Robert Garcia (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 43rd district	184,418	97% 193 of 193 units	Maxine Waters (Democrat) leading by 66 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 44th district	178,285	97% 97 of 100 units	Nanette Barragan (Democrat) leading by 63 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 45th district	218,956	87% 424 of 424 units	Derek Tran (Democrat) leading by 21 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 46th district	161,881	85% 423 of 423 units	Lou Correa (Democrat) leading by 40 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 52nd district	152,827	69% 580 of 580 units	Juan Vargas (Democrat) leading by 39 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado's 1st district	303,828	99% 99 of 100 units	Melat Kiros (Democrat) leading by 64 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:32 PM ET (17:32 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Colorado's 2nd district	366,709	97% 97 of 100 units	Joe Neguse (Democrat) leading by 51 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:32 PM ET (17:32 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Colorado's 6th district	290,542	94% 94 of 100 units	Jason Crow (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:32 PM ET (17:32 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Colorado's 7th district	376,024	96% 96 of 100 units	Brittany Pettersen (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:28 PM ET (18:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Colorado's 8th district	286,502	97% 97 of 100 units	Manny Rutinel (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:42 AM ET (14:42 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Connecticut's 1st district	253,388	98%	Luke Bronin (Democrat) leading by 36 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Connecticut's 2nd district	291,936	98%	Joe Courtney (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Connecticut's 3rd district	247,131	98%	Rosa L. DeLauro (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Connecticut's 4th district	240,138	98%	Jim Himes (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Connecticut's 5th district	253,066	98%	Jahana Hayes (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:57 PM ET (23:57 UTC, 9 Nov)
Delaware's at-large district	378,433	99% 99 of 100 units	Sarah McBride (Democrat) leading by 29 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:08 AM ET (15:08 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Florida's 1st district	291,010	99% 99 of 100 units	Jimmy Patronis (Republican) leading by 27 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 2nd district	309,440	99% 99 of 100 units	Austin Rogers (Republican) leading by 4.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 3rd district	300,422	99% 99 of 100 units	Kat Cammack (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 5th district	333,358	99% 99 of 100 units	John Rutherford (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:45 PM ET (22:45 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 6th district	331,484	99% 99 of 100 units	Randy Fine (Republican) leading by 19 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:56 PM ET (22:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 8th district	319,595	99% 99 of 100 units	Mike Haridopolos (Republican) leading by 6.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:40 PM ET (22:40 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 11th district	365,755	99% 99 of 100 units	Joe Strada (Republican) leading by 6.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 12th district	286,094	99% 99 of 100 units	Gus Bilirakis (Republican) leading by 6.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 14th district	300,233	99% 99 of 100 units	Kathy Castor (Democrat) leading by 5.4 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:46 PM ET (22:46 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 15th district	300,907	99% 99 of 100 units	Laurel Lee (Republican) leading by 8.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 16th district	343,045	99% 99 of 100 units	Sydney Gruters (Republican) leading by 4.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:52 PM ET (22:52 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 17th district	357,875	99% 99 of 100 units	Greg Steube (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:53 PM ET (22:53 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 19th district	325,188	99% 99 of 100 units	Jim Schwartzel (Republican) leading by 23 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 20th district	245,706	99% 99 of 100 units	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (Democrat) leading by 53 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:36 PM ET (22:36 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 21st district	342,040	99% 99 of 100 units	Brian Mast (Republican) leading by 9.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:46 PM ET (22:46 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 23rd district	258,967	99% 99 of 100 units	Lois Frankel (Democrat) leading by 31 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:46 PM ET (22:46 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 24th district	204,435	99% 99 of 100 units	Oliver Gilbert (Democrat) leading by 61 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 25th district	280,681	99% 99 of 100 units	Jared Moskowitz (Democrat) leading by 4.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's resul [aligned]
Florida's 28th district	236,376	99% 99 of 100 units	Carlos Gimenez (Republican) leading by 7.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Georgia's 2nd district	244,056	99% 30 of 30 units	Sanford Bishop (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 3rd district	321,867	99% 15 of 15 units	Brian Jack (Republican) leading by 17 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 4th district	262,984	99% 2 of 2 units	Henry Hank Johnson Jr. (Democrat) leading by 65 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 5th district	304,784	99% 3 of 3 units	Nikema Williams (Democrat) leading by 80 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 6th district	326,403	99% 4 of 4 units	Lucy McBath (Democrat) leading by 62 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 7th district	341,081	99% 6 of 6 units	Rich McCormick (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 8th district	265,175	99% 29 of 29 units	Austin Scott (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 9th district	308,639	99% 12 of 12 units	Andrew Clyde (Republican) leading by 19 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 10th district	325,940	99% 20 of 20 units	Houston Gaines (Republican) leading by 7.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 11th district	329,197	99% 5 of 5 units	John Cowan (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 13th district	310,710	99% 6 of 6 units	Jasmine Clark (Democrat) leading by 60 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia's 14th district	287,276	99% 10 of 10 units	Clay Fuller (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Hawaii's 1st district	175,575	99% 99 of 100 units	Ed Case (Democrat) leading by 49 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:01 PM ET (20:01 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Hawaii's 2nd district	194,717	99% 99 of 100 units	Jill Tokuda (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:02 PM ET (20:02 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Iowa's 1st district	347,609	99% 99 of 100 units	Christina Bohannan (Democrat) leading by 9.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Iowa's 3rd district	353,054	99% 99 of 100 units	Sarah Trone Garriott (Democrat) leading by 7.3 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:57 PM ET (22:57 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Iowa's 4th district	302,888	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris McGowan (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:51 PM ET (22:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Idaho's 1st district	379,049	99% 19 of 19 units	Russ Fulcher (Republican) leading by 36 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Idaho's 2nd district	330,352	99% 26 of 26 units	Mike Simpson (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Illinois's 1st district	231,200	93% 93 of 100 units	Jonathan Jackson (Democrat) leading by 43 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 2nd district	219,579	92% 92 of 100 units	Donna Miller (Democrat) leading by 45 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 3rd district	192,432	94% 94 of 100 units	Delia Ramirez (Democrat) leading by 53 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 4th district	157,531	93% 93 of 100 units	Patty Garcia (Democrat) leading by 55 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 5th district	254,202	94% 94 of 100 units	Mike Quigley (Democrat) leading by 52 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 6th district	259,600	97% 97 of 100 units	Sean Casten (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 7th district	191,697	92% 92 of 100 units	La Shawn Ford (Democrat) leading by 78 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 8th district	213,329	97% 97 of 100 units	Melissa Bean (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 9th district	250,353	95% 95 of 100 units	Daniel Biss (Democrat) leading by 52 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 10th district	233,681	98% 98 of 100 units	Brad Schneider (Democrat) leading by 40 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 11th district	265,902	97% 97 of 100 units	Bill Foster (Democrat) leading by 29 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 12th district	281,020	99% 99 of 100 units	Mike Bost (Republican) leading by 39 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:03 PM ET (23:03 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 13th district	251,178	98% 98 of 100 units	Nikki Budzinski (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:33 PM ET (17:33 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 14th district	245,166	97% 97 of 100 units	Lauren Underwood (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:14 PM ET (20:14 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 15th district	288,061	98% 98 of 100 units	Mary Miller (Republican) leading by 34 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:33 PM ET (17:33 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 16th district	294,611	94% 94 of 100 units	Darin LaHood (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:33 PM ET (17:33 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Illinois's 17th district	236,027	95% 95 of 100 units	Eric Sorensen (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:33 PM ET (17:33 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Indiana's 1st district	223,232	98%	Frank J. Mrvan (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 2nd district	192,747	99%	Rudy Yakym (Republican) leading by 4.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 3rd district	200,013	99%	Marlin A. Stutzman (Republican) leading by 9.7 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 4th district	212,399	99%	Jim Baird (Republican) leading by 8.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 6th district	201,646	99%	Jefferson Shreve (Republican) leading by 10 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 7th district	206,871	99%	André Carson (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 8th district	212,534	99%	Mark Messmer (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Indiana's 9th district	224,790	98%	Erin Houchin (Republican) leading by 10 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 6:02 PM ET (23:02 UTC, 9 Nov)
Kansas's 1st district	253,318	99% 99 of 100 units	Tracey Mann (Republican) leading by 22 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:04 PM ET (18:04 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kansas's 2nd district	245,721	99% 99 of 100 units	Derek Schmidt (Republican) leading by 6.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:17 PM ET (17:17 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kansas's 3rd district	337,509	99% 99 of 100 units	Sharice Davids (Democrat) leading by 21 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:13 PM ET (17:13 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kansas's 4th district	259,910	99% 99 of 100 units	Ron Estes (Republican) leading by 9.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:16 PM ET (17:16 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 1st district	229,170	99% 99 of 100 units	James Comer (Republican) leading by 35 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:08 PM ET (20:08 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 2nd district	231,058	99% 99 of 100 units	S. Guthrie (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:08 PM ET (20:08 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 3rd district	248,500	99% 99 of 100 units	Morgan McGarvey (Democrat) leading by 41 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:07 PM ET (20:07 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 4th district	253,820	99% 99 of 100 units	Ed Gallrein (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:07 PM ET (20:07 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 5th district	196,468	99% 99 of 100 units	Hal Rogers (Republican) leading by 46 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:08 PM ET (20:08 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Kentucky's 6th district	263,353	99% 99 of 100 units	Zach Dembo (Democrat) leading by 9.4 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:07 PM ET (20:07 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 1st district	263,375	99% 99 of 100 units	Steve Scalise (Republican) leading by 27 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 11:55 AM ET (16:55 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 2nd district	240,582	99% 99 of 100 units	Troy Carter (Democrat) leading by 65 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:31 PM ET (18:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 3rd district	234,995	99% 99 of 100 units	Clay Higgins (Republican) leading by 34 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 11:55 AM ET (16:55 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 4th district	230,352	99% 99 of 100 units	Mike Johnson (Republican) leading by 36 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 11:55 AM ET (16:55 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 5th district	227,918	99% 99 of 100 units	Patricia Moore (Democrat) leading by 0.7 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 12:06 PM ET (17:06 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Louisiana's 6th district	261,953	99% 99 of 100 units	Chauna Banks (Democrat) leading by 0.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:10 PM ET (19:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 3rd district	258,068	99% 99 of 100 units	Lori Trahan (Democrat) leading by 37 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:05 PM ET (17:05 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 4th district	290,389	99% 99 of 100 units	Jake Auchincloss (Democrat) leading by 33 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:11 PM ET (19:11 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 6th district	325,368	99% 99 of 100 units	Dan Koh (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:37 PM ET (19:37 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 8th district	281,804	99% 99 of 100 units	Stephen Lynch (Democrat) leading by 43 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:21 AM ET (15:21 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 9th district	350,869	99% 99 of 100 units	Bill Keating (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:44 PM ET (18:44 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 2nd district	259,901	86% 86 of 100 units	John Olszewski (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:56 AM ET (15:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 3rd district	296,372	91% 91 of 100 units	Sarah Elfreth (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:14 PM ET (22:14 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 4th district	178,947	82% 82 of 100 units	Glenn Ivey (Democrat) leading by 83 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:06 PM ET (18:06 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 5th district	298,371	90% 90 of 100 units	Adrian Boafo (Democrat) leading by 40 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:06 PM ET (18:06 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 6th district	263,023	91% 91 of 100 units	April McClain Delaney (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:02 PM ET (18:02 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 7th district	188,854	82% 82 of 100 units	Kweisi Mfume (Democrat) leading by 69 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:56 AM ET (15:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maryland's 8th district	259,462	81% 81 of 100 units	Jamie Raskin (Democrat) leading by 68 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 1:06 PM ET (18:06 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Maine's 1st district	380,069	99% 99 of 100 units	Chellie Pingree (Democrat) leading by 32 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:05 PM ET (22:05 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 1st district	403,806	97% 97 of 100 units	Jack Bergman (Republican) leading by 9.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 2nd district	358,458	95% 95 of 100 units	John Moolenaar (Republican) leading by 25 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:29 PM ET (22:29 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 3rd district	369,388	99% 99 of 100 units	Hillary Scholten (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:29 PM ET (22:29 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 5th district	337,427	95% 95 of 100 units	Tim Walberg (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:21 PM ET (22:21 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 6th district	407,161	99% 99 of 100 units	Debbie Dingell (Democrat) leading by 37 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 8th district	352,770	98% 98 of 100 units	Kristen McDonald Rivet (Democrat) leading by 14 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 9th district	395,591	99% 99 of 100 units	Lisa McClain (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:31 PM ET (22:31 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 10th district	358,665	99% 99 of 100 units	Christina Hines (Democrat) leading by 7.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:28 PM ET (22:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 11th district	392,301	99% 99 of 100 units	Jeremy Moss (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:28 PM ET (22:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 12th district	325,322	98% 98 of 100 units	Rashida Tlaib (Democrat) leading by 55 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:29 PM ET (22:29 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Michigan's 13th district	274,324	69% 69 of 100 units	Donavan McKinney (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:30 PM ET (22:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Minnesota's 2nd district	375,241	99% 260 of 260 units	Matt Little (Democrat) leading by 14 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 3rd district	377,996	99% 229 of 229 units	Kelly Morrison (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 4th district	336,243	99% 212 of 212 units	Betty McCollum (Democrat) leading by 46 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 5th district	343,507	99% 217 of 217 units	Ilhan Omar (Democrat) leading by 60 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 6th district	367,342	99% 276 of 276 units	Tom Emmer (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 7th district	330,858	99% 1327 of 1327 units	Michelle Fischbach (Republican) leading by 30 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Minnesota's 8th district	359,454	99% 834 of 834 units	Pete Stauber (Republican) leading by 6.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Missouri's 1st district	232,150	99% 99 of 100 units	Wesley Bell (Democrat) leading by 68 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:24 PM ET (21:24 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 2nd district	331,391	99% 99 of 100 units	Fred Wellman (Democrat) leading by 4.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:06 PM ET (21:06 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 3rd district	282,254	99% 99 of 100 units	Bob Onder (Republican) leading by 8.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:09 PM ET (22:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 4th district	250,742	99% 99 of 100 units	Mark Alford (Republican) leading by 26 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:15 PM ET (21:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 5th district	257,956	99% 99 of 100 units	Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat) leading by 41 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:19 PM ET (19:19 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 6th district	257,865	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris Stigall (Republican) leading by 20 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:28 PM ET (22:28 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 7th district	254,740	99% 99 of 100 units	Eric Burlison (Republican) leading by 27 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:13 PM ET (20:13 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Missouri's 8th district	225,436	99% 99 of 100 units	Jason Smith (Republican) leading by 39 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:48 PM ET (21:48 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Mississippi's 1st district	239,607	98% 98 of 100 units	Trent Kelly (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 11:34 AM ET (16:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Mississippi's 2nd district	244,403	97% 97 of 100 units	Bennie Thompson (Democrat) leading by 38 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 11:42 AM ET (16:42 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Mississippi's 3rd district	251,707	97% 97 of 100 units	Michael Guest (Republican) leading by 16 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:49 PM ET (19:49 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Mississippi's 4th district	214,808	98% 98 of 100 units	Mike Ezell (Republican) leading by 25 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Montana's 2nd district	218,863	98% 98 of 100 units	Troy Downing (Republican) leading by 26 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:26 PM ET (23:26 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
North Carolina's 2nd district	326,962	99% 156 of 156 units	Deborah K. Ross (Democrat) leading by 52 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 4th district	358,015	99% 142 of 142 units	Valerie P. Foushee (Democrat) leading by 60 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 11th district	342,379	99% 290 of 290 units	Jamie Ager (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina's 12th district	270,536	99% 145 of 145 units	Alma S. Adams (Democrat) leading by 62 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Dakota's at-large district	234,255	98% 98 of 100 units	Julie Fedorchak (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:14 PM ET (22:14 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Nebraska's 2nd district	253,836	96% 334 of 334 units	Denise Powell (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Nebraska's 3rd district	245,023	98% 639 of 639 units	Adrian Smith (Republican) leading by 51 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Hampshire's 1st district	315,944	99% 99 of 100 units	Stefany Shaheen (Democrat) leading by 14 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:01 PM ET (23:01 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Hampshire's 2nd district	315,967	99% 99 of 100 units	Maggie Goodlander (Democrat) leading by 20 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:48 PM ET (22:48 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 1st district	257,513	96% 96 of 100 units	Donald Norcross (Democrat) leading by 41 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:07 PM ET (22:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 3rd district	274,693	96% 96 of 100 units	Herb Conaway (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:43 PM ET (22:43 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 4th district	265,368	98% 98 of 100 units	Christopher Smith (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:43 PM ET (22:43 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 5th district	270,002	96% 96 of 100 units	Josh Gottheimer (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:35 PM ET (22:35 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 6th district	211,992	97% 97 of 100 units	Frank Pallone (Democrat) leading by 39 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:43 PM ET (22:43 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 7th district	331,500	97% 97 of 100 units	Rebecca Bennett (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:10 PM ET (22:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 9th district	184,554	95% 95 of 100 units	Nelida Pou (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:18 PM ET (22:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 10th district	179,845	96% 96 of 100 units	LaMonica McIver (Democrat) leading by 69 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:53 PM ET (20:53 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 11th district	279,954	96% 96 of 100 units	Analilia Mejia (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:46 PM ET (20:46 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 12th district	233,917	95% 95 of 100 units	Adam Hamawy (Democrat) leading by 42 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:53 PM ET (20:53 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Mexico's 1st district	282,547	99% 778 of 778 units	Melanie Ann Stansbury (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico's 2nd district	210,600	98% 663 of 663 units	Gabriel Vasquez (Democrat) leading by 18 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico's 3rd district	229,247	98% 98 of 100 units	Teresa Leger Fernandez (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:12 PM ET (21:12 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Nevada's 1st district	238,045	99% 99 of 100 units	Dina Titus (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:09 PM ET (02:09 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Nevada's 2nd district	320,782	98% 98 of 100 units	Teresa Benitez-Thompson (Democrat) leading by 5.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:03 PM ET (02:03 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Nevada's 3rd district	270,960	99% 99 of 100 units	Susie Lee (Democrat) leading by 21 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:09 PM ET (02:09 UTC, 7 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Nevada's 4th district	251,601	99% 99 of 100 units	Steven Horsford (Democrat) leading by 23 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:56 PM ET (20:56 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 3rd district	272,733	97% 97 of 100 units	Thomas Suozzi (Democrat) leading by 9.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:29 AM ET (15:29 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 4th district	288,407	98% 98 of 100 units	Laura Gillen (Democrat) leading by 13 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:29 AM ET (15:29 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 5th district	161,418	91% 91 of 100 units	Gregory Meeks (Democrat) leading by 61 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 6th district	134,749	88% 88 of 100 units	Grace Meng (Democrat) leading by 38 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 7th district	162,218	88% 88 of 100 units	Claire Valdez (Democrat) leading by 68 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 8th district	162,404	87% 87 of 100 units	Hakeem Jeffries (Democrat) leading by 59 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 9th district	178,465	87% 87 of 100 units	Yvette Clarke (Democrat) leading by 65 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 10th district	201,120	88% 88 of 100 units	Brad Lander (Democrat) leading by 67 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 12th district	250,781	86% 86 of 100 units	Micah Lasher (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 13th district	161,117	90% 90 of 100 units	Darializa Avila Chevalier (Democrat) leading by 76 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 14th district	136,956	92% 92 of 100 units	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 15th district	122,169	90% 90 of 100 units	Ritchie Torres (Democrat) leading by 66 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:32 PM ET (21:32 UTC, 5 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 16th district	227,926	83% 83 of 100 units	George Latimer (Democrat) leading by 52 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:35 AM ET (14:35 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 18th district	268,816	96% 96 of 100 units	Pat Ryan (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:34 PM ET (21:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 19th district	294,255	98% 98 of 100 units	Josh Riley (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:09 PM ET (22:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 20th district	286,447	97% 97 of 100 units	Paul Tonko (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:51 PM ET (21:51 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 22nd district	273,895	98% 98 of 100 units	John Mannion (Democrat) leading by 17 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:19 PM ET (21:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 23rd district	302,569	98% 98 of 100 units	Nicholas Langworthy (Republican) leading by 20 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:08 PM ET (21:08 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 24th district	283,863	96% 96 of 100 units	Claudia Tenney (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:08 PM ET (21:08 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 25th district	280,606	98% 98 of 100 units	Joseph Morelle (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 4:03 PM ET (21:03 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New York's 26th district	249,104	99% 99 of 100 units	Timothy Kennedy (Democrat) leading by 32 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:49 PM ET (20:49 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 1st district	324,471	98% 98 of 100 units	Greg Landsman (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:35 PM ET (19:35 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 2nd district	273,049	98% 98 of 100 units	David Taylor (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:19 PM ET (20:19 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 3rd district	300,332	97% 97 of 100 units	Joyce Beatty (Democrat) leading by 54 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:31 PM ET (19:31 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 4th district	305,586	98% 98 of 100 units	Jim Jordan (Republican) leading by 33 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:59 PM ET (20:59 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 5th district	301,101	98% 98 of 100 units	Bob Latta (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 1:56 PM ET (18:56 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 6th district	270,985	98% 98 of 100 units	Michael Rulli (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:00 PM ET (22:00 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 7th district	328,791	98% 98 of 100 units	Brian Poindexter (Democrat) leading by 9.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:28 PM ET (19:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 8th district	323,517	98% 98 of 100 units	Warren Davidson (Republican) leading by 4.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:35 PM ET (19:35 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 9th district	302,136	98% 98 of 100 units	Marcy Kaptur (Democrat) leading by 5.5 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:07 PM ET (20:07 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 11th district	263,344	98% 98 of 100 units	Shontel Brown (Democrat) leading by 67 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:28 PM ET (19:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 12th district	323,137	98% 98 of 100 units	Troy Balderson (Republican) leading by 19 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:33 PM ET (21:33 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 13th district	317,775	98% 98 of 100 units	Emilia Sykes (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:15 PM ET (20:15 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 14th district	326,118	98% 98 of 100 units	David Joyce (Republican) leading by 10 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:02 PM ET (20:02 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Ohio's 15th district	287,647	97% 97 of 100 units	Don Leonard (Democrat) leading by 6.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:59 PM ET (20:59 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oklahoma's 1st district	231,781	99% 99 of 100 units	Mark Tedford (Republican) leading by 4.6 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oklahoma's 2nd district	211,874	99% 99 of 100 units	Josh Brecheen (Republican) leading by 39 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oklahoma's 3rd district	190,925	99% 99 of 100 units	Frank Lucas (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oklahoma's 4th district	218,008	99% 99 of 100 units	Tom Cole (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:28 PM ET (00:28 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 1st district	306,927	92% 92 of 100 units	Suzanne Bonamici (Democrat) leading by 42 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:41 PM ET (20:41 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 2nd district	303,369	95% 95 of 100 units	Cliff Bentz (Republican) leading by 23 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:37 PM ET (21:37 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 3rd district	302,005	96% 96 of 100 units	Maxine Dexter (Democrat) leading by 55 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:34 PM ET (20:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 4th district	334,724	96% 96 of 100 units	Val Hoyle (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Oregon's 5th district	346,746	93% 93 of 100 units	Janelle Bynum (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:09 PM ET (23:09 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 1st district	356,633	99% 99 of 100 units	Bob Harvie (Democrat) leading by 5.5 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:07 PM ET (17:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 2nd district	184,401	99% 99 of 100 units	Brendan Boyle (Democrat) leading by 62 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:38 PM ET (19:38 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 4th district	344,921	99% 99 of 100 units	Madeleine Dean (Democrat) leading by 34 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 5th district	296,248	99% 99 of 100 units	Mary Scanlon (Democrat) leading by 44 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:38 PM ET (19:38 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 6th district	311,284	99% 99 of 100 units	Chrissy Houlahan (Democrat) leading by 29 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 5:01 PM ET (22:01 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 7th district	293,281	99% 99 of 100 units	Bob Brooks (Democrat) leading by 12 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:39 PM ET (17:39 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 8th district	282,732	99% 99 of 100 units	Paige Cognetti (Democrat) leading by 8.9 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:38 PM ET (17:38 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 9th district	269,765	99% 99 of 100 units	Dan Meuser (Republican) leading by 23 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:40 PM ET (20:40 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 10th district	315,708	99% 99 of 100 units	Janelle Stelson (Democrat) leading by 10 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 3:20 PM ET (20:20 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 11th district	302,448	99% 99 of 100 units	Lloyd Smucker (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:03 PM ET (22:03 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 12th district	296,776	99% 99 of 100 units	Summer Lee (Democrat) leading by 31 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:38 PM ET (17:38 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 13th district	281,365	99% 99 of 100 units	John Joyce (Republican) leading by 35 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:53 PM ET (20:53 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 14th district	276,791	99% 99 of 100 units	Guy Reschenthaler (Republican) leading by 15 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:10 PM ET (20:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 15th district	268,195	99% 99 of 100 units	Glenn Thompson (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:18 PM ET (21:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 16th district	286,928	99% 99 of 100 units	Mike Kelly (Republican) leading by 7.7 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:41 PM ET (21:41 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 17th district	330,630	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris Deluzio (Democrat) leading by 26 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 12:07 PM ET (17:07 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Rhode Island's 1st district	163,367	99% 99 of 100 units	Gabriel Amo (Democrat) leading by 41 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:30 PM ET (19:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Rhode Island's 2nd district	195,361	98% 98 of 100 units	Seth Magaziner (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:30 PM ET (19:30 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 3rd district	273,192	99% 99 of 100 units	Sheri Biggs (Republican) leading by 29 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:48 PM ET (21:48 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 4th district	284,193	99% 99 of 100 units	William Timmons (Republican) leading by 6.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:03 PM ET (21:03 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 5th district	286,858	99% 99 of 100 units	Wes Climer (Republican) leading by 5.7 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:50 PM ET (21:50 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 6th district	260,742	99% 99 of 100 units	James Clyburn (Democrat) leading by 39 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:21 PM ET (23:21 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Carolina's 7th district	304,088	99% 99 of 100 units	Russell Fry (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:51 PM ET (21:51 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
South Dakota's at-large district	305,585	99% 671 of 671 units	Marty Jackley (Republican) leading by 28 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	file made 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Tennessee's 1st district	209,355	99% 99 of 100 units	Diana Harshbarger (Republican) leading by 38 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Tennessee's 2nd district	250,980	99% 99 of 100 units	Tim Burchett (Republican) leading by 17 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Tennessee's 3rd district	236,358	98% 98 of 100 units	Chuck Fleischmann (Republican) leading by 17 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Tennessee's 5th district	213,705	99% 99 of 100 units	Charlie Hatcher (Republican) leading by 4.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Tennessee's 8th district	220,906	99% 99 of 100 units	David Kustoff (Republican) leading by 5.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:10 AM ET (14:10 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 1st district	263,585	99% 99 of 100 units	Nathaniel Moran (Republican) leading by 38 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:38 PM ET (19:38 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 3rd district	320,910	99% 99 of 100 units	Keith Self (Republican) leading by 5.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:36 PM ET (19:36 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 4th district	306,394	99% 99 of 100 units	Pat Fallon (Republican) leading by 12 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 6th district	268,408	99% 99 of 100 units	Jake Ellzey (Republican) leading by 4.3 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 7th district	226,493	99% 99 of 100 units	Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (Democrat) leading by 43 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 8th district	266,466	99% 99 of 100 units	Jessica Hart Steinmann (Republican) leading by 6.4 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 9th district	170,419	99% 99 of 100 units	Leticia Gutierrez (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 10th district	300,257	99% 99 of 100 units	Chris Gober (Republican) leading by 7.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 11th district	232,980	99% 99 of 100 units	August Pfluger (Republican) leading by 19 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 12th district	271,894	99% 99 of 100 units	Craig Goldman (Republican) leading by 6.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:27 PM ET (19:27 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 13th district	242,521	99% 99 of 100 units	Ronny Jackson (Republican) leading by 30 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 14th district	282,553	99% 99 of 100 units	Randy Weber (Republican) leading by 8.0 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:40 PM ET (19:40 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 15th district	202,509	99% 99 of 100 units	Bobby Pulido (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 16th district	197,117	99% 99 of 100 units	Veronica Escobar (Democrat) leading by 42 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:23 PM ET (19:23 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 17th district	268,003	99% 99 of 100 units	Pete Sessions (Republican) leading by 7.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:42 PM ET (19:42 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 18th district	224,483	98% 98 of 100 units	Christian Menefee (Democrat) leading by 72 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 19th district	221,753	99% 99 of 100 units	Tom Sell (Republican) leading by 39 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 20th district	192,494	99% 99 of 100 units	Joaquin Castro (Democrat) leading by 55 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 11:34 AM ET (16:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 21st district	356,513	99% 99 of 100 units	Mark Teixeira (Republican) leading by 9.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 11:34 AM ET (16:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 23rd district	272,553	99% 99 of 100 units	Katy Padilla Stout (Democrat) leading by 8.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 11:34 AM ET (16:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 24th district	321,448	99% 99 of 100 units	Beth Van Duyne (Republican) leading by 6.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 25th district	265,575	99% 99 of 100 units	Roger Williams (Republican) leading by 7.5 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:42 PM ET (19:42 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 26th district	335,798	99% 99 of 100 units	Brandon Gill (Republican) leading by 10 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 28th district	172,312	99% 99 of 100 units	Henry Cuellar (Democrat) leading by 36 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 29th district	167,608	99% 99 of 100 units	Sylvia Garcia (Democrat) leading by 60 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 30th district	226,118	99% 99 of 100 units	Frederick Haynes (Democrat) leading by 65 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 31st district	304,973	99% 99 of 100 units	John Carter (Republican) leading by 8.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 2:46 PM ET (19:46 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 33rd district	192,048	99% 99 of 100 units	Colin Allred (Democrat) leading by 57 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:18 AM ET (15:18 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 34th district	202,645	99% 99 of 100 units	Vicente Gonzalez (Democrat) leading by 16 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 2:43 PM ET (19:43 UTC, 6 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 35th district	252,558	99% 99 of 100 units	Johnny Garcia (Democrat) leading by 11 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 11:34 AM ET (16:34 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 36th district	257,689	99% 99 of 100 units	Brian Babin (Republican) leading by 7.1 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 37th district	304,426	99% 99 of 100 units	Greg Casar (Democrat) leading by 68 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Texas's 38th district	305,101	99% 99 of 100 units	Jon Bonck (Republican) leading by 4.2 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 10:19 AM ET (15:19 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Utah's 1st district	249,058	96% 1 of 1 units	Ben Mcadams (Other) leading by 44 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Utah's 2nd district	253,386	97% 5 of 5 units	Blake D. Moore (Other) leading by 7.9 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Utah's 3rd district	252,765	96% 19 of 19 units	Celeste Maloy (Other) leading by 22 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Utah's 4th district	264,912	97% 7 of 7 units	Mike Kennedy (Other) leading by 15 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 2nd district	340,024	98% 8 of 8 units	Elaine G. Luria (Democrat) leading by 8.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 3rd district	249,055	98% 5 of 5 units	Robert C. Bobby Scott (Democrat) leading by 49 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 4th district	310,061	98% 15 of 15 units	Jennifer L. McClellan (Democrat) leading by 46 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 6th district	317,940	99% 23 of 23 units	Ben L. Cline (Republican) leading by 11 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 7th district	323,458	99% 11 of 11 units	Eugene S. Vindman (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 8th district	319,646	98% 4 of 4 units	Donald S. Beyer, Jr. (Democrat) leading by 62 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 9th district	294,951	99% 28 of 28 units	H. Morgan Griffith (Republican) leading by 32 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 10th district	332,154	98% 7 of 7 units	Suhas Subramanyam (Democrat) leading by 25 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia's 11th district	339,980	98% 2 of 2 units	James R. Walkinshaw (Democrat) leading by 50 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Vermont's at-large district	304,429	99% 283 of 283 units	Becca Balint (Democrat) leading by 34 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	file made 1:58 PM ET (18:58 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 1st district	287,961	97% 2 of 2 units	Suzan DelBene (Democrat) leading by 35 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 2nd district	329,450	92% 4 of 5 units	Rick Larsen (Democrat) leading by 34 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 3rd district	350,424	98% 7 of 7 units	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democrat) leading by 8.2 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 6th district	325,131	88% 5 of 6 units	Emily Randall (Democrat) leading by 27 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 7th district	362,742	97% 1 of 1 units	Pramila Jayapal (Democrat) leading by 75 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 8th district	335,134	96% 6 of 6 units	Kim Schrier (Democrat) leading by 14 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 9th district	244,604	97% 1 of 1 units	Adam Smith (Democrat) leading by 52 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington's 10th district	261,449	93% 2 of 2 units	Marilyn Strickland (Democrat) leading by 28 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Wisconsin's 3rd district	329,464	99% 99 of 100 units	Rebecca Cooke (Democrat) leading by 6.6 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 4th district	264,932	99% 99 of 100 units	Gwen Moore (Democrat) leading by 63 pts	Democrat over 99%	Democrat	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 5th district	374,269	99% 99 of 100 units	Scott Fitzgerald (Republican) leading by 18 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 6th district	326,136	99% 99 of 100 units	Glenn Grothman (Republican) leading by 9.4 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 7th district	339,994	99% 99 of 100 units	Michael Alfonso (Republican) leading by 13 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:52 AM ET (14:52 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 8th district	328,729	99% 99 of 100 units	Tony Wied (Republican) leading by 7.8 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
West Virginia's 1st district	208,641	99% 99 of 100 units	Carol Miller (Republican) leading by 17 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 5:15 PM ET (22:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
West Virginia's 2nd district	242,629	99% 99 of 100 units	Riley Moore (Republican) leading by 19 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 4:58 PM ET (21:58 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wyoming's at-large district	183,200	97% 97 of 100 units	Chuck Gray (Republican) leading by 21 pts	Republican over 99%	Republican	updated 3:16 AM ET (08:16 UTC, 8 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Arizona's 3rd district	147,637	– 99 of 100 units	Yassamin Ansari (Democrat) leading by 81 pts	–	Democrat	updated 10:15 AM ET (15:15 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
California's 4th district	166,667	– 500 of 500 units	Eric Jones (Democrat) leading by 5.7 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 6th district	184,378	– 309 of 309 units	Richard Pan (Democrat) leading by 17 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 7th district	182,670	– 414 of 414 units	Doris Matsui (Democrat) leading by 12 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 11th district	293,829	– 453 of 453 units	Scott Wiener (Democrat) leading by 7.1 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 12th district	196,652	– 190 of 190 units	Lateefah Simon (Democrat) leading by 61 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 14th district	159,728	– 351 of 351 units	Aisha Wahab (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 29th district	171,678	– 115 of 115 units	Luz Maria Rivas (Democrat) leading by 15 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 34th district	170,293	– 116 of 116 units	Angela Gonzales-Torres (Democrat) leading by 24 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 37th district	178,986	– 140 of 140 units	Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Democrat) leading by 22 pts	–	Democrat	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
California's 40th district	174,655	– 558 of 558 units	Ken Calvert (Republican) leading by 7.6 pts	–	Republican	updated 6:38 PM ET (23:38 UTC, 9 Nov)
Massachusetts's 1st district	271,339	– 99 of 100 units	Richard Neal (Democrat) leading by 31 pts	–	Democrat	updated 2:24 PM ET (19:24 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 2nd district	198,782	– 63 of 100 units	James McGovern (Democrat) leading by 100 pts	–	Democrat	updated 10:22 AM ET (15:22 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 5th district	206,925	– 89 of 100 units	Katherine Clark (Democrat) leading by 100 pts	–	Democrat	updated 10:14 AM ET (15:14 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Massachusetts's 7th district	158,384	– 62 of 100 units	Ayanna Pressley (Democrat) leading by 100 pts	–	Democrat	updated 10:10 AM ET (15:10 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
New Jersey's 8th district	123,258	– 95 of 100 units	Rob Menendez (Democrat) leading by 84 pts	–	Democrat	updated 3:54 PM ET (20:54 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Pennsylvania's 3rd district	272,529	– 99 of 100 units	Chris Rabb (Democrat) leading by 87 pts	–	Democrat	updated 2:38 PM ET (19:38 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)
Wisconsin's 2nd district	317,125	– 99 of 100 units	Mark Pocan (Democrat) leading by 100 pts	–	Democrat	updated 9:25 AM ET (14:25 UTC, 9 Nov) as reported by AP (as published on the BBC's results page)

Statewide ballot measures 65

State	Measure (as the feed names it)	Yes	No	Feed time
Arkansas	ISSUE NO. 1	0.0%	30.9%	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas	ISSUE NO. 2	0.0%	29.2%	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas	ISSUE NO. 3	0.0%	50.7%	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Arkansas	ISSUE NO. 4	0.0%	43.6%	updated 4:11 PM ET (21:11 UTC, 9 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 81 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	44.7%	55.3%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 82 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	46.3%	53.7%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 83 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	45.1%	54.9%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 84 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	36.6%	63.4%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 85 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	51.1%	48.9%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 86 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	46.9%	53.1%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Amendment 87 (CONSTITUTIONAL)	51.6%	48.4%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 132 (STATUTORY)	52.6%	47.4%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 133 (STATUTORY)	62.1%	37.9%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 134 (STATUTORY)	52.2%	47.8%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 135 (STATUTORY)	51.9%	48.1%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 136 (STATUTORY)	47.2%	52.8%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition 137 (STATUTORY)	51.9%	48.1%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Colorado	Proposition NN (STATUTORY)	56.9%	43.1%	updated 8:11 PM ET (01:11 UTC, 7 Nov)
Georgia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment 1	53.8%	46.2%	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment 2	68.4%	31.6%	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Georgia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment 3	77.7%	22.3%	updated 6:00 PM ET (23:00 UTC, 9 Nov)
Iowa	Constitutional Amendment 1	56.3%	43.7%	updated 1:25 PM ET (18:25 UTC, 4 Nov)
Idaho	Advisory Question: House Bill 932	0.0%	0.0%	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Idaho	Idaho Constitutional Amendment: House Joint Resolution 4	33.7%	66.3%	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Idaho	Idaho Constitutional Amendment: House Joint Resolution 6	63.2%	36.8%	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
Idaho	Proposition 1: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act	44.1%	55.9%	updated 1:48 PM ET (18:48 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina	CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT - MAXIMUM INCOME TAX RATE OF 3.5%	61.9%	38.1%	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina	CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT - PROPERTY TAX LEVY LIMIT	60.4%	39.6%	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Carolina	CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT - REQUIRE PHOTO ID FOR VOTING	59.6%	40.4%	updated 3:37 PM ET (20:37 UTC, 9 Nov)
North Dakota	Related to constitutional amendments	43.6%	56.4%	file made 11:55 AM ET (16:55 UTC, 4 Nov)
North Dakota	Related to prohibiting all political subdivisions from levying any tax on real property except for bonded indebtedness until paid	36.5%	63.5%	file made 11:55 AM ET (16:55 UTC, 4 Nov)
New Mexico	Bond Question 1: The 2026 Capital Projects General Obligation Bond Act authorizes the issuance and sale of senior citizen facility improvement, construction and equipment acquisition bonds. Shall the state be authorized to issue general obligation bonds in an amount not to exceed twenty-one million	69.6%	30.4%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	City of Las Cruces General Obligation Library Bond: Shall the City of Las Cruces be authorized to issue general obligation bonds, payable from property taxes, in an amount up to $26,000, 000 to acquire, plan, design, develop, construct, improve, renovate, modernize, automate, furnish, and equip the	68.9%	31.1%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	CITY OF RUIDOSO DOWNS GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND : Shall the City of Ruidoso Downs issue up to $2,500,000 in general obligation bonds payable from general (ad valorem) taxes to design, acquire, construct, renovate, expand, furnish, eqmp, enhance, and otherwise improve public infrastructure and building	–	–	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	COUNTY BOND QUESTION 2: Shall Valencia County issue up to $4,000,000 of its general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to construct, rehabilitate, enhance and otherwise improve public roads, including purchasing capital equipment for such projects? - Valencia - Valencia	64.7%	35.3%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	COUNTY BOND QUESTION 3: Shall Valencia County issue up to $2,000,000 of its general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to construct, equip, renovate, enhance and otherwise improve and to acquire equipment for park and recreational facilities including public parks, splash pads, spor	61.2%	38.8%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	COUNTY BOND QUESTION 4: Shall Valencia County issue up to $2,000,000 of its general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to construct, equip, renovate, enhance and otherwise improve County owned community centers, including those for families, youth and senior citizens? - Valencia - V	61.8%	38.2%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	COUNTY QUESTION AMENDMENT TO THE CHARTER OF THE INCORPORATED COUNTY (COUNTY) OF LOS ALAMOS, PURSUANT TO COUNTY ORDINANCE NO. 758, TO AMEND THE PRIORITY OF THE DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC UTILITIES (DPU) BUDGETED EXPENDITURES QUESTION NO. 3: Shall Article V, Section 509, of the Charter of the Incorporated	52.9%	47.1%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	County Tax Authorization Question: Shall the County of Chaves impose a countywide one-eighth of one percent (0.125%, or 12.5 cents per $100 of taxable gross receipts) Local Economic Development Act local option gross receipts tax, with the revenue being dedicated to furthering or implementing econom	31.7%	68.3%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND QUESTION 1: Shall Santa Fe County issue up to $14,035,000 in general obligation bonds payable from general (ad valorem) taxes to acquire, construct, design, equip, and improve roads within the County? - Santa Fe - Santa Fe	84.7%	15.3%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND QUESTION 2: Shall Santa Fe County issue up to $6,500,000 in general obligation bonds payable from general (ad valorem) taxes to acquire real property and necessary water rights for, and to construct, design, equip, rehabilitate, and improve water and wastewater projects withi	83.9%	16.1%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND QUESTION 3: Shall Santa Fe County issue up to $7,010,000 in general obligation bonds payable from general (ad valorem) taxes to acquire, design, construct, improve, equip, and restore open space, trails, and parks within the County? - Santa Fe - Santa Fe	80.6%	19.4%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND QUESTION 4: Shall Santa Fe County issue up to $17,455,000 in general obligation bonds payable from general (ad valorem) taxes to acquire real property for, and to construct, design, equip, rehabilitate, and improve fire stations within the County? - Santa Fe - Santa Fe	82.7%	17.3%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION FLOOD CONTROL BONDS: Shall the Albuquerque Metropolitan Arroyo Flood Control Authority be authorized to issue its general obligation bonds in principal amount- not exceeding $30,000 000 for the extension betterment, alteration, reconstruction, repair and other improvements of the	79.4%	20.6%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION MIDTOWN CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT BONDS: Shall the City of Santa Fe issue up to $5,000,000 in general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to plan, design, prepare, demolish, construct, reconstruct, renovate, equip, furnish, manage, and improve public facilities, infrastr	73.7%	26.3%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION MUNICIPAL RECREATION COMPLEX SOCCER VALLEY BONDS : Shall the City of Santa Fe issue up to $4,500,000 in general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to plan, design, construct, equip, furnish, improve, and expand athletic fields and related public recreational facil	69.0%	31.0%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION STREET, SIDEWALK, AND PEDESTRIAN ACCESSIBILITY BONDS: Shall the City of Santa Fe issue up to $11,250,000 in general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to plan, design, construct, equip, reconstruct, rehabilitate, preserve, repair, replace, and improve streets, sid	85.2%	14.8%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	GENERAL OBLIGATION SWAN PARK IMPROVEMENT BONDS : Shall the City of Santa Fe issue up to $4,250,000 in general obligation bonds, to be repaid from property taxes, to plan, design, construct, equip, furnish, and improve a splash pad and related public recreational facilities and infrastructure at SWAN	68.6%	31.4%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	Local Economic Development Act GRT Question: Shall the County of Otero impose a countywide one-eighth of one percent (0.125%, or 12.5 cents per $100 of taxable gross receipts) Local Economic Development Act local option gross receipts tax, with the revenue being dedicated to furthering or implementi	37.1%	62.9%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	MILL LEVY QUESTION: For the purpose of providing continued operating revenues for medical services including trauma care and behavioral health services including substance abuse treatment, shall Sandoval County, New Mexico continue to impose a mill levy of one and ninety hundredths (1.90) mills each	72.9%	27.1%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	SAN JUAN COLLEGE GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND QUESTION: Shall San Juan College District, issue general obligation bonds of the College District, in one series or more, in the aggregate principal amount not to exceed $7,500,000, for the purpose of any, all or a combination of: erecting, furnishing, constr	64.0%	36.0%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
New Mexico	Village of Angel Fire Economic Development Tax Question: Shall the Village of Angel Fire impose an Economic Development Tax at a rate of 0.25% to fund incentives, provide public support for projects, and improve the community's economic well-being and overall quality of life? ANGEL FIRE MUNICIPALITY	51.9%	48.1%	fetched (the feed gives no time) 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Utah	Constitutional Amendment A	61.2%	38.8%	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Utah	Constitutional Amendment B	38.7%	61.3%	updated 7:01 PM ET (00:01 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 1	62.6%	37.4%	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 2	57.6%	42.4%	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Virginia	Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 3	56.7%	43.3%	updated 6:54 PM ET (23:54 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	City of Bothell - Proposition No. 1	82.8%	17.2%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	City of Milton - Proposition No. 1	58.8%	41.2%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Fire Protection District No. 1 - Proposition 1	0.0%	0.0%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Initiative Measure No. IL26-001	47.3%	52.7%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Initiative Measure No. IL26-638	55.8%	44.2%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Initiative Measure No. IP26-645	41.9%	58.1%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Prescott Joint Park and Recreation District - Proposition No. 1	0.0%	0.0%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)
Washington	Public Hospital District No. 1 - Public Hospital District No. 1, Proposition 1	0.0%	0.0%	updated 6:44 PM ET (23:44 UTC, 9 Nov)

"Of expected vote": votes counted as a share of the votes we expect in the race, from each county's 2022 turnout (or its 2024 presidential turnout scaled to a midterm); House districts take their state's expected vote divided equally, so treat theirs as rough. "Units": the precincts or counties the state says have reported. Feed time is the race's own time in the state's feed; where a feed gives none we say when we fetched it.

Photo credits

346 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Aaron Bean, Abraham Hamadeh, Adam Gray, Adam Smith, Adelita Grijalva, Adrian Smith, Aisha Wahab, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Alma Adams, Ami Bera, Analilia Mejia, André Carson, Andrea Salinas, Andrew Clyde, Andrew Garbarino, Andy Barr, Andy Harris, Anna Paulina Luna, April McClain Delaney, Ashley Moody, August Pfluger, Austin Scott, Ayanna Pressley, Barry Moore, Becca Balint, Ben Cline, Ben Ray Luján, Bennie Thompson, Beth Van Duyne, Betty McCollum, Bill Foster, Bill Hagerty, Bill Keating, Blake Moore, Bob Latta, Bob Onder, Bobby Scott, Brad Schneider, Brad Sherman, Brandon Gill, Brendan Boyle, Brett Guthrie, Brian Babin, Brian Jack, Brian Mast, Brittany Pettersen, Bruce Westerman, Carlos Giménez, Carol Miller, Celeste Maloy, Chellie Pingree, Chris Coons, Chris Deluzio, Chris Pappas, Chris Smith, Chrissy Houlahan, Christian Menefee, Chuck Fleischmann, Claudia Tenney, Clay Fuller, Clay Higgins, Cliff Bentz, Cory Booker, Craig Goldman, Dale Strong, Dan Meuser, Darin LaHood, Darren Soto, Dave Min, David Joyce, David Kustoff, David Rouzer, David Taylor, Debbie Dingell, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Deborah Ross, Delia Ramirez, Derek Schmidt, Derek Tran, Diana Harshbarger, Dina Titus, Don Beyer, Don Davis, Donald Norcross, Doris Matsui, Ed Case, Ed Markey, Eli Crane, Emanuel Cleaver, Emilia Sykes, Emily Randall, Eric Burlison, Eric Sorensen, Erin Houchin, Eugene Vindman, Frank Lucas, Frank Mrvan, Frank Pallone, French Hill, Gabe Amo, Gabe Vasquez, Gary Palmer, George Latimer, George Whitesides, Gil Cisneros, Glenn Grothman, Glenn Ivey, Glenn Thompson, Grace Meng, Greg Casar, Greg Landsman, Greg Murphy, Greg Stanton, Greg Steube, Gregory Meeks, Gus Bilirakis, Guy Reschenthaler, Gwen Moore, Hakeem Jeffries, Hal Rogers, Hank Johnson, Harriet Hageman, Henry Cuellar, Herb Conaway, Hillary Scholten, Ilhan Omar, Jack Bergman, Jack Reed, Jahana Hayes, Jake Auchincloss, Jake Ellzey, James Comer, James Walkinshaw, Jamie Raskin, Janelle Bynum, Jared Huffman, Jared Moskowitz, Jason Crow, Jason Smith, Jay Obernolte, Jeff Hurd, Jeff Merkley, Jefferson Shreve, Jennifer McClellan, Jill Tokuda, Jim Baird, Jim Clyburn, Jim Costa, Jim Himes, Jim Jordan, Jim McGovern, Jim Risch, Jimmy Panetta, Jimmy Patronis, Joaquin Castro, Joe Courtney, Joe Neguse, Joe Wilson, John Carter, John Garamendi, John Hickenlooper, John Joyce, John Mannion, John McGuire, John Moolenaar, John Rutherford, Johnny Olszewski, Jon Ossoff, Jonathan Jackson, Joseph Morelle, Josh Brecheen, Josh Gottheimer, Josh Harder, Josh Riley, Joyce Beatty, Juan Vargas, Judy Chu, Julia Letlow, Julie Fedorchak, Kat Cammack, Katherine Clark, Kathy Castor, Keith Self, Kelly Ayotte, Kelly Morrison, Ken Calvert, Kevin Hern, Kevin Mullin, Kim Schrier, Kristen McDonald Rivet, Kweisi Mfume, LaMonica McIver, Lance Gooden, Lateefah Simon, Laura Friedman, Laura Gillen, Laurel Lee, Lauren Underwood, Lisa McClain, Lizzie Fletcher, Lloyd Smucker, Lois Frankel, Lori Trahan, Lou Correa, Lucy McBath, Luz Rivas, Madeleine Dean, Maggie Goodlander, Marcy Kaptur, María Elvira Salazar, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, Marilyn Strickland, Mario Díaz-Balart, Mark Alford, Mark DeSaulnier, Mark Harris, Mark Messmer, Mark Pocan, Mark Takano, Mark Warner, Marlin Stutzman, Mary Gay Scanlon, Mary Miller, Matt Van Epps, Maxine Dexter, Maxine Waters, Melanie Stansbury, Michael Baumgartner, Michael Cloud, Michael Guest, Michael Rulli, Michelle Fischbach, Mike Bost, Mike Ezell, Mike Flood, Mike Haridopolos, Mike Johnson, Mike Kelly, Mike Kennedy, Mike Levin, Mike Quigley, Mike Rogers, Mike Rounds, Mike Simpson, Morgan Griffith, Morgan McGarvey, Nanette Barragán, Nathaniel Moran, Nellie Pou, Nick Begich III, Nick LaLota, Nick Langworthy, Nicole Malliotakis, Nikema Williams, Nikki Budzinski, Norma Torres, Pat Fallon, Pat Harrigan, Pat Ryan, Patty Garcia, Paul Gosar, Paul Tonko, Pete Aguilar, Pete Ricketts, Pete Sessions, Pete Stauber, Pramila Jayapal, Randy Fine, Randy Weber, Rashida Tlaib, Raul Ruiz, Rich McCormick, Richard Neal, Rick Allen, Rick Crawford, Rick Larsen, Riley Moore, Ritchie Torres, Ro Khanna, Rob Menendez, Robert Aderholt, Robert Garcia, Roger Williams, Ron Estes, Ronny Jackson, Rosa DeLauro, Rudy Yakym, Russ Fulcher, Russell Fry, Salud Carbajal, Sam Liccardo, Sanford Bishop, Sara Jacobs, Sarah Elfreth, Sarah McBride, Scott Fitzgerald, Scott Franklin, Scott Peters, Sean Casten, Seth Magaziner, Sharice Davids, Shelley Moore Capito, Sheri Biggs, Shomari Figures, Shontel Brown, Stephanie Bice, Stephen Lynch, Steve Scalise, Steve Womack, Steven Horsford, Suhas Subramanyam, Summer Lee, Susie Lee, Suzan DelBene, Suzanne Bonamici, Sydney Kamlager-Dove, Sylvia Garcia, Ted Lieu, Teresa Leger Fernández, Terri Sewell, Tim Burchett, Tim Kennedy, Tim Walberg, Tom Cole, Tom Cotton, Tom Emmer, Tom McClintock, Tom Suozzi, Tony Wied, Tracey Mann, Trent Kelly, Trever Nehls, Troy Balderson, Troy Carter, Troy Downing, Val Hoyle, Valerie Foushee, Veronica Escobar, Vicente Gonzalez, Vince Fong, Warren Davidson, Wesley Bell, William Timmons, Yassamin Ansari, Yvette Clarke, Zoe Lofgren.

Abdul El-Sayed: Photo: Conlan Houston, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Abdul_El-Sayed_meet-and-greet_by_Conlan_Houston_5_(cropped).jpg)
Adam Hamawy: Photo: Office of Congresswoman Bonnie Watson Coleman, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Adam_Hamawy_in_2025.jpg)
Adam Hamilton: Photo: Adam Hamilton for Kansas
Adrian Boafo: Photo: Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Adrian_Boafo_Feb2023.jpg)
Alan Wilson: Photo: U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Alan_Wilson_in_August_2025.jpg)
Amanda McKinney: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Amanda_McKinney_(55022651563).jpg)
Amish Shah: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Amish_Shah_by_Gage_Skidmore_2.jpg)
Amy Acton: Photo: Patricio101, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Amy_Acton_2025.jpg)
Amy Klobuchar: Photo: United States Senate, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Amy_Klobuchar,_official_portrait,_113th_Congress.jpg)
Angela Gonzales-Torres: Photo: Angela Gonzales-Torres for Congress
Annie Andrews: Photo: Stimpus1, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Annie_Andrews_Greenville_(cropped).jpg)
Ben McAdams: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ben_McAdams,_official_portrait,_116th_Congress.jpg)
Bob Brooks: Photo: Bob Brooks for Congress
Bob Harvie: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf from Harrisburg, PA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gov._Wolf_and_Bucks_County_Officials_Celebrate_$7_Million_in_COVID_Relief_Funding_to_Bucks_County_Restaurants_(51316796294).jpg)
Bobby Pulido: Photo: Kim Alaniz, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bobby_Pulido,_Houston,_Texas.jpg)
Brad Lander: Photo: Tessa Bury, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Brad_Lander.jpg)
Brad Little: Photo: Phil White/Office of the Governor of Idaho., CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Brad_Little_official_photo.jpg)
Brent Taylor: Photo: GatewayPolitics, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Brent_Taylor_(Tennessee_politician).jpg)
Brian Poindexter: Photo: Poindexter for Congress
Byron Donalds: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rep._Byron_Donalds_official_photo,_117th_Congress.jpg)
Cait Conley: Photo: DHSgov, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:DHS_Secretary_Alejandro_Mayorkas_Gives_Opening_Remarks_During_CISA_National_Election_Exercise_in_Arlington,_Virginia_on_22_August_2024_-_6_Cait_Conley_(cropped).jpg)
Charlie Hatcher: Photo: Charlie Hatcher for Congress
Chris McGowan: Photo: McGowan for Iowa
Chris Rabb: Photo: Yolanda Cheers, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rep._Chris_Rabb_speaks_at_a_fundraiser.jpg)
Chris Stigall: Photo: Jared Hart, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chris_Stigall_2017_(cropped).jpg)
Christina Bohannan: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ChristinaBohannan.jpg)
Christina Hines: Photo: Christina Hines for Congress
Chuck Gray: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chuck_Gray_in_2025_(cropped).jpg)
Chuck Hubbard: Photo: Chuck Hubbard for Congress
Cindy Holscher: Photo: Mtcat101, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cindy_Holscher_2026_in_Manhattan_(cropped).jpg)
Claire Valdez: Photo: Metropolitan Transportation Authority, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Queens_Bus_Network_Redesign_Claire_Valdez_(cropped).jpg)
Colin Allred: Photo: Ike Hayman, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Colin_Allred,_official_portrait,_117th_Congress.jpg)
Cyril Jefferson: Photo: City of High Point
Dan Koh: Photo: Executive Office of the President of the United States, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Daniel_Koh,_White_House_Deputy_Cabinet_Secretary.jpg)
Daniel Biss: Photo: Paul Goyette, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Biss_2026.jpg)
Darializa Avila Chevalier: Photo: A LO CLARO and Indhira Baez, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Darializa_Avila_Chevalier_during_interview_on_Secretos_CEO.jpg)
David Crowley: Photo: LaShawnda Jones, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:David_Crowley,_Milwaukee_County_Executive_and_WI_gubernatorial_candidate,_February_26,_2026.jpg)
Deb Haaland: Photo: Department of the Interior, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Deb_Haaland,_official_headshot.jpg)
Denise Powell: Photo: Denise Powell for Congress
Don Leonard: Photo: Don Leonard for Congress
Donavan McKinney: Photo: City of Detroit, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:State_Rep_Donavan_McKinney_Swearing_In_12.12.22_(52565631658)_(cropped).jpg)
Donna Miller: Photo: Paul Goyette, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cook_County_Commissioner_Donna_Miller_at_May_Day_2025.jpg)
Ed Gallrein: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ed_Gallrein_(55505179851)_(cropped).jpg)
Eileen Laubacher: Photo: U.S. Navy, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Eileen_H._Laubacher_(3).jpg)
Elaine Luria: Photo: U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rep._Elaine_Luria_official_photo,_117th_Congress.jpg)
Eric Barlow: Photo: Barlow for Wyoming Governor
Fred Wellman: Photo: Fred Wellman for Congress
Frederick Haynes III: Photo: Calvary Baptist Church Jamaica, NY, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Frederick_Haynes_III_at_Calvary_Baptist_Church.png)
Gina Hinojosa: Photo: RRC1701, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gina_Hinojosa_at_the_AFL-CIO_COPE_convention_in_2024.jpg)
Hannah Pingree: Photo: Hannah Pingree for Governor, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Headshot_of_Hannah_Pingree_in_February_2026.jpg)
Helena Foulkes: Photo: Digitas Photos, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:HelenaFoulkes_CROP.jpg)
Hilda Solis: Photo: Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hilda_Solis,_2025.jpg)
Houston Gaines: Photo: Georgia House of Representatives, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_headshot_of_Houston_Gaines.jpg)
J. D. Ford: Photo: Dominic, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:JD_Ford,_Indy_Pride_Parade_2023_(2)_(cropped).jpg)
Jace Yarbrough: Photo: Lt.Cmdr. Jim Remington, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joint_Base_Commander_visits_the_US_Air_Force_Honor_Guard_-_Jace_Yarbrough_(cropped).jpg)
Jacqui Irwin: Photo: California National Guard, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:150302-Z-WQ610-_(16698067641)_(cropped).jpg)
Jake Johnson: Photo: Jake Johnson for Congress
James Talarico: Photo: Antonioaesparza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:James_Talarico_Press_Conference_(cropped).jpg)
Jamie Ager: Photo: Jamie Ager for US Congress
Janelle Stelson: Photo: James Newton / jnewt-maps on Bluesky, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Janelle_Stelson_08-29-2026.jpg)
Jasmine Clark: Photo: Georgia House of Representatives, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Member_of_the_Georgia_House_of_Representatives_Jasmine_Michelle_Clark.jpg)
JB Pritzker: Photo: Oscar Garza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:JB_Pritzker_2026_(less_cropped).jpg)
Jeremy Moss: Photo: Anmanwell, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Michigan_Senator_Jeremy_Moss_2019.jpg)
Jerry Carl: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rep._Jerry_Carl_official_photo.jpg)
Jessica Hart Steinmann: Photo: CassidySchoettelkotte, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Jessica_Hart_Steinmann.png)
Jessica Killin: Photo: Jessica Killin for Colorado
Jim Kingston: Photo: Jim Kingston for Congress
Jim Pillen: Photo: Maryland GovPics, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Jim_Pillen_SelectUSA_(55251574792).jpg)
JoAnna Mendoza: Photo: Lance Cpl. Shaltiel Dominguez, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:JoAnna_Mendoza,_2013.jpg)
Jocelyn Benson: Photo: JFM Photo 73, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:SOS_Jocelyn_Benson_web.jpg)
Joe Strada: Photo: Joe Strada for Congress
John Cowan: Photo: Dr. John Cowan for Congress
Johnny Garrett: Photo: Tennessee General Assembly
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: Photo: Unknown authorUnknown author, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:JKTphoto_(cropped).jpg)
Josh Green: Photo: Aloha102, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Green_Official_Photo_2022_(cropped)_1cropped).jpg)
Josh Shapiro: Photo: Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gov._Shapiro.jpg)
Josh Turek: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joshua_Turek_(cropped).jpg)
Juliana Stratton: Photo: Sgt. Trenton Fouche, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Juliana_Stratton_2023_(cropped).jpg)
Kathy Hochul: Photo: Metropolitan Transportation Authority, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:World_Cup_Transportation_and_Safety_(cropped).jpg)
Katie Hobbs: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Katie_Hobbs_2026.jpg)
Katy Padilla Stout: Photo: DivaaNut, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Katy_Padilla_Stout_Cropped.jpg)
Keisha Lance Bottoms: Photo: Executive Office of the President of the United States, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Keisha_Lance_Bottoms.jpg)
Kristina Knickerbocker: Photo: Kristina Knickerbocker for Congress
Kurt Alme: Photo: United States Department of Justice, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kurt_G._Alme_official_photo.jpg)
La Shawn Ford: Photo: US Department of Education, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:La_Shawn_K._Ford_on_11_December_2023_-_8_(cropped).jpg)
Larry Rhoden: Photo: U.S. Embassy Jerusalem, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Larry_Rhoden_2025_(cropped).jpg)
Leticia Gutierrez: Photo: Leticia Gutierrez for Congress
Lindsay James: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Lindsay_James_-_Official_Portrait_-_88th_GA.png)
Luke Bronin: Photo: Dannel Malloy, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Luke_Bronin_(42831415392).jpg)
Manny Rutinel: Photo: Andybosselman, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Manny_Rutinel_at_2024_YIMBY_Denver_Legislative_Kickoff_(cropped).jpg)
Mark Lamb: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mark_Lamb_(55021585032)_(cropped).jpg)
Mark Tedford: Photo: State of Oklahoma’s Legislative Service Bureau, Photo Division, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tedford_Mark_OKHouse.jpg)
Mark Teixeira: Photo: Keith Allison, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mark_Teixeira_basepaths_2011.jpg)
Marni von Wilpert: Photo: City of San Diego, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Marni_von_Wilpert.jpg)
Marsha Blackburn: Photo: United States Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sen._Marsha_Blackburn_(R-TN)_official_headshot_-_116th_Congress.jpg)
Marty Jackley: Photo: Department of Justice, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Marty_Jackley_US_Attorney.jpg)
Mary Peltola: Photo: Leah Herman, House Creative Services, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mary_Peltola_Congressional_Member_Portrait_(2).jpeg)
Matt Little: Photo: Travellers & Tinkers, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026Little.jpg)
Maura Healey: Photo: Governors office, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Maura_Healey,_official_portrait,_governor.jpg)
Melat Kiros: Photo: Andra Turner, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Melat_Kiros_Portrait.jpg)
Melissa Bean: Photo: House of Represenatatives, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Melissa_Bean_Official.jpg)
Micah Lasher: Photo: Lance Cpl. Steven Wells, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:FWNY25;_U.S._Marines_and_Sailors_hold_wreath_laying_ceremony_Micah_Lasher_(cropped).jpg)
Michael Alfonso: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Michael_Alfonso_(55022725354).jpg)
Mike Mazzei: Photo: Oklahoma State Senate, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mike_Mazzei_OK_Senate_Headshot.jpg)
Mike McGuire: Photo: State of California, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:State_Senator_Mike_McGuire.jpg)
Mitchell Berman: Photo: Mitchell Berman for Congress
Nancy Lacore: Photo: U.S. Navy, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:VADM_Nancy_S._Lacore_(2).jpg)
Ned Lamont: Photo: The Office of Governor Ned Lamont, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_Ned_Lamont_of_Connecticut,_official_portrait.jpg)
Oliver Gilbert: Photo: DeveryR7, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:OG3_High_Res_headshot.jpg)
Paige Cognetti: Photo: US Department of Labor, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Paige_Cognetti_(52165104986)_(3x4a).jpg)
Paul Barringer: Photo: Unknown authorUnknown author, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Paul_Barringer.png)
Paul LePage: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Paul_LePage_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg)
Peggy Flanagan: Photo: Travellers & Tinkers, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026PeggyFlanagan_(newcropped).jpg)
Phil Scott: Photo: Master Sgt. Sarah Mattison, U.S. Air National Guard, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Phil_Scott_2019.png)
Phil Weiser: Photo: Phil Photos, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AG_Phil_Weiser.jpg)
Pia Dandiya: Photo: Executive Office of the President, White House Office, White House Fellows, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pia_Dandiya_WHF_(cropped).png)
Randy Villegas: Photo: Maremoto Fund, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Randy_Villegas_at_Vota_Palooza_in_2024_(cropped).jpg)
Rebecca Bennett: Photo: Rebecca Bennett for Congress
Rebecca Cooke: Photo: UpNorthNews, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rebecca_Cooke_on_UpNorthNews_March_2025_(cropped).jpg)
Richard Ojeda: Photo: Richard Ojeda, campaign Flickr account, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Richard_Ojeda_shirt.jpg)
Richard Pan: Photo: Dr. Richard Pan from Sacramento, CA, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Richard_Pan_2010.jpg)
Rob Sand: Photo: Rob Sand for Governor, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rob_Sand_campaign_headshot_(cropped_1).jpg)
Roy Cooper: Photo: NCDOTcommunications, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Roy_Cooper_in_November_2023_(cropped2).jpg)
Ryan Elijah: Photo: Ryan Elijah for Congress
Sam Forstag: Photo: Conorhogan16, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sam_Forstag_Portrait_(cropped).jpg)
Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_Sarah_Huckabee_Sanders_2026.jpg)
Sarah Trone Garriott: Photo: Iowa General Assembly, Free use (Iowa General Assembly), via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sarah_Trone_Garriott.jpg)
Scott Colom: Photo: Scott Colom for Senate
Scott Wiener: Photo: California State Senate, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Scott_Wiener_Official_Biography_Portrait.jpg)
Sean McCann: Photo: Sean McCann for Congress
Shannon Taylor: Photo: Shannon Taylor for Congress
Sherrod Brown: Photo: U.S. Senate Photographic Services; Rebecca Hammel, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sherrod_Brown_117th_Congress_(2).jpg)
Stefany Shaheen: Photo: Jeanne Shaheen, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Stefany_Shaheen,_2015_(cropped).jpg)
Steve Toth: Photo: LiwenAristodemos, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:SteveToth--EagleForum--TX2Debate--GraceChurch--SpringTX--08Jan2026_(cropped).jpg)
Teresa Benitez-Thompson: Photo: Nevada Legislature
Tina Kotek: Photo: Tony Miller, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tina_Kotek_official_portrait_2021(3x4_cropped).jpg)
Tom Sell: Photo: Tom Sell for Congress
Tommy Tuberville: Photo: United States Senate, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sen._Tommy_Tuberville_Official_Portrait,_118th_Congress_(cropped).jpg)
Troy Jackson: Photo: ArenLeBrun, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Troy_Jackson_in_the_Senate_Chamber_(cropped).jpg)
Victoria Broderick: Photo: Victoria Broderick for U.S. Congress
Wes Climer: Photo: South Carolina General Assembly
Wes Moore: Photo: Maryland State Government, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Wes_Moore_Official_Governor_Portrait.jpg)
William Lawrence: Photo: Sabio117, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:William_Lawrence_2026_(cropped).jpg)
Xavier Becerra: Photo: United States Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:HHS_Xavier_Becerra.jpg)
Zach Dembo: Photo: Zach Dembo for Congress
Zack Mullock: Photo: Zack Mullock for Congress

Every vote counted so far in the states we can read, added up across the country: the House and the Senate apart, since only some states had a Senate race. These are the states' own unofficial counts, and they will move for days as late ballots are counted.

A state whose results feed we cannot read (Texas, Kentucky, Alaska, New Mexico, and the Clarity states Colorado, Iowa, South Carolina and West Virginia since election night) adds nothing, and some states we read only through a few counties. So these totals are a large sample of the country, not all of it; each table says how much it covers. Unopposed candidates often have no count at all. Counts as of 7:01 pm ET.

House of Representatives

No house votes counted yet in the states we read.

Senate

No senate votes counted yet in the states we read.

How far each place has moved since the 2024 presidential election: the margin counted now against the 2024 margin for president in the same place. A midterm is not a presidential race, so this is a guide to the mood, not a like-for-like swing; the counts are unofficial until certified.

By kind of county

Every county in the Senate and governor races we read county by county, sorted by how densely they vote and cut into four groups with a quarter of the 2024 vote each. A county counts once its count is at least half of the votes we expect there, weighted by its votes. Races with an independent as the main challenger are left out.

Big cities

the densest counties, a quarter of the vote

D+14.5

93 of 93 counties so far

Dense suburbs

the next quarter of the vote

D+13.6

142 of 142 counties so far

Smaller cities and towns

the next quarter

D+14.9

328 of 329 counties so far

Rural

the least dense counties, the last quarter of the vote

D+12.5

2023 of 2027 counties so far

Senate 32 with half or more counted; 30 moved towards the Democrats, 2 towards the Republicans

Texas SenateD shift 25.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.7Now D+12.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Rhode Island SenateD shift 23.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+13.8Now D+37.5

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Mississippi SenateD shift 23.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+22.9Now D+0.3

Est. 97% of the vote in

North Carolina SenateD shift 22.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+3.2Now D+19.6

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

South Carolina SenateD shift 22.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+17.9Now D+4.5

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

West Virginia SenateD shift 21.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+41.9Now R+20.4

Est. 82% of the vote in · Republican hold

New Jersey SenateD shift 21.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+5.9Now D+27.3

Est. 94% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Kansas SenateD shift 21.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+16.1Now D+5.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Alabama SenateD shift 21.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+30.5Now R+9.4

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

New Mexico SenateD shift 20.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.0Now D+26.5

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Georgia SenateD shift 20.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+2.2Now D+18.1

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Louisiana SenateD shift 20.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+22.0Now R+1.8

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Arkansas SenateD shift 18.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+30.6Now R+11.8

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Kentucky SenateD shift 18.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+30.5Now R+12.1

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

Tennessee SenateD shift 17.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+29.7Now R+12.2

Est. 93% of the vote in · Republican hold

Iowa SenateD shift 17.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.2Now D+4.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Virginia SenateD shift 17.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+5.8Now D+22.9

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Oklahoma SenateD shift 16.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+34.3Now R+17.9

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

Montana SenateR shift 16.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+19.9Now R+36.2

Est. 98% of the vote in · Republican hold

Ohio Senate (special)D shift 16.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+11.2Now D+4.9

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Wyoming SenateD shift 15.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+45.8Now R+30.5

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

Colorado SenateD shift 14.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+11.0Now D+25.4

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Illinois SenateD shift 13.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+10.9Now D+24.3

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Alaska SenateD shift 13.0

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.1Now R+0.2

Est. 74% of the vote in

Delaware SenateD shift 12.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+14.7Now D+27.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Hampshire SenateD shift 11.0

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+2.8Now D+13.8

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Florida Senate (special)D shift 10.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.1Now R+2.9

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Michigan SenateD shift 8.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+1.4Now D+7.1

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Massachusetts SenateD shift 6.0

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+25.2Now D+31.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Minnesota SenateD shift 5.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+4.2Now D+10.2

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Oregon SenateD shift 5.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+14.3Now D+19.5

Est. 93% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Maine SenateR shift 0.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.9Now D+6.2

Est. 97% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Governors 36 with half or more counted; 32 moved towards the Democrats, 4 towards the Republicans

Vermont governorR shift 38.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+31.5Now R+6.6

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Rhode Island governorD shift 30.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+13.8Now D+44.5

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Alaska governorD shift 28.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.1Now D+15.4

Est. 74% of the vote in

Oklahoma governorD shift 28.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+34.3Now R+6.0

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

Tennessee governorD shift 27.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+29.7Now R+2.5

Est. 94% of the vote in · Republican hold

Alabama governorD shift 26.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+30.5Now R+4.0

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Iowa governorD shift 24.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.2Now D+11.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Pennsylvania governorD shift 23.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+1.7Now D+22.2

Est. 93% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Hawaii governorD shift 22.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+23.1Now D+45.3

Est. 93% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas governorD shift 20.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.7Now D+7.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Ohio governorD shift 19.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+11.2Now D+7.9

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Arizona governorD shift 18.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+5.5Now D+13.1

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Colorado governorD shift 16.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+11.0Now D+27.8

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Kansas governorD shift 16.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+16.1Now D+0.7

Est. 99% of the vote in

Arkansas governorD shift 15.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+30.6Now R+15.3

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

South Carolina governorD shift 13.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+17.9Now R+4.5

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Illinois governorD shift 12.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+10.9Now D+23.5

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Nebraska governorD shift 12.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+20.5Now R+8.0

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Michigan governorD shift 12.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+1.4Now D+10.8

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Florida governorD shift 11.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+13.1Now R+1.3

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Idaho governorD shift 11.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+36.5Now R+24.7

Est. 60% of the vote in · Republican hold

California governorD shift 11.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+20.1Now D+31.2

Est. 77% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Georgia governorD shift 10.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+2.2Now D+8.7

Est. over 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Nevada governorD shift 10.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+3.1Now D+7.6

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Maine governorD shift 10.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.9Now D+17.0

Est. 97% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Wisconsin governorD shift 8.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+0.9Now D+8.0

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Mexico governorD shift 8.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.0Now D+14.7

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Minnesota governorD shift 8.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+4.2Now D+12.8

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Wyoming governorR shift 8.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+45.8Now R+53.9

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

New York governorD shift 7.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+12.6Now D+19.7

Est. 94% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Hampshire governorR shift 7.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+2.8Now R+4.3

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Oregon governorR shift 4.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+14.3Now D+9.7

Est. 93% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Connecticut governorD shift 4.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+14.5Now D+19.1

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Maryland governorD shift 3.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+28.5Now D+32.2

Est. 87% of the vote in · Democrat hold

South Dakota governorD shift 2.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+29.2Now R+27.0

Est. 87% of the vote in · Republican hold

Massachusetts governorD shift 2.0

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+25.2Now D+27.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

House districts 416 with half or more counted; 412 moved towards the Democrats, 4 towards the Republicans

Texas's 28th districtD shift 46.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+10.1Now D+36.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 15th districtD shift 42.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+17.7Now D+24.6

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

New Jersey's 9th districtD shift 36.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+1.3Now D+34.9

Est. 95% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 22nd districtD shift 34.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+1.7Now D+33.2

Est. 57% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Texas's 9th districtD shift 33.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+18.2Now D+15.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Jersey's 6th districtD shift 32.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.5Now D+38.7

Est. 97% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New York's 6th districtD shift 31.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.5Now D+38.0

Est. 88% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 29th districtD shift 27.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+32.4Now D+59.9

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

West Virginia's 1st districtD shift 26.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+44.3Now R+17.4

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Illinois's 4th districtD shift 26.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+28.2Now D+55.0

Est. 93% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 34th districtD shift 26.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+10.6Now D+15.8

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 33rd districtD shift 26.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+10.2Now D+36.6

Est. 88% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Pennsylvania's 2nd districtD shift 25.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+35.7Now D+61.6

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 20th districtD shift 25.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+29.5Now D+55.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 16th districtD shift 25.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+16.0Now D+41.6

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Indiana's 1st districtD shift 25.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+0.2Now D+25.8

Est. 98% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Indiana's 8th districtD shift 25.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+36.1Now R+10.6

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

California's 25th districtD shift 25.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+4.7Now D+30.0

Est. 59% of the vote in · Democrat hold

North Carolina's 11th districtD shift 25.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+9.4Now D+15.8

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

Wyoming's at-large districtD shift 24.9

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+45.8Now R+20.9

Est. 97% of the vote in · Republican hold

New York's 14th districtD shift 24.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+31.9Now D+56.7

Est. 92% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 35th districtD shift 24.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+9.4Now D+33.9

Est. 83% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Tennessee's 6th districtD shift 24.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+27.7Now R+3.3

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Kentucky's 6th districtD shift 24.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+15.0Now D+9.4

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat gain

California's 44th districtD shift 24.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+39.0Now D+63.3

Est. 97% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 33rd districtD shift 24.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+32.9Now D+57.1

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New York's 9th districtD shift 24.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+40.9Now D+65.1

Est. 87% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Hawaii's 1st districtD shift 24.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+24.7Now D+48.9

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Jersey's 5th districtD shift 23.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+3.9Now D+27.7

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 23rd districtD shift 23.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+15.6Now D+8.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 39th districtD shift 23.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+9.9Now D+33.5

Est. 57% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 46th districtD shift 23.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+16.8Now D+40.0

Est. 85% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Illinois's 3rd districtD shift 22.6

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+30.7Now D+53.3

Est. 94% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Indiana's 6th districtD shift 22.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+32.7Now R+10.2

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

California's 41st districtD shift 22.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+12.6Now D+35.1

Est. 95% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New York's 18th districtD shift 22.5

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+3.4Now D+25.8

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

California's 31st districtD shift 22.4

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+9.9Now D+32.3

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Alabama's 5th districtD shift 22.3

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+28.8Now R+6.5

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Nevada's 3rd districtD shift 22.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+0.7Now D+21.5

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Kentucky's 4th districtD shift 22.2

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+35.5Now R+13.4

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

New York's 7th districtD shift 22.1

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+46.2Now D+68.3

Est. 88% of the vote in · Democrat hold

New Jersey's 1st districtD shift 22.0

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+18.8Now D+40.8

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Alabama's 2nd districtD shift 21.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+14.3Now D+7.5

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Tennessee's 4th districtD shift 21.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+21.7Now D+0.1

Est. 99% of the vote in

Arizona's 7th districtD shift 21.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+22.1Now D+43.9

Est. 96% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Kentucky's 3rd districtD shift 21.8

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+18.9Now D+40.7

Est. 99% of the vote in · Democrat hold

Texas's 2nd districtD shift 21.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president R+23.6Now R+2.0

Est. 99% of the vote in · Republican hold

Illinois's 8th districtD shift 21.7

D+60LevelR+60

2024 president D+6.6Now D+28.3

Est. 97% of the vote in · Democrat hold

The 48 biggest shifts of 416. The map's "Shift since 2024" shows every district.

Every Senate, governor and House race with a result so far, against the favourite in the forecast we published before the polls closed. A race has a result here once we have called it (97% sure on the count, after its polls close) or its count is in (95% of the votes we expect). Our calls are our judgement until the states certify, so this page will change as the last races are settled.

Races with a result468of 487 contested

Favourite won45196%

Upsets17our favourite lost

Brier score0.0320 is perfect; 0.25 is a coin toss

Our ratings against the results: Senate and governors

Each race sits in the column of the rating our forecast gave it, coloured by who has it now: solid when won, pale when only leading, hatched when the seat changed hands, grey when nothing is counted. A red race in a blue column is an upset.

WonLeadingGainNo count·G governor, ·S special Senate election

Were our chances honest?

A forecast that says 70% should see its favourite lose about three times in ten. Each band below compares how often the favourite won with how often we said they would.

Our favourite's chance	Races	We expected the favourite to win	The favourite won
50 to 65%	24	58%	67%
65 to 85%	46	76%	93%
85 to 99%	124	94%	95%
99% or more	274	100%	100%

Where our favourite lost (17)

Race	We had	Won	How we know
North Carolina's 9th district	Republican 93%	Democrat	our call
North Carolina's 13th district	Republican 92%	Democrat	our call
North Carolina's 6th district	Republican 90%	Democrat	our call
North Carolina's 14th district	Republican 88%	Democrat	our call
New Jersey's 2nd district	Republican 87%	Democrat	our call
Indiana's 5th district	Republican 85%	Democrat	our call
Texas's 9th district	Republican 78%	Democrat	our call
Nevada's 2nd district	Republican 74%	Democrat	our call
Texas's 23rd district	Republican 68%	Democrat	our call
Texas governor	Republican 63%	Democrat	our call
South Carolina Senate	Republican 62%	Democrat	our call
South Carolina's 1st district	Republican 59%	Democrat	our call
Colorado's 5th district	Republican 58%	Democrat	our call
Vermont governor	Democrat 58%	Republican	our call
Alabama's 2nd district	Republican 57%	Democrat	our call
Ohio's 7th district	Republican 55%	Democrat	our call
Ohio's 15th district	Republican 52%	Democrat	our call

Every race without a result yet: not called by us and not fully counted. Some will take days: California counts for weeks, Alaska's ranked-choice count waits for late ballots, and Louisiana's races where nobody reached 50% go to a runoff on 12 December. States whose feed we cannot read stay here until we can confirm the count another way.

Race	Our forecast	Counted	Leading	Margin	Status
Alaska Senate	Democrat 71%	74%	Republican	R+0.2	too close to call
Mississippi Senate	Republican 85%	97%	Democrat	D+0.3	too close to call
Kansas governor	Democrat 51%	99%	Democrat	D+0.7	too close to call
Alaska governor	Democrat 69%	74%	Democrat	D+15.4	too close to call
Florida's 7th district	Republican 58%	99%	Republican	R+0.5	call withdrawn
Minnesota's 1st district	Republican 64%	99%	Democrat	D+0.1	call withdrawn
Florida's 9th district	Republican 66%	99%	Democrat	D+0.5	call withdrawn
Maine's 2nd district	Democrat 72%	98%	Republican	R+1.6	too close to call
Washington's 5th district	Republican 72%	82%	Republican	R+3.5	call withdrawn
Florida's 27th district	Republican 72%	99%	Republican	R+0.4	call withdrawn
Florida's 13th district	Republican 76%	99%	Republican	R+0.8	call withdrawn
North Carolina's 3rd district	Republican 78%	99%	Republican	R+0.1	too close to call
Florida's 26th district	Republican 80%	99%	Republican	R+0.7	call withdrawn
North Carolina's 7th district	Republican 85%	99%	Republican	R+0.8	call withdrawn
California's 23rd district	Republican 91%	86%	Republican	R+2.8	call withdrawn
North Carolina's 5th district	Republican 91%	99%	Democrat	level	call withdrawn
Colorado's 4th district	Republican 93%	98%	Democrat	D+0.8	call withdrawn
Tennessee's 4th district	Republican 97%	99%	Democrat	D+0.1	too close to call
Alaska's at-large district	Republican 100%	74%	Republican	R+5.2	too close to call

Early returns against what we expect

Each county's benchmark is its 2024 presidential margin, moved by the same amount everywhere so the state adds up to our forecast, with the votes we expect from its 2022 turnout.

Like with like. Mail ballots lean Democratic and Election Day votes Republican, and states count them in different orders, so a first batch of mail can look like a Democratic night when it isn't. Where a state's feed splits its count by method (North Carolina, Georgia, Virginia, Iowa, and Kent, Ingham, Cuyahoga and Lancaster counties), each method is compared with how that method voted in the same county in 2024, from the state's own 2024 results. Where a feed gives totals only, a county counts towards the race's read only once it looks complete (95% of the votes we expect). This assumes every method moves by the same amount since 2024; who votes by mail and who votes on the day shifts between a presidential year and a midterm, so one method running ahead of the others can be a change in the mix rather than a miss in the polls.

"If the rest runs the same" moves our forecast by that like-for-like gap; it's a plain read, not the live model's projection. Unofficial results from the states' own feeds.

Kansas governor Cindy Holscher v Ty Masterson · our forecast Even, 51% Democrat · totals only

Counted1,094,862 of ~1,009,221 expected (108%) · 105 of 105 counties

Like-for-like gap0.5 pts better for the Republican on 1,038,378 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+0.5

Raw (not like for like)D+0.7 counted, D+1.4 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Johnson ✓	D+8.5	D+24.8	262,697	295,428 (112%)	D+22.8	−2.0
Sedgwick ✓	R+13.8	D+2.4	155,206	181,679 (117%)	D+4.7	+2.2
Shawnee ✓	D+0.5	D+16.8	65,914	69,600 (106%)	D+14.2	−2.6
Douglas ✓	D+38.0	D+54.3	47,396	50,732 (107%)	D+52.2	−2.1
Wyandotte ✓	D+23.9	D+40.1	35,035	42,904 (122%)	D+45.8	+5.7
Leavenworth ✓	R+22.8	R+6.5	26,893	28,286 (105%)	R+6.6	−0.1
Butler ✓	R+41.2	R+24.9	23,756	25,933 (109%)	R+26.0	−1.1
Reno ✓	R+34.5	R+18.2	20,776	21,644 (104%)	R+20.1	−1.9
Riley ✓	D+1.8	D+18.1	18,195	19,946 (110%)	D+17.4	−0.6
Saline ✓	R+31.6	R+15.3	17,731	19,520 (110%)	R+17.7	−2.4
Miami ✓	R+39.5	R+23.2	13,494	14,042 (104%)	R+23.8	−0.5
Harvey ✓	R+21.1	R+4.8	12,917	13,653 (106%)	R+7.6	−2.8
Crawford ✓	R+25.3	R+9.0	11,834	12,188 (103%)	R+7.9	+1.1
McPherson ✓	R+41.1	R+24.8	11,154	11,482 (103%)	R+28.6	−3.8
Lyon ✓	R+14.7	D+1.6	10,128	11,216 (111%)	D+2.5	+1.0
Pottawatomie ✓	R+47.6	R+31.4	10,503	10,798 (103%)	R+33.6	−2.3
Ellis ✓	R+46.1	R+29.9	10,552	10,623 (101%)	R+27.9	+2.0
Cowley ✓	R+40.3	R+24.0	10,671	10,453 (98%)	R+24.9	−0.8
Franklin ✓	R+40.1	R+23.8	9,535	9,758 (102%)	R+23.5	+0.3
Finney ✓	R+34.7	R+18.4	7,191	9,191 (128%)	R+0.9	+17.5
Montgomery	R+51.1	R+34.8	9,611	9,016 (94%)	R+34.1	+0.7 *
Barton ✓	R+56.7	R+40.5	8,095	8,429 (104%)	R+42.0	−1.5
Sumner ✓	R+50.1	R+33.8	7,890	8,083 (102%)	R+33.0	+0.8
Jefferson ✓	R+36.9	R+20.6	7,622	7,880 (103%)	R+23.7	−3.0
Ford ✓	R+38.4	R+22.1	5,994	7,183 (120%)	R+2.0	+20.1
Dickinson ✓	R+55.0	R+38.7	6,943	7,160 (103%)	R+41.5	−2.9
Geary ✓	R+17.6	R+1.3	6,075	6,716 (111%)	D+0.1	+1.4
Osage ✓	R+48.0	R+31.8	6,285	6,062 (96%)	R+34.2	−2.5
Cherokee	R+52.9	R+36.7	6,433	6,027 (94%)	R+40.0	−3.3 *
Labette ✓	R+38.2	R+21.9	5,932	5,819 (98%)	R+23.7	−1.8
Jackson ✓	R+42.6	R+26.3	5,105	5,270 (103%)	R+27.8	−1.5
Atchison	R+37.4	R+21.1	5,486	5,168 (94%)	R+21.1	−0.0 *
Neosho ✓	R+48.1	R+31.9	5,106	4,895 (96%)	R+33.0	−1.1
Marion ✓	R+49.1	R+32.8	4,815	4,681 (97%)	R+36.9	−4.1
Bourbon	R+54.2	R+37.9	4,839	4,578 (95%)	R+42.4	−4.5 *
Nemaha ✓	R+67.0	R+50.8	4,609	4,466 (97%)	R+59.7	−8.9
Seward ✓	R+39.0	R+22.7	2,944	4,174 (142%)	D+9.0	+31.7
Allen ✓	R+46.1	R+29.9	4,138	4,067 (98%)	R+29.3	+0.6
Marshall ✓	R+49.1	R+32.8	3,899	3,885 (100%)	R+39.9	−7.1
Linn ✓	R+64.6	R+48.3	3,723	3,620 (97%)	R+53.3	−5.0
Coffey ✓	R+55.7	R+39.4	3,443	3,359 (98%)	R+45.6	−6.2
Brown ✓	R+47.9	R+31.7	3,367	3,355 (100%)	R+37.8	−6.1
Clay ✓	R+55.5	R+39.2	3,301	3,314 (100%)	R+45.5	−6.3
Pratt ✓	R+51.4	R+35.2	3,128	3,280 (105%)	R+36.4	−1.2
Wabaunsee ✓	R+48.8	R+32.5	3,353	3,246 (97%)	R+38.1	−5.6
Rice ✓	R+56.7	R+40.4	3,112	3,215 (103%)	R+42.3	−1.9
Cloud ✓	R+60.6	R+44.3	3,209	3,147 (98%)	R+47.1	−2.8
Kingman ✓	R+59.9	R+43.7	3,100	3,095 (100%)	R+46.9	−3.2
Anderson ✓	R+59.8	R+43.5	2,908	2,845 (98%)	R+45.7	−2.2
Thomas ✓	R+65.8	R+49.5	2,888	2,834 (98%)	R+53.0	−3.5
Wilson	R+62.4	R+46.1	3,322	2,764 (83%)	R+52.2	−6.2 *
Doniphan ✓	R+63.5	R+47.3	2,644	2,558 (97%)	R+54.0	−6.8
Russell	R+61.3	R+45.0	2,717	2,535 (93%)	R+50.3	−5.3 *
Mitchell ✓	R+65.6	R+49.3	2,375	2,480 (104%)	R+55.3	−6.0
Ottawa ✓	R+66.6	R+50.3	2,388	2,434 (102%)	R+57.9	−7.6
Morris ✓	R+46.6	R+30.3	2,244	2,315 (103%)	R+29.2	+1.0
Ellsworth ✓	R+52.3	R+36.0	2,244	2,229 (99%)	R+38.0	−2.0
Greenwood ✓	R+61.0	R+44.7	2,320	2,216 (96%)	R+48.6	−3.9
Washington ✓	R+69.1	R+52.9	2,257	2,159 (96%)	R+63.8	−10.9
Pawnee	R+51.5	R+35.2	2,155	2,047 (95%)	R+39.0	−3.8 *
Phillips	R+73.7	R+57.4	2,199	1,971 (90%)	R+66.8	−9.4 *
Republic ✓	R+65.7	R+49.4	1,970	1,941 (99%)	R+55.3	−5.9
Rooks	R+71.2	R+54.9	2,104	1,931 (92%)	R+59.0	−4.1 *
Sherman	R+68.7	R+52.5	2,052	1,893 (92%)	R+58.1	−5.6 *
Harper	R+64.0	R+47.7	1,979	1,847 (93%)	R+51.8	−4.1 *
Norton ✓	R+67.7	R+51.4	1,799	1,798 (100%)	R+58.2	−6.8
Barber	R+72.2	R+55.9	1,745	1,655 (95%)	R+61.1	−5.2 *
Scott ✓	R+74.7	R+58.4	1,703	1,649 (97%)	R+58.8	−0.3
Gray ✓	R+69.0	R+52.7	1,718	1,647 (96%)	R+55.6	−2.8
Grant ✓	R+63.0	R+46.7	1,613	1,644 (102%)	R+40.9	+5.8
Smith	R+68.5	R+52.3	1,645	1,519 (92%)	R+60.9	−8.6 *
Stafford ✓	R+64.0	R+47.7	1,571	1,507 (96%)	R+50.1	−2.4
Stevens ✓	R+75.5	R+59.2	1,401	1,358 (97%)	R+57.3	+1.9
Meade ✓	R+69.6	R+53.3	1,312	1,356 (103%)	R+56.0	−2.7
Trego ✓	R+71.0	R+54.7	1,263	1,347 (107%)	R+59.3	−4.6
Osborne	R+68.5	R+52.3	1,440	1,293 (90%)	R+59.5	−7.2 *
Rush ✓	R+65.4	R+49.2	1,334	1,287 (96%)	R+51.2	−2.0
Lincoln ✓	R+65.2	R+49.0	1,204	1,278 (106%)	R+56.2	−7.2
Jewell ✓	R+75.9	R+59.6	1,208	1,199 (99%)	R+71.0	−11.4
Chase ✓	R+50.8	R+34.5	1,185	1,145 (97%)	R+37.1	−2.6
Woodson	R+61.3	R+45.0	1,185	1,113 (94%)	R+50.0	−5.0 *
Chautauqua	R+71.3	R+55.0	1,182	1,109 (94%)	R+61.2	−6.2 *
Logan ✓	R+71.6	R+55.4	1,105	1,103 (100%)	R+62.8	−7.5
Decatur ✓	R+69.0	R+52.7	1,132	1,089 (96%)	R+63.3	−10.5
Rawlins	R+72.6	R+56.3	1,155	1,073 (93%)	R+60.7	−4.4 *
Ness	R+78.9	R+62.7	1,157	1,071 (93%)	R+68.3	−5.6 *
Cheyenne ✓	R+68.8	R+52.6	1,039	1,065 (103%)	R+63.0	−10.4
Sheridan ✓	R+80.3	R+64.1	1,112	1,061 (95%)	R+74.9	−10.9
Kearny ✓	R+68.4	R+52.1	957	1,030 (108%)	R+54.0	−1.8
Edwards	R+65.3	R+49.1	1,093	1,019 (93%)	R+51.3	−2.3 *
Graham ✓	R+65.7	R+49.4	1,033	1,012 (98%)	R+53.8	−4.4
Haskell ✓	R+64.5	R+48.2	994	1,010 (102%)	R+50.1	−1.9
Elk	R+69.7	R+53.4	1,076	997 (93%)	R+60.1	−6.7 *
Gove	R+77.1	R+60.9	1,161	952 (82%)	R+66.2	−5.3 *
Kiowa	R+71.4	R+55.1	944	881 (93%)	R+61.6	−6.5 *
Morton	R+73.4	R+57.1	808	761 (94%)	R+62.9	−5.8 *
Clark	R+72.8	R+56.5	854	747 (87%)	R+56.4	+0.2 *
Hodgeman	R+70.5	R+54.2	807	727 (90%)	R+58.7	−4.5 *
Wichita ✓	R+73.6	R+57.3	713	692 (97%)	R+63.3	−6.0
Lane ✓	R+70.9	R+54.7	681	649 (95%)	R+61.5	−6.8
Comanche	R+68.3	R+52.0	744	630 (85%)	R+54.9	−2.9 *
Wallace	R+84.8	R+68.5	672	592 (88%)	R+76.7	−8.2 *
Hamilton	R+66.3	R+50.0	605	568 (94%)	R+49.3	+0.7 *
Stanton ✓	R+63.6	R+47.3	517	524 (101%)	R+53.8	−6.5
Greeley ✓	R+73.4	R+57.1	453	440 (97%)	R+54.5	+2.5

Gap: + is better for the Democrat than we expected, − better for the Republican. ≡ compared method by method; * whole county, not yet complete (skewed by count order, left out of the race's read).

Nebraska Senate Dan Osborn v Pete Ricketts · our forecast R+0.9, 57% Republican · totals only

Counted754,430 of ~666,795 expected (113%) · 93 of 93 counties

Like-for-like gap6.1 pts better for the Republican on 752,871 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+7.0

Raw (not like for like)R+6.2 counted, R+0.1 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Douglas ✓	D+10.1	I+30.2	190,746	219,335 (115%)	I+21.1	−9.1
Lancaster ✓	D+4.3	I+24.4	114,001	127,622 (112%)	I+20.0	−4.4
Sarpy ✓	R+11.6	I+8.5	64,436	79,640 (124%)	I+4.4	−4.1
Buffalo ✓	R+44.7	R+24.6	15,897	19,252 (121%)	R+28.8	−4.2
Hall ✓	R+37.6	R+17.5	15,167	18,115 (119%)	R+19.9	−2.4
Dodge ✓	R+32.4	R+12.4	11,515	12,936 (112%)	R+15.5	−3.2
Lincoln ✓	R+54.9	R+34.8	12,052	12,838 (107%)	R+40.7	−5.9
Platte ✓	R+58.0	R+38.0	11,106	12,274 (111%)	R+43.0	−5.1
Madison ✓	R+55.7	R+35.6	11,617	12,131 (104%)	R+41.2	−5.5
Cass ✓	R+37.0	R+16.9	11,336	12,016 (106%)	R+21.4	−4.5
Scotts Bluff ✓	R+47.5	R+27.4	9,816	11,673 (119%)	R+28.4	−1.0
Adams ✓	R+41.4	R+21.3	10,254	11,034 (108%)	R+26.5	−5.1
Saunders ✓	R+46.2	R+26.1	9,606	10,791 (112%)	R+31.2	−5.1
Washington ✓	R+42.2	R+22.1	8,803	9,679 (110%)	R+28.8	−6.7
Gage ✓	R+39.0	R+18.9	7,991	8,617 (108%)	R+21.7	−2.8
Seward ✓	R+46.3	R+26.3	6,721	7,529 (112%)	R+32.9	−6.6
Dawson ✓	R+49.3	R+29.3	5,618	6,904 (123%)	R+27.8	+1.5
Otoe ✓	R+38.7	R+18.6	5,751	6,476 (113%)	R+22.1	−3.4
York ✓	R+51.1	R+31.0	5,011	5,395 (108%)	R+38.1	−7.1
Dakota ✓	R+29.7	R+9.6	3,603	4,971 (138%)	R+13.0	−3.4
Custer ✓	R+71.9	R+51.9	4,326	4,661 (108%)	R+61.8	−10.0
Saline ✓	R+33.1	R+13.0	3,755	4,539 (121%)	R+9.7	+3.3
Hamilton ✓	R+60.1	R+40.0	4,068	4,347 (107%)	R+46.6	−6.6
Red Willow ✓	R+68.1	R+48.0	3,986	4,257 (107%)	R+54.0	−6.0
Holt ✓	R+73.6	R+53.5	3,750	4,206 (112%)	R+60.7	−7.1
Cedar ✓	R+69.6	R+49.6	3,738	3,911 (105%)	R+59.5	−9.9
Phelps ✓	R+68.1	R+48.0	3,675	3,821 (104%)	R+55.8	−7.8
Knox ✓	R+62.9	R+42.9	3,648	3,711 (102%)	R+53.6	−10.7
Box Butte ✓	R+56.2	R+36.1	3,345	3,591 (107%)	R+33.3	+2.8
Butler ✓	R+59.3	R+39.3	3,492	3,585 (103%)	R+46.2	−6.9
Merrick ✓	R+64.6	R+44.6	3,302	3,521 (107%)	R+49.3	−4.8
Cheyenne ✓	R+63.8	R+43.7	3,313	3,392 (102%)	R+48.8	−5.1
Keith ✓	R+63.6	R+43.5	2,891	3,371 (117%)	R+50.8	−7.3
Wayne ✓	R+49.0	R+28.9	3,023	3,321 (110%)	R+33.0	−4.1
Cuming ✓	R+59.7	R+39.6	3,194	3,312 (104%)	R+51.2	−11.5
Pierce ✓	R+75.9	R+55.8	2,851	3,099 (109%)	R+64.7	−8.9
Dawes ✓	R+46.8	R+26.7	3,099	3,098 (100%)	R+29.8	−3.0
Richardson ✓	R+51.2	R+31.1	2,918	3,061 (105%)	R+36.9	−5.8
Burt ✓	R+44.9	R+24.8	2,790	2,993 (107%)	R+29.7	−4.9
Kearney ✓	R+57.7	R+37.7	2,536	2,912 (115%)	R+46.7	−9.0
Colfax ✓	R+50.7	R+30.6	2,413	2,889 (120%)	R+27.1	+3.5
Clay ✓	R+63.1	R+43.0	2,714	2,866 (106%)	R+50.7	−7.6
Jefferson ✓	R+45.1	R+25.0	2,665	2,764 (104%)	R+29.5	−4.5
Nemaha ✓	R+44.5	R+24.4	2,335	2,759 (118%)	R+29.5	−5.1
Antelope ✓	R+76.1	R+56.0	2,347	2,740 (117%)	R+64.0	−8.0
Howard ✓	R+62.4	R+42.3	2,422	2,739 (113%)	R+51.2	−8.9
Stanton ✓	R+66.4	R+46.3	2,441	2,656 (109%)	R+52.4	−6.2
Boone ✓	R+65.7	R+45.7	2,576	2,463 (96%)	R+53.2	−7.6
Cherry ✓	R+75.8	R+55.7	2,369	2,446 (103%)	R+64.6	−8.8
Fillmore ✓	R+54.6	R+34.5	2,428	2,378 (98%)	R+39.7	−5.2
Dixon ✓	R+58.4	R+38.3	2,209	2,267 (103%)	R+48.3	−10.1
Thayer ✓	R+60.5	R+40.4	2,160	2,239 (104%)	R+47.8	−7.4
Polk ✓	R+63.3	R+43.3	2,052	2,130 (104%)	R+51.6	−8.3
Morrill ✓	R+68.1	R+48.0	1,923	2,025 (105%)	R+55.0	−7.0
Sheridan ✓	R+69.7	R+49.6	1,678	2,011 (120%)	R+57.1	−7.5
Furnas ✓	R+69.5	R+49.4	1,859	1,990 (107%)	R+56.1	−6.8
Johnson ✓	R+40.3	R+20.2	1,615	1,820 (113%)	R+22.1	−1.9
Valley ✓	R+63.6	R+43.5	1,770	1,811 (102%)	R+51.3	−7.8
Nuckolls ✓	R+63.3	R+43.2	1,558	1,716 (110%)	R+52.0	−8.8
Thurston ✓	R+6.9	I+13.2	1,290	1,547 (120%)	R+2.2	−15.4
Chase ✓	R+77.0	R+56.9	1,525	1,537 (101%)	R+62.7	−5.8
Harlan ✓	R+67.7	R+47.6	1,417	1,406 (99%)	R+57.3	−9.7
Webster ✓	R+65.1	R+45.0	1,283	1,348 (105%)	R+53.6	−8.6
Nance ✓	R+60.1	R+40.0	1,251	1,341 (107%)	R+44.7	−4.7
Sherman ✓	R+59.9	R+39.8	1,220	1,311 (107%)	R+43.6	−3.8
Kimball ✓	R+66.6	R+46.6	1,333	1,288 (97%)	R+51.6	−5.0
Brown ✓	R+74.3	R+54.2	1,154	1,275 (110%)	R+63.3	−9.1
Franklin ✓	R+69.3	R+49.3	1,186	1,222 (103%)	R+61.9	−12.7
Perkins ✓	R+72.3	R+52.2	1,098	1,162 (106%)	R+55.2	−2.9
Pawnee ✓	R+57.8	R+37.7	1,081	1,148 (106%)	R+36.4	+1.3
Frontier ✓	R+72.5	R+52.5	1,077	1,121 (104%)	R+61.4	−8.9
Hitchcock ✓	R+77.5	R+57.4	1,014	1,071 (106%)	R+59.2	−1.8
Greeley ✓	R+67.5	R+47.4	1,011	1,010 (100%)	R+50.8	−3.4
Gosper ✓	R+62.6	R+42.6	834	901 (108%)	R+54.5	−11.9
Garden ✓	R+70.1	R+50.0	881	893 (101%)	R+58.5	−8.5
Boyd ✓	R+74.6	R+54.5	878	887 (101%)	R+65.3	−10.8
Garfield ✓	R+76.2	R+56.1	726	824 (113%)	R+65.8	−9.7
Deuel ✓	R+68.0	R+48.0	731	779 (107%)	R+59.8	−11.9
Rock ✓	R+78.8	R+58.7	585	715 (122%)	R+68.7	−10.0
Dundy	R+78.5	R+58.4	753	683 (91%)	R+63.4	−5.0 *
Sioux ✓	R+76.2	R+56.2	501	500 (100%)	R+63.8	−7.6
Keya Paha ✓	R+83.4	R+63.3	378	427 (113%)	R+76.3	−13.1
Wheeler ✓	R+75.1	R+55.0	280	391 (140%)	R+61.6	−6.7
Hayes ✓	R+91.1	R+71.1	387	384 (99%)	R+81.3	−10.2
Loup ✓	R+65.3	R+45.3	324	339 (105%)	R+57.2	−12.0
Hooker	R+73.2	R+53.1	373	336 (90%)	R+61.6	−8.5 *
Logan ✓	R+86.9	R+66.8	324	327 (101%)	R+76.8	−10.0
Thomas ✓	R+77.0	R+56.9	306	320 (105%)	R+64.7	−7.8
Banner	R+80.9	R+60.9	365	314 (86%)	R+71.3	−10.5 *
Grant ✓	R+91.3	R+71.2	279	285 (102%)	R+84.6	−13.3
Blaine ✓	R+72.7	R+52.6	204	236 (116%)	R+68.6	−16.0
McPherson ✓	R+89.5	R+69.4	221	230 (104%)	R+80.4	−11.0
Arthur	R+87.3	R+67.2	244	226 (93%)	R+73.5	−6.2 *

Gap: + is better for the independent than we expected, − better for the Republican. ≡ compared method by method; * whole county, not yet complete (skewed by count order, left out of the race's read).

Nevada governor Aaron Ford v Joe Lombardo · our forecast D+1.1, 57% Democrat · totals only

Counted1,089,636 of ~1,008,047 expected (108%) · 17 of 17 counties

Like-for-like gap8.9 pts better for the Democrat on 1,057,848 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+10.0

Raw (not like for like)D+10.5 counted, D+1.6 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Clark ✓	D+2.7	D+7.5	673,398	741,428 (110%)	D+18.2	+10.8
Washoe ✓	D+1.0	D+5.8	192,071	205,200 (107%)	D+11.5	+5.7
Douglas ✓	R+33.4	R+28.6	28,877	28,945 (100%)	R+33.2	−4.6
Carson City ✓	R+11.5	R+6.6	23,386	24,937 (107%)	R+3.2	+3.4
Lyon ✓	R+45.0	R+40.2	23,304	24,335 (104%)	R+33.6	+6.6
Nye ✓	R+42.6	R+37.8	20,433	20,902 (102%)	R+32.3	+5.6
Elko	R+57.4	R+52.6	15,966	15,022 (94%)	R+41.6	+11.0 *
Churchill ✓	R+51.1	R+46.2	9,727	9,642 (99%)	R+42.1	+4.1
Humboldt	R+56.1	R+51.2	5,980	5,533 (93%)	R+43.1	+8.2 *
White Pine	R+57.9	R+53.1	3,387	3,068 (91%)	R+46.3	+6.9 *
Storey	R+39.1	R+34.3	2,508	2,224 (89%)	R+32.4	+1.9 *
Lander	R+63.2	R+58.4	2,154	1,996 (93%)	R+49.8	+8.6 *
Lincoln	R+73.5	R+68.7	2,095	1,943 (93%)	R+67.7	+1.0 *
Pershing ✓	R+55.7	R+50.9	1,736	1,689 (97%)	R+47.8	+3.1
Mineral	R+36.2	R+31.4	1,830	1,611 (88%)	R+21.5	+9.9 *
Eureka ✓	R+78.7	R+73.9	764	770 (101%)	R+74.7	−0.8
Esmeralda	R+66.7	R+61.8	431	391 (91%)	R+50.4	+11.5 *

Vermont governor Amanda Janoo v Phil Scott · our forecast D+1.4, 58% Democrat · totals only

Counted309,023 of ~286,543 expected (108%) · 14 of 14 counties

Like-for-like gap8.3 pts better for the Republican on 309,023 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+6.9

Raw (not like for like)R+6.6 counted, D+1.7 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Chittenden ✓	D+53.1	D+22.7	76,146	84,113 (110%)	D+6.6	−16.0
Washington ✓	D+43.0	D+12.5	28,055	31,092 (111%)	D+1.1	−11.4
Windsor ✓	D+35.3	D+4.9	27,021	28,336 (105%)	R+2.1	−7.0
Rutland ✓	D+5.2	R+25.2	26,323	26,827 (102%)	R+31.1	−5.9
Windham ✓	D+42.3	D+11.9	20,009	21,420 (107%)	D+20.1	+8.2
Franklin ✓	D+3.0	R+27.5	19,762	21,315 (108%)	R+36.1	−8.6
Addison ✓	D+35.6	D+5.1	18,054	19,745 (109%)	R+2.7	−7.8
Bennington ✓	D+22.4	R+8.1	15,884	16,484 (104%)	R+6.6	+1.5
Orange ✓	D+20.0	R+10.4	13,917	14,890 (107%)	R+12.9	−2.4
Caledonia ✓	D+12.3	R+18.1	12,765	13,832 (108%)	R+20.1	−1.9
Lamoille ✓	D+35.6	D+5.1	11,530	12,506 (108%)	R+11.5	−16.6
Orleans ✓	R+1.5	R+32.0	10,708	11,605 (108%)	R+33.4	−1.4
Grand Isle ✓	D+20.9	R+9.5	3,960	4,278 (108%)	R+28.6	−19.1
Essex ✓	R+15.9	R+46.4	2,409	2,580 (107%)	R+44.3	+2.1

Georgia governor Keisha Lance Bottoms v Rick Jackson · our forecast D+1.8, 62% Democrat · count split by method

Counted4,184,729 of ~3,954,033 expected (106%) · 159 of 160 counties

Like-for-like gap6.1 pts better for the Democrat on 4,181,434 votes (4,163,594 compared by method)

If the rest runs the sameD+7.9

Raw (not like for like)D+8.7 counted, D+3.1 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

How cast	Counted	Counted margin	Same method, expected	Gap
Early in person	2,672,602	D+17.1	D+4.7	+12.4
Mail	135,835	D+26.9	D+32.2	−5.3
Election Day	1,353,118	R+9.0	R+3.9	−5.0
Provisional	2,039	D+37.3	D+26.4	+10.9

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Fulton ✓	D+44.9	D+47.8	419,884	456,728 (109%)	D+47.8	+0.5 ≡
Gwinnett ✓	D+16.5	D+19.5	299,482	344,217 (115%)	D+32.5	+14.1 ≡
Cobb ✓	D+14.9	D+17.8	312,215	336,220 (108%)	D+22.4	+5.8 ≡
DeKalb ✓	D+64.8	D+67.7	298,229	321,104 (108%)	D+69.6	+2.9 ≡
Cherokee ✓	R+39.0	R+36.0	120,374	126,945 (105%)	R+32.7	+3.8 ≡
Chatham ✓	D+18.0	D+21.0	106,329	111,595 (105%)	D+25.9	+5.4 ≡
Henry ✓	D+29.7	D+32.6	95,568	109,698 (115%)	D+46.4	+14.5 ≡
Forsyth ✓	R+33.1	R+30.1	102,446	107,205 (105%)	R+27.1	+3.0 ≡
Clayton ✓	D+69.2	D+72.2	84,136	95,912 (114%)	D+79.3	+7.3 ≡
Hall ✓	R+43.8	R+40.8	73,516	78,834 (107%)	R+32.4	+7.8 ≡
Paulding ✓	R+24.1	R+21.2	67,004	74,666 (111%)	R+9.0	+12.4 ≡
Columbia ✓	R+25.6	R+22.7	64,572	67,579 (105%)	R+17.2	+6.2 ≡
Coweta ✓	R+33.9	R+30.9	63,726	66,860 (105%)	R+26.0	+5.5 ≡
Richmond ✓	D+36.1	D+39.1	64,156	66,620 (104%)	D+45.2	+7.1 ≡
Houston ✓	R+11.3	R+8.3	59,210	64,924 (110%)	D+0.8	+8.8 ≡
Fayette ✓	R+3.2	R+0.2	60,346	62,278 (103%)	D+3.6	+4.9 ≡
Muscogee ✓	D+23.4	D+26.3	59,462	62,243 (105%)	D+33.3	+8.0 ≡
Douglas ✓	D+31.5	D+34.4	52,930	59,482 (112%)	D+47.0	+13.1 ≡
Bibb ✓	D+22.4	D+25.4	54,200	55,432 (102%)	D+30.6	+5.7 ≡
Newton ✓	D+15.1	D+18.1	42,876	47,853 (112%)	D+30.9	+14.7 ≡
Carroll ✓	R+41.2	R+38.2	43,727	44,982 (103%)	R+30.2	+9.1 ≡
Walton ✓	R+45.9	R+42.9	42,452	44,729 (105%)	R+36.8	+6.5 ≡
Clarke ✓	D+38.3	D+41.3	40,316	42,657 (106%)	D+47.6	+7.3 ≡
Bartow ✓	R+51.0	R+48.0	39,997	42,330 (106%)	R+39.3	+9.2 ≡
Rockdale ✓	D+47.5	D+50.5	34,908	38,801 (111%)	D+59.2	+9.8 ≡
Jackson ✓	R+55.1	R+52.1	31,881	35,978 (113%)	R+45.3	+6.4 ≡
Lowndes ✓	R+18.0	R+15.0	34,760	35,646 (103%)	R+6.6	+8.6 ≡
Glynn ✓	R+26.0	R+23.0	33,279	33,449 (101%)	R+21.9	+1.0 ≡
Barrow ✓	R+40.5	R+37.5	29,430	32,954 (112%)	R+24.4	+13.1 ≡
Floyd ✓	R+42.0	R+39.0	32,078	32,276 (101%)	R+31.0	+8.9 ≡
Whitfield ✓	R+44.4	R+41.5	27,014	29,894 (111%)	R+23.3	+18.7 ≡
Dougherty ✓	D+41.1	D+44.1	26,709	27,261 (102%)	D+48.1	+4.5 ≡
Spalding ✓	R+16.7	R+13.7	24,395	25,688 (105%)	R+4.9	+8.9 ≡
Effingham ✓	R+49.1	R+46.1	25,398	25,438 (100%)	R+38.1	+8.6 ≡
Bulloch ✓	R+29.0	R+26.0	23,591	24,604 (104%)	R+19.1	+8.3 ≡
Catoosa ✓	R+55.5	R+52.5	24,503	23,641 (96%)	R+48.4	+4.6 ≡
Troup ✓	R+24.4	R+21.4	23,256	23,228 (100%)	R+12.8	+7.5 ≡
Oconee ✓	R+35.9	R+33.0	22,478	22,684 (101%)	R+36.4	−1.9 ≡
Walker ✓	R+59.3	R+56.3	22,117	21,290 (96%)	R+52.3	+4.3 ≡
Camden ✓	R+35.7	R+32.7	17,945	18,984 (106%)	R+27.5	+5.7 ≡
Gordon ✓	R+63.4	R+60.5	18,907	18,936 (100%)	R+51.6	+9.2 ≡
Laurens ✓	R+32.7	R+29.7	18,550	18,120 (98%)	R+24.8	+5.7 ≡
Bryan ✓	R+36.3	R+33.4	17,006	18,003 (106%)	R+24.6	+9.4 ≡
Habersham ✓	R+64.9	R+61.9	16,990	17,447 (103%)	R+58.2	+3.5 ≡
Harris ✓	R+46.1	R+43.1	17,039	17,163 (101%)	R+39.6	+4.3 ≡
Liberty ✓	D+17.4	D+20.4	15,415	16,937 (110%)	D+32.7	+13.6 ≡
Thomas ✓	R+24.1	R+21.1	17,287	16,895 (98%)	R+18.4	+1.8 ≡
Pickens ✓	R+65.8	R+62.8	15,086	15,351 (102%)	R+62.9	+1.2 ≡
Baldwin ✓	R+2.2	D+0.8	15,002	15,085 (101%)	D+3.5	+2.2 ≡
Dawson ✓	R+65.2	R+62.2	13,978	14,436 (103%)	R+60.0	+2.6 ≡
Union ✓	R+62.5	R+59.5	14,312	14,294 (100%)	R+63.1	−2.5 ≡
Monroe ✓	R+46.7	R+43.7	13,718	14,119 (103%)	R+42.1	+1.9 ≡
Gilmer ✓	R+62.6	R+59.6	14,086	14,019 (100%)	R+58.1	+2.7 ≡
Tift ✓	R+35.7	R+32.7	13,044	13,322 (102%)	R+27.4	+4.7 ≡
Polk ✓	R+60.5	R+57.6	13,640	13,287 (97%)	R+50.1	+7.1 ≡
Lee ✓	R+43.5	R+40.6	13,587	13,278 (98%)	R+32.4	+7.6 ≡
Lumpkin ✓	R+61.7	R+58.7	12,737	12,931 (102%)	R+57.7	+1.0
White ✓	R+68.5	R+65.5	12,730	12,588 (99%)	R+66.2	−0.1 ≡
Madison ✓	R+54.8	R+51.8	12,554	12,487 (99%)	R+46.3	+5.2 ≡
Colquitt ✓	R+50.2	R+47.2	12,598	12,440 (99%)	R+39.1	+8.7 ≡
Jones ✓	R+38.0	R+35.1	12,312	11,977 (97%)	R+28.2	+7.3 ≡
Coffee ✓	R+45.1	R+42.2	11,905	11,887 (100%)	R+30.5	+10.8 ≡
Fannin	R+64.8	R+61.8	12,637	11,617 (92%)	R+61.5	+2.0 ≡
Murray ✓	R+71.6	R+68.6	11,533	11,360 (98%)	R+60.8	+7.1 ≡
Haralson ✓	R+74.4	R+71.4	11,651	11,345 (97%)	R+70.5	+1.4 ≡
Greene ✓	R+28.9	R+26.0	10,508	11,177 (106%)	R+34.0	−10.1 ≡
Hart ✓	R+54.8	R+51.8	10,560	10,817 (102%)	R+49.0	+2.6 ≡
Peach ✓	R+6.0	R+3.1	10,039	10,655 (106%)	D+4.9	+7.4 ≡
Putnam ✓	R+42.2	R+39.3	10,237	10,640 (104%)	R+41.5	−2.8 ≡
Morgan ✓	R+45.9	R+43.0	10,326	10,521 (102%)	R+43.2	+0.4 ≡
Ware ✓	R+43.2	R+40.2	10,752	10,232 (95%)	R+35.8	+6.1 ≡
Wayne ✓	R+59.8	R+56.8	10,025	9,795 (98%)	R+51.1	+5.7 ≡
Upson ✓	R+39.7	R+36.8	10,135	9,793 (97%)	R+32.2	+3.3 ≡
Sumter ✓	D+2.2	D+5.2	9,605	9,615 (100%)	D+8.0	+3.5 ≡
Butts ✓	R+45.2	R+42.2	9,695	9,595 (99%)	R+35.8	+5.5 ≡
Stephens ✓	R+62.8	R+59.8	9,400	9,304 (99%)	R+56.9	+2.2 ≡
Pike ✓	R+73.4	R+70.5	9,431	9,111 (97%)	R+69.5	+0.4 ≡
Meriwether ✓	R+25.5	R+22.5	8,908	9,027 (101%)	R+20.2	+1.1 ≡
Burke ✓	R+9.3	R+6.4	8,467	8,679 (103%)	D+1.3	+7.2 ≡
Franklin ✓	R+72.6	R+69.6	8,739	8,505 (97%)	R+67.9	+1.5 ≡
Decatur ✓	R+24.0	R+21.0	8,883	8,501 (96%)	R+15.5	+5.2 ≡
McDuffie ✓	R+24.9	R+21.9	8,317	8,270 (99%)	R+16.1	+4.7 ≡
Grady ✓	R+38.2	R+35.2	8,341	8,015 (96%)	R+30.9	+5.3 ≡
Washington ✓	R+1.9	D+1.1	7,794	7,949 (102%)	D+1.7	+0.9 ≡
Lamar ✓	R+45.9	R+42.9	7,755	7,874 (102%)	R+38.0	+3.6 ≡
Toombs	R+50.7	R+47.7	8,486	7,767 (92%)	R+40.9	+5.6 ≡
Rabun	R+56.9	R+53.9	8,262	7,745 (94%)	R+53.5	+0.8 ≡
Emanuel ✓	R+44.1	R+41.2	7,562	7,328 (97%)	R+36.8	+5.0 ≡
Banks ✓	R+78.2	R+75.2	7,326	7,291 (100%)	R+72.5	+2.0 ≡
Towns ✓	R+62.3	R+59.3	7,180	7,122 (99%)	R+62.7	−2.3 ≡
Elbert ✓	R+43.4	R+40.4	7,324	7,079 (97%)	R+33.9	+7.8 ≡
Chattooga	R+64.2	R+61.2	7,712	7,075 (92%)	R+56.0	+5.8 ≡
Pierce ✓	R+77.5	R+74.5	7,177	7,024 (98%)	R+73.9	+0.2 ≡
Jasper ✓	R+58.4	R+55.4	6,574	6,888 (105%)	R+53.5	+2.4 ≡
Oglethorpe ✓	R+42.4	R+39.4	6,811	6,834 (100%)	R+32.9	+5.9 ≡
Worth	R+50.4	R+47.4	7,395	6,798 (92%)	R+44.0	+4.6 ≡
Mitchell ✓	R+16.3	R+13.4	7,052	6,728 (95%)	R+9.1	+5.8 ≡
Crisp ✓	R+25.9	R+23.0	6,322	6,323 (100%)	R+23.0	−1.2 ≡
Dodge	R+49.9	R+46.9	6,630	6,266 (95%)	R+43.3	+4.1 ≡
Tattnall ✓	R+53.4	R+50.5	6,527	6,248 (96%)	R+45.7	+4.8 ≡
Appling	R+62.4	R+59.4	6,703	6,194 (92%)	R+55.6	+4.8 ≡
Jefferson ✓	R+1.2	D+1.7	6,278	6,002 (96%)	D+4.6	+2.7 ≡
Berrien ✓	R+69.8	R+66.8	6,019	5,828 (97%)	R+63.2	+3.0 ≡
McIntosh ✓	R+28.6	R+25.6	5,517	5,704 (103%)	R+24.2	+1.7 ≡
Brantley	R+82.4	R+79.5	5,859	5,499 (94%)	R+79.3	+0.3 ≡
Cook ✓	R+46.5	R+43.5	5,557	5,475 (99%)	R+36.3	+4.5 ≡
Brooks ✓	R+26.8	R+23.8	5,642	5,455 (97%)	R+19.2	+5.7 ≡
Dade	R+66.6	R+63.6	5,844	5,383 (92%)	R+59.7	+5.2 ≡
Screven ✓	R+25.2	R+22.2	5,313	5,201 (98%)	R+18.4	+4.1 ≡
Long ✓	R+29.5	R+26.5	4,426	4,979 (112%)	R+8.7	+19.1 ≡
Ben Hill ✓	R+32.0	R+29.1	5,118	4,909 (96%)	R+20.5	+8.5
Crawford ✓	R+49.8	R+46.9	4,835	4,666 (97%)	R+43.1	+5.5 ≡
Bleckley ✓	R+55.4	R+52.4	4,805	4,652 (97%)	R+51.8	−0.9 ≡
Heard ✓	R+72.1	R+69.1	4,463	4,433 (99%)	R+66.7	+2.5 ≡
Jeff Davis	R+68.3	R+65.3	4,543	4,168 (92%)	R+58.3	+6.6 ≡
Wilkes ✓	R+16.8	R+13.9	4,148	4,095 (99%)	R+9.5	+4.7 ≡
Lincoln ✓	R+44.8	R+41.8	3,982	3,861 (97%)	R+41.1	−0.9 ≡
Macon ✓	D+17.9	D+20.9	3,778	3,749 (99%)	D+22.1	−1.3 ≡
Wilkinson	R+17.8	R+14.9	4,056	3,714 (92%)	R+9.0	+8.3 ≡
Early	R+11.5	R+8.5	3,908	3,585 (92%)	R+7.2	−0.3 ≡
Bacon	R+73.2	R+70.2	3,721	3,521 (95%)	R+68.5	−1.0 ≡
Terrell	D+4.1	D+7.1	3,656	3,445 (94%)	D+7.1	+0.7 ≡
Hancock ✓	D+35.4	D+38.3	3,402	3,409 (100%)	D+37.8	−0.1 ≡
Candler ✓	R+47.5	R+44.5	3,562	3,396 (95%)	R+37.5	+4.5 ≡
Twiggs ✓	R+14.7	R+11.7	3,540	3,366 (95%)	R+3.3	+9.8 ≡
Pulaski ✓	R+40.5	R+37.5	3,374	3,341 (99%)	R+38.6	−4.2 ≡
Dooly ✓	R+7.7	R+4.7	3,286	3,308 (101%)	R+4.6	−0.6 ≡
Irwin ✓	R+54.2	R+51.2	3,418	3,290 (96%)	R+52.0	−1.6 ≡
Charlton	R+56.2	R+53.2	3,405	3,223 (95%)	R+50.1	+3.8 ≡
Telfair	R+39.3	R+36.3	3,413	3,167 (93%)	R+33.4	+2.7 ≡
Evans	R+42.3	R+39.4	3,361	3,123 (93%)	R+37.2	+1.0 ≡
Johnson	R+46.4	R+43.4	3,383	3,054 (90%)	R+42.4	+1.4 ≡
Taylor	R+31.0	R+28.0	3,216	2,997 (93%)	R+25.5	−0.9 ≡
Turner ✓	R+28.5	R+25.5	3,099	2,974 (96%)	R+18.8	+5.7 ≡
Montgomery	R+53.0	R+50.0	3,226	2,970 (92%)	R+45.8	+4.7 ≡
Seminole	R+40.4	R+37.5	3,045	2,892 (95%)	R+35.1	+1.9 ≡
Marion ✓	R+30.2	R+27.3	2,846	2,771 (97%)	R+22.3	+7.4 ≡
Talbot ✓	D+12.0	D+15.0	2,864	2,730 (95%)	D+16.1	+2.0 ≡
Lanier ✓	R+46.3	R+43.4	2,638	2,659 (101%)	R+38.1	+4.4 ≡
Jenkins	R+30.4	R+27.5	2,774	2,519 (91%)	R+23.4	+2.3 ≡
Wilcox	R+49.2	R+46.2	2,621	2,476 (94%)	R+44.6	+0.2 ≡
Randolph	D+7.6	D+10.6	2,565	2,360 (92%)	D+7.9	−4.1 ≡
Atkinson ✓	R+54.0	R+51.0	2,246	2,240 (100%)	R+38.2	+11.3 ≡
Treutlen	R+44.4	R+41.4	2,449	2,238 (91%)	R+35.7	+4.9 ≡
Warren ✓	D+4.7	D+7.7	2,157	2,093 (97%)	D+9.5	+0.1 ≡
Clinch	R+51.5	R+48.6	2,114	1,978 (94%)	R+47.5	−0.3 ≡
Miller	R+50.5	R+47.5	2,164	1,966 (91%)	R+49.9	−2.4 *
Wheeler ✓	R+45.1	R+42.1	1,826	1,800 (99%)	R+40.7	+1.7 ≡
Schley	R+62.5	R+59.5	1,876	1,748 (93%)	R+58.9	+0.3 ≡
Calhoun ✓	D+12.3	D+15.3	1,715	1,635 (95%)	D+17.1	−0.6 ≡
Stewart	D+16.3	D+19.2	1,573	1,438 (91%)	D+21.6	+2.4 ≡
Glascock	R+83.9	R+80.9	1,305	1,217 (93%)	R+83.6	−2.6 *
Baker	R+19.9	R+16.9	1,258	1,140 (91%)	R+16.5	+2.8 ≡
Clay ✓	D+7.5	D+10.5	1,126	1,107 (98%)	D+11.7	+1.7 ≡
Chattahoochee ✓	R+16.5	R+13.5	1,020	1,087 (107%)	R+1.9	+12.1 ≡
Webster	R+18.4	R+15.4	1,136	1,054 (93%)	R+15.7	−3.1 ≡
Echols	R+82.1	R+79.1	1,065	945 (89%)	R+72.3	+6.6 ≡
Quitman ✓	R+15.4	R+12.5	906	872 (96%)	R+13.5	−3.2 ≡
Taliaferro ✓	D+14.9	D+17.9	807	804 (100%)	D+19.4	+0.3 ≡

South Carolina Senate Annie Andrews v Darline Graham · our forecast R+1.7, 62% Republican · totals only

Counted2,040,928 of ~1,697,100 expected (120%) · 46 of 46 counties

Like-for-like gap5.9 pts better for the Democrat on 2,040,928 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+4.2

Raw (not like for like)D+4.5 counted, R+1.4 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Greenville ✓	R+22.2	R+6.5	176,990	215,533 (122%)	D+2.2	+8.7
Charleston ✓	D+5.7	D+21.4	152,799	175,121 (115%)	D+26.1	+4.7
Horry ✓	R+38.5	R+22.8	133,493	164,151 (123%)	R+21.5	+1.3
Richland ✓	D+34.6	D+50.3	127,016	161,725 (127%)	D+53.2	+2.9
Spartanburg ✓	R+33.6	R+17.9	96,625	119,644 (124%)	R+4.7	+13.2
York ✓	R+19.1	R+3.4	95,325	116,035 (122%)	D+3.5	+6.9
Lexington ✓	R+33.5	R+17.7	99,171	115,893 (117%)	R+7.7	+10.0
Berkeley ✓	R+16.3	R+0.6	71,374	90,990 (127%)	D+9.4	+10.0
Beaufort ✓	R+14.5	D+1.2	71,283	86,168 (121%)	R+2.7	−4.0
Anderson ✓	R+47.4	R+31.6	63,047	73,906 (117%)	R+23.4	+8.2
Aiken ✓	R+25.9	R+10.2	54,663	67,826 (124%)	R+4.5	+5.7
Dorchester ✓	R+14.6	D+1.1	49,782	62,281 (125%)	D+9.6	+8.4
Florence ✓	R+8.0	D+7.7	41,414	48,963 (118%)	D+14.7	+7.0
Pickens ✓	R+52.7	R+37.0	39,941	44,795 (112%)	R+29.3	+7.7
Lancaster ✓	R+24.8	R+9.0	34,412	42,803 (124%)	R+5.3	+3.8
Sumter ✓	D+4.9	D+20.6	30,651	36,466 (119%)	D+26.9	+6.3
Oconee ✓	R+51.5	R+35.8	28,903	32,493 (112%)	R+31.8	+4.0
Georgetown ✓	R+19.5	R+3.8	27,487	30,967 (113%)	R+3.8	−0.0
Orangeburg ✓	D+24.6	D+40.3	26,176	30,882 (118%)	D+43.9	+3.6
Kershaw ✓	R+28.2	R+12.5	22,386	25,905 (116%)	R+1.1	+11.4
Greenwood ✓	R+29.0	R+13.3	21,657	24,618 (114%)	R+5.2	+8.1
Darlington ✓	R+13.3	D+2.4	20,028	23,558 (118%)	D+9.7	+7.3
Laurens ✓	R+40.8	R+25.1	19,735	23,410 (119%)	R+16.3	+8.9
Cherokee ✓	R+51.4	R+35.6	16,071	17,648 (110%)	R+28.8	+6.9
Jasper ✓	R+9.6	D+6.1	11,118	17,426 (157%)	D+2.0	−4.0
Newberry ✓	R+34.3	R+18.6	12,821	14,398 (112%)	R+12.1	+6.5
Chesterfield ✓	R+28.1	R+12.4	12,555	13,822 (110%)	R+5.4	+6.9
Colleton ✓	R+18.2	R+2.5	12,544	13,717 (109%)	D+4.3	+6.7
Clarendon ✓	R+12.3	D+3.5	11,424	13,599 (119%)	D+5.6	+2.1
Chester ✓	R+17.2	R+1.5	9,583	12,049 (126%)	D+6.2	+7.7
Williamsburg ✓	D+21.7	D+37.4	9,780	11,700 (120%)	D+38.8	+1.4
Marion ✓	D+10.5	D+26.2	8,386	11,263 (134%)	D+27.1	+0.8
Edgefield ✓	R+31.8	R+16.1	8,787	10,821 (123%)	R+12.7	+3.4
Fairfield ✓	D+13.2	D+29.0	8,404	9,678 (115%)	D+28.0	−0.9
Union ✓	R+32.7	R+17.0	8,611	9,420 (109%)	R+11.3	+5.7
Abbeville ✓	R+42.4	R+26.7	8,592	9,026 (105%)	R+21.6	+5.1
Dillon ✓	R+10.8	D+4.9	7,898	8,820 (112%)	D+9.9	+5.1
Barnwell ✓	R+15.5	D+0.2	6,253	7,675 (123%)	D+3.8	+3.6
Marlboro ✓	D+2.4	D+18.1	6,524	7,221 (111%)	D+23.4	+5.3
Saluda ✓	R+44.4	R+28.6	6,556	7,023 (107%)	R+23.8	+4.8
Hampton ✓	D+6.4	D+22.1	5,622	6,657 (118%)	D+18.7	−3.4
Lee ✓	D+17.7	D+33.4	5,253	6,329 (120%)	D+36.5	+3.1
Calhoun ✓	R+14.3	D+1.4	5,608	5,893 (105%)	D+7.1	+5.7
McCormick ✓	R+17.1	R+1.4	4,553	5,470 (120%)	R+5.7	−4.3
Bamberg ✓	D+15.3	D+31.0	3,980	4,633 (116%)	D+32.3	+1.3
Allendale ✓	D+44.7	D+60.4	1,819	2,507 (138%)	D+56.6	−3.8

Texas governor Gina Hinojosa v Greg Abbott · our forecast R+2.4, 63% Republican · totals only

Counted9,905,493 of ~8,078,178 expected (123%) · 254 of 254 counties

Like-for-like gap8.4 pts better for the Democrat on 9,885,047 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+6.0

Raw (not like for like)D+7.1 counted, R+1.3 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Harris ✓	D+5.5	D+16.6	1,097,892	1,383,128 (126%)	D+28.6	+12.0
Dallas ✓	D+22.1	D+33.2	623,883	784,122 (126%)	D+39.3	+6.1
Tarrant ✓	R+5.1	D+5.9	589,567	729,141 (124%)	D+14.2	+8.3
Bexar ✓	D+9.7	D+20.8	538,522	659,522 (122%)	D+31.0	+10.2
Travis ✓	D+39.1	D+50.2	461,264	548,591 (119%)	D+52.5	+2.3
Collin ✓	R+11.1	R+0.1	364,138	458,423 (126%)	D+4.5	+4.5
Denton ✓	R+13.2	R+2.1	317,007	396,672 (125%)	D+2.1	+4.2
Fort Bend ✓	D+1.6	D+12.6	249,051	331,449 (133%)	D+22.6	+10.0
Williamson ✓	R+2.4	D+8.6	225,064	279,139 (124%)	D+13.7	+5.1
Montgomery ✓	R+45.5	R+34.5	207,554	258,819 (125%)	R+26.7	+7.8
El Paso ✓	D+15.1	D+26.1	164,311	220,257 (134%)	D+42.2	+16.0
Hidalgo ✓	R+2.9	D+8.2	140,343	203,361 (145%)	D+42.0	+33.9
Brazoria ✓	R+19.7	R+8.7	109,618	141,901 (129%)	D+1.7	+10.4
Galveston ✓	R+27.4	R+16.4	110,374	134,628 (122%)	R+9.7	+6.7
Hays ✓	D+5.6	D+16.7	89,376	119,950 (134%)	D+26.9	+10.3
Bell ✓	R+16.2	R+5.2	87,631	110,831 (126%)	R+0.6	+4.6
Lubbock ✓	R+39.6	R+28.5	83,560	104,417 (125%)	R+20.5	+8.1
Cameron ✓	R+5.8	D+5.2	76,574	102,690 (134%)	D+34.6	+29.3
Nueces ✓	R+11.5	R+0.5	88,881	100,020 (113%)	D+6.8	+7.3
Comal ✓	R+45.6	R+34.5	74,602	89,286 (120%)	R+33.5	+1.0
Smith ✓	R+45.0	R+34.0	76,067	89,181 (117%)	R+29.0	+5.0
Ellis ✓	R+31.0	R+20.0	67,630	88,686 (131%)	R+8.3	+11.7
McLennan ✓	R+30.9	R+19.9	72,406	83,426 (115%)	R+14.1	+5.7
Brazos ✓	R+24.9	R+13.8	59,810	79,997 (134%)	D+0.7	+14.6
Parker ✓	R+66.5	R+55.4	63,355	76,264 (120%)	R+54.0	+1.5
Jefferson ✓	R+8.9	D+2.2	62,174	72,970 (117%)	D+9.1	+6.9
Guadalupe ✓	R+29.5	R+18.4	57,027	71,208 (125%)	R+10.0	+8.4
Johnson ✓	R+51.4	R+40.3	55,757	70,039 (126%)	R+30.7	+9.7
Kaufman ✓	R+27.8	R+16.8	42,702	62,342 (146%)	R+2.5	+14.3
Webb ✓	R+2.1	D+8.9	43,936	58,766 (134%)	D+39.6	+30.7
Grayson ✓	R+54.2	R+43.2	44,926	53,887 (120%)	R+41.4	+1.8
Rockwall ✓	R+40.8	R+29.7	42,790	53,642 (125%)	R+26.5	+3.3
Randall ✓	R+60.4	R+49.4	47,934	53,396 (111%)	R+45.2	+4.2
Midland ✓	R+60.4	R+49.4	39,957	44,161 (111%)	R+41.7	+7.7
Taylor ✓	R+49.8	R+38.8	39,292	42,729 (109%)	R+34.8	+4.0
Gregg ✓	R+42.3	R+31.2	33,139	38,102 (115%)	R+24.1	+7.2
Hunt ✓	R+55.6	R+44.5	30,484	37,612 (123%)	R+37.6	+6.9
Bastrop ✓	R+18.3	R+7.3	29,123	37,093 (127%)	D+5.4	+12.7
Tom Green ✓	R+48.1	R+37.0	31,742	36,245 (114%)	R+30.7	+6.3
Wichita ✓	R+44.0	R+33.0	31,518	34,560 (110%)	R+28.8	+4.2
Henderson ✓	R+63.5	R+52.4	27,966	31,211 (112%)	R+50.2	+2.2
Wise ✓	R+70.1	R+59.1	25,769	31,032 (120%)	R+55.1	+4.0
Hood ✓	R+66.1	R+55.1	27,196	30,330 (112%)	R+55.6	−0.5
Ector ✓	R+52.9	R+41.8	25,374	29,505 (116%)	R+22.9	+19.0
Victoria ✓	R+42.6	R+31.5	25,176	28,311 (112%)	R+27.3	+4.3
Bowie ✓	R+48.7	R+37.6	26,496	27,719 (105%)	R+35.7	+2.0
Angelina ✓	R+52.0	R+41.0	24,509	27,412 (112%)	R+34.4	+6.6
Orange ✓	R+66.7	R+55.7	25,060	26,444 (106%)	R+53.3	+2.5
Kendall ✓	R+55.8	R+44.7	22,460	26,159 (116%)	R+47.8	−3.0
Potter ✓	R+44.5	R+33.4	21,719	25,807 (119%)	R+23.8	+9.6
Liberty ✓	R+61.7	R+50.6	19,734	25,515 (129%)	R+30.4	+20.2
Burnet ✓	R+55.8	R+44.7	21,068	24,362 (116%)	R+43.7	+1.1
Harrison ✓	R+50.6	R+39.6	21,303	24,108 (113%)	R+37.7	+1.9
Waller ✓	R+25.1	R+14.0	16,664	23,748 (143%)	R+5.5	+8.5
Kerr ✓	R+54.4	R+43.4	22,427	23,507 (105%)	R+43.2	+0.1
Van Zandt ✓	R+74.9	R+63.9	20,533	22,236 (108%)	R+63.3	+0.5
Wilson ✓	R+53.7	R+42.7	19,415	22,049 (114%)	R+40.2	+2.4
Walker ✓	R+40.0	R+29.0	17,342	21,697 (125%)	R+22.8	+6.2
Nacogdoches ✓	R+38.8	R+27.8	18,926	21,569 (114%)	R+17.0	+10.8
Medina ✓	R+42.8	R+31.7	17,312	21,246 (123%)	R+25.4	+6.3
Hardin ✓	R+75.9	R+64.9	19,594	20,986 (107%)	R+64.2	+0.6
San Patricio ✓	R+36.5	R+25.4	17,818	20,155 (113%)	R+17.1	+8.3
Wood ✓	R+69.8	R+58.8	18,150	19,826 (109%)	R+62.9	−4.1
Chambers ✓	R+65.7	R+54.7	15,682	19,472 (124%)	R+48.3	+6.3
Coryell ✓	R+40.7	R+29.6	16,312	18,861 (116%)	R+24.9	+4.7
Polk ✓	R+59.0	R+47.9	16,743	17,546 (105%)	R+49.1	−1.1
Rusk ✓	R+59.4	R+48.4	15,572	17,406 (112%)	R+43.2	+5.3
Cooke ✓	R+66.9	R+55.9	15,293	17,218 (113%)	R+54.4	+1.5
Cherokee ✓	R+62.8	R+51.7	14,444	16,631 (115%)	R+47.4	+4.4
Lamar ✓	R+61.0	R+50.0	15,344	16,438 (107%)	R+47.0	+3.0
Navarro ✓	R+51.8	R+40.8	14,099	16,165 (115%)	R+32.2	+8.5
Washington ✓	R+54.6	R+43.6	13,949	15,536 (111%)	R+45.0	−1.4
Upshur ✓	R+71.1	R+60.1	14,254	15,531 (109%)	R+59.1	+1.0
Anderson ✓	R+61.8	R+50.8	14,415	15,344 (106%)	R+48.0	+2.7
Caldwell ✓	R+14.4	R+3.4	11,288	14,831 (131%)	D+11.4	+14.8
Gillespie ✓	R+61.0	R+49.9	13,366	14,634 (109%)	R+52.0	−2.0
Atascosa ✓	R+43.3	R+32.3	12,634	14,588 (115%)	R+19.3	+13.0
Erath ✓	R+67.9	R+56.9	13,077	14,167 (108%)	R+49.3	+7.6
Starr ✓	R+16.0	R+5.0	10,986	13,625 (124%)	D+48.9	+53.8
Hopkins ✓	R+64.7	R+53.6	12,324	13,327 (108%)	R+49.1	+4.5
Hill ✓	R+64.4	R+53.4	11,361	13,168 (116%)	R+49.5	+3.9
Fannin ✓	R+67.4	R+56.4	11,597	12,990 (112%)	R+55.2	+1.3
Brown ✓	R+74.0	R+63.0	12,254	12,989 (106%)	R+63.4	−0.4
Maverick ✓	R+18.5	R+7.5	9,483	12,934 (136%)	D+35.1	+42.6
Austin ✓	R+62.6	R+51.6	11,195	12,858 (115%)	R+49.1	+2.5
Wharton ✓	R+51.9	R+40.8	12,129	12,635 (104%)	R+37.2	+3.6
Jasper ✓	R+66.6	R+55.6	11,370	12,095 (106%)	R+56.0	−0.5
Val Verde ✓	R+26.6	R+15.6	9,417	11,786 (125%)	D+3.9	+19.5
Grimes ✓	R+60.3	R+49.3	9,413	11,733 (125%)	R+46.7	+2.6
Llano ✓	R+60.9	R+49.9	11,021	11,696 (106%)	R+55.7	−5.8
Fayette ✓	R+61.3	R+50.3	10,486	11,270 (107%)	R+50.0	+0.3
Matagorda ✓	R+50.6	R+39.6	9,695	10,945 (113%)	R+32.4	+7.2
Cass ✓	R+65.8	R+54.7	9,951	10,873 (109%)	R+58.3	−3.6
Jim Wells ✓	R+15.5	R+4.5	9,496	10,727 (113%)	D+10.0	+14.5
Aransas ✓	R+55.8	R+44.7	9,608	10,627 (111%)	R+47.9	−3.1
San Jacinto ✓	R+65.4	R+54.3	9,522	10,405 (109%)	R+53.2	+1.2
Palo Pinto ✓	R+67.2	R+56.2	9,467	10,402 (110%)	R+49.4	+6.8
Bandera ✓	R+61.9	R+50.9	10,456	10,246 (98%)	R+56.2	−5.3
Lampasas ✓	R+59.5	R+48.5	8,214	9,201 (112%)	R+49.6	−1.1
Titus ✓	R+54.7	R+43.7	7,308	8,756 (120%)	R+28.0	+15.6
Montague ✓	R+77.8	R+66.7	7,840	8,683 (111%)	R+69.5	−2.8
Milam ✓	R+57.4	R+46.4	8,340	8,643 (104%)	R+43.9	+2.5
Lavaca ✓	R+76.1	R+65.1	8,195	8,616 (105%)	R+67.9	−2.8
Panola ✓	R+66.5	R+55.5	8,298	8,580 (103%)	R+55.3	+0.1
Uvalde ✓	R+33.4	R+22.4	7,908	8,403 (106%)	R+7.0	+15.4
Colorado ✓	R+57.2	R+46.1	7,533	8,382 (111%)	R+46.4	−0.3
Kleberg ✓	R+12.7	R+1.6	7,592	8,224 (108%)	D+9.7	+11.3
Burleson ✓	R+62.9	R+51.9	6,702	7,813 (117%)	R+52.8	−0.9
Bosque ✓	R+67.3	R+56.3	7,443	7,759 (104%)	R+57.5	−1.2
Blanco ✓	R+52.4	R+41.4	6,757	7,599 (112%)	R+45.7	−4.3
Hale ✓	R+58.0	R+47.0	6,316	7,561 (120%)	R+33.3	+13.7
Shelby ✓	R+64.7	R+53.6	6,923	7,519 (109%)	R+50.2	+3.4
Houston ✓	R+55.4	R+44.3	7,172	7,484 (104%)	R+48.9	−4.6
Freestone ✓	R+66.4	R+55.4	6,647	7,337 (110%)	R+52.4	+3.1
Limestone ✓	R+56.8	R+45.8	6,822	7,283 (107%)	R+40.5	+5.3
Tyler ✓	R+73.5	R+62.5	7,228	7,260 (100%)	R+66.1	−3.6
Bee ✓	R+39.9	R+28.9	6,380	7,160 (112%)	R+17.5	+11.4
Leon ✓	R+76.8	R+65.8	6,837	7,086 (104%)	R+68.0	−2.2
Howard ✓	R+62.9	R+51.8	6,530	7,075 (108%)	R+44.5	+7.4
Robertson ✓	R+52.1	R+41.1	5,998	7,020 (117%)	R+37.7	+3.3
Lee ✓	R+60.4	R+49.4	6,266	6,954 (111%)	R+46.5	+2.9
Gonzales ✓	R+54.8	R+43.8	5,539	6,697 (121%)	R+34.3	+9.4
Young ✓	R+76.3	R+65.3	6,184	6,599 (107%)	R+63.9	+1.4
Hockley ✓	R+66.4	R+55.3	5,520	6,454 (117%)	R+47.1	+8.2
Calhoun ✓	R+52.2	R+41.2	5,574	6,357 (114%)	R+34.4	+6.8
Eastland ✓	R+77.7	R+66.7	6,143	6,353 (103%)	R+64.9	+1.8
Dewitt ✓	R+67.1	R+56.1	6,052	6,263 (103%)	R+57.0	−0.9
Hutchinson ✓	R+77.3	R+66.2	6,053	6,086 (101%)	R+64.1	+2.1
Trinity ✓	R+67.1	R+56.1	5,332	5,771 (108%)	R+56.7	−0.6
Gray ✓	R+77.2	R+66.2	5,539	5,511 (99%)	R+62.3	+3.9
Callahan ✓	R+77.7	R+66.6	5,251	5,392 (103%)	R+67.2	−0.6
Jones ✓	R+73.1	R+62.1	4,983	5,243 (105%)	R+59.1	+3.0
Comanche ✓	R+74.1	R+63.1	4,820	5,151 (107%)	R+59.8	+3.3
Rains ✓	R+73.0	R+62.0	4,976	5,094 (102%)	R+64.4	−2.5
Jackson ✓	R+70.8	R+59.8	4,590	5,038 (110%)	R+57.4	+2.4
Falls ✓	R+44.8	R+33.7	4,694	4,945 (105%)	R+32.7	+1.0
Gaines ✓	R+82.8	R+71.7	4,105	4,808 (117%)	R+65.2	+6.5
Willacy ✓	R+3.3	D+7.7	3,826	4,673 (122%)	D+28.4	+20.7
Clay ✓	R+79.6	R+68.6	4,481	4,647 (104%)	R+70.2	−1.6
Somervell ✓	R+70.6	R+59.5	4,032	4,317 (107%)	R+60.3	−0.8
Newton ✓	R+66.7	R+55.6	4,365	4,294 (98%)	R+58.6	−3.0
Madison ✓	R+64.5	R+53.4	3,903	4,292 (110%)	R+51.6	+1.9
Camp ✓	R+53.6	R+42.5	3,973	4,289 (108%)	R+37.4	+5.2
Sabine ✓	R+78.6	R+67.6	4,161	4,277 (103%)	R+71.9	−4.3
Franklin ✓	R+69.0	R+58.0	3,910	4,270 (109%)	R+59.6	−1.7
Red River ✓	R+61.8	R+50.8	4,266	4,239 (99%)	R+48.5	+2.3
Morris ✓	R+51.1	R+40.1	3,984	4,220 (106%)	R+40.3	−0.2
Scurry ✓	R+73.6	R+62.5	4,116	4,191 (102%)	R+60.6	+1.9
Andrews ✓	R+72.7	R+61.7	3,810	4,170 (109%)	R+47.1	+14.6
Moore ✓	R+67.2	R+56.2	3,589	4,131 (115%)	R+34.0	+22.2
Karnes ✓	R+58.2	R+47.2	3,808	4,050 (106%)	R+41.9	+5.3
Archer ✓	R+79.5	R+68.4	3,845	4,009 (104%)	R+71.1	−2.7
Live Oak ✓	R+69.7	R+58.7	3,993	3,868 (97%)	R+60.8	−2.1
Frio ✓	R+24.6	R+13.5	3,694	3,843 (104%)	D+4.9	+18.5
Marion ✓	R+52.6	R+41.6	3,292	3,830 (116%)	R+45.1	−3.5
Brewster ✓	R+12.6	R+1.6	3,745	3,820 (102%)	D+8.0	+9.6
Nolan ✓	R+59.2	R+48.2	3,783	3,745 (99%)	R+44.5	+3.7
Hamilton ✓	R+71.2	R+60.1	3,471	3,575 (103%)	R+63.4	−3.3
Deaf Smith ✓	R+51.7	R+40.7	2,931	3,544 (121%)	R+19.2	+21.5
Jack ✓	R+82.4	R+71.3	2,990	3,422 (114%)	R+68.9	+2.5
Wilbarger ✓	R+60.7	R+49.6	3,144	3,398 (108%)	R+47.2	+2.4
Pecos	R+44.9	R+33.9	3,645	3,393 (93%)	R+16.2	+17.7 *
Goliad ✓	R+60.2	R+49.2	3,357	3,377 (101%)	R+49.1	+0.1
Zapata ✓	R+22.5	R+11.4	3,421	3,354 (98%)	D+31.6	+43.1
Duval	R+10.0	D+1.1	3,637	3,340 (92%)	D+28.2	+27.2 *
Lamb ✓	R+64.4	R+53.4	3,069	3,300 (108%)	R+47.3	+6.1
Coleman ✓	R+79.0	R+67.9	3,230	3,248 (101%)	R+72.2	−4.3
Runnels ✓	R+77.2	R+66.2	3,230	3,193 (99%)	R+66.3	−0.1
Reeves ✓	R+36.9	R+25.9	2,158	3,148 (146%)	R+3.8	+22.0
Zavala ✓	D+14.5	D+25.5	2,426	3,121 (129%)	D+46.0	+20.5
San Augustine ✓	R+56.3	R+45.3	2,861	3,094 (108%)	R+44.1	+1.2
Stephens ✓	R+79.3	R+68.3	2,745	2,810 (102%)	R+65.7	+2.6
Dimmit ✓	D+3.0	D+14.0	2,855	2,714 (95%)	D+35.4	+21.3
McCulloch ✓	R+73.5	R+62.5	2,556	2,675 (105%)	R+62.1	+0.4
Terry ✓	R+65.1	R+54.1	2,571	2,631 (102%)	R+46.2	+7.9
Dawson ✓	R+61.1	R+50.1	2,507	2,578 (103%)	R+45.0	+5.0
Ward ✓	R+66.2	R+55.1	2,510	2,567 (102%)	R+45.3	+9.9
Refugio ✓	R+39.6	R+28.5	2,310	2,426 (105%)	R+27.9	+0.7
Carson ✓	R+81.2	R+70.2	2,391	2,397 (100%)	R+69.9	+0.2
Ochiltree ✓	R+81.6	R+70.6	2,121	2,336 (110%)	R+54.6	+16.0
San Saba ✓	R+78.9	R+67.9	2,163	2,193 (101%)	R+66.3	+1.6
Mason ✓	R+65.0	R+54.0	2,057	2,166 (105%)	R+56.1	−2.1
Mills ✓	R+77.0	R+66.0	2,115	2,144 (101%)	R+67.7	−1.7
Lynn ✓	R+70.4	R+59.4	1,717	2,124 (124%)	R+56.8	+2.6
Delta ✓	R+69.8	R+58.8	2,020	2,015 (100%)	R+58.1	+0.7
Parmer ✓	R+70.2	R+59.1	1,758	1,983 (113%)	R+46.6	+12.5
Kimble ✓	R+77.7	R+66.6	1,870	1,976 (106%)	R+67.8	−1.1
Presidio ✓	D+30.3	D+41.3	1,708	1,929 (113%)	D+53.9	+12.6
La Salle ✓	R+20.5	R+9.5	1,428	1,907 (134%)	D+5.9	+15.4
Mitchell ✓	R+71.4	R+60.4	1,776	1,869 (105%)	R+62.6	−2.2
Brooks	D+9.6	D+20.7	1,998	1,825 (91%)	D+34.2	+13.5 *
Yoakum ✓	R+70.9	R+59.9	1,631	1,780 (109%)	R+41.7	+18.2
Swisher ✓	R+63.4	R+52.4	1,656	1,718 (104%)	R+48.7	+3.7
Childress ✓	R+76.1	R+65.1	1,744	1,697 (97%)	R+61.2	+3.8
Wheeler ✓	R+84.7	R+73.7	1,685	1,688 (100%)	R+71.4	+2.3
Floyd ✓	R+65.0	R+54.0	1,464	1,637 (112%)	R+44.4	+9.6
Haskell ✓	R+71.6	R+60.5	1,665	1,626 (98%)	R+60.6	−0.1
Castro ✓	R+58.2	R+47.2	1,482	1,550 (105%)	R+43.0	+4.2
Hartley ✓	R+83.5	R+72.4	1,571	1,546 (98%)	R+70.2	+2.2
Hansford ✓	R+85.0	R+73.9	1,517	1,508 (99%)	R+64.7	+9.2
Real ✓	R+66.9	R+55.9	1,564	1,500 (96%)	R+60.9	−5.0
Crosby ✓	R+51.4	R+40.4	1,251	1,492 (119%)	R+32.2	+8.1
Martin ✓	R+75.8	R+64.7	1,502	1,475 (98%)	R+58.8	+5.9
Bailey ✓	R+61.2	R+50.1	1,327	1,422 (107%)	R+38.3	+11.9
Fisher ✓	R+63.2	R+52.2	1,396	1,421 (102%)	R+54.3	−2.2
Jim Hogg	D+8.3	D+19.3	1,532	1,372 (90%)	D+44.8	+25.5 *
Coke ✓	R+79.7	R+68.7	1,385	1,354 (98%)	R+69.6	−0.9
Winkler ✓	R+70.6	R+59.6	1,317	1,347 (102%)	R+44.9	+14.7
Shackelford ✓	R+82.2	R+71.2	1,237	1,286 (104%)	R+74.7	−3.5
Donley ✓	R+78.2	R+67.2	1,188	1,277 (107%)	R+70.8	−3.6
Kinney ✓	R+50.5	R+39.5	1,183	1,250 (106%)	R+32.5	+7.0
Hemphill	R+75.8	R+64.8	1,356	1,246 (92%)	R+56.8	+8.0 *
Baylor	R+77.0	R+66.0	1,305	1,208 (93%)	R+68.4	−2.4 *
Garza ✓	R+72.6	R+61.5	1,199	1,164 (97%)	R+57.0	+4.6
Sutton ✓	R+67.1	R+56.1	1,156	1,101 (95%)	R+51.0	+5.0
Dallam ✓	R+78.4	R+67.4	1,045	1,024 (98%)	R+52.8	+14.5
Jeff Davis ✓	R+21.3	R+10.3	1,046	1,022 (98%)	R+10.3	+0.0
Crane	R+72.7	R+61.7	1,141	1,013 (89%)	R+45.7	+16.0 *
Knox ✓	R+68.6	R+57.5	1,034	1,009 (98%)	R+51.3	+6.2
Concho ✓	R+74.0	R+63.0	939	1,000 (106%)	R+61.6	+1.4
Crockett	R+53.9	R+42.8	1,259	1,000 (79%)	R+33.9	+8.9 *
Hardeman ✓	R+72.8	R+61.8	983	977 (99%)	R+61.0	+0.8
Collingsworth ✓	R+77.6	R+66.6	925	965 (104%)	R+68.9	−2.3
Lipscomb ✓	R+79.7	R+68.7	975	935 (96%)	R+70.4	−1.7
Schleicher	R+64.6	R+53.5	1,001	923 (92%)	R+47.3	+6.2 *
Culberson ✓	R+16.9	R+5.9	725	891 (123%)	D+16.0	+21.9
Armstrong ✓	R+85.6	R+74.6	900	873 (97%)	R+77.7	−3.1
Upton	R+77.1	R+66.1	1,042	871 (84%)	R+56.3	+9.8 *
Hall	R+73.4	R+62.4	876	830 (95%)	R+60.7	+1.7 *
Edwards ✓	R+73.3	R+62.3	814	815 (100%)	R+61.1	+1.2
Hudspeth	R+46.1	R+35.1	860	812 (94%)	R+20.6	+14.5 *
Menard ✓	R+66.5	R+55.5	774	790 (102%)	R+53.7	+1.8
Dickens ✓	R+70.4	R+59.3	790	753 (95%)	R+62.4	−3.1
Oldham ✓	R+84.4	R+73.3	767	748 (98%)	R+73.5	−0.2
Sherman ✓	R+83.3	R+72.2	707	710 (100%)	R+62.8	+9.4
Cochran ✓	R+65.8	R+54.8	614	701 (114%)	R+40.4	+14.4
Reagan ✓	R+69.5	R+58.5	710	700 (99%)	R+40.4	+18.1
Irion	R+75.7	R+64.6	695	645 (93%)	R+69.1	−4.5 *
Throckmorton	R+83.4	R+72.4	667	627 (94%)	R+70.5	+1.9 *
Briscoe ✓	R+79.8	R+68.8	590	597 (101%)	R+69.8	−1.0
Glasscock ✓	R+88.4	R+77.3	571	559 (98%)	R+80.9	−3.5
Cottle ✓	R+72.6	R+61.5	514	542 (105%)	R+62.5	−1.0
Stonewall	R+69.5	R+58.5	564	515 (91%)	R+59.0	−0.5 *
Motley ✓	R+88.9	R+77.9	505	513 (102%)	R+83.2	−5.4
Roberts ✓	R+92.3	R+81.3	443	455 (103%)	R+89.2	−8.0
Sterling ✓	R+86.0	R+75.0	446	451 (101%)	R+66.7	+8.2
Foard	R+65.4	R+54.4	527	411 (78%)	R+56.7	−2.3 *
McMullen ✓	R+84.6	R+73.5	372	381 (102%)	R+70.9	+2.7
Kent ✓	R+76.4	R+65.4	348	377 (108%)	R+62.3	+3.0
Terrell	R+55.2	R+44.2	426	347 (81%)	R+46.7	−2.5 *
Borden ✓	R+91.7	R+80.7	317	308 (97%)	R+87.7	−7.0
Kenedy ✓	R+46.8	R+35.8	152	159 (105%)	R+17.6	+18.2
King ✓	R+91.1	R+80.1	103	118 (115%)	R+86.4	−6.4
Loving	R+78.4	R+67.3	77	68 (88%)	R+69.1	−1.8 *

Iowa Senate Josh Turek v Ashley Hinson · our forecast D+2.4, 64% Democrat · count split by method

No votes counted yet. The benchmarks below are what each county should show if our forecast of D+2.4 is right; once votes come in, each method is compared with the same method in 2024.

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Polk	D+10.8	D+26.4	190,822	–	–	–
Linn	D+9.9	D+25.4	93,559	–	–	–
Scott	R+3.9	D+11.7	63,707	–	–	–
Johnson	D+37.8	D+53.4	63,661	–	–	–
Black Hawk	D+1.2	D+16.7	47,169	–	–	–
Dallas	R+4.7	D+10.8	44,572	–	–	–
Dubuque	R+8.6	D+7.0	38,808	–	–	–
Story	D+10.3	D+25.8	36,942	–	–	–
Pottawattamie	R+19.9	R+4.4	29,060	–	–	–
Woodbury	R+22.9	R+7.3	28,626	–	–	–
Warren	R+20.6	R+5.1	23,818	–	–	–
Cerro Gordo	R+11.6	D+3.9	17,092	–	–	–
Clinton	R+18.8	R+3.3	16,887	–	–	–
Jasper	R+27.5	R+12.0	15,008	–	–	–
Marion	R+37.6	R+22.1	14,358	–	–	–

Florida governor David Jolly v Byron Donalds · our forecast R+2.9, 68% Republican · totals only

Counted8,266,794 of ~7,796,916 expected (106%) · 67 of 67 counties

Like-for-like gap1.1 pts better for the Democrat on 8,180,358 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+1.7

Raw (not like for like)R+1.3 counted, R+2.4 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Miami-Dade ✓	R+11.5	R+0.9	716,322	785,055 (110%)	D+7.0	+8.0
Broward ✓	D+17.0	D+27.5	600,976	661,359 (110%)	D+32.1	+4.6
Palm Beach ✓	D+0.8	D+11.3	545,550	572,058 (105%)	D+12.3	+1.0
Hillsborough ✓	R+3.1	D+7.5	484,916	516,277 (106%)	D+11.6	+4.2
Orange ✓	D+13.6	D+24.1	408,617	471,241 (115%)	D+29.5	+5.4
Pinellas ✓	R+5.2	D+5.3	424,549	403,433 (95%)	D+4.6	−0.7
Duval ✓	R+1.5	D+9.0	330,303	355,356 (108%)	D+10.8	+1.7
Lee ✓	R+28.4	R+17.9	276,081	303,772 (110%)	R+21.5	−3.6
Brevard ✓	R+20.8	R+10.3	268,335	269,326 (100%)	R+11.1	−0.8
Polk ✓	R+20.7	R+10.2	230,726	256,942 (111%)	R+5.0	+5.2
Pasco ✓	R+25.2	R+14.7	225,549	239,492 (106%)	R+12.2	+2.5
Volusia ✓	R+21.8	R+11.3	226,962	236,391 (104%)	R+12.5	−1.2
Sarasota ✓	R+18.2	R+7.7	219,514	223,249 (102%)	R+13.0	−5.3
Seminole ✓	R+3.6	D+7.0	183,816	195,283 (106%)	D+9.6	+2.6
Manatee ✓	R+23.5	R+13.0	172,183	181,989 (106%)	R+16.5	−3.5
Lake ✓	R+24.7	R+14.2	160,572	177,629 (111%)	R+15.7	−1.6
Collier ✓	R+33.0	R+22.5	164,265	171,748 (105%)	R+27.3	−4.8
Marion ✓	R+31.7	R+21.2	156,427	163,507 (105%)	R+24.2	−3.0
St. Johns ✓	R+31.3	R+20.8	145,011	155,851 (107%)	R+23.6	−2.8
St. Lucie ✓	R+9.1	D+1.4	122,361	138,985 (114%)	D+3.0	+1.5
Osceola ✓	R+1.5	D+9.1	103,173	131,545 (127%)	D+17.8	+8.7
Leon ✓	D+21.7	D+32.2	118,216	125,528 (106%)	D+35.1	+2.9
Escambia ✓	R+19.5	R+9.0	116,090	116,144 (100%)	R+9.6	−0.6
Alachua ✓	D+20.9	D+31.5	96,195	105,388 (110%)	D+33.3	+1.8
Charlotte ✓	R+34.0	R+23.5	92,933	100,373 (108%)	R+33.4	−9.9
Sumter ✓	R+37.6	R+27.1	89,668	94,997 (106%)	R+39.9	−12.8
Clay ✓	R+39.3	R+28.7	90,333	92,855 (103%)	R+29.1	−0.3
Hernando ✓	R+37.1	R+26.6	80,598	79,895 (99%)	R+26.9	−0.3
Indian River ✓	R+27.3	R+16.8	77,624	77,389 (100%)	R+20.6	−3.8
Okaloosa ✓	R+42.4	R+31.9	81,166	77,338 (95%)	R+34.7	−2.9
Martin ✓	R+31.1	R+20.6	77,907	76,147 (98%)	R+23.2	−2.7
Citrus ✓	R+45.9	R+35.4	75,985	74,905 (99%)	R+40.3	−4.9
Santa Rosa ✓	R+50.9	R+40.4	75,855	74,287 (98%)	R+42.6	−2.2
Bay ✓	R+47.3	R+36.8	67,243	70,092 (104%)	R+39.6	−2.7
Flagler ✓	R+28.3	R+17.8	58,886	63,831 (108%)	R+22.8	−5.0
Nassau ✓	R+46.9	R+36.4	47,891	50,372 (105%)	R+39.2	−2.8
Highlands ✓	R+40.8	R+30.3	39,922	39,642 (99%)	R+32.7	−2.4
Walton ✓	R+57.8	R+47.3	34,975	35,115 (100%)	R+52.7	−5.4
Monroe	R+18.3	R+7.8	34,116	32,244 (95%)	R+7.5	+0.3 *
Putnam ✓	R+47.9	R+37.4	26,656	26,388 (99%)	R+37.7	−0.4
Columbia ✓	R+50.2	R+39.7	23,769	22,885 (96%)	R+40.4	−0.7
Levy ✓	R+50.3	R+39.8	17,954	18,057 (101%)	R+43.6	−3.8
Gadsden ✓	D+30.7	D+41.2	17,463	17,774 (102%)	D+38.7	−2.5
Suwannee ✓	R+61.0	R+50.5	16,400	15,765 (96%)	R+52.7	−2.2
Jackson ✓	R+46.1	R+35.6	16,355	15,570 (95%)	R+37.5	−1.9
Wakulla ✓	R+44.4	R+33.9	15,113	15,056 (100%)	R+31.3	+2.6
Okeechobee ✓	R+53.9	R+43.4	10,934	11,091 (101%)	R+38.2	+5.2
Hendry ✓	R+38.4	R+27.9	8,293	10,044 (121%)	R+11.9	+15.9
Baker	R+73.2	R+62.7	10,736	9,739 (91%)	R+65.1	−2.4 *
Bradford	R+57.4	R+46.9	10,290	9,640 (94%)	R+48.4	−1.6 *
Desoto ✓	R+43.0	R+32.5	8,714	9,062 (104%)	R+27.5	+5.0
Washington ✓	R+65.4	R+54.9	9,147	9,004 (98%)	R+58.6	−3.6
Gilchrist ✓	R+68.0	R+57.5	7,889	7,746 (98%)	R+61.7	−4.2
Madison ✓	R+28.9	R+18.4	7,020	6,965 (99%)	R+22.1	−3.7
Jefferson ✓	R+18.6	R+8.1	7,152	6,942 (97%)	R+12.4	−4.3
Taylor	R+59.7	R+49.2	7,645	6,940 (91%)	R+50.5	−1.3 *
Gulf ✓	R+54.2	R+43.7	6,438	6,698 (104%)	R+53.7	−10.0
Holmes	R+80.4	R+69.9	6,790	6,157 (91%)	R+73.3	−3.4 *
Hardee ✓	R+56.4	R+45.9	5,552	6,003 (108%)	R+33.8	+12.1
Dixie	R+70.5	R+60.0	6,193	5,557 (90%)	R+64.7	−4.6 *
Franklin	R+43.8	R+33.3	5,465	5,030 (92%)	R+35.3	−2.0 *
Calhoun	R+67.7	R+57.2	4,868	4,272 (88%)	R+59.5	−2.3 *
Union	R+68.4	R+57.8	4,567	4,260 (93%)	R+60.6	−2.7 *
Hamilton ✓	R+39.0	R+28.5	4,320	4,113 (95%)	R+30.3	−1.8
Glades ✓	R+53.3	R+42.7	3,839	3,784 (99%)	R+40.6	+2.2
Liberty ✓	R+67.0	R+56.4	2,622	2,625 (100%)	R+59.1	−2.7
Lafayette	R+76.1	R+65.6	2,921	2,597 (89%)	R+66.5	−0.9 *

Alaska governor Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins v Dave Bronson · our forecast D+2.8, 69% Democrat · totals only

Counted211,337 of ~243,484 expected (87%) · 40 of 40 counties

Like-for-like gap35.0 pts better for the Democrat on 29,384 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+37.8

Raw (not like for like)D+34.9 counted, D+2.7 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
House District 6	R+16.8	R+0.2	8,623	7,777 (90%)	D+37.4	+37.6 *
House District 9	D+2.3	D+19.0	8,587	7,548 (88%)	D+36.8	+17.8 *
House District 25 ✓	R+37.0	R+20.3	7,560	7,453 (99%)	D+22.0	+42.3
House District 8	R+51.1	R+34.4	7,908	6,945 (88%)	D+11.5	+46.0 *
House District 35 ✓	D+5.3	D+21.9	6,972	6,858 (98%)	D+47.3	+25.4
House District 23	R+19.4	R+2.8	7,676	6,775 (88%)	D+29.7	+32.6 *
House District 24	R+33.4	R+16.8	7,299	6,629 (91%)	D+22.2	+39.0 *
House District 29	R+46.5	R+29.9	7,607	6,599 (87%)	D+17.5	+47.4 *
House District 26 ✓	R+56.0	R+39.4	6,879	6,543 (95%)	D+13.6	+53.0
House District 34	R+21.6	R+5.0	7,208	6,493 (90%)	D+31.7	+36.7 *
House District 7	R+45.9	R+29.3	6,979	6,372 (91%)	D+16.8	+46.1 *
House District 11	R+2.4	D+14.2	7,135	6,214 (87%)	D+34.1	+19.9 *
House District 16	D+15.3	D+31.9	6,967	6,212 (89%)	D+50.1	+18.3 *
House District 3	D+15.4	D+32.0	7,983	6,174 (77%)	D+56.1	+24.1 *
House District 28	R+50.4	R+33.8	6,706	6,150 (92%)	D+16.6	+50.4 *
House District 21	D+8.4	D+25.0	6,532	6,128 (94%)	D+43.6	+18.6 *
House District 15	R+2.6	D+14.1	6,730	6,117 (91%)	D+38.6	+24.6 *
House District 33	R+52.9	R+36.3	6,434	5,893 (92%)	D+7.2	+43.5 *
House District 36	R+22.8	R+6.2	6,890	5,875 (85%)	D+32.4	+38.6 *
House District 10	R+3.4	D+13.2	6,331	5,756 (91%)	D+38.5	+25.3 *
House District 27	R+57.9	R+41.3	6,455	5,690 (88%)	D+11.7	+53.0 *
House District 4	D+39.2	D+55.8	6,650	5,682 (85%)	D+72.9	+17.1 *
House District 30	R+46.1	R+29.4	7,522	5,468 (73%)	D+14.1	+43.5 *
House District 12	D+1.3	D+18.0	6,181	5,213 (84%)	D+41.9	+24.0 *
House District 17	D+34.9	D+51.5	5,557	4,966 (89%)	D+63.8	+12.3 *
House District 13	D+1.3	D+17.9	5,462	4,660 (85%)	D+42.6	+24.7 *
House District 1	R+18.2	R+1.5	6,181	4,591 (74%)	D+31.4	+33.0 *
House District 31	R+3.5	D+13.1	5,045	4,501 (89%)	D+41.1	+27.9 *
House District 20	D+12.7	D+29.3	5,233	4,500 (86%)	D+50.8	+21.5 *
House District 14	D+22.2	D+38.8	5,345	4,498 (84%)	D+54.3	+15.5 *
House District 2	D+0.4	D+17.0	6,840	4,322 (63%)	D+51.6	+34.6 *
House District 5	R+13.3	D+3.3	5,769	3,886 (67%)	D+36.5	+33.2 *
House District 22	D+1.3	D+17.9	3,947	3,533 (90%)	D+46.1	+28.2 *
House District 39 ✓	D+12.7	D+29.3	2,907	3,370 (116%)	D+45.9	+16.6
House District 19	D+17.8	D+34.4	3,603	3,236 (90%)	D+53.8	+19.4 *
House District 32	R+33.0	R+16.4	4,226	3,109 (74%)	D+28.8	+45.2 *
House District 37	R+7.0	D+9.7	3,102	2,837 (91%)	D+38.9	+29.3 *
House District 38 ✓	D+13.1	D+29.7	2,694	2,708 (101%)	D+51.1	+21.3
House District 40 ✓	R+10.7	D+5.9	2,291	2,452 (107%)	D+38.1	+32.2
House District 18	R+16.4	D+0.2	3,466	1,604 (46%)	D+43.2	+43.0 *

Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v Roger Marshall · our forecast D+3.0, 69% Democrat · totals only

Counted1,099,896 of ~1,009,221 expected (109%) · 105 of 105 counties

Like-for-like gap0.9 pts better for the Democrat on 1,046,529 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+3.8

Raw (not like for like)D+5.1 counted, D+4.3 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Johnson ✓	D+8.5	D+27.7	262,697	297,051 (113%)	D+28.0	+0.3
Sedgwick ✓	R+13.8	D+5.4	155,206	182,715 (118%)	D+7.7	+2.3
Shawnee ✓	D+0.5	D+19.7	65,914	69,959 (106%)	D+19.0	−0.7
Douglas ✓	D+38.0	D+57.2	47,396	50,926 (107%)	D+54.7	−2.5
Wyandotte ✓	D+23.9	D+43.1	35,035	43,181 (123%)	D+48.7	+5.6
Leavenworth ✓	R+22.8	R+3.6	26,893	28,360 (105%)	R+0.9	+2.7
Butler ✓	R+41.2	R+22.0	23,756	26,053 (110%)	R+23.5	−1.5
Reno ✓	R+34.5	R+15.3	20,776	21,725 (105%)	R+15.8	−0.5
Riley ✓	D+1.8	D+21.0	18,195	20,020 (110%)	D+21.1	+0.1
Saline ✓	R+31.6	R+12.4	17,731	19,636 (111%)	R+14.3	−2.0
Miami ✓	R+39.5	R+20.3	13,494	14,112 (105%)	R+19.0	+1.3
Harvey ✓	R+21.1	R+1.8	12,917	13,737 (106%)	R+3.9	−2.1
Crawford ✓	R+25.3	R+6.0	11,834	12,213 (103%)	R+1.3	+4.7
McPherson ✓	R+41.1	R+21.9	11,154	11,545 (104%)	R+25.6	−3.7
Lyon ✓	R+14.7	D+4.5	10,128	11,309 (112%)	D+8.1	+3.6
Pottawatomie ✓	R+47.6	R+28.4	10,503	10,816 (103%)	R+28.7	−0.3
Ellis ✓	R+46.1	R+26.9	10,552	10,645 (101%)	R+24.7	+2.2
Cowley ✓	R+40.3	R+21.1	10,671	10,447 (98%)	R+20.2	+0.8
Franklin ✓	R+40.1	R+20.9	9,535	9,787 (103%)	R+17.9	+3.0
Finney ✓	R+34.7	R+15.5	7,191	9,234 (128%)	D+2.5	+18.0
Montgomery	R+51.1	R+31.8	9,611	9,024 (94%)	R+31.3	+0.6 *
Barton ✓	R+56.7	R+37.5	8,095	8,463 (105%)	R+38.1	−0.6
Sumner ✓	R+50.1	R+30.9	7,890	8,112 (103%)	R+30.2	+0.7
Jefferson ✓	R+36.9	R+17.7	7,622	7,912 (104%)	R+18.3	−0.6
Dickinson ✓	R+55.0	R+35.7	6,943	7,201 (104%)	R+36.9	−1.2
Ford ✓	R+38.4	R+19.1	5,994	7,198 (120%)	D+1.1	+20.2
Geary ✓	R+17.6	D+1.6	6,075	6,752 (111%)	D+5.5	+3.9
Osage ✓	R+48.0	R+28.8	6,285	6,084 (97%)	R+28.3	+0.5
Cherokee	R+52.9	R+33.7	6,433	6,054 (94%)	R+32.9	+0.8 *
Labette ✓	R+38.2	R+19.0	5,932	5,839 (98%)	R+19.0	−0.1
Jackson ✓	R+42.6	R+23.4	5,105	5,264 (103%)	R+22.2	+1.1
Atchison	R+37.4	R+18.1	5,486	5,176 (94%)	R+14.0	+4.2 *
Neosho ✓	R+48.1	R+28.9	5,106	4,916 (96%)	R+26.0	+2.9
Marion ✓	R+49.1	R+29.9	4,815	4,707 (98%)	R+34.9	−5.1
Bourbon	R+54.2	R+34.9	4,839	4,573 (95%)	R+34.7	+0.2 *
Nemaha ✓	R+67.0	R+47.8	4,609	4,494 (98%)	R+54.5	−6.7
Seward ✓	R+39.0	R+19.7	2,944	4,188 (142%)	D+13.5	+33.2
Allen ✓	R+46.1	R+26.9	4,138	4,087 (99%)	R+22.9	+4.0
Marshall ✓	R+49.1	R+29.9	3,899	3,892 (100%)	R+31.1	−1.2
Linn ✓	R+64.6	R+45.3	3,723	3,631 (98%)	R+47.5	−2.1
Coffey ✓	R+55.7	R+36.5	3,443	3,376 (98%)	R+39.8	−3.3
Brown ✓	R+47.9	R+28.7	3,367	3,373 (100%)	R+29.9	−1.1
Clay ✓	R+55.5	R+36.3	3,301	3,309 (100%)	R+40.1	−3.9
Pratt ✓	R+51.4	R+32.2	3,128	3,291 (105%)	R+33.3	−1.1
Wabaunsee ✓	R+48.8	R+29.6	3,353	3,248 (97%)	R+32.2	−2.6
Rice ✓	R+56.7	R+37.5	3,112	3,247 (104%)	R+38.9	−1.4
Cloud ✓	R+60.6	R+41.3	3,209	3,157 (98%)	R+42.0	−0.6
Kingman ✓	R+59.9	R+40.7	3,100	3,117 (101%)	R+44.4	−3.7
Anderson ✓	R+59.8	R+40.5	2,908	2,858 (98%)	R+41.7	−1.2
Thomas ✓	R+65.8	R+46.6	2,888	2,835 (98%)	R+48.9	−2.4
Wilson	R+62.4	R+43.1	3,322	2,787 (84%)	R+46.2	−3.1 *
Doniphan ✓	R+63.5	R+44.3	2,644	2,562 (97%)	R+48.0	−3.7
Russell	R+61.3	R+42.1	2,717	2,549 (94%)	R+44.5	−2.4 *
Mitchell ✓	R+65.6	R+46.3	2,375	2,469 (104%)	R+53.4	−7.0
Ottawa ✓	R+66.6	R+47.3	2,388	2,443 (102%)	R+54.7	−7.3
Morris ✓	R+46.6	R+27.3	2,244	2,324 (104%)	R+23.4	+4.0
Ellsworth ✓	R+52.3	R+33.1	2,244	2,244 (100%)	R+33.7	−0.7
Greenwood ✓	R+61.0	R+41.7	2,320	2,217 (96%)	R+45.2	−3.5
Washington ✓	R+69.1	R+49.9	2,257	2,156 (96%)	R+58.4	−8.5
Pawnee ✓	R+51.5	R+32.3	2,155	2,051 (95%)	R+36.7	−4.4
Phillips	R+73.7	R+54.5	2,199	1,982 (90%)	R+60.2	−5.8 *
Republic ✓	R+65.7	R+46.5	1,970	1,942 (99%)	R+49.6	−3.1
Rooks	R+71.2	R+52.0	2,104	1,922 (91%)	R+56.7	−4.7 *
Sherman	R+68.7	R+49.5	2,052	1,901 (93%)	R+53.4	−3.9 *
Harper	R+64.0	R+44.8	1,979	1,841 (93%)	R+47.9	−3.1 *
Norton ✓	R+67.7	R+48.4	1,799	1,807 (100%)	R+54.7	−6.2
Barber ✓	R+72.2	R+52.9	1,745	1,672 (96%)	R+59.4	−6.5
Scott ✓	R+74.7	R+55.5	1,703	1,655 (97%)	R+55.2	+0.3
Gray ✓	R+69.0	R+49.8	1,718	1,647 (96%)	R+50.5	−0.7
Grant ✓	R+63.0	R+43.7	1,613	1,617 (100%)	R+35.1	+8.6
Smith	R+68.5	R+49.3	1,645	1,523 (93%)	R+57.5	−8.1 *
Stafford ✓	R+64.0	R+44.8	1,571	1,495 (95%)	R+43.7	+1.0
Trego ✓	R+71.0	R+51.8	1,263	1,359 (108%)	R+53.3	−1.6
Meade ✓	R+69.6	R+50.4	1,312	1,355 (103%)	R+52.1	−1.7
Stevens ✓	R+75.5	R+56.3	1,401	1,340 (96%)	R+50.2	+6.0
Rush ✓	R+65.4	R+46.2	1,334	1,304 (98%)	R+45.7	+0.5
Osborne	R+68.5	R+49.3	1,440	1,292 (90%)	R+54.5	−5.2 *
Lincoln ✓	R+65.2	R+46.0	1,204	1,289 (107%)	R+54.8	−8.8
Jewell ✓	R+75.9	R+56.6	1,208	1,200 (99%)	R+64.4	−7.8
Chase ✓	R+50.8	R+31.5	1,185	1,153 (97%)	R+33.7	−2.1
Chautauqua	R+71.3	R+52.0	1,182	1,109 (94%)	R+60.4	−8.4 *
Woodson	R+61.3	R+42.1	1,185	1,108 (94%)	R+44.9	−2.9 *
Decatur ✓	R+69.0	R+49.8	1,132	1,096 (97%)	R+56.8	−7.1
Logan ✓	R+71.6	R+52.4	1,105	1,096 (99%)	R+56.7	−4.2
Rawlins	R+72.6	R+53.3	1,155	1,085 (94%)	R+57.0	−3.6 *
Ness	R+78.9	R+59.7	1,157	1,084 (94%)	R+65.1	−5.4 *
Cheyenne ✓	R+68.8	R+49.6	1,039	1,064 (102%)	R+53.9	−4.2
Sheridan	R+80.3	R+61.1	1,112	1,048 (94%)	R+69.9	−8.8 *
Kearny ✓	R+68.4	R+49.2	957	1,025 (107%)	R+52.5	−3.3
Edwards	R+65.3	R+46.1	1,093	1,017 (93%)	R+52.9	−6.8 *
Graham ✓	R+65.7	R+46.4	1,033	1,014 (98%)	R+49.0	−2.6
Elk	R+69.7	R+50.4	1,076	1,011 (94%)	R+58.8	−8.3 *
Haskell ✓	R+64.5	R+45.3	994	997 (100%)	R+43.5	+1.7
Gove	R+77.1	R+57.9	1,161	949 (82%)	R+62.3	−4.4 *
Kiowa	R+71.4	R+52.1	944	884 (94%)	R+57.4	−5.2 *
Clark	R+72.8	R+53.6	854	752 (88%)	R+54.4	−0.8 *
Morton	R+73.4	R+54.2	808	738 (91%)	R+57.0	−2.9 *
Hodgeman	R+70.5	R+51.3	807	731 (91%)	R+57.3	−6.0 *
Wichita ✓	R+73.6	R+54.4	713	694 (97%)	R+59.1	−4.7
Lane ✓	R+70.9	R+51.7	681	670 (98%)	R+56.3	−4.6
Comanche	R+68.3	R+49.1	744	628 (84%)	R+47.3	+1.8 *
Wallace	R+84.8	R+65.5	672	599 (89%)	R+76.0	−10.4 *
Hamilton ✓	R+66.3	R+47.0	605	575 (95%)	R+48.7	−1.7
Stanton ✓	R+63.6	R+44.3	517	531 (103%)	R+42.7	+1.6
Greeley ✓	R+73.4	R+54.1	453	444 (98%)	R+45.9	+8.2

Ohio Senate (special) Sherrod Brown v Jon Husted · our forecast D+3.1, 69% Democrat · count split by method

Counted4,601,571 of ~4,138,378 expected (111%) · 88 of 88 counties

Like-for-like gap0.7 pts better for the Democrat on 4,601,571 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+3.8

Raw (not like for like)D+4.9 counted, D+4.1 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Franklin ✓	D+28.4	D+42.5	425,246	505,352 (119%)	D+42.1	−0.4
Cuyahoga ✓	D+31.5	D+45.6	409,773	475,488 (116%)	D+43.7	−1.9
Hamilton ✓	D+14.9	D+29.0	303,600	342,187 (113%)	D+25.3	−3.7
Summit ✓	D+7.0	D+21.1	199,835	225,274 (113%)	D+22.6	+1.5
Montgomery ✓	D+0.5	D+14.6	186,826	202,829 (109%)	D+15.0	+0.4
Lucas ✓	D+12.5	D+26.7	132,730	152,674 (115%)	D+25.7	−0.9
Butler ✓	R+26.3	R+12.1	128,249	146,581 (114%)	R+10.3	+1.8
Stark ✓	R+21.9	R+7.8	133,502	144,622 (108%)	R+5.3	+2.5
Lorain ✓	R+5.7	D+8.4	111,679	129,806 (116%)	D+11.2	+2.8
Delaware ✓	R+6.6	D+7.5	98,858	117,285 (119%)	D+4.5	−3.1
Warren ✓	R+31.5	R+17.4	101,415	113,087 (112%)	R+17.9	−0.5
Lake ✓	R+14.3	R+0.2	94,219	105,841 (112%)	D+1.6	+1.8
Clermont ✓	R+35.8	R+21.6	80,041	89,383 (112%)	R+19.8	+1.8
Mahoning ✓	R+9.4	D+4.7	85,818	89,146 (104%)	D+7.2	+2.5
Medina ✓	R+24.8	R+10.7	77,939	85,424 (110%)	R+9.4	+1.3
Trumbull ✓	R+16.8	R+2.7	72,972	74,350 (102%)	D+2.6	+5.3
Greene ✓	R+19.8	R+5.7	65,895	74,259 (113%)	R+7.5	−1.9
Licking ✓	R+30.0	R+15.9	66,340	74,189 (112%)	R+12.1	+3.7
Fairfield ✓	R+24.0	R+9.9	59,231	68,207 (115%)	R+6.6	+3.3
Portage ✓	R+15.5	R+1.4	60,449	65,900 (109%)	D+2.7	+4.1
Wood ✓	R+10.1	D+4.0	48,459	54,472 (112%)	D+4.6	+0.6
Clark ✓	R+29.5	R+15.4	44,272	48,806 (110%)	R+13.2	+2.2
Miami ✓	R+45.1	R+31.0	42,161	45,636 (108%)	R+30.9	+0.1
Geauga ✓	R+24.1	R+10.0	42,679	45,439 (106%)	R+11.8	−1.8
Richland ✓	R+42.3	R+28.2	41,716	44,064 (106%)	R+26.2	+2.0
Wayne ✓	R+39.2	R+25.1	38,431	41,300 (107%)	R+25.2	−0.1
Allen ✓	R+44.1	R+30.0	32,657	35,218 (108%)	R+31.0	−1.1
Columbiana ✓	R+49.0	R+34.9	35,534	34,859 (98%)	R+30.7	+4.1
Ashtabula ✓	R+28.4	R+14.2	30,838	33,016 (107%)	R+9.2	+5.1
Tuscarawas ✓	R+43.3	R+29.1	30,339	32,117 (106%)	R+23.4	+5.7
Erie ✓	R+14.1	Even	28,887	31,963 (111%)	D+1.0	+1.0
Union ✓	R+29.6	R+15.5	25,395	31,167 (123%)	R+13.7	+1.8
Hancock ✓	R+38.4	R+24.3	27,102	28,902 (107%)	R+23.5	+0.8
Muskingum ✓	R+43.9	R+29.8	27,302	28,820 (106%)	R+26.9	+2.8
Ross ✓	R+39.3	R+25.2	22,586	24,660 (109%)	R+21.5	+3.7
Knox ✓	R+44.9	R+30.8	23,073	24,172 (105%)	R+31.4	−0.6
Washington ✓	R+43.7	R+29.6	22,750	22,638 (100%)	R+24.9	+4.7
Sandusky ✓	R+30.9	R+16.7	21,343	22,577 (106%)	R+13.1	+3.7
Pickaway ✓	R+48.5	R+34.4	19,555	22,145 (113%)	R+31.1	+3.3
Jefferson ✓	R+43.9	R+29.8	22,884	22,072 (96%)	R+24.3	+5.4
Belmont ✓	R+47.3	R+33.1	22,525	22,004 (98%)	R+26.3	+6.9
Scioto ✓	R+47.9	R+33.8	21,067	21,498 (102%)	R+25.5	+8.3
Athens ✓	D+10.7	D+24.9	19,075	20,327 (107%)	D+30.5	+5.6
Darke ✓	R+65.3	R+51.2	19,750	20,041 (101%)	R+52.5	−1.2
Marion ✓	R+41.4	R+27.2	19,102	19,940 (104%)	R+22.1	+5.1
Ashland ✓	R+49.9	R+35.8	18,400	19,879 (108%)	R+34.4	+1.4
Huron ✓	R+44.0	R+29.9	18,396	19,650 (107%)	R+23.1	+6.8
Auglaize ✓	R+64.5	R+50.4	18,663	19,243 (103%)	R+53.4	−3.0
Ottawa ✓	R+25.1	R+10.9	18,483	19,231 (104%)	R+12.6	−1.7
Shelby ✓	R+64.8	R+50.7	18,021	18,981 (105%)	R+53.0	−2.4
Seneca ✓	R+37.5	R+23.4	17,986	18,789 (104%)	R+19.1	+4.3
Lawrence ✓	R+50.5	R+36.4	17,490	18,034 (103%)	R+28.1	+8.3
Mercer ✓	R+66.7	R+52.6	17,779	18,021 (101%)	R+57.0	−4.4
Logan ✓	R+56.2	R+42.1	16,449	17,791 (108%)	R+40.9	+1.1
Fulton ✓	R+42.4	R+28.2	16,332	17,359 (106%)	R+28.2	+0.1
Madison ✓	R+43.6	R+29.5	14,113	16,256 (115%)	R+27.8	+1.7
Champaign ✓	R+50.7	R+36.6	14,348	15,502 (108%)	R+32.0	+4.7
Clinton ✓	R+54.6	R+40.5	14,077	15,403 (109%)	R+37.7	+2.7
Putnam ✓	R+68.7	R+54.6	14,999	15,397 (103%)	R+59.3	−4.7
Preble ✓	R+59.1	R+45.0	15,689	15,352 (98%)	R+42.7	+2.2
Brown ✓	R+61.5	R+47.3	14,132	14,947 (106%)	R+42.8	+4.5
Crawford ✓	R+52.9	R+38.8	14,803	14,685 (99%)	R+36.0	+2.8
Defiance ✓	R+39.8	R+25.7	13,334	14,521 (109%)	R+24.9	+0.8
Highland ✓	R+63.3	R+49.2	13,110	14,269 (109%)	R+44.0	+5.2
Morrow ✓	R+55.7	R+41.6	13,288	14,108 (106%)	R+39.6	+2.0
Williams ✓	R+48.2	R+34.1	12,874	13,527 (105%)	R+34.4	−0.3
Guernsey ✓	R+52.0	R+37.9	12,183	12,689 (104%)	R+32.4	+5.5
Perry ✓	R+54.5	R+40.4	11,899	12,474 (105%)	R+35.0	+5.4
Coshocton ✓	R+52.2	R+38.1	11,276	11,729 (104%)	R+34.3	+3.7
Henry ✓	R+46.7	R+32.6	10,386	11,157 (107%)	R+32.6	−0.1
Van Wert ✓	R+58.5	R+44.3	10,135	10,511 (104%)	R+44.4	−0.0
Carroll ✓	R+54.7	R+40.6	10,115	10,268 (102%)	R+38.3	+2.3
Wyandot ✓	R+51.2	R+37.1	8,095	9,974 (123%)	R+29.4	+7.6
Jackson ✓	R+58.0	R+43.9	8,884	9,757 (110%)	R+35.9	+8.0
Hocking ✓	R+44.3	R+30.1	9,492	9,710 (102%)	R+24.9	+5.2
Hardin ✓	R+54.6	R+40.5	8,992	9,083 (101%)	R+37.1	+3.4
Fayette ✓	R+55.1	R+41.0	8,389	9,076 (108%)	R+39.6	+1.4
Paulding ✓	R+56.2	R+42.1	6,460	8,931 (138%)	R+38.3	+3.8
Adams ✓	R+65.7	R+51.6	8,743	8,924 (102%)	R+44.6	+7.0
Holmes ✓	R+69.1	R+55.0	8,620	8,890 (103%)	R+57.1	−2.2
Gallia ✓	R+59.4	R+45.2	9,109	8,662 (95%)	R+40.2	+5.0
Pike ✓	R+53.7	R+39.5	7,815	8,525 (109%)	R+31.3	+8.3
Meigs ✓	R+56.9	R+42.8	7,464	7,505 (101%)	R+36.2	+6.6
Harrison ✓	R+55.2	R+41.1	5,172	5,027 (97%)	R+34.3	+6.8
Morgan ✓	R+53.2	R+39.0	4,811	4,831 (100%)	R+35.5	+3.5
Monroe ✓	R+59.7	R+45.6	4,857	4,780 (98%)	R+38.3	+7.3
Noble ✓	R+64.6	R+50.5	4,602	4,483 (97%)	R+46.1	+4.4
Vinton ✓	R+58.6	R+44.4	4,014	3,903 (97%)	R+36.6	+7.8

Texas Senate James Talarico v Ken Paxton · our forecast D+4.0, 70% Democrat · totals only

Counted9,886,768 of ~8,078,178 expected (122%) · 254 of 254 counties

Like-for-like gap6.9 pts better for the Democrat on 9,862,027 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+11.0

Raw (not like for like)D+12.1 counted, D+5.1 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Harris ✓	D+5.5	D+23.0	1,097,892	1,382,875 (126%)	D+33.0	+10.0
Dallas ✓	D+22.1	D+39.6	623,883	783,308 (126%)	D+45.6	+6.0
Tarrant ✓	R+5.1	D+12.3	589,567	728,259 (124%)	D+19.2	+6.9
Bexar ✓	D+9.7	D+27.2	538,522	658,445 (122%)	D+35.5	+8.3
Travis ✓	D+39.1	D+56.6	461,264	548,521 (119%)	D+58.5	+1.9
Collin ✓	R+11.1	D+6.3	364,138	457,413 (126%)	D+12.1	+5.8
Denton ✓	R+13.2	D+4.3	317,007	395,959 (125%)	D+8.4	+4.2
Fort Bend ✓	D+1.6	D+19.0	249,051	331,775 (133%)	D+28.6	+9.6
Williamson ✓	R+2.4	D+15.0	225,064	278,482 (124%)	D+20.3	+5.3
Montgomery ✓	R+45.5	R+28.1	207,554	258,438 (125%)	R+22.2	+5.9
El Paso ✓	D+15.1	D+32.5	164,311	219,956 (134%)	D+48.0	+15.4
Hidalgo ✓	R+2.9	D+14.6	140,343	202,520 (144%)	D+46.5	+31.9
Brazoria ✓	R+19.7	R+2.3	109,618	141,824 (129%)	D+5.4	+7.7
Galveston ✓	R+27.4	R+10.0	110,374	134,555 (122%)	R+5.9	+4.1
Hays ✓	D+5.6	D+23.1	89,376	119,693 (134%)	D+32.1	+9.0
Bell ✓	R+16.2	D+1.2	87,631	110,495 (126%)	D+5.1	+3.9
Lubbock ✓	R+39.6	R+22.1	83,560	104,328 (125%)	R+16.5	+5.6
Cameron ✓	R+5.8	D+11.6	76,574	102,017 (133%)	D+38.5	+26.9
Nueces ✓	R+11.5	D+5.9	88,881	99,851 (112%)	D+11.2	+5.3
Comal ✓	R+45.6	R+28.1	74,602	89,221 (120%)	R+29.3	−1.1
Smith ✓	R+45.0	R+27.6	76,067	88,960 (117%)	R+24.6	+3.0
Ellis ✓	R+31.0	R+13.6	67,630	88,524 (131%)	R+4.4	+9.1
McLennan ✓	R+30.9	R+13.5	72,406	83,056 (115%)	R+8.5	+4.9
Brazos ✓	R+24.9	R+7.4	59,810	79,867 (134%)	D+6.0	+13.4
Parker ✓	R+66.5	R+49.0	63,355	76,140 (120%)	R+50.9	−1.8
Jefferson ✓	R+8.9	D+8.6	62,174	72,750 (117%)	D+13.2	+4.7
Guadalupe ✓	R+29.5	R+12.0	57,027	70,924 (124%)	R+5.8	+6.2
Johnson ✓	R+51.4	R+33.9	55,757	69,924 (125%)	R+27.2	+6.8
Kaufman ✓	R+27.8	R+10.4	42,702	62,251 (146%)	D+1.3	+11.7
Webb ✓	R+2.1	D+15.3	43,936	58,349 (133%)	D+47.3	+32.0
Grayson ✓	R+54.2	R+36.8	44,926	53,782 (120%)	R+37.4	−0.6
Rockwall ✓	R+40.8	R+23.3	42,790	53,505 (125%)	R+22.5	+0.9
Randall ✓	R+60.4	R+43.0	47,934	53,195 (111%)	R+41.1	+1.9
Midland ✓	R+60.4	R+43.0	39,957	44,039 (110%)	R+37.5	+5.5
Taylor ✓	R+49.8	R+32.4	39,292	42,673 (109%)	R+31.1	+1.3
Gregg ✓	R+42.3	R+24.9	33,139	38,041 (115%)	R+20.1	+4.7
Hunt ✓	R+55.6	R+38.1	30,484	37,502 (123%)	R+33.9	+4.3
Bastrop ✓	R+18.3	R+0.9	29,123	36,976 (127%)	D+10.9	+11.8
Tom Green ✓	R+48.1	R+30.6	31,742	36,169 (114%)	R+26.9	+3.7
Wichita ✓	R+44.0	R+26.6	31,518	34,327 (109%)	R+24.2	+2.4
Henderson ✓	R+63.5	R+46.0	27,966	31,073 (111%)	R+46.1	−0.1
Wise ✓	R+70.1	R+52.7	25,769	30,972 (120%)	R+52.3	+0.4
Hood ✓	R+66.1	R+48.7	27,196	30,225 (111%)	R+52.4	−3.7
Ector ✓	R+52.9	R+35.4	25,374	29,474 (116%)	R+18.9	+16.5
Victoria ✓	R+42.6	R+25.2	25,176	28,167 (112%)	R+23.1	+2.1
Bowie ✓	R+48.7	R+31.2	26,496	27,696 (105%)	R+32.1	−0.9
Angelina ✓	R+52.0	R+34.6	24,509	27,286 (111%)	R+30.4	+4.2
Orange ✓	R+66.7	R+49.3	25,060	26,299 (105%)	R+49.9	−0.6
Kendall ✓	R+55.8	R+38.3	22,460	26,064 (116%)	R+43.2	−4.8
Potter ✓	R+44.5	R+27.0	21,719	25,673 (118%)	R+19.1	+8.0
Liberty ✓	R+61.7	R+44.2	19,734	25,449 (129%)	R+28.1	+16.2
Burnet ✓	R+55.8	R+38.4	21,068	24,246 (115%)	R+38.9	−0.6
Harrison ✓	R+50.6	R+33.2	21,303	24,043 (113%)	R+34.7	−1.5
Waller ✓	R+25.1	R+7.6	16,664	23,751 (143%)	R+1.8	+5.8
Kerr ✓	R+54.4	R+37.0	22,427	23,426 (104%)	R+37.3	−0.3
Van Zandt ✓	R+74.9	R+57.5	20,533	22,153 (108%)	R+60.9	−3.5
Wilson ✓	R+53.7	R+36.3	19,415	21,988 (113%)	R+35.6	+0.7
Walker ✓	R+40.0	R+22.6	17,342	21,628 (125%)	R+19.1	+3.5
Nacogdoches ✓	R+38.8	R+21.4	18,926	21,488 (114%)	R+13.2	+8.2
Medina ✓	R+42.8	R+25.3	17,312	21,237 (123%)	R+21.8	+3.5
Hardin ✓	R+75.9	R+58.5	19,594	20,922 (107%)	R+61.5	−3.0
San Patricio ✓	R+36.5	R+19.0	17,818	20,107 (113%)	R+12.7	+6.3
Wood ✓	R+69.8	R+52.4	18,150	19,754 (109%)	R+59.0	−6.6
Chambers ✓	R+65.7	R+48.3	15,682	19,453 (124%)	R+45.9	+2.4
Coryell ✓	R+40.7	R+23.2	16,312	18,846 (116%)	R+19.3	+4.0
Polk ✓	R+59.0	R+41.6	16,743	17,493 (104%)	R+45.9	−4.3
Rusk ✓	R+59.4	R+42.0	15,572	17,346 (111%)	R+40.3	+1.7
Cooke ✓	R+66.9	R+49.5	15,293	17,142 (112%)	R+49.3	+0.2
Cherokee ✓	R+62.8	R+45.3	14,444	16,601 (115%)	R+43.8	+1.5
Lamar ✓	R+61.0	R+43.6	15,344	16,419 (107%)	R+45.6	−2.0
Navarro ✓	R+51.8	R+34.4	14,099	16,100 (114%)	R+29.1	+5.3
Upshur ✓	R+71.1	R+53.7	14,254	15,492 (109%)	R+56.0	−2.3
Washington ✓	R+54.6	R+37.2	13,949	15,480 (111%)	R+41.4	−4.2
Anderson ✓	R+61.8	R+44.4	14,415	15,257 (106%)	R+45.5	−1.2
Caldwell ✓	R+14.4	D+3.0	11,288	14,781 (131%)	D+15.7	+12.6
Gillespie ✓	R+61.0	R+43.5	13,366	14,579 (109%)	R+47.1	−3.5
Atascosa ✓	R+43.3	R+25.9	12,634	14,529 (115%)	R+14.9	+11.0
Erath ✓	R+67.9	R+50.5	13,077	14,107 (108%)	R+45.9	+4.6
Hopkins ✓	R+64.7	R+47.3	12,324	13,282 (108%)	R+45.5	+1.7
Hill ✓	R+64.4	R+47.0	11,361	13,142 (116%)	R+46.2	+0.8
Starr ✓	R+16.0	D+1.4	10,986	13,082 (119%)	D+55.8	+54.4
Fannin ✓	R+67.4	R+50.0	11,597	12,976 (112%)	R+51.7	−1.7
Brown ✓	R+74.0	R+56.6	12,254	12,946 (106%)	R+60.8	−4.2
Austin ✓	R+62.6	R+45.2	11,195	12,819 (115%)	R+46.1	−0.9
Wharton ✓	R+51.9	R+34.4	12,129	12,587 (104%)	R+34.7	−0.3
Maverick ✓	R+18.5	R+1.1	9,483	12,551 (132%)	D+41.1	+42.2
Jasper ✓	R+66.6	R+49.2	11,370	11,981 (105%)	R+51.5	−2.3
Grimes ✓	R+60.3	R+42.9	9,413	11,718 (124%)	R+43.8	−0.9
Llano ✓	R+60.9	R+43.5	11,021	11,665 (106%)	R+49.8	−6.3
Val Verde ✓	R+26.6	R+9.2	9,417	11,641 (124%)	D+12.2	+21.4
Fayette ✓	R+61.3	R+43.9	10,486	11,183 (107%)	R+45.1	−1.2
Matagorda ✓	R+50.6	R+33.2	9,695	10,928 (113%)	R+29.4	+3.8
Cass ✓	R+65.8	R+48.3	9,951	10,836 (109%)	R+55.6	−7.3
Jim Wells ✓	R+15.5	D+1.9	9,496	10,664 (112%)	D+15.4	+13.5
Aransas ✓	R+55.8	R+38.4	9,608	10,596 (110%)	R+42.6	−4.3
San Jacinto ✓	R+65.4	R+47.9	9,522	10,407 (109%)	R+49.9	−1.9
Palo Pinto ✓	R+67.2	R+49.8	9,467	10,377 (110%)	R+48.4	+1.3
Bandera ✓	R+61.9	R+44.5	10,456	10,234 (98%)	R+51.5	−7.0
Lampasas ✓	R+59.5	R+42.1	8,214	9,161 (112%)	R+43.8	−1.7
Titus ✓	R+54.7	R+37.3	7,308	8,735 (120%)	R+24.8	+12.5
Montague ✓	R+77.8	R+60.3	7,840	8,637 (110%)	R+66.7	−6.3
Milam ✓	R+57.4	R+40.0	8,340	8,608 (103%)	R+40.0	−0.0
Lavaca ✓	R+76.1	R+58.7	8,195	8,583 (105%)	R+65.6	−6.9
Panola ✓	R+66.5	R+49.1	8,298	8,560 (103%)	R+52.7	−3.6
Colorado ✓	R+57.2	R+39.7	7,533	8,353 (111%)	R+43.3	−3.6
Uvalde ✓	R+33.4	R+16.0	7,908	8,348 (106%)	R+2.4	+13.6
Kleberg ✓	R+12.7	D+4.8	7,592	8,159 (107%)	D+14.9	+10.2
Burleson ✓	R+62.9	R+45.5	6,702	7,799 (116%)	R+48.2	−2.7
Bosque ✓	R+67.3	R+49.9	7,443	7,720 (104%)	R+52.5	−2.6
Blanco ✓	R+52.4	R+35.0	6,757	7,557 (112%)	R+41.7	−6.7
Hale ✓	R+58.0	R+40.6	6,316	7,536 (119%)	R+29.7	+10.9
Shelby ✓	R+64.7	R+47.2	6,923	7,489 (108%)	R+47.4	−0.2
Houston ✓	R+55.4	R+37.9	7,172	7,447 (104%)	R+45.7	−7.8
Freestone ✓	R+66.4	R+49.0	6,647	7,307 (110%)	R+50.6	−1.5
Limestone ✓	R+56.8	R+39.4	6,822	7,245 (106%)	R+36.5	+2.9
Tyler ✓	R+73.5	R+56.1	7,228	7,210 (100%)	R+61.9	−5.8
Bee ✓	R+39.9	R+22.5	6,380	7,153 (112%)	R+13.6	+8.9
Howard ✓	R+62.9	R+45.4	6,530	7,052 (108%)	R+40.3	+5.1
Leon ✓	R+76.8	R+59.4	6,837	7,051 (103%)	R+64.7	−5.3
Robertson ✓	R+52.1	R+34.7	5,998	6,973 (116%)	R+32.5	+2.1
Lee ✓	R+60.4	R+43.0	6,266	6,921 (110%)	R+42.5	+0.5
Gonzales ✓	R+54.8	R+37.4	5,539	6,689 (121%)	R+31.0	+6.4
Young ✓	R+76.3	R+58.9	6,184	6,560 (106%)	R+59.9	−1.0
Hockley ✓	R+66.4	R+48.9	5,520	6,440 (117%)	R+45.9	+3.0
Eastland ✓	R+77.7	R+60.3	6,143	6,320 (103%)	R+63.4	−3.1
Calhoun ✓	R+52.2	R+34.8	5,574	6,319 (113%)	R+31.8	+3.0
Dewitt ✓	R+67.1	R+49.7	6,052	6,246 (103%)	R+54.0	−4.3
Hutchinson ✓	R+77.3	R+59.8	6,053	6,061 (100%)	R+60.2	−0.3
Trinity ✓	R+67.1	R+49.7	5,332	5,754 (108%)	R+53.3	−3.6
Gray ✓	R+77.2	R+59.8	5,539	5,498 (99%)	R+57.8	+2.0
Callahan ✓	R+77.7	R+60.2	5,251	5,382 (102%)	R+64.3	−4.1
Jones ✓	R+73.1	R+55.7	4,983	5,224 (105%)	R+56.0	−0.4
Comanche ✓	R+74.1	R+56.7	4,820	5,146 (107%)	R+57.8	−1.1
Rains ✓	R+73.0	R+55.6	4,976	5,080 (102%)	R+61.6	−6.0
Jackson ✓	R+70.8	R+53.4	4,590	4,996 (109%)	R+54.3	−0.9
Falls ✓	R+44.8	R+27.4	4,694	4,925 (105%)	R+28.5	−1.2
Gaines ✓	R+82.8	R+65.3	4,105	4,786 (117%)	R+63.4	+1.9
Willacy ✓	R+3.3	D+14.1	3,826	4,645 (121%)	D+35.0	+20.9
Clay ✓	R+79.6	R+62.2	4,481	4,633 (103%)	R+67.9	−5.7
Somervell ✓	R+70.6	R+53.1	4,032	4,302 (107%)	R+57.4	−4.2
Madison ✓	R+64.5	R+47.0	3,903	4,288 (110%)	R+47.3	−0.3
Camp ✓	R+53.6	R+36.1	3,973	4,278 (108%)	R+34.5	+1.7
Newton ✓	R+66.7	R+49.2	4,365	4,270 (98%)	R+54.8	−5.6
Sabine ✓	R+78.6	R+61.2	4,161	4,262 (102%)	R+69.2	−8.0
Red River ✓	R+61.8	R+44.4	4,266	4,250 (100%)	R+48.3	−3.9
Franklin ✓	R+69.0	R+51.6	3,910	4,240 (108%)	R+55.1	−3.6
Morris ✓	R+51.1	R+33.7	3,984	4,202 (105%)	R+37.5	−3.8
Scurry ✓	R+73.6	R+56.2	4,116	4,168 (101%)	R+58.4	−2.3
Andrews ✓	R+72.7	R+55.3	3,810	4,145 (109%)	R+43.6	+11.7
Moore ✓	R+67.2	R+49.8	3,589	4,111 (115%)	R+30.6	+19.1
Karnes ✓	R+58.2	R+40.8	3,808	4,029 (106%)	R+38.1	+2.7
Archer ✓	R+79.5	R+62.0	3,845	3,996 (104%)	R+69.2	−7.2
Live Oak ✓	R+69.7	R+52.3	3,993	3,855 (97%)	R+57.4	−5.1
Marion ✓	R+52.6	R+35.2	3,292	3,826 (116%)	R+41.4	−6.3
Brewster ✓	R+12.6	D+4.8	3,745	3,808 (102%)	D+11.3	+6.5
Frio ✓	R+24.6	R+7.1	3,694	3,798 (103%)	D+11.3	+18.4
Nolan ✓	R+59.2	R+41.8	3,783	3,716 (98%)	R+39.5	+2.3
Hamilton ✓	R+71.2	R+53.7	3,471	3,561 (103%)	R+58.5	−4.8
Deaf Smith ✓	R+51.7	R+34.3	2,931	3,523 (120%)	R+15.0	+19.3
Jack ✓	R+82.4	R+65.0	2,990	3,392 (113%)	R+68.8	−3.8
Wilbarger ✓	R+60.7	R+43.2	3,144	3,385 (108%)	R+44.4	−1.2
Goliad ✓	R+60.2	R+42.8	3,357	3,350 (100%)	R+47.0	−4.2
Pecos	R+44.9	R+27.5	3,645	3,339 (92%)	R+9.1	+18.4 *
Duval	R+10.0	D+7.5	3,637	3,280 (90%)	D+36.7	+29.3 *
Lamb ✓	R+64.4	R+47.0	3,069	3,279 (107%)	R+44.7	+2.3
Zapata ✓	R+22.5	R+5.0	3,421	3,253 (95%)	D+40.7	+45.8
Coleman ✓	R+79.0	R+61.6	3,230	3,232 (100%)	R+69.1	−7.6
Runnels ✓	R+77.2	R+59.8	3,230	3,169 (98%)	R+63.0	−3.2
Reeves ✓	R+36.9	R+19.5	2,158	3,099 (144%)	D+7.7	+27.2
Zavala ✓	D+14.5	D+31.9	2,426	3,078 (127%)	D+50.6	+18.7
San Augustine ✓	R+56.3	R+38.9	2,861	3,077 (108%)	R+40.2	−1.3
Stephens ✓	R+79.3	R+61.9	2,745	2,784 (101%)	R+63.9	−2.0
Dimmit	D+3.0	D+20.4	2,855	2,688 (94%)	D+39.1	+18.7 *
McCulloch ✓	R+73.5	R+56.1	2,556	2,664 (104%)	R+61.2	−5.2
Terry ✓	R+65.1	R+47.7	2,571	2,616 (102%)	R+43.3	+4.4
Dawson ✓	R+61.1	R+43.7	2,507	2,572 (103%)	R+44.6	−0.9
Ward ✓	R+66.2	R+48.7	2,510	2,554 (102%)	R+42.1	+6.7
Refugio ✓	R+39.6	R+22.1	2,310	2,404 (104%)	R+24.5	−2.4
Carson ✓	R+81.2	R+63.8	2,391	2,379 (99%)	R+67.0	−3.2
Ochiltree ✓	R+81.6	R+64.2	2,121	2,328 (110%)	R+53.6	+10.6
San Saba ✓	R+78.9	R+61.5	2,163	2,186 (101%)	R+64.3	−2.8
Mason ✓	R+65.0	R+47.6	2,057	2,158 (105%)	R+52.2	−4.6
Mills ✓	R+77.0	R+59.6	2,115	2,128 (101%)	R+65.5	−5.9
Lynn ✓	R+70.4	R+53.0	1,717	2,122 (124%)	R+55.7	−2.7
Delta ✓	R+69.8	R+52.4	2,020	2,001 (99%)	R+55.2	−2.8
Parmer ✓	R+70.2	R+52.7	1,758	1,975 (112%)	R+45.4	+7.3
Kimble ✓	R+77.7	R+60.2	1,870	1,971 (105%)	R+63.3	−3.0
Presidio ✓	D+30.3	D+47.7	1,708	1,878 (110%)	D+54.8	+7.2
Mitchell ✓	R+71.4	R+54.0	1,776	1,861 (105%)	R+60.2	−6.3
La Salle ✓	R+20.5	R+3.1	1,428	1,858 (130%)	D+16.8	+20.0
Brooks	D+9.6	D+27.1	1,998	1,813 (91%)	D+40.5	+13.4 *
Yoakum ✓	R+70.9	R+53.5	1,631	1,774 (109%)	R+37.8	+15.7
Swisher ✓	R+63.4	R+46.0	1,656	1,714 (104%)	R+44.5	+1.5
Wheeler ✓	R+84.7	R+67.3	1,685	1,690 (100%)	R+72.4	−5.1
Childress ✓	R+76.1	R+58.7	1,744	1,685 (97%)	R+61.8	−3.2
Floyd ✓	R+65.0	R+47.6	1,464	1,628 (111%)	R+41.0	+6.6
Haskell ✓	R+71.6	R+54.1	1,665	1,623 (97%)	R+58.2	−4.1
Castro ✓	R+58.2	R+40.8	1,482	1,542 (104%)	R+40.2	+0.6
Hartley ✓	R+83.5	R+66.0	1,571	1,530 (97%)	R+68.2	−2.1
Hansford ✓	R+85.0	R+67.5	1,517	1,509 (99%)	R+64.2	+3.3
Real ✓	R+66.9	R+49.5	1,564	1,505 (96%)	R+56.5	−7.0
Crosby ✓	R+51.4	R+34.0	1,251	1,490 (119%)	R+27.6	+6.4
Martin ✓	R+75.8	R+58.3	1,502	1,478 (98%)	R+58.9	−0.6
Bailey ✓	R+61.2	R+43.7	1,327	1,416 (107%)	R+34.7	+9.1
Fisher ✓	R+63.2	R+45.8	1,396	1,406 (101%)	R+51.1	−5.4
Coke ✓	R+79.7	R+62.3	1,385	1,354 (98%)	R+67.2	−4.9
Jim Hogg	D+8.3	D+25.7	1,532	1,351 (88%)	D+50.4	+24.7 *
Winkler ✓	R+70.6	R+53.2	1,317	1,339 (102%)	R+39.2	+14.0
Shackelford ✓	R+82.2	R+64.8	1,237	1,279 (103%)	R+74.0	−9.2
Donley ✓	R+78.2	R+60.8	1,188	1,265 (106%)	R+66.4	−5.6
Hemphill	R+75.8	R+58.4	1,356	1,244 (92%)	R+56.2	+2.2 *
Kinney ✓	R+50.5	R+33.1	1,183	1,229 (104%)	R+28.7	+4.3
Baylor	R+77.0	R+59.6	1,305	1,204 (92%)	R+65.7	−6.1 *
Garza ✓	R+72.6	R+55.1	1,199	1,160 (97%)	R+56.2	−1.1
Sutton	R+67.1	R+49.7	1,156	1,092 (94%)	R+47.6	+2.1 *
Dallam ✓	R+78.4	R+61.0	1,045	1,021 (98%)	R+50.0	+10.9
Jeff Davis ✓	R+21.3	R+3.9	1,046	1,011 (97%)	R+4.8	−0.9
Crane	R+72.7	R+55.3	1,141	1,009 (88%)	R+40.3	+14.9 *
Knox ✓	R+68.6	R+51.1	1,034	1,007 (97%)	R+49.9	+1.3
Concho ✓	R+74.0	R+56.6	939	993 (106%)	R+58.0	−1.4
Crockett	R+53.9	R+36.5	1,259	988 (78%)	R+29.3	+7.2 *
Hardeman ✓	R+72.8	R+55.4	983	974 (99%)	R+58.3	−2.9
Collingsworth ✓	R+77.6	R+60.2	925	950 (103%)	R+66.6	−6.4
Lipscomb ✓	R+79.7	R+62.3	975	933 (96%)	R+67.5	−5.2
Schleicher	R+64.6	R+47.1	1,001	915 (91%)	R+44.9	+2.2 *
Culberson ✓	R+16.9	D+0.5	725	867 (120%)	D+22.1	+21.6
Armstrong ✓	R+85.6	R+68.2	900	862 (96%)	R+75.6	−7.5
Upton	R+77.1	R+59.7	1,042	859 (82%)	R+54.4	+5.3 *
Hall	R+73.4	R+56.0	876	826 (94%)	R+61.0	−5.0 *
Edwards ✓	R+73.3	R+55.9	814	805 (99%)	R+56.0	−0.1
Hudspeth	R+46.1	R+28.7	860	801 (93%)	R+15.0	+13.7 *
Menard ✓	R+66.5	R+49.1	774	784 (101%)	R+49.9	−0.8
Dickens	R+70.4	R+52.9	790	748 (95%)	R+58.7	−5.8 *
Oldham ✓	R+84.4	R+67.0	767	744 (97%)	R+71.4	−4.4
Sherman ✓	R+83.3	R+65.8	707	704 (100%)	R+62.5	+3.3
Reagan ✓	R+69.5	R+52.1	710	701 (99%)	R+38.4	+13.7
Cochran ✓	R+65.8	R+48.4	614	694 (113%)	R+36.0	+12.4
Irion	R+75.7	R+58.2	695	643 (93%)	R+66.6	−8.3 *
Throckmorton	R+83.4	R+66.0	667	618 (93%)	R+69.9	−3.9 *
Briscoe ✓	R+79.8	R+62.4	590	592 (100%)	R+70.1	−7.7
Glasscock ✓	R+88.4	R+70.9	571	557 (98%)	R+78.8	−7.9
Cottle ✓	R+72.6	R+55.1	514	535 (104%)	R+60.4	−5.2
Motley ✓	R+88.9	R+71.5	505	516 (102%)	R+80.6	−9.1
Stonewall	R+69.5	R+52.1	564	510 (90%)	R+61.2	−9.1 *
Roberts ✓	R+92.3	R+74.9	443	453 (102%)	R+84.8	−9.9
Sterling ✓	R+86.0	R+68.6	446	449 (101%)	R+67.9	+0.6
Foard	R+65.4	R+48.0	527	407 (77%)	R+53.1	−5.1 *
McMullen ✓	R+84.6	R+67.1	372	371 (100%)	R+72.2	−5.1
Kent ✓	R+76.4	R+59.0	348	368 (106%)	R+63.3	−4.3
Terrell	R+55.2	R+37.8	426	339 (80%)	R+38.9	−1.2 *
Borden ✓	R+91.7	R+74.3	317	306 (97%)	R+83.3	−9.1
Kenedy ✓	R+46.8	R+29.4	152	159 (105%)	R+11.9	+17.5
King ✓	R+91.1	R+73.7	103	116 (113%)	R+84.5	−10.8
Loving	R+78.4	R+60.9	77	67 (87%)	R+61.2	−0.3 *

Alaska Senate Mary Peltola v Dan S. Sullivan · our forecast D+3.2, 71% Democrat · totals only

Counted213,604 of ~243,484 expected (88%) · 40 of 40 counties

Like-for-like gap4.0 pts better for the Democrat on 29,790 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+7.2

Raw (not like for like)R+1.4 counted, D+3.1 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
House District 6	R+16.8	D+0.2	8,623	7,858 (91%)	R+5.0	−5.2 *
House District 9	D+2.3	D+19.4	8,587	7,562 (88%)	D+1.7	−17.6 *
House District 25 ✓	R+37.0	R+20.0	7,560	7,505 (99%)	R+23.4	−3.4
House District 8	R+51.1	R+34.0	7,908	7,030 (89%)	R+45.4	−11.4 *
House District 35 ✓	D+5.3	D+22.3	6,972	6,916 (99%)	D+17.8	−4.5
House District 23	R+19.4	R+2.4	7,676	6,821 (89%)	R+9.6	−7.2 *
House District 24	R+33.4	R+16.4	7,299	6,677 (91%)	R+24.1	−7.6 *
House District 29	R+46.5	R+29.5	7,607	6,651 (87%)	R+37.0	−7.5 *
House District 26 ✓	R+56.0	R+39.0	6,879	6,595 (96%)	R+43.7	−4.7
House District 34	R+21.6	R+4.6	7,208	6,552 (91%)	R+6.6	−1.9 *
House District 7	R+45.9	R+28.9	6,979	6,468 (93%)	R+32.2	−3.3 *
House District 11	R+2.4	D+14.6	7,135	6,272 (88%)	R+3.4	−18.0 *
House District 16	D+15.3	D+32.3	6,967	6,259 (90%)	D+21.5	−10.7 *
House District 3	D+15.4	D+32.4	7,983	6,221 (78%)	D+25.2	−7.1 *
House District 28	R+50.4	R+33.4	6,706	6,208 (93%)	R+38.3	−4.9 *
House District 21	D+8.4	D+25.4	6,532	6,174 (95%)	D+17.2	−8.2 *
House District 15	R+2.6	D+14.4	6,730	6,169 (92%)	D+3.2	−11.2 *
House District 36	R+22.8	R+5.8	6,890	5,960 (87%)	R+2.7	+3.2 *
House District 33	R+52.9	R+35.9	6,434	5,941 (92%)	R+40.1	−4.2 *
House District 10	R+3.4	D+13.6	6,331	5,801 (92%)	D+4.0	−9.6 *
House District 27	R+57.9	R+40.9	6,455	5,750 (89%)	R+43.9	−3.0 *
House District 4	D+39.2	D+56.2	6,650	5,745 (86%)	D+52.8	−3.4 *
House District 30	R+46.1	R+29.0	7,522	5,528 (73%)	R+41.8	−12.8 *
House District 12	D+1.3	D+18.3	6,181	5,263 (85%)	D+8.9	−9.5 *
House District 17	D+34.9	D+51.9	5,557	5,018 (90%)	D+46.7	−5.2 *
House District 13	D+1.3	D+18.3	5,462	4,691 (86%)	D+15.3	−3.0 *
House District 1	R+18.2	R+1.2	6,181	4,654 (75%)	R+10.4	−9.2 *
House District 20	D+12.7	D+29.7	5,233	4,554 (87%)	D+24.5	−5.2 *
House District 31	R+3.5	D+13.5	5,045	4,546 (90%)	D+12.4	−1.1 *
House District 14	D+22.2	D+39.2	5,345	4,526 (85%)	D+31.1	−8.1 *
House District 2	D+0.4	D+17.4	6,840	4,372 (64%)	D+14.1	−3.3 *
House District 5	R+13.3	D+3.7	5,769	3,966 (69%)	D+2.4	−1.3 *
House District 22	D+1.3	D+18.3	3,947	3,572 (90%)	D+21.6	+3.4 *
House District 39 ✓	D+12.7	D+29.7	2,907	3,496 (120%)	D+50.8	+21.1
House District 19	D+17.8	D+34.8	3,603	3,309 (92%)	D+37.5	+2.7 *
House District 32	R+33.0	R+16.0	4,226	3,137 (74%)	R+12.0	+4.1 *
House District 37	R+7.0	D+10.1	3,102	2,935 (95%)	D+23.3	+13.2 *
House District 38 ✓	D+13.1	D+30.1	2,694	2,792 (104%)	D+58.7	+28.6
House District 40 ✓	R+10.7	D+6.3	2,291	2,486 (108%)	D+27.6	+21.2
House District 18	R+16.4	D+0.6	3,466	1,624 (47%)	D+17.3	+16.7 *

Louisiana Senate Jamie Davis v Julia Letlow · our forecast R+4.4, 75% Republican · totals only

Counted1,466,069 of ~1,383,290 expected (106%) · 64 of 64 counties

Like-for-like gap0.9 pts better for the Democrat on 1,359,276 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+3.5

Raw (not like for like)R+1.8 counted, R+2.8 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
East Baton Rouge ✓	D+13.9	D+30.7	137,079	152,163 (111%)	D+28.7	−2.0
Orleans ✓	D+61.6	D+78.4	111,117	131,987 (119%)	D+77.2	−1.2
Jefferson ✓	R+17.1	R+0.4	118,183	130,861 (111%)	D+7.4	+7.8
St. Tammany ✓	R+45.7	R+29.0	94,655	101,613 (107%)	R+25.9	+3.1
Lafayette ✓	R+28.7	R+12.0	72,444	79,454 (110%)	R+10.3	+1.6
Caddo ✓	D+6.8	D+23.6	66,349	71,509 (108%)	D+17.9	−5.6
Calcasieu ✓	R+36.9	R+20.2	53,673	55,921 (104%)	R+18.7	+1.5
Ouachita ✓	R+22.4	R+5.7	42,920	46,242 (108%)	R+10.1	−4.4
Livingston ✓	R+69.0	R+52.2	42,271	43,528 (103%)	R+45.1	+7.1
Ascension ✓	R+33.1	R+16.3	40,776	42,945 (105%)	R+8.9	+7.4
Tangipahoa ✓	R+36.3	R+19.6	35,489	39,531 (111%)	R+17.6	+2.0
Rapides ✓	R+40.3	R+23.5	39,079	37,494 (96%)	R+16.3	+7.2
Bossier ✓	R+38.8	R+22.1	32,181	35,805 (111%)	R+29.4	−7.3
Lafourche	R+60.0	R+43.2	30,177	28,534 (95%)	R+41.0	+2.2 *
Terrebonne ✓	R+50.3	R+33.6	27,366	28,417 (104%)	R+34.1	−0.5
St. Landry ✓	R+21.8	R+5.1	26,942	26,435 (98%)	D+3.1	+8.2
Iberia ✓	R+31.4	R+14.6	19,632	19,322 (98%)	R+15.5	−0.9
St. Charles ✓	R+31.8	R+15.1	18,016	18,661 (104%)	R+10.2	+4.9
Acadia	R+63.4	R+46.7	19,647	18,050 (92%)	R+47.9	−1.2 *
Vermilion ✓	R+63.3	R+46.5	17,953	17,365 (97%)	R+44.0	+2.6
St. Martin ✓	R+32.3	R+15.6	17,144	17,081 (100%)	R+21.9	−6.3
St. Mary ✓	R+26.8	R+10.0	14,461	14,875 (103%)	R+13.3	−3.3
St. John the Baptist ✓	D+27.1	D+43.8	11,643	14,206 (122%)	D+47.0	+3.2
Lincoln ✓	R+26.5	R+9.8	12,583	13,739 (109%)	R+12.1	−2.4
Washington ✓	R+39.7	R+23.0	13,171	13,044 (99%)	R+19.1	+3.9
Avoyelles ✓	R+45.3	R+28.5	11,422	12,247 (107%)	R+25.0	+3.5
Iberville ✓	D+5.7	D+22.5	12,154	12,140 (100%)	D+17.9	−4.5
Webster ✓	R+35.6	R+18.9	11,990	11,859 (99%)	R+21.6	−2.7
St. Bernard ✓	R+27.9	R+11.2	10,739	11,508 (107%)	D+0.1	+11.3
Natchitoches ✓	R+25.3	R+8.5	10,294	11,234 (109%)	R+3.1	+5.4
Vernon ✓	R+74.4	R+57.7	11,239	11,022 (98%)	R+52.2	+5.5
Jefferson Davis ✓	R+61.7	R+44.9	10,109	10,362 (103%)	R+39.9	+5.0
Evangeline	R+48.8	R+32.0	11,116	10,298 (93%)	R+21.2	+10.8 *
Beauregard	R+78.9	R+62.1	10,830	10,246 (95%)	R+55.9	+6.2 *
West Baton Rouge ✓	R+3.7	D+13.1	10,104	10,030 (99%)	D+10.5	−2.6
De Soto ✓	R+31.6	R+14.8	9,247	9,916 (107%)	R+17.6	−2.7
St. James ✓	D+8.9	D+25.6	8,838	9,286 (105%)	D+14.1	−11.5
Pointe Coupee	R+30.4	R+13.7	9,631	8,347 (87%)	R+6.2	+7.5 *
Plaquemines ✓	R+24.9	R+8.2	7,869	7,801 (99%)	R+18.3	−10.2
Sabine ✓	R+67.8	R+51.0	7,488	7,776 (104%)	R+54.5	−3.4
Union ✓	R+55.0	R+38.3	7,680	7,444 (97%)	R+45.0	−6.7
East Feliciana ✓	R+24.7	R+7.9	7,430	7,385 (99%)	R+8.3	−0.3
Assumption	R+41.1	R+24.3	7,655	7,075 (92%)	R+11.5	+12.8 *
Morehouse ✓	R+6.4	D+10.3	7,189	6,982 (97%)	R+1.4	−11.7
Allen ✓	R+63.5	R+46.7	6,386	6,537 (102%)	R+38.0	+8.7
Grant ✓	R+81.0	R+64.3	6,350	6,418 (101%)	R+61.3	+3.0
Richland	R+32.3	R+15.6	6,719	6,137 (91%)	R+18.2	−2.6 *
Franklin	R+36.1	R+19.3	6,149	5,771 (94%)	R+26.8	−7.5 *
Concordia ✓	R+17.7	R+0.9	5,947	5,755 (97%)	R+5.5	−4.5
Jackson ✓	R+44.1	R+27.3	5,670	5,588 (99%)	R+28.8	−1.5
Bienville ✓	R+24.9	R+8.1	4,769	4,990 (105%)	D+2.9	+11.0
Claiborne ✓	R+12.9	D+3.8	4,425	4,712 (106%)	R+10.5	−14.3
West Feliciana ✓	R+28.4	R+11.6	4,277	4,709 (110%)	R+20.2	−8.6
St. Helena ✓	D+1.1	D+17.8	4,170	4,564 (109%)	D+16.8	−1.0
La Salle	R+82.7	R+65.9	4,983	4,395 (88%)	R+68.1	−2.1 *
Winn ✓	R+47.2	R+30.5	3,998	4,167 (104%)	R+38.8	−8.3
Catahoula	R+43.1	R+26.4	3,568	3,165 (89%)	R+22.9	+3.5 *
Caldwell ✓	R+70.0	R+53.3	3,219	3,139 (98%)	R+56.7	−3.4
Madison ✓	D+7.4	D+24.2	2,726	3,050 (112%)	D+19.5	−4.7
West Carroll	R+66.1	R+49.3	3,389	2,818 (83%)	R+59.1	−9.8 *
Red River ✓	R+29.4	R+12.7	2,488	2,566 (103%)	R+3.4	+9.3
East Carroll ✓	D+30.6	D+47.4	1,983	2,084 (105%)	D+27.9	−19.4
Cameron	R+88.1	R+71.3	2,447	1,957 (80%)	R+72.0	−0.7 *
Tensas ✓	D+6.0	D+22.8	1,652	1,807 (109%)	D+22.3	−0.5

Ohio governor Amy Acton v Vivek Ramaswamy · our forecast D+4.6, 77% Democrat · count split by method

Counted4,595,782 of ~4,138,378 expected (111%) · 88 of 88 counties

Like-for-like gap2.3 pts better for the Democrat on 4,565,435 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+6.8

Raw (not like for like)D+7.9 counted, D+5.7 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Franklin ✓	D+28.4	D+44.0	425,246	505,844 (119%)	D+45.9	+1.9
Cuyahoga ✓	D+31.5	D+47.1	409,773	475,835 (116%)	D+46.9	−0.2
Hamilton ✓	D+14.9	D+30.5	303,600	342,523 (113%)	D+28.6	−1.9
Summit ✓	D+7.0	D+22.6	199,835	225,392 (113%)	D+25.8	+3.2
Montgomery ✓	D+0.5	D+16.1	186,826	202,332 (108%)	D+18.0	+1.9
Lucas ✓	D+12.5	D+28.2	132,730	152,512 (115%)	D+29.3	+1.1
Butler ✓	R+26.3	R+10.6	128,249	146,636 (114%)	R+7.7	+2.9
Stark ✓	R+21.9	R+6.3	133,502	144,606 (108%)	R+2.0	+4.3
Lorain ✓	R+5.7	D+9.9	111,679	129,692 (116%)	D+14.0	+4.1
Delaware ✓	R+6.6	D+9.0	98,858	117,101 (118%)	D+8.3	−0.8
Warren ✓	R+31.5	R+15.9	101,415	112,794 (111%)	R+15.5	+0.4
Lake ✓	R+14.3	D+1.3	94,219	105,775 (112%)	D+5.1	+3.8
Clermont ✓	R+35.8	R+20.2	80,041	89,360 (112%)	R+17.7	+2.4
Mahoning ✓	R+9.4	D+6.2	85,818	88,421 (103%)	D+11.8	+5.6
Medina ✓	R+24.8	R+9.2	77,939	85,394 (110%)	R+6.2	+3.0
Trumbull ✓	R+16.8	R+1.2	72,972	74,012 (101%)	D+7.1	+8.3
Licking ✓	R+30.0	R+14.4	66,340	73,973 (112%)	R+8.4	+6.0
Greene ✓	R+19.8	R+4.2	65,895	73,891 (112%)	R+3.9	+0.3
Fairfield ✓	R+24.0	R+8.4	59,231	68,161 (115%)	R+3.1	+5.3
Portage ✓	R+15.5	D+0.1	60,449	65,950 (109%)	D+6.3	+6.2
Wood ✓	R+10.1	D+5.5	48,459	54,502 (112%)	D+9.1	+3.6
Clark ✓	R+29.5	R+13.9	44,272	47,915 (108%)	R+10.4	+3.5
Miami ✓	R+45.1	R+29.5	42,161	45,524 (108%)	R+27.8	+1.7
Geauga ✓	R+24.1	R+8.5	42,679	45,075 (106%)	R+8.1	+0.4
Richland ✓	R+42.3	R+26.7	41,716	43,948 (105%)	R+24.8	+1.9
Wayne ✓	R+39.2	R+23.6	38,431	41,259 (107%)	R+22.1	+1.5
Allen ✓	R+44.1	R+28.5	32,657	35,230 (108%)	R+29.9	−1.4
Columbiana ✓	R+49.0	R+33.4	35,534	34,746 (98%)	R+28.8	+4.6
Ashtabula ✓	R+28.4	R+12.8	30,838	32,483 (105%)	R+6.6	+6.1
Tuscarawas ✓	R+43.3	R+27.6	30,339	31,981 (105%)	R+21.3	+6.4
Erie ✓	R+14.1	D+1.5	28,887	31,876 (110%)	D+3.8	+2.3
Union ✓	R+29.6	R+14.0	25,395	31,174 (123%)	R+10.5	+3.5
Hancock ✓	R+38.4	R+22.8	27,102	28,836 (106%)	R+20.3	+2.5
Muskingum ✓	R+43.9	R+28.3	27,302	28,696 (105%)	R+24.2	+4.1
Ross ✓	R+39.3	R+23.7	22,586	24,602 (109%)	R+19.2	+4.5
Knox ✓	R+44.9	R+29.3	23,073	24,065 (104%)	R+29.2	+0.1
Washington ✓	R+43.7	R+28.1	22,750	22,641 (100%)	R+22.1	+6.1
Sandusky ✓	R+30.9	R+15.2	21,343	22,571 (106%)	R+10.4	+4.9
Pickaway ✓	R+48.5	R+32.9	19,555	22,083 (113%)	R+27.5	+5.4
Belmont ✓	R+47.3	R+31.7	22,525	21,949 (97%)	R+26.8	+4.9
Jefferson	R+43.9	R+28.3	22,884	21,718 (95%)	R+24.2	+4.0 *
Scioto ✓	R+47.9	R+32.3	21,067	21,507 (102%)	R+25.2	+7.1
Athens ✓	D+10.7	D+26.4	19,075	20,342 (107%)	D+34.0	+7.7
Darke ✓	R+65.3	R+49.7	19,750	19,986 (101%)	R+51.6	−1.9
Marion ✓	R+41.4	R+25.7	19,102	19,897 (104%)	R+18.7	+7.0
Ashland ✓	R+49.9	R+34.3	18,400	19,863 (108%)	R+32.1	+2.3
Huron ✓	R+44.0	R+28.4	18,396	19,644 (107%)	R+22.2	+6.2
Auglaize ✓	R+64.5	R+48.9	18,663	19,220 (103%)	R+51.3	−2.4
Ottawa ✓	R+25.1	R+9.4	18,483	19,203 (104%)	R+8.7	+0.7
Shelby ✓	R+64.8	R+49.2	18,021	18,920 (105%)	R+51.3	−2.1
Seneca ✓	R+37.5	R+21.9	17,986	18,717 (104%)	R+15.5	+6.3
Lawrence ✓	R+50.5	R+34.9	17,490	18,027 (103%)	R+27.7	+7.2
Mercer ✓	R+66.7	R+51.1	17,779	18,003 (101%)	R+55.3	−4.2
Logan ✓	R+56.2	R+40.6	16,449	17,775 (108%)	R+38.7	+1.9
Fulton ✓	R+42.4	R+26.8	16,332	17,343 (106%)	R+24.1	+2.7
Madison ✓	R+43.6	R+28.0	14,113	16,243 (115%)	R+23.6	+4.4
Champaign ✓	R+50.7	R+35.1	14,348	15,525 (108%)	R+30.6	+4.5
Clinton ✓	R+54.6	R+39.0	14,077	15,433 (110%)	R+37.5	+1.5
Putnam ✓	R+68.7	R+53.1	14,999	15,368 (102%)	R+56.5	−3.4
Preble ✓	R+59.1	R+43.5	15,689	15,302 (98%)	R+41.1	+2.4
Brown ✓	R+61.5	R+45.9	14,132	14,946 (106%)	R+40.8	+5.1
Crawford ✓	R+52.9	R+37.3	14,803	14,678 (99%)	R+33.8	+3.5
Defiance ✓	R+39.8	R+24.2	13,334	14,556 (109%)	R+21.7	+2.5
Highland ✓	R+63.3	R+47.7	13,110	14,245 (109%)	R+43.6	+4.1
Morrow ✓	R+55.7	R+40.1	13,288	14,105 (106%)	R+37.4	+2.7
Williams ✓	R+48.2	R+32.6	12,874	13,456 (105%)	R+30.4	+2.2
Guernsey ✓	R+52.0	R+36.4	12,183	12,692 (104%)	R+31.0	+5.4
Perry ✓	R+54.5	R+38.9	11,899	12,479 (105%)	R+31.7	+7.2
Coshocton ✓	R+52.2	R+36.6	11,276	11,707 (104%)	R+30.7	+5.9
Henry ✓	R+46.7	R+31.1	10,386	11,157 (107%)	R+29.8	+1.3
Van Wert ✓	R+58.5	R+42.9	10,135	10,496 (104%)	R+43.5	−0.6
Carroll ✓	R+54.7	R+39.1	10,115	10,255 (101%)	R+36.7	+2.4
Wyandot ✓	R+51.2	R+35.6	8,095	9,838 (122%)	R+32.9	+2.7
Jackson ✓	R+58.0	R+42.4	8,884	9,734 (110%)	R+33.3	+9.2
Hocking ✓	R+44.3	R+28.7	9,492	9,691 (102%)	R+21.8	+6.8
Hardin ✓	R+54.6	R+39.0	8,992	9,080 (101%)	R+34.6	+4.5
Fayette ✓	R+55.1	R+39.5	8,389	9,053 (108%)	R+36.7	+2.8
Paulding ✓	R+56.2	R+40.6	6,460	8,922 (138%)	R+35.9	+4.7
Adams ✓	R+65.7	R+50.1	8,743	8,891 (102%)	R+42.9	+7.2
Holmes ✓	R+69.1	R+53.5	8,620	8,852 (103%)	R+55.7	−2.2
Gallia	R+59.4	R+43.8	9,109	8,629 (95%)	R+40.3	+3.5 *
Pike ✓	R+53.7	R+38.0	7,815	8,520 (109%)	R+30.4	+7.6
Meigs ✓	R+56.9	R+41.3	7,464	7,518 (101%)	R+36.1	+5.2
Harrison ✓	R+55.2	R+39.6	5,172	5,010 (97%)	R+34.0	+5.6
Morgan ✓	R+53.2	R+37.6	4,811	4,783 (99%)	R+32.6	+5.0
Monroe ✓	R+59.7	R+44.1	4,857	4,761 (98%)	R+38.1	+6.0
Noble ✓	R+64.6	R+49.0	4,602	4,440 (96%)	R+44.9	+4.1
Vinton ✓	R+58.6	R+43.0	4,014	3,892 (97%)	R+36.5	+6.5

New Hampshire governor Cinde Warmington v Kelly Ayotte · our forecast R+5.6, 80% Republican · totals only

Counted631,333 of ~620,511 expected (102%) · 10 of 10 counties

Like-for-like gap1.3 pts better for the Democrat on 631,333 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+4.3

Raw (not like for like)R+4.3 counted, R+5.6 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Hillsborough ✓	D+2.9	R+5.5	172,224	175,703 (102%)	R+4.8	+0.7
Rockingham ✓	R+2.4	R+10.8	154,290	157,180 (102%)	R+11.0	−0.2
Merrimack ✓	D+5.2	R+3.2	70,793	72,031 (102%)	D+0.5	+3.7
Strafford ✓	D+12.0	D+3.7	56,578	57,652 (102%)	D+8.5	+4.8
Grafton ✓	D+19.8	D+11.5	42,732	43,303 (101%)	D+12.6	+1.1
Cheshire ✓	D+9.9	D+1.6	33,986	34,188 (101%)	D+10.2	+8.6
Belknap ✓	R+13.0	R+21.4	30,781	30,474 (99%)	R+25.2	−3.8
Carroll ✓	R+1.7	R+10.1	27,124	28,138 (104%)	R+13.0	−2.9
Sullivan ✓	R+0.7	R+9.0	19,108	19,306 (101%)	R+6.1	+3.0
Coos ✓	R+13.7	R+22.0	12,895	13,358 (104%)	R+22.9	−0.9

Maine Senate Troy Jackson v Susan Collins · our forecast D+5.7, 81% Democrat · totals only

Counted702,178 of ~674,981 expected (104%) · 16 of 16 counties

Like-for-like gap0.4 pts better for the Republican on 654,496 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameD+5.3

Raw (not like for like)D+5.8 counted, D+6.3 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Cumberland ✓	D+35.8	D+34.2	161,851	174,891 (108%)	D+34.8	+0.6
York ✓	D+10.9	D+9.4	104,428	112,472 (108%)	D+10.9	+1.6
Penobscot ✓	R+10.4	R+12.0	68,647	68,920 (100%)	R+12.5	−0.5
Kennebec ✓	R+2.3	R+3.8	60,346	62,756 (104%)	R+6.5	−2.6
Androscoggin ✓	R+5.6	R+7.2	47,019	50,398 (107%)	R+8.7	−1.5
Hancock ✓	D+12.2	D+10.7	30,535	31,503 (103%)	D+9.6	−1.1
Oxford ✓	R+12.4	R+14.0	27,735	31,004 (112%)	R+17.6	−3.7
Aroostook	R+25.7	R+27.3	28,632	26,443 (92%)	R+30.0	−2.7 *
Somerset ✓	R+26.6	R+28.1	22,816	22,537 (99%)	R+31.2	−3.1
Sagadahoc ✓	D+17.1	D+15.5	20,842	22,082 (106%)	D+15.0	−0.6
Knox ✓	D+19.1	D+17.5	22,256	21,629 (97%)	D+17.0	−0.5
Lincoln ✓	D+11.7	D+10.2	20,946	20,966 (100%)	D+8.8	−1.4
Waldo ✓	D+3.8	D+2.3	21,007	20,562 (98%)	D+4.4	+2.2
Franklin ✓	R+7.8	R+9.3	14,928	14,776 (99%)	R+11.8	−2.5
Washington	R+23.0	R+24.6	14,777	13,473 (91%)	R+24.7	−0.2 *
Piscataquis	R+28.7	R+30.2	8,216	7,766 (95%)	R+35.9	−5.7 *

Idaho Senate Todd Achilles v Jim Risch · our forecast R+12.6, 82% Republican · totals only

Counted710,679 of ~1,183,505 expected (60%) · 44 of 44 counties

Like-for-like gap14.3 pts better for the Republican on 2,450 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+26.9

Raw (not like for like)R+23.0 counted, R+12.4 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Ada	R+10.3	I+12.5	370,458	226,077 (61%)	I+2.9	−9.6 *
Canyon	R+46.6	R+23.8	116,658	77,045 (66%)	R+31.9	−8.1 *
Kootenai	R+51.8	R+29.0	124,592	74,167 (60%)	R+46.0	−17.0 *
Bonneville	R+45.4	R+22.5	70,974	42,902 (60%)	R+27.1	−4.6 *
Bannock	R+25.1	R+2.3	51,002	31,330 (61%)	R+10.8	−8.5 *
Twin Falls	R+48.8	R+26.0	45,986	27,702 (60%)	R+31.5	−5.6 *
Bonner	R+46.1	R+23.3	41,588	23,590 (57%)	R+37.3	−14.0 *
Bingham	R+59.6	R+36.8	24,768	15,298 (62%)	R+43.0	−6.2 *
Latah	R+8.0	I+14.8	29,946	15,230 (51%)	R+9.6	−24.4 *
Nez Perce	R+38.6	R+15.8	26,962	14,864 (55%)	R+31.4	−15.6 *
Jefferson	R+73.3	R+50.4	18,178	11,547 (64%)	R+57.4	−7.0 *
Madison	R+64.3	R+41.5	16,672	11,468 (69%)	R+49.4	−8.0 *
Blaine	D+31.7	I+54.5	19,440	11,453 (59%)	I+42.1	−12.3 *
Payette	R+62.9	R+40.1	15,218	8,686 (57%)	R+51.7	−11.7 *
Gem	R+66.0	R+43.2	15,262	8,197 (54%)	R+56.6	−13.4 *
Idaho	R+67.8	R+45.0	14,940	7,897 (53%)	R+60.6	−15.7 *
Elmore	R+48.5	R+25.7	13,260	7,518 (57%)	R+35.1	−9.4 *
Cassia	R+69.1	R+46.2	11,604	6,778 (58%)	R+54.9	−8.6 *
Valley	R+18.6	I+4.2	10,464	6,109 (58%)	R+2.6	−6.8 *
Jerome	R+53.7	R+30.9	9,716	6,086 (63%)	R+37.3	−6.4 *
Teton	D+6.8	I+29.7	9,384	6,012 (64%)	I+14.0	−15.6 *
Minidoka	R+63.3	R+40.4	9,442	5,909 (63%)	R+48.7	−8.2 *
Boundary	R+65.4	R+42.6	10,478	5,532 (53%)	R+58.8	−16.2 *
Fremont	R+69.0	R+46.1	8,524	4,850 (57%)	R+55.0	−8.9 *
Franklin	R+77.6	R+54.8	8,674	4,723 (54%)	R+57.4	−2.6 *
Shoshone	R+49.4	R+26.6	8,256	4,519 (55%)	R+43.3	−16.8 *
Gooding	R+60.4	R+37.6	8,102	4,348 (54%)	R+46.5	−8.9 *
Washington	R+61.5	R+38.7	7,848	4,335 (55%)	R+54.4	−15.6 *
Benewah	R+61.4	R+38.6	6,908	4,000 (58%)	R+60.9	−22.3 *
Boise	R+54.2	R+31.4	6,888	3,952 (57%)	R+39.8	−8.4 *
Lemhi	R+54.9	R+32.1	7,320	3,812 (52%)	R+43.9	−11.8 *
Owyhee	R+67.6	R+44.8	6,580	3,584 (54%)	R+55.6	−10.8 *
Clearwater	R+62.8	R+40.0	6,242	3,219 (52%)	R+56.8	−16.8 *
Caribou	R+71.2	R+48.4	4,240	2,504 (59%)	R+59.5	−11.1 *
Power ✓	R+45.1	R+22.2	2,201	2,450 (111%)	R+36.5	−14.3
Bear Lake	R+77.1	R+54.2	4,532	2,390 (53%)	R+70.7	−16.5 *
Adams	R+54.5	R+31.6	4,040	2,171 (54%)	R+42.2	−10.5 *
Custer	R+53.3	R+30.5	4,072	2,024 (50%)	R+43.0	−12.5 *
Oneida	R+75.9	R+53.1	3,254	1,631 (50%)	R+65.5	−12.3 *
Lewis	R+64.9	R+42.1	2,722	1,446 (53%)	R+59.9	−17.8 *
Lincoln	R+56.0	R+33.2	2,642	1,398 (53%)	R+37.3	−4.1 *
Butte	R+72.5	R+49.7	2,018	1,129 (56%)	R+57.9	−8.2 *
Camas	R+54.1	R+31.3	1,034	543 (53%)	R+32.8	−1.5 *
Clark	R+69.1	R+46.3	416	254 (61%)	R+61.0	−14.8 *

Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v Ashley Moody · our forecast R+5.9, 83% Republican · totals only

Counted8,276,945 of ~7,796,916 expected (106%) · 67 of 67 counties

Like-for-like gap2.6 pts better for the Democrat on 8,190,061 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+3.3

Raw (not like for like)R+2.9 counted, R+5.5 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Miami-Dade ✓	R+11.5	R+4.0	716,322	784,728 (110%)	D+7.1	+11.1
Broward ✓	D+17.0	D+24.4	600,976	660,314 (110%)	D+32.3	+7.8
Palm Beach ✓	D+0.8	D+8.2	545,550	570,658 (105%)	D+10.3	+2.0
Hillsborough ✓	R+3.1	D+4.4	484,916	517,016 (107%)	D+9.0	+4.6
Orange ✓	D+13.6	D+21.0	408,617	471,829 (115%)	D+28.5	+7.5
Pinellas ✓	R+5.2	D+2.2	424,549	403,626 (95%)	D+0.7	−1.6
Duval ✓	R+1.5	D+6.0	330,303	356,347 (108%)	D+10.8	+4.9
Lee ✓	R+28.4	R+20.9	276,081	304,021 (110%)	R+21.4	−0.4
Brevard ✓	R+20.8	R+13.4	268,335	270,072 (101%)	R+14.3	−0.9
Polk ✓	R+20.7	R+13.2	230,726	257,911 (112%)	R+6.7	+6.6
Pasco ✓	R+25.2	R+17.8	225,549	240,319 (107%)	R+14.2	+3.5
Volusia ✓	R+21.8	R+14.3	226,962	236,704 (104%)	R+15.6	−1.3
Sarasota ✓	R+18.2	R+10.7	219,514	223,509 (102%)	R+16.5	−5.7
Seminole ✓	R+3.6	D+3.9	183,816	195,588 (106%)	D+6.7	+2.8
Manatee ✓	R+23.5	R+16.0	172,183	182,260 (106%)	R+19.3	−3.3
Lake ✓	R+24.7	R+17.2	160,572	178,072 (111%)	R+18.4	−1.2
Collier ✓	R+33.0	R+25.6	164,265	171,729 (105%)	R+28.7	−3.2
Marion ✓	R+31.7	R+24.2	156,427	163,936 (105%)	R+25.8	−1.6
St. Johns ✓	R+31.3	R+23.8	145,011	156,111 (108%)	R+26.2	−2.4
St. Lucie ✓	R+9.1	R+1.6	122,361	139,080 (114%)	D+2.4	+4.0
Osceola ✓	R+1.5	D+6.0	103,173	131,845 (128%)	D+18.4	+12.4
Leon ✓	D+21.7	D+29.2	118,216	125,659 (106%)	D+31.4	+2.2
Escambia ✓	R+19.5	R+12.1	116,090	116,440 (100%)	R+9.7	+2.4
Alachua ✓	D+20.9	D+28.4	96,195	105,606 (110%)	D+33.1	+4.7
Charlotte ✓	R+34.0	R+26.5	92,933	100,544 (108%)	R+33.4	−6.9
Sumter ✓	R+37.6	R+30.2	89,668	95,037 (106%)	R+43.2	−13.1
Clay ✓	R+39.3	R+31.8	90,333	93,314 (103%)	R+30.1	+1.7
Hernando ✓	R+37.1	R+29.6	80,598	80,228 (100%)	R+29.3	+0.3
Okaloosa ✓	R+42.4	R+34.9	81,166	77,573 (96%)	R+35.0	−0.1
Indian River ✓	R+27.3	R+19.9	77,624	77,502 (100%)	R+22.9	−3.0
Martin ✓	R+31.1	R+23.6	77,907	76,295 (98%)	R+26.6	−3.0
Citrus ✓	R+45.9	R+38.5	75,985	75,121 (99%)	R+43.5	−5.0
Santa Rosa ✓	R+50.9	R+43.5	75,855	74,557 (98%)	R+43.0	+0.4
Bay ✓	R+47.3	R+39.9	67,243	70,329 (105%)	R+39.8	+0.1
Flagler ✓	R+28.3	R+20.8	58,886	63,900 (109%)	R+24.9	−4.1
Nassau ✓	R+46.9	R+39.4	47,891	50,549 (106%)	R+42.1	−2.6
Highlands ✓	R+40.8	R+33.4	39,922	39,742 (100%)	R+35.5	−2.2
Walton ✓	R+57.8	R+50.4	34,975	35,265 (101%)	R+53.3	−2.9
Monroe	R+18.3	R+10.9	34,116	32,270 (95%)	R+8.9	+2.0 *
Putnam ✓	R+47.9	R+40.4	26,656	26,505 (99%)	R+39.0	+1.4
Columbia ✓	R+50.2	R+42.8	23,769	23,022 (97%)	R+42.2	+0.6
Levy ✓	R+50.3	R+42.8	17,954	18,154 (101%)	R+44.0	−1.1
Gadsden ✓	D+30.7	D+38.2	17,463	17,821 (102%)	D+37.6	−0.6
Suwannee ✓	R+61.0	R+53.5	16,400	15,867 (97%)	R+54.3	−0.8
Jackson ✓	R+46.1	R+38.7	16,355	15,698 (96%)	R+39.4	−0.7
Wakulla ✓	R+44.4	R+36.9	15,113	15,123 (100%)	R+34.4	+2.5
Okeechobee ✓	R+53.9	R+46.4	10,934	11,129 (102%)	R+40.4	+6.0
Hendry ✓	R+38.4	R+30.9	8,293	10,088 (122%)	R+11.6	+19.3
Baker	R+73.2	R+65.7	10,736	9,826 (92%)	R+67.2	−1.4 *
Bradford	R+57.4	R+49.9	10,290	9,715 (94%)	R+49.9	+0.0 *
Desoto ✓	R+43.0	R+35.5	8,714	9,120 (105%)	R+29.6	+5.9
Washington ✓	R+65.4	R+58.0	9,147	9,040 (99%)	R+59.8	−1.8
Gilchrist ✓	R+68.0	R+60.6	7,889	7,804 (99%)	R+64.0	−3.4
Madison ✓	R+28.9	R+21.5	7,020	6,999 (100%)	R+22.6	−1.1
Taylor	R+59.7	R+52.3	7,645	6,994 (91%)	R+52.6	−0.3 *
Jefferson ✓	R+18.6	R+11.2	7,152	6,989 (98%)	R+15.8	−4.7
Gulf ✓	R+54.2	R+46.8	6,438	6,716 (104%)	R+53.6	−6.8
Holmes	R+80.4	R+72.9	6,790	6,207 (91%)	R+75.5	−2.6 *
Hardee ✓	R+56.4	R+49.0	5,552	6,032 (109%)	R+37.3	+11.7
Dixie	R+70.5	R+63.1	6,193	5,617 (91%)	R+66.1	−3.0 *
Franklin	R+43.8	R+36.4	5,465	5,051 (92%)	R+36.0	+0.3 *
Calhoun	R+67.7	R+60.2	4,868	4,299 (88%)	R+61.2	−1.0 *
Union	R+68.4	R+60.9	4,567	4,286 (94%)	R+62.4	−1.5 *
Hamilton ✓	R+39.0	R+31.6	4,320	4,149 (96%)	R+30.7	+0.9
Glades ✓	R+53.3	R+45.8	3,839	3,812 (99%)	R+42.2	+3.6
Liberty ✓	R+67.0	R+59.5	2,622	2,657 (101%)	R+60.6	−1.1
Lafayette	R+76.1	R+68.6	2,921	2,619 (90%)	R+72.5	−3.9 *

Wyoming governor Kenneth Casner v Eric Barlow · our forecast R+14.9, 85% Republican · totals only

Counted187,387 of ~194,000 expected (97%) · 23 of 23 counties

Like-for-like gap47.9 pts better for the Republican on 117,836 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+62.7

Raw (not like for like)R+53.9 counted, R+14.0 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Laramie ✓	R+32.1	R+1.2	29,911	30,174 (101%)	R+48.9	−47.6
Natrona ✓	R+48.2	R+17.3	22,491	21,973 (98%)	R+53.1	−35.8
Albany ✓	R+3.1	D+27.7	12,600	13,146 (104%)	R+39.1	−66.8
Fremont ✓	R+36.9	R+6.1	13,398	12,886 (96%)	R+54.4	−48.3
Sheridan ✓	R+49.4	R+18.6	12,191	12,062 (99%)	R+59.2	−40.6
Park	R+58.7	R+27.8	12,698	11,902 (94%)	R+55.8	−28.0 *
Campbell	R+76.3	R+45.5	12,262	11,132 (91%)	R+68.9	−23.4 *
Sweetwater	R+52.8	R+21.9	11,917	11,013 (92%)	R+49.8	−27.9 *
Teton ✓	D+34.7	D+65.6	10,146	10,383 (102%)	R+25.5	−91.1
Lincoln ✓	R+67.7	R+36.8	7,482	7,331 (98%)	R+60.3	−23.5
Uinta	R+62.9	R+32.1	6,596	6,176 (94%)	R+58.2	−26.1 *
Goshen	R+60.5	R+29.7	4,813	4,472 (93%)	R+59.9	−30.2 *
Converse	R+72.9	R+42.0	4,977	4,359 (88%)	R+59.6	−17.6 *
Carbon	R+57.6	R+26.7	4,703	4,247 (90%)	R+58.6	−31.9 *
Big Horn ✓	R+71.9	R+41.1	4,239	4,106 (97%)	R+66.2	−25.2
Sublette ✓	R+60.6	R+29.8	3,544	3,693 (104%)	R+67.0	−37.2
Johnson	R+63.1	R+32.2	3,865	3,575 (92%)	R+68.0	−35.8 *
Platte	R+64.9	R+34.1	3,921	3,487 (89%)	R+55.9	−21.8 *
Crook	R+77.4	R+46.5	3,248	3,047 (94%)	R+67.5	−21.0 *
Washakie	R+63.7	R+32.8	3,045	2,749 (90%)	R+65.5	−32.7 *
Weston	R+76.6	R+45.8	2,735	2,490 (91%)	R+70.5	−24.7 *
Hot Springs ✓	R+60.8	R+30.0	2,171	2,082 (96%)	R+62.2	−32.2
Niobrara	R+80.7	R+49.9	1,047	902 (86%)	R+68.2	−18.3 *

Mississippi Senate Scott Colom v Cindy Hyde-Smith · our forecast R+7.0, 85% Republican · totals only

Counted953,314 of ~894,886 expected (107%) · 82 of 82 counties

Like-for-like gap4.0 pts better for the Democrat on 827,296 votes in complete counties

If the rest runs the sameR+3.0

Raw (not like for like)D+0.3 counted, R+4.5 expected skewed by the order votes are counted in

County	2024 president	Expected tonight	Expected votes	Counted	Counted margin	Gap
Hinds ✓	D+46.1	D+62.0	63,276	77,465 (122%)	D+60.8	−1.2
Harrison ✓	R+28.9	R+13.0	55,327	58,850 (106%)	R+3.7	+9.3
DeSoto	R+24.1	R+8.2	57,629	54,184 (94%)	D+6.1	+14.3 *
Rankin ✓	R+47.1	R+31.2	50,776	51,331 (101%)	R+25.6	+5.6
Madison ✓	R+17.3	R+1.4	40,598	45,766 (113%)	D+0.8	+2.2
Jackson	R+39.9	R+24.0	38,193	35,432 (93%)	R+14.7	+9.3 *
Lee ✓	R+38.8	R+22.9	25,752	24,993 (97%)	R+17.6	+5.4
Forrest ✓	R+17.9	R+2.0	20,744	22,433 (108%)	D+10.3	+12.4
Lauderdale ✓	R+21.2	R+5.3	19,972	21,874 (110%)	R+1.7	+3.6
Lowndes ✓	R+8.2	D+7.7	17,800	21,284 (120%)	D+15.9	+8.1
Lamar ✓	R+48.8	R+32.9	20,529	21,020 (102%)	R+25.8	+7.0
Jones ✓	R+46.8	R+30.9	20,226	20,308 (100%)	R+23.6	+7.3
Lafayette ✓	R+21.8	R+5.9	17,059	17,223 (101%)	D+1.2	+7.0
Hancock ✓	R+58.7	R+42.8	15,431	16,732 (108%)	R+41.3	+1.5
Pearl River	R+66.7	R+50.8	17,979	16,526 (92%)	R+47.5	+3.4 *
Oktibbeha ✓	R+0.3	D+15.6	13,154	15,706 (119%)	D+22.4	+6.8
Warren ✓	R+4.0	D+11.9	13,334	14,643 (110%)	D+13.4	+1.5
Pike ✓	R+3.5	D+12.4	11,284	12,900 (114%)	D+17.7	+5.3
Monroe ✓	R+35.9	R+20.0	11,710	12,765 (109%)	R+13.4	+6.6
Lincoln ✓	R+45.4	R+29.5	11,515	12,391 (108%)	R+30.0	−0.6
Marshall ✓	R+7.3	D+8.6	10,919	11,534 (106%)	D+15.9	+7.3
Panola ✓	R+14.8	D+1.1	10,510	11,364 (108%)	D+12.3	+11.3
Washington ✓	D+35.0	D+50.9	10,596	11,191 (106%)	D+56.2	+5.3
Alcorn ✓	R+68.3	R+52.5	11,013	11,164 (101%)	R+52.8	−0.3
Pontotoc ✓	R+67.7	R+51.8	10,252	10,206 (100%)	R+47.2	+4.6
Bolivar ✓	D+23.7	D+39.6	7,604	10,143 (133%)	D+41.4	+1.8
Copiah ✓	R+6.1	D+9.8	8,501	9,869 (116%)	D+13.5	+3.6
Adams ✓	D+13.9	D+29.8	8,692	9,730 (112%)	D+28.1	−1.8
Tate ✓	R+43.8	R+27.9	9,372	9,215 (98%)	R+19.4	+8.5
Union ✓	R+70.1	R+54.2	9,093	8,939 (98%)	R+52.5	+1.7
Clay ✓	D+10.4	D+26.3	6,600	8,619 (131%)	D+34.0	+7.7
Marion ✓	R+41.6	R+25.7	8,153	8,542 (105%)	R+20.9	+4.8
Simpson ✓	R+36.7	R+20.8	8,085	8,377 (104%)	R+19.1	+1.7
Leflore ✓	D+38.4	D+54.3	6,865	8,221 (120%)	D+51.0	−3.4
Neshoba ✓	R+50.9	R+35.0	7,915	8,061 (102%)	R+28.2	+6.8
Scott ✓	R+24.0	R+8.1	7,208	7,903 (110%)	R+1.4	+6.6
Grenada ✓	R+16.3	R+0.4	7,117	7,553 (106%)	D+3.1	+3.5
Yazoo ✓	R+2.4	D+13.5	6,537	7,549 (115%)	D+19.3	+5.8
Itawamba ✓	R+80.0	R+64.1	7,740	7,435 (96%)	R+65.8	−1.7
Tippah ✓	R+67.1	R+51.2	6,989	7,372 (105%)	R+48.2	+3.0
Prentiss ✓	R+66.0	R+50.1	7,565	7,268 (96%)	R+47.7	+2.4
Winston ✓	R+18.2	R+2.4	6,110	7,218 (118%)	D+4.1	+6.5
Wayne ✓	R+32.7	R+16.8	6,645	7,067 (106%)	R+9.3	+7.5
Sunflower ✓	D+35.5	D+51.4	5,739	7,030 (122%)	D+51.8	+0.4
Newton ✓	R+43.3	R+27.4	6,794	6,860 (101%)	R+24.4	+3.0
George	R+78.8	R+62.9	8,066	6,759 (84%)	R+63.6	−0.7 *
Holmes ✓	D+62.1	D+78.0	4,904	6,465 (132%)	D+72.7	−5.2
Leake ✓	R+23.4	R+7.5	6,107	6,432 (105%)	R+4.4	+3.2
Chickasaw ✓	R+13.7	D+2.2	5,272	6,338 (120%)	D+8.0	+5.8
Tishomingo ✓	R+78.9	R+63.0	6,595	6,300 (96%)	R+64.2	−1.2
Jasper ✓	R+5.0	D+10.9	5,750	6,163 (107%)	D+13.8	+2.9
Coahoma ✓	D+39.8	D+55.7	4,948	6,066 (123%)	D+57.0	+1.3
Attala ✓	R+23.3	R+7.4	5,613	5,904 (105%)	R+2.6	+4.8
Covington	R+33.3	R+17.4	6,457	5,760 (89%)	R+15.5	+1.9 *
Clarke ✓	R+35.2	R+19.3	5,517	5,630 (102%)	R+13.0	+6.3
Stone ✓	R+58.0	R+42.1	5,771	5,508 (95%)	R+39.5	+2.6
Smith ✓	R+60.7	R+44.8	5,594	5,466 (98%)	R+43.3	+1.5
Walthall ✓	R+26.9	R+11.0	4,758	5,221 (110%)	R+8.4	+2.7
Amite ✓	R+32.8	R+16.9	4,966	5,120 (103%)	R+18.1	−1.1
Yalobusha ✓	R+20.9	R+5.0	4,283	4,810 (112%)	D+1.9	+6.9
Lawrence ✓	R+36.6	R+20.7	4,411	4,619 (105%)	R+19.4	+1.3
Calhoun ✓	R+48.0	R+32.1	4,397	4,587 (104%)	R+27.1	+5.0
Jefferson Davis ✓	D+13.7	D+29.6	3,919	4,558 (116%)	D+30.9	+1.3
Tallahatchie ✓	D+5.9	D+21.8	3,652	4,377 (120%)	D+29.6	+7.7
Noxubee ✓	D+47.6	D+63.5	3,242	4,287 (132%)	D+62.7	−0.8
Carroll ✓	R+44.3	R+28.4	3,785	4,063 (107%)	R+24.9	+3.5
Webster ✓	R+65.2	R+49.3	3,713	3,889 (105%)	R+48.7	+0.6
Perry	R+60.4	R+44.5	4,036	3,818 (95%)	R+37.7	+6.8 *
Montgomery ✓	R+20.8	R+4.9	3,224	3,626 (112%)	R+0.1	+4.8
Greene	R+69.8	R+53.9	4,117	3,539 (86%)	R+50.9	+3.0 *
Kemper ✓	D+16.9	D+32.8	2,978	3,413 (115%)	D+33.5	+0.7
Humphreys ✓	D+41.9	D+57.8	2,527	3,382 (134%)	D+57.5	−0.3
Claiborne ✓	D+67.6	D+83.4	2,580	3,329 (129%)	D+75.8	−7.7
Franklin ✓	R+39.8	R+23.9	2,963	3,317 (112%)	R+23.2	+0.7
Jefferson ✓	D+66.3	D+82.2	2,404	3,082 (128%)	D+75.3	−6.9
Choctaw ✓	R+49.3	R+33.4	2,835	3,052 (108%)	R+30.5	+2.9
Benton ✓	R+31.4	R+15.5	2,827	2,818 (100%)	R+8.1	+7.4
Wilkinson ✓	D+25.3	D+41.2	2,136	2,772 (130%)	D+40.6	−0.6
Tunica ✓	D+38.9	D+54.8	1,944	2,333 (120%)	D+51.7	−3.0
Quitman ✓	D+30.7	D+46.6	1,951	2,205 (113%)	D+51.3	+4.7
Sharkey ✓	D+36.8	D+52.7	1,287	1,597 (124%)	D+36.8	−15.9
Issaquena ✓	R+1.4	D+14.4	453	453 (100%)	D+4.0	−10.5

For each state we looked for the election office's own results feed for 3 November, its format, its terms and robots.txt, and whether it lets a named reader in. We read a state only if all of that is clear; a Cloudflare, Incapsula or Akamai challenge is a refusal and we never get round one. The AP's results are paid and not used; nor are any media feeds. Full notes: research/us/LIVE_RESULTS_SOURCES.md.

State	Decision	Feed	Polls close (last, Eastern)
Alaska	Read live	Division of Elections JSON (first-choice counts) link	1:00 am ET
Arizona	Read live	Statewide site blocked (Cloudflare); read county by county: Maricopa, Pima, Pinal (about 80% of the vote) link	9:00 pm ET
Arkansas	Read live	Tally ENR JSON, with counties link	8:30 pm ET
Colorado	Read live	Clarity ENR JSON link	9:00 pm ET
Connecticut	Read live	JSON (statewide and district totals; towns, not counties) link	8:00 pm ET
Florida	Read live	Results extract, tab-delimited, by county link	8:00 pm ET
Georgia	Read live	Enhanced Voting JSON, with counties link	7:00 pm ET
Idaho	Read live	Enhanced Voting JSON link	11:00 pm ET
Indiana	Read live	Indiana Election Division JSON, House districts with counties link	7:00 pm ET
Iowa	Read live	Clarity ENR JSON link	9:00 pm ET
Michigan	Read live	No statewide feed; read county by county: Oakland, Macomb, Kent, Genesee, Ingham, Ottawa (about 40% of the vote; Wayne publishes PDFs only) link	9:00 pm ET
Minnesota	Read live	Media files by county, semicolon-delimited link	9:00 pm ET
Nebraska	Read live	Results CSV exports (statewide) link	10:00 pm ET
New Mexico	Read live	Results CSV exports (statewide) link	9:00 pm ET
North Carolina	Read live	NCSBE JSON, with counties link	7:30 pm ET
North Dakota	Read live	Results XML exports (statewide) link	10:00 pm ET
Ohio	Read live	Statewide site blocks our reader; read county by county: Cuyahoga, Hamilton, Summit, Montgomery, Lucas, Butler (about a third of the vote; Franklin publishes PDFs only) link	7:30 pm ET
Pennsylvania	Read live	Statewide site blocked (Incapsula); read county by county: Allegheny, Montgomery, Delaware, Chester, Lancaster, Lehigh, Luzerne, Erie (over a third of the vote; Philadelphia publishes HTML only) link	8:00 pm ET
South Carolina	Read live	Clarity ENR JSON link	7:00 pm ET
South Dakota	Read live	Results CSV exports (statewide) link	9:00 pm ET
Texas	Read live	Statewide site blocked (Cloudflare); read county by county: Harris, Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar, Travis, Denton, Williamson, Fort Bend (about 50% of the vote) link	9:00 pm ET
Utah	Read live	Enhanced Voting JSON, with counties link	10:00 pm ET
Vermont	Read live	JSON by town (statewide totals) link	7:00 pm ET
Virginia	Read live	Enhanced Voting JSON, with localities link	7:00 pm ET
Washington	Read live	Enhanced Voting JSON link	11:00 pm ET
West Virginia	Read live	Clarity ENR JSON link	7:30 pm ET
District of Columbia	Open, not read yet	JSON link	8:00 pm ET
Hawaii	Open, not read yet	Text summary files link	midnight ET
Louisiana	Open, not read yet	JSON blobs (House seats are party primaries on 3 November) link	9:00 pm ET
Alabama	Not read	HTML pages only link	8:00 pm ET
California	Not read	Incapsula script on the results site link	11:00 pm ET
Delaware	Not read	HTML only link	8:00 pm ET
Illinois	Not read	No statewide feed on the night link	8:00 pm ET
Kansas	Not read	Power BI dashboard only link	9:00 pm ET
Kentucky	Not read	No data feed found link	7:00 pm ET
Maine	Not read	No election-night feed	8:00 pm ET
Maryland	Not read	No live data file found link	8:00 pm ET
Massachusetts	Not read	Incapsula script; results after the count	8:00 pm ET
Mississippi	Not read	PDF only link	8:00 pm ET
Missouri	Not read	Cloudflare block link	8:00 pm ET
Montana	Not read	Exports only through page forms link	10:00 pm ET
Nevada	Not read	Incapsula block link	10:00 pm ET
New Hampshire	Not read	No feed; the site answered Access Denied	8:00 pm ET
New Jersey	Not read	County clerks report; Incapsula script	8:00 pm ET
New York	Not read	Cloudflare challenge link	9:00 pm ET
Oklahoma	Not read	403 Forbidden link	8:00 pm ET
Oregon	Not read	HTML; export address answered 404 link	11:00 pm ET
Rhode Island	Not read	Cloudflare challenge link	8:00 pm ET
Tennessee	Not read	403 from CloudFront link	8:00 pm ET
Wisconsin	Not read	No statewide feed; Cloudflare	9:00 pm ET
Wyoming	Not read	PDF after the count	9:00 pm ET

Live results

Senate

House

Governors

How to use this map

Seats that changed hands 12 of the 67 Senate and governor races decided so far

Senate control, live

House majority, live

Our calls

House

Senate

Too close to call 19

Latest calls

Senate 35

Governors 36

House 434

Statewide ballot measures 65

House of Representatives

Senate

By kind of county

Big cities

Dense suburbs

Smaller cities and towns

Rural

Senate 32 with half or more counted; 30 moved towards the Democrats, 2 towards the Republicans

Governors 36 with half or more counted; 32 moved towards the Democrats, 4 towards the Republicans

House districts 416 with half or more counted; 412 moved towards the Democrats, 4 towards the Republicans

Our ratings against the results: Senate and governors

Solid D

Likely D

Lean D

Toss-up

Lean R

Likely R

Solid R

Were our chances honest?

Where our favourite lost (17)

Early returns against what we expect

Kansas governor Cindy Holscher v Ty Masterson · our forecast Even, 51% Democrat · totals only

Nebraska Senate Dan Osborn v Pete Ricketts · our forecast R+0.9, 57% Republican · totals only

Nevada governor Aaron Ford v Joe Lombardo · our forecast D+1.1, 57% Democrat · totals only

Vermont governor Amanda Janoo v Phil Scott · our forecast D+1.4, 58% Democrat · totals only

Georgia governor Keisha Lance Bottoms v Rick Jackson · our forecast D+1.8, 62% Democrat · count split by method

South Carolina Senate Annie Andrews v Darline Graham · our forecast R+1.7, 62% Republican · totals only

Texas governor Gina Hinojosa v Greg Abbott · our forecast R+2.4, 63% Republican · totals only

Iowa Senate Josh Turek v Ashley Hinson · our forecast D+2.4, 64% Democrat · count split by method

Florida governor David Jolly v Byron Donalds · our forecast R+2.9, 68% Republican · totals only

Alaska governor Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins v Dave Bronson · our forecast D+2.8, 69% Democrat · totals only

Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v Roger Marshall · our forecast D+3.0, 69% Democrat · totals only

Ohio Senate (special) Sherrod Brown v Jon Husted · our forecast D+3.1, 69% Democrat · count split by method

Texas Senate James Talarico v Ken Paxton · our forecast D+4.0, 70% Democrat · totals only

Alaska Senate Mary Peltola v Dan S. Sullivan · our forecast D+3.2, 71% Democrat · totals only

Louisiana Senate Jamie Davis v Julia Letlow · our forecast R+4.4, 75% Republican · totals only

Ohio governor Amy Acton v Vivek Ramaswamy · our forecast D+4.6, 77% Democrat · count split by method

New Hampshire governor Cinde Warmington v Kelly Ayotte · our forecast R+5.6, 80% Republican · totals only

Maine Senate Troy Jackson v Susan Collins · our forecast D+5.7, 81% Democrat · totals only

Idaho Senate Todd Achilles v Jim Risch · our forecast R+12.6, 82% Republican · totals only

Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v Ashley Moody · our forecast R+5.9, 83% Republican · totals only

Wyoming governor Kenneth Casner v Eric Barlow · our forecast R+14.9, 85% Republican · totals only

Mississippi Senate Scott Colom v Cindy Hyde-Smith · our forecast R+7.0, 85% Republican · totals only

How the live model works

Backtest: the 2024 Senate races, replayed

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