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United States · Election results history · 2015 governors · Kentucky
Election 2015 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2015 Kentucky governor election

Matt G. Bevin (Republican) beat Jack Conway (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2015, 52.5% to 43.8%, a margin of 8.7 points and 84,754 votes.

Kentucky changed party: in 2011 it went Democratic, for Steven L. Beshear.

Republicans led in 106 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, Jefferson, cast 192,972 votes and went to the Democrat by 19.6 points. The closest was Nelson, where 22 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Matt G. Bevin won Republican 511,374 52.5%
Jack Conway Democratic 426,620 43.8%
All other candidates 35,698 3.7%
Total973,692

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 112,232 58.2% 74,427 38.6% 6,313 192,972 D+19.6
Fayette 38,220 54.6% 27,788 39.7% 3,952 69,960 D+14.9
Kenton 12,301 39.1% 18,007 57.2% 1,149 31,457 R+18.1
Daviess 10,366 42.4% 13,483 55.1% 612 24,461 R+12.7
Boone 7,418 30.8% 15,842 65.8% 822 24,082 R+35.0
Warren 9,354 41.6% 12,411 55.2% 731 22,496 R+13.6
Hardin 8,029 39.3% 11,586 56.7% 815 20,430 R+17.4
Campbell 8,258 41.9% 10,671 54.1% 780 19,709 R+12.2
Madison 7,348 39.9% 10,268 55.8% 778 18,394 R+15.9
Oldham 6,403 35.6% 10,896 60.5% 699 17,998 R+25.0
Bullitt 6,492 38.1% 9,856 57.8% 690 17,038 R+19.7
Franklin 9,839 58.3% 5,942 35.2% 1,101 16,882 D+23.1
McCracken 6,031 39.0% 9,028 58.4% 394 15,453 R+19.4
Pulaski 3,664 24.8% 10,623 72.0% 476 14,763 R+47.1
Jessamine 4,134 33.8% 7,581 61.9% 527 12,242 R+28.2
Scott 5,232 43.5% 6,165 51.3% 617 12,014 R+7.8
Laurel 2,663 22.6% 8,781 74.5% 347 11,791 R+51.9
Shelby 4,575 39.5% 6,573 56.7% 438 11,586 R+17.2
Pike 4,741 42.2% 6,146 54.8% 337 11,224 R+12.5
Marshall 4,830 43.1% 5,969 53.2% 411 11,210 R+10.2
Henderson 5,117 49.9% 4,837 47.2% 297 10,251 D+2.7
Nelson 4,880 48.1% 4,902 48.3% 360 10,142 R+0.2
Hopkins 3,524 36.7% 5,802 60.5% 268 9,594 R+23.7
Barren 3,568 38.7% 5,289 57.4% 360 9,217 R+18.7
Boyd 4,154 45.2% 4,747 51.7% 281 9,182 R+6.5
Graves 3,189 36.1% 5,370 60.8% 269 8,828 R+24.7
Calloway 3,558 41.6% 4,742 55.4% 254 8,554 R+13.8
Christian 3,446 40.6% 4,830 56.9% 211 8,487 R+16.3
Clark 3,448 41.3% 4,551 54.5% 347 8,346 R+13.2
Floyd 4,392 54.5% 3,390 42.0% 282 8,064 D+12.4
Woodford 3,704 46.3% 3,804 47.5% 496 8,004 R+1.2
Greenup 3,109 40.1% 4,432 57.1% 218 7,759 R+17.1
Muhlenberg 3,453 47.1% 3,613 49.3% 262 7,328 R+2.2
Boyle 2,948 40.7% 3,968 54.7% 336 7,252 R+14.1
Whitley 1,857 27.1% 4,772 69.7% 215 6,844 R+42.6
Anderson 2,635 39.2% 3,724 55.3% 370 6,729 R+16.2
Meade 2,838 44.0% 3,310 51.4% 296 6,444 R+7.3
Taylor 2,260 36.0% 3,852 61.3% 174 6,286 R+25.3
Montgomery 2,479 41.4% 3,271 54.6% 240 5,990 R+13.2
Mercer 2,054 35.2% 3,517 60.2% 269 5,840 R+25.1
Knox 1,634 29.7% 3,706 67.3% 165 5,505 R+37.6
Perry 1,857 35.1% 3,276 62.0% 151 5,284 R+26.9
Ohio 2,000 38.1% 3,115 59.4% 129 5,244 R+21.3
Grayson 1,732 33.5% 3,246 62.9% 186 5,164 R+29.3
Lincoln 1,626 31.8% 3,289 64.4% 195 5,110 R+32.5
Spencer 1,705 33.8% 3,169 62.8% 169 5,043 R+29.0
Harlan 1,671 33.6% 3,099 62.3% 201 4,971 R+28.7
Bourbon 2,510 51.7% 2,202 45.3% 145 4,857 D+6.3
Rowan 2,321 49.7% 2,179 46.7% 169 4,669 D+3.0
Breckinridge 1,858 39.8% 2,648 56.8% 158 4,664 R+16.9
Johnson 1,432 30.8% 3,040 65.4% 177 4,649 R+34.6
Russell 1,144 24.9% 3,312 72.1% 139 4,595 R+47.2
Carter 1,954 43.6% 2,405 53.6% 126 4,485 R+10.1
Letcher 1,775 41.1% 2,360 54.7% 183 4,318 R+13.5
Bell 1,556 37.6% 2,425 58.6% 157 4,138 R+21.0
Adair 1,268 30.8% 2,727 66.3% 116 4,111 R+35.5
Harrison 1,778 43.5% 2,093 51.1% 221 4,092 R+7.7
Henry 1,720 42.7% 2,126 52.8% 184 4,030 R+10.1
Logan 1,565 39.0% 2,345 58.5% 99 4,009 R+19.5
Grant 1,326 34.1% 2,433 62.5% 133 3,892 R+28.4
Garrard 1,158 29.9% 2,542 65.7% 171 3,871 R+35.8
Marion 2,132 55.2% 1,591 41.2% 140 3,863 D+14.0
Union 1,928 50.1% 1,829 47.5% 91 3,848 D+2.6
Wayne 1,239 33.1% 2,412 64.5% 87 3,738 R+31.4
Casey 649 18.1% 2,836 79.3% 93 3,578 R+61.1
Hart 1,379 38.8% 2,043 57.5% 132 3,554 R+18.7
Mason 1,531 44.8% 1,792 52.4% 95 3,418 R+7.6
Rockcastle 744 21.8% 2,536 74.3% 135 3,415 R+52.5
Allen 977 28.8% 2,344 69.0% 76 3,397 R+40.2
Larue 1,214 36.1% 2,009 59.7% 140 3,363 R+23.6
Fleming 1,284 38.8% 1,907 57.6% 117 3,308 R+18.8
Clay 866 26.6% 2,311 71.1% 74 3,251 R+44.4
Trigg 1,342 42.3% 1,746 55.0% 86 3,174 R+12.7
Washington 1,205 38.5% 1,796 57.4% 129 3,130 R+18.9
Caldwell 1,180 37.9% 1,838 59.0% 99 3,117 R+21.1
Green 806 27.8% 2,018 69.7% 73 2,897 R+41.8
Knott 1,141 39.5% 1,612 55.9% 132 2,885 R+16.3
Estill 890 31.7% 1,770 63.0% 151 2,811 R+31.3
Webster 1,168 41.6% 1,567 55.8% 72 2,807 R+14.2
Jackson 393 14.2% 2,310 83.3% 71 2,774 R+69.1
Simpson 1,059 38.2% 1,652 59.6% 62 2,773 R+21.4
Butler 807 30.4% 1,786 67.2% 63 2,656 R+36.9
Lawrence 973 36.6% 1,616 60.8% 67 2,656 R+24.2
Breathitt 1,208 45.8% 1,313 49.8% 115 2,636 R+4.0
Pendleton 936 35.8% 1,567 59.9% 112 2,615 R+24.1
Owen 1,000 38.9% 1,444 56.1% 130 2,574 R+17.2
Powell 1,110 43.6% 1,335 52.5% 99 2,544 R+8.8
Lewis 584 23.4% 1,833 73.6% 75 2,492 R+50.1
Morgan 1,009 40.9% 1,355 54.9% 103 2,467 R+14.0
Monroe 721 29.6% 1,642 67.3% 76 2,439 R+37.8
McLean 984 40.8% 1,364 56.6% 63 2,411 R+15.8
Edmonson 805 33.8% 1,503 63.0% 77 2,385 R+29.3
Ballard 990 41.6% 1,312 55.2% 75 2,377 R+13.5
Livingston 927 39.8% 1,340 57.5% 64 2,331 R+17.7
Metcalfe 888 38.2% 1,344 57.8% 95 2,327 R+19.6
Lyon 1,043 45.2% 1,208 52.3% 58 2,309 R+7.1
Magoffin 987 43.3% 1,229 53.9% 66 2,282 R+10.6
Bath 1,117 49.9% 1,045 46.7% 78 2,240 D+3.2
Hancock 1,064 47.7% 1,114 49.9% 53 2,231 R+2.2
Crittenden 705 31.9% 1,450 65.5% 58 2,213 R+33.7
Menifee 897 41.5% 1,160 53.6% 107 2,164 R+12.2
Leslie 431 20.2% 1,654 77.4% 51 2,136 R+57.3
McCreary 648 31.1% 1,362 65.4% 73 2,083 R+34.3
Clinton 444 22.1% 1,531 76.4% 30 2,005 R+54.2
Trimble 797 42.0% 1,033 54.5% 66 1,896 R+12.4
Carroll 923 49.6% 867 46.6% 70 1,860 D+3.0
Martin 419 24.2% 1,268 73.3% 44 1,731 R+49.0
Bracken 680 42.8% 854 53.8% 54 1,588 R+11.0
Lee 422 27.5% 1,042 67.8% 72 1,536 R+40.4
Wolfe 763 51.1% 689 46.1% 41 1,493 D+5.0
Carlisle 561 37.9% 899 60.7% 22 1,482 R+22.8
Nicholas 857 58.1% 563 38.2% 54 1,474 D+19.9
Todd 503 34.7% 903 62.2% 45 1,451 R+27.6
Gallatin 525 39.9% 739 56.2% 52 1,316 R+16.3
Cumberland 342 26.2% 927 70.9% 38 1,307 R+44.8
Hickman 458 36.5% 771 61.4% 26 1,255 R+24.9
Elliott 706 57.4% 495 40.2% 30 1,231 D+17.1
Fulton 504 45.7% 568 51.4% 32 1,104 R+5.8
Owsley 220 26.7% 580 70.3% 25 825 R+43.6
Robertson 202 43.4% 247 53.1% 16 465 R+9.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2023 Andy Beshear (D) D+5.1
2019 Andy Beshear (D) D+0.4
2015 Matt G. Bevin (R) R+8.7
2011 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+20.4
2007 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+17.4
2003 Ernest Fletcher (R) R+10.1
1999 Paul E. Patton (D) D+38.5
1995 Paul E. Patton (D) D+2.2
1991 Brereton C. Jones (D) D+29.5
1987 Wallace G. Wilkinson (D) D+29.6
1983 Martha Layne Collins (D) D+10.4
1979 John Y. Brown Jr. (D) D+19.0
1975 Julian Carroll (D) D+25.7
1971 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+6.2
1967 Louie B. Nunn (R) R+3.2
1963 Edward T. Breathitt (D) D+1.5
1959 Bert T. Combs (D) D+21.1
1955 Happy Chandler (D) D+16.6
1951 Lawrence W. Wetherby (D) D+9.2
1947 Earle C. Clements (D) D+14.8
1943 Simeon S. Willis (R) R+1.6
1939 Keen Johnson (D) D+13.0
1935 Happy Chandler (D) D+9.3
1931 Ruby Laffoon (D) D+8.9
1927 Flem D. Sampson (R) R+4.2
1923 William J. Fields (D) D+7.4
1919 Edwin P. Morrow (R) R+8.5
1915 Augustus O. Stanley (D) D+0.1
1911 James B. McCreary (D) D+7.1
1907 Augustus E. Willson (R) R+4.3
1903 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+6.0
1900 J. C. W. Beckham (D) D+0.8
1899 William S. Taylor (R) R+0.6
1895 William O. Bradley (R) R+2.5
1891 John Young Brown (D) D+9.7
1887 Simon B. Buckner (D) D+5.9
1883 J. Proctor Knott (D) D+19.9
1879 Luke P. Blackburn (D) D+19.2
1875 James B. McCreary (D) D+16.6
1871 Preston H. Leslie (D) D+17.2
1867 John Larue Helm (D) D+41.0