United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2019 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2019 Kentucky governor election

Andy Beshear (Democrat) beat Matt G. Bevin (Republican) in Kentucky in 2019, 49.2% to 48.8%, a margin of 0.4 points and 5,136 votes.

Kentucky changed party: in 2015 it went Republican, for Matt G. Bevin.

Republicans led in 97 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 23. The largest, Jefferson, cast 278,479 votes and went to the Democrat by 35.5 points. The closest was Boyle, where 4 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Andy Beshear won Democratic 709,890 49.2%
Matt G. Bevin Republican 704,754 48.8%
All other candidates 28,758 2.0%
Total1,443,402

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 186,561 67.0% 87,740 31.5% 4,178 278,479 D+35.5
Fayette 73,397 65.5% 36,915 32.9% 1,723 112,035 D+32.6
Kenton 25,479 49.5% 24,936 48.4% 1,083 51,498 D+1.1
Boone 16,947 41.4% 23,000 56.2% 971 40,918 R+14.8
Warren 18,249 50.8% 17,118 47.6% 558 35,925 D+3.1
Daviess 16,012 47.0% 17,238 50.6% 805 34,055 R+3.6
Campbell 16,352 51.8% 14,587 46.2% 638 31,577 D+5.6
Hardin 14,524 46.5% 16,018 51.3% 710 31,252 R+4.8
Madison 15,017 49.0% 14,943 48.7% 713 30,673 D+0.2
Bullitt 11,275 42.6% 14,517 54.8% 701 26,493 R+12.2
Oldham 12,115 46.3% 13,488 51.6% 551 26,154 R+5.2
McCracken 9,695 41.6% 13,252 56.9% 356 23,303 R+15.3
Franklin 12,888 60.7% 7,570 35.7% 772 21,230 D+25.0
Pulaski 5,891 28.0% 14,756 70.0% 420 21,067 R+42.1
Scott 9,827 49.1% 9,730 48.6% 458 20,015 D+0.5
Jessamine 8,102 43.0% 10,363 55.0% 361 18,826 R+12.0
Laurel 4,722 26.5% 12,667 71.2% 397 17,786 R+44.7
Shelby 7,380 44.0% 9,062 54.0% 345 16,787 R+10.0
Pike 7,131 42.9% 9,011 54.3% 467 16,609 R+11.3
Nelson 7,387 48.5% 7,511 49.3% 331 15,229 R+0.8
Christian 6,023 42.1% 7,974 55.8% 296 14,293 R+13.7
Hopkins 5,411 39.2% 8,077 58.6% 304 13,792 R+19.3
Boyd 6,989 51.8% 6,182 45.8% 331 13,502 D+6.0
Henderson 6,863 51.3% 6,303 47.1% 225 13,391 D+4.2
Barren 5,280 39.9% 7,693 58.2% 256 13,229 R+18.2
Clark 5,876 45.6% 6,777 52.6% 238 12,891 R+7.0
Graves 4,214 32.9% 8,278 64.6% 315 12,807 R+31.7
Marshall 4,834 38.2% 7,526 59.5% 290 12,650 R+21.3
Calloway 5,160 43.9% 6,344 54.0% 251 11,755 R+10.1
Woodford 6,235 53.1% 5,277 45.0% 227 11,739 D+8.2
Greenup 5,102 45.3% 5,905 52.4% 259 11,266 R+7.1
Floyd 5,903 52.6% 5,048 45.0% 279 11,230 D+7.6
Boyle 5,099 49.0% 5,103 49.1% 198 10,400 level
Whitley 2,995 30.3% 6,672 67.5% 218 9,885 R+37.2
Anderson 3,978 41.5% 5,380 56.1% 227 9,585 R+14.6
Meade 3,984 44.2% 4,787 53.1% 246 9,017 R+8.9
Montgomery 3,934 44.6% 4,745 53.8% 144 8,823 R+9.2
Muhlenberg 4,019 46.0% 4,551 52.1% 162 8,732 R+6.1
Mercer 3,541 42.1% 4,718 56.1% 152 8,411 R+14.0
Taylor 3,093 36.9% 5,143 61.3% 153 8,389 R+24.4
Knox 2,658 32.5% 5,346 65.4% 169 8,173 R+32.9
Grayson 2,621 32.2% 5,319 65.3% 201 8,141 R+33.1
Logan 2,911 38.3% 4,525 59.5% 166 7,602 R+21.2
Spencer 2,667 35.6% 4,664 62.2% 162 7,493 R+26.7
Carter 3,732 50.4% 3,442 46.5% 227 7,401 D+3.9
Perry 3,183 44.5% 3,855 53.9% 114 7,152 R+9.4
Lincoln 2,558 35.8% 4,430 62.0% 154 7,142 R+26.2
Ohio 2,877 40.3% 4,040 56.6% 224 7,141 R+16.3
Rowan 4,045 58.5% 2,744 39.7% 129 6,918 D+18.8
Bourbon 3,323 48.1% 3,463 50.1% 123 6,909 R+2.0
Breckinridge 2,775 40.5% 3,897 56.9% 175 6,847 R+16.4
Johnson 2,304 35.5% 3,988 61.5% 192 6,484 R+26.0
Harlan 1,867 28.9% 4,468 69.0% 136 6,471 R+40.2
Grant 2,261 35.2% 4,010 62.4% 154 6,425 R+27.2
Marion 3,155 52.1% 2,787 46.0% 119 6,061 D+6.1
Russell 1,571 26.5% 4,252 71.7% 105 5,928 R+45.2
Harrison 2,535 42.9% 3,253 55.1% 120 5,908 R+12.2
Letcher 2,626 44.9% 3,089 52.8% 140 5,855 R+7.9
Garrard 2,004 34.6% 3,676 63.4% 119 5,799 R+28.8
Adair 1,626 28.7% 3,946 69.5% 103 5,675 R+40.9
Wayne 1,983 35.8% 3,472 62.6% 90 5,545 R+26.9
Bell 2,013 36.5% 3,398 61.7% 98 5,509 R+25.1
Henry 2,325 42.2% 3,070 55.8% 110 5,505 R+13.5
Allen 1,649 31.1% 3,564 67.1% 96 5,309 R+36.1
Hart 1,997 38.0% 3,143 59.8% 116 5,256 R+21.8
Mason 2,246 44.2% 2,719 53.6% 111 5,076 R+9.3
Rockcastle 1,354 27.4% 3,481 70.5% 103 4,938 R+43.1
Casey 1,208 25.1% 3,530 73.5% 67 4,805 R+48.3
Simpson 2,203 46.5% 2,457 51.8% 80 4,740 R+5.4
Fleming 1,807 38.4% 2,818 59.9% 81 4,706 R+21.5
Larue 1,744 37.1% 2,835 60.3% 121 4,700 R+23.2
McCreary 1,340 28.8% 3,181 68.4% 128 4,649 R+39.6
Clay 1,298 28.1% 3,225 69.8% 96 4,619 R+41.7
Trigg 1,622 35.7% 2,839 62.5% 84 4,545 R+26.8
Washington 1,839 41.3% 2,522 56.6% 96 4,457 R+15.3
Caldwell 1,510 34.1% 2,843 64.2% 72 4,425 R+30.1
Union 1,800 41.1% 2,483 56.7% 98 4,381 R+15.6
Knott 2,096 49.4% 2,052 48.3% 97 4,245 D+1.0
Pendleton 1,502 36.3% 2,547 61.5% 92 4,141 R+25.2
Estill 1,617 39.1% 2,427 58.7% 92 4,136 R+19.6
Jackson 749 18.5% 3,214 79.4% 86 4,049 R+60.9
Lawrence 1,515 37.8% 2,417 60.4% 71 4,003 R+22.5
Powell 1,791 46.3% 1,997 51.7% 78 3,866 R+5.3
Metcalfe 1,495 38.7% 2,264 58.7% 101 3,860 R+19.9
Webster 1,495 38.8% 2,271 58.9% 90 3,856 R+20.1
Green 997 26.2% 2,743 72.1% 67 3,807 R+45.9
Butler 1,134 30.0% 2,574 68.1% 73 3,781 R+38.1
Breathitt 1,889 50.2% 1,820 48.4% 53 3,762 D+1.8
Morgan 1,726 46.0% 1,929 51.4% 96 3,751 R+5.4
Edmonson 1,383 37.1% 2,284 61.3% 59 3,726 R+24.2
Owen 1,419 38.5% 2,195 59.6% 68 3,682 R+21.1
Magoffin 1,968 53.6% 1,629 44.3% 77 3,674 D+9.2
Hancock 1,891 51.8% 1,650 45.2% 113 3,654 D+6.6
Bath 1,886 52.0% 1,672 46.1% 70 3,628 D+5.9
McLean 1,357 38.0% 2,117 59.3% 95 3,569 R+21.3
Lewis 948 27.3% 2,424 69.8% 103 3,475 R+42.5
Monroe 837 24.8% 2,482 73.4% 61 3,380 R+48.7
Livingston 1,205 36.0% 2,084 62.3% 55 3,344 R+26.3
Ballard 1,012 32.9% 2,010 65.3% 54 3,076 R+32.4
Lyon 1,253 40.7% 1,779 57.9% 43 3,075 R+17.1
Leslie 680 22.5% 2,289 75.8% 51 3,020 R+53.3
Crittenden 916 31.0% 1,977 66.8% 66 2,959 R+35.9
Todd 1,037 36.6% 1,713 60.5% 80 2,830 R+23.9
Clinton 692 24.9% 2,047 73.5% 45 2,784 R+48.7
Trimble 1,057 39.1% 1,580 58.4% 69 2,706 R+19.3
Carroll 1,184 45.1% 1,374 52.4% 65 2,623 R+7.2
Bracken 1,063 42.0% 1,367 54.0% 102 2,532 R+12.0
Nicholas 1,157 49.5% 1,134 48.5% 47 2,338 D+1.0
Martin 554 25.1% 1,596 72.4% 55 2,205 R+47.3
Wolfe 1,194 54.5% 958 43.7% 39 2,191 D+10.8
Gallatin 871 40.0% 1,238 56.8% 69 2,178 R+16.9
Menifee 959 45.3% 1,113 52.6% 44 2,116 R+7.3
Lee 675 33.0% 1,321 64.7% 47 2,043 R+31.6
Cumberland 503 25.7% 1,418 72.6% 33 1,954 R+46.8
Elliott 1,148 59.3% 747 38.6% 42 1,937 D+20.7
Carlisle 529 27.9% 1,331 70.3% 34 1,894 R+42.3
Hickman 469 30.0% 1,072 68.6% 22 1,563 R+38.6
Fulton 589 40.2% 857 58.5% 18 1,464 R+18.3
Owsley 402 29.4% 932 68.2% 32 1,366 R+38.8
Robertson 325 42.2% 430 55.8% 16 771 R+13.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2023 Andy Beshear (D) D+5.1
2019 Andy Beshear (D) D+0.4
2015 Matt G. Bevin (R) R+8.7
2011 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+20.4
2007 Steven L. Beshear (D) D+17.4
2003 Ernest Fletcher (R) R+10.1
1999 Paul E. Patton (D) D+38.5
1995 Paul E. Patton (D) D+2.2
1991 Brereton C. Jones (D) D+29.5
1987 Wallace G. Wilkinson (D) D+29.6
1983 Martha Layne Collins (D) D+10.4
1979 John Y. Brown Jr. (D) D+19.0
1975 Julian Carroll (D) D+25.7
1971 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+6.2
1967 Louie B. Nunn (R) R+3.2
1963 Edward T. Breathitt (D) D+1.5
1959 Bert T. Combs (D) D+21.1
1955 Happy Chandler (D) D+16.6
1951 Lawrence W. Wetherby (D) D+9.2
1947 Earle C. Clements (D) D+14.8
1943 Simeon S. Willis (R) R+1.6
1939 Keen Johnson (D) D+13.0
1935 Happy Chandler (D) D+9.3
1931 Ruby Laffoon (D) D+8.9
1927 Flem D. Sampson (R) R+4.2
1923 William J. Fields (D) D+7.4
1919 Edwin P. Morrow (R) R+8.5
1915 Augustus O. Stanley (D) D+0.1
1911 James B. McCreary (D) D+7.1
1907 Augustus E. Willson (R) R+4.3
1903 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+6.0
1900 J. C. W. Beckham (D) D+0.8
1899 William S. Taylor (R) R+0.6
1895 William O. Bradley (R) R+2.5
1891 John Young Brown (D) D+9.7
1887 Simon B. Buckner (D) D+5.9
1883 J. Proctor Knott (D) D+19.9
1879 Luke P. Blackburn (D) D+19.2
1875 James B. McCreary (D) D+16.6
1871 Preston H. Leslie (D) D+17.2
1867 John Larue Helm (D) D+41.0