United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2023 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2023 Kentucky governor election

Andy Beshear (Democrat) beat Daniel Cameron (Republican) in Kentucky in 2023, 52.5% to 47.5%, a margin of 5.1 points and 67,025 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2019, when Andy Beshear also won.

Republicans led in 91 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 29. The largest, Jefferson, cast 256,773 votes and went to the Democrat by 40.1 points. The closest was Powell, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Andy Beshear won Democratic 694,482 52.5%
Daniel Cameron Republican 627,457 47.5%
All other candidates 83 0.0%
Total1,322,022

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 179,854 70.0% 76,908 30.0% 11 256,773 D+40.1
Fayette 74,298 71.8% 29,239 28.2% 8 103,545 D+43.5
Kenton 26,066 52.8% 23,301 47.2% 4 49,371 D+5.6
Boone 17,575 44.0% 22,399 56.0% 4 39,978 R+12.1
Warren 18,165 52.1% 16,685 47.9% 5 34,855 D+4.2
Campbell 16,885 54.2% 14,271 45.8% 4 31,160 D+8.4
Daviess 15,572 51.1% 14,895 48.9% 2 30,469 D+2.2
Hardin 14,336 49.7% 14,511 50.3% 28,847 R+0.6
Madison 14,012 51.7% 13,080 48.3% 1 27,093 D+3.4
Oldham 12,952 49.6% 13,177 50.4% 1 26,130 R+0.9
Bullitt 10,723 43.0% 14,235 57.0% 24,958 R+14.1
McCracken 9,867 47.1% 11,099 52.9% 20,966 R+5.9
Franklin 13,500 68.5% 6,201 31.5% 19,701 D+37.0
Scott 10,575 54.6% 8,801 45.4% 1 19,377 D+9.2
Pulaski 6,139 32.1% 12,957 67.8% 1 19,097 R+35.7
Jessamine 8,007 46.8% 9,104 53.2% 1 17,112 R+6.4
Shelby 7,946 47.6% 8,751 52.4% 4 16,701 R+4.8
Laurel 4,974 31.4% 10,862 68.6% 1 15,837 R+37.2
Nelson 7,562 50.6% 7,375 49.4% 14,937 D+1.3
Pike 5,797 45.5% 6,954 54.5% 12,751 R+9.1
Hopkins 5,762 45.5% 6,901 54.5% 12,663 R+9.0
Henderson 7,048 55.8% 5,589 44.2% 1 12,638 D+11.5
Christian 5,135 42.7% 6,893 57.3% 2 12,030 R+14.6
Barren 4,965 41.8% 6,918 58.2% 1 11,884 R+16.4
Boyd 6,068 51.5% 5,710 48.5% 11,778 D+3.0
Marshall 4,610 39.9% 6,932 60.1% 1 11,543 R+20.1
Clark 5,938 51.6% 5,561 48.3% 3 11,502 D+3.3
Calloway 5,211 46.3% 6,054 53.7% 11,265 R+7.5
Woodford 6,414 59.3% 4,411 40.7% 10,825 D+18.5
Graves 3,885 36.5% 6,763 63.5% 10,648 R+27.0
Greenup 4,498 45.7% 5,336 54.3% 9,834 R+8.5
Boyle 5,040 52.9% 4,489 47.1% 9,529 D+5.8
Anderson 4,212 45.3% 5,078 54.7% 9,290 R+9.3
Floyd 5,136 57.1% 3,852 42.9% 1 8,989 D+14.3
Meade 3,599 43.1% 4,742 56.8% 3 8,344 R+13.7
Muhlenberg 3,833 46.4% 4,419 53.6% 8,252 R+7.1
Whitley 2,697 32.7% 5,540 67.3% 8,237 R+34.5
Montgomery 3,962 49.3% 4,073 50.7% 8,035 R+1.4
Taylor 3,198 40.8% 4,641 59.2% 7,839 R+18.4
Mercer 3,399 44.3% 4,279 55.7% 1 7,679 R+11.5
Spencer 2,752 37.0% 4,677 63.0% 7,429 R+25.9
Grayson 2,514 36.1% 4,454 63.9% 1 6,969 R+27.8
Lincoln 2,586 37.8% 4,252 62.2% 6,838 R+24.4
Knox 2,286 34.5% 4,333 65.5% 6,619 R+30.9
Logan 2,449 37.3% 4,105 62.6% 3 6,557 R+25.3
Rowan 3,907 60.8% 2,524 39.2% 6,431 D+21.5
Ohio 2,479 39.2% 3,839 60.8% 6,318 R+21.5
Grant 2,220 35.2% 4,093 64.8% 1 6,314 R+29.7
Carter 2,978 47.3% 3,321 52.7% 1 6,300 R+5.4
Breckinridge 2,608 42.0% 3,607 58.0% 6,215 R+16.1
Bourbon 3,265 54.0% 2,786 46.0% 6,051 D+7.9
Garrard 2,141 37.7% 3,539 62.3% 5,680 R+24.6
Bell 2,281 40.2% 3,386 59.7% 1 5,668 R+19.5
Harrison 2,775 49.1% 2,878 50.9% 5,653 R+1.8
Harlan 1,904 34.0% 3,702 66.0% 5,606 R+32.1
Perry 3,121 55.8% 2,473 44.2% 5,594 D+11.6
Marion 2,891 52.1% 2,653 47.8% 1 5,545 D+4.3
Russell 1,604 30.0% 3,737 70.0% 5,341 R+39.9
Adair 1,688 31.9% 3,597 68.1% 5,285 R+36.1
Henry 2,325 45.0% 2,844 55.0% 1 5,170 R+10.0
Johnson 1,898 37.1% 3,220 62.9% 5,118 R+25.8
Allen 1,513 29.6% 3,599 70.4% 5,112 R+40.8
Hart 1,920 38.6% 3,051 61.4% 4,971 R+22.8
Mason 2,247 46.7% 2,566 53.3% 1 4,814 R+6.6
Wayne 1,754 37.8% 2,885 62.2% 4,639 R+24.4
Simpson 1,905 41.2% 2,718 58.8% 4,623 R+17.6
Larue 1,756 38.6% 2,796 61.4% 1 4,553 R+22.8
Fleming 1,865 42.1% 2,562 57.9% 4,427 R+15.7
Casey 1,129 26.1% 3,200 73.9% 4,329 R+47.8
Rockcastle 1,244 29.1% 3,029 70.9% 4,273 R+41.8
Letcher 2,205 52.3% 2,009 47.7% 4,214 D+4.7
Trigg 1,532 37.2% 2,591 62.8% 4,123 R+25.7
Washington 1,772 43.0% 2,346 57.0% 1 4,119 R+13.9
Monroe 1,023 25.3% 3,025 74.7% 4,048 R+49.5
Clay 1,441 35.6% 2,603 64.4% 4,044 R+28.7
Pendleton 1,511 38.2% 2,444 61.8% 3,955 R+23.6
Union 1,722 45.0% 2,107 55.0% 3,829 R+10.1
Caldwell 1,519 40.0% 2,279 60.0% 3,798 R+20.0
Owen 1,494 40.6% 2,190 59.4% 3,684 R+18.9
Green 1,082 29.6% 2,569 70.3% 1 3,652 R+40.7
Butler 1,173 32.2% 2,475 67.8% 3,648 R+35.7
Lawrence 1,361 37.3% 2,287 62.7% 3,648 R+25.4
Edmonson 1,358 37.4% 2,272 62.5% 3 3,633 R+25.2
Estill 1,509 42.2% 2,069 57.8% 3,578 R+15.7
Morgan 1,630 47.2% 1,824 52.8% 1 3,455 R+5.6
Webster 1,425 41.3% 2,024 58.7% 3,449 R+17.4
Bath 1,913 55.8% 1,515 44.2% 3,428 D+11.6
Knott 1,847 54.5% 1,545 45.5% 3,392 D+8.9
Jackson 743 22.9% 2,499 77.1% 1 3,243 R+54.1
Magoffin 1,577 50.4% 1,553 49.6% 3,130 D+0.8
Powell 1,518 50.0% 1,517 50.0% 3,035 level
Metcalfe 1,242 41.0% 1,788 59.0% 3,030 R+18.0
McCreary 853 28.2% 2,170 71.8% 1 3,024 R+43.6
McLean 1,238 41.6% 1,739 58.4% 2,977 R+16.8
Hancock 1,464 49.4% 1,499 50.6% 2,963 R+1.2
Livingston 1,061 36.6% 1,836 63.4% 2,897 R+26.8
Breathitt 1,763 61.2% 1,119 38.8% 2,882 D+22.3
Lewis 911 31.6% 1,968 68.4% 2,879 R+36.7
Lyon 1,221 43.0% 1,619 57.0% 2,840 R+14.0
Todd 907 34.1% 1,753 65.9% 2 2,662 R+31.8
Ballard 963 36.3% 1,691 63.7% 2,654 R+27.4
Crittenden 858 34.1% 1,660 65.9% 2,518 R+31.9
Trimble 1,108 44.1% 1,405 55.9% 2,513 R+11.8
Clinton 607 24.3% 1,888 75.7% 2,495 R+51.3
Bracken 939 39.9% 1,417 60.1% 2,356 R+20.3
Carroll 1,112 48.0% 1,207 52.0% 2,319 R+4.1
Leslie 667 30.4% 1,530 69.6% 2,197 R+39.3
Gallatin 865 40.7% 1,260 59.3% 2,125 R+18.6
Nicholas 1,142 56.0% 897 44.0% 2,039 D+12.0
Cumberland 503 26.4% 1,400 73.6% 1,903 R+47.1
Menifee 862 45.9% 1,016 54.1% 1 1,879 R+8.2
Carlisle 545 30.3% 1,252 69.7% 1,797 R+39.3
Wolfe 1,010 57.3% 754 42.7% 1,764 D+14.5
Martin 513 29.8% 1,208 70.2% 1,721 R+40.4
Elliott 875 53.5% 761 46.5% 1,636 D+7.0
Lee 705 46.3% 817 53.7% 1,522 R+7.4
Hickman 470 33.0% 953 67.0% 1,423 R+33.9
Fulton 615 44.9% 755 55.1% 1,370 R+10.2
Owsley 381 40.8% 552 59.2% 933 R+18.3
Robertson 307 44.2% 388 55.8% 695 R+11.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2023 Andy Beshear (D) D+5.1
2019 Andy Beshear (D) D+0.4
2015 Matt G. Bevin (R) R+8.7
2011 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+20.4
2007 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+17.4
2003 Ernest Fletcher (R) R+10.1
1999 Paul E. Patton (D) D+38.5
1995 Paul E. Patton (D) D+2.2
1991 Brereton C. Jones (D) D+29.5
1987 Wallace G. Wilkinson (D) D+29.6
1983 Martha Layne Collins (D) D+10.4
1979 John Y. Brown Jr. (D) D+19.0
1975 Julian Carroll (D) D+25.7
1971 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+6.2
1967 Louie B. Nunn (R) R+3.2
1963 Edward T. Breathitt (D) D+1.5
1959 Bert T. Combs (D) D+21.1
1955 Happy Chandler (D) D+16.6
1951 Lawrence W. Wetherby (D) D+9.2
1947 Earle C. Clements (D) D+14.8
1943 Simeon S. Willis (R) R+1.6
1939 Keen Johnson (D) D+13.0
1935 Happy Chandler (D) D+9.3
1931 Ruby Laffoon (D) D+8.9
1927 Flem D. Sampson (R) R+4.2
1923 William J. Fields (D) D+7.4
1919 Edwin P. Morrow (R) R+8.5
1915 Augustus O. Stanley (D) D+0.1
1911 James B. McCreary (D) D+7.1
1907 Augustus E. Willson (R) R+4.3
1903 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+6.0
1900 J. C. W. Beckham (D) D+0.8
1899 William S. Taylor (R) R+0.6
1895 William O. Bradley (R) R+2.5
1891 John Young Brown (D) D+9.7
1887 Simon B. Buckner (D) D+5.9
1883 J. Proctor Knott (D) D+19.9
1879 Luke P. Blackburn (D) D+19.2
1875 James B. McCreary (D) D+16.6
1871 Preston H. Leslie (D) D+17.2
1867 John Larue Helm (D) D+41.0