United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United Kingdom
Closest
United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · West Lothian

West Lothian: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

West Lothian elects all 33 councillors in 9 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 17 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 15, Labour 12, Conservative 4, Lib Dem 1, Independent 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
15 seats · 13–16 in 80% of runs · 2022: 15 Control 10%
−4
8 seats · 6–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 12 Control 0%
+8
8 seats · 2–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 1–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
Independent ±0
1 seats · 1–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
−4
0 seats · 0–4 in 80% of runs · 2022: 4 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (17 of 33). No overall control in 90% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About West Lothian

    West Lothian elects 33 councillors in 9 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 145,364 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 15 seats, Labour 12 and the Conservatives 4. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 15 of 33 seats, 2 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Linlithgow3 seats SNP Lib Dem Labour SNP 25 · Lib Dem 23 · Labour 14 2022: SNP 26 · Lib Dem 20 · Conservative 20; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Labour
    2. Ward 2 - Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 40 · Labour 23 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 42 · Labour 30 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    3. Ward 3 - Livingston North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 46 · Labour 18 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 49 · Labour 24 · Conservative 17; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    4. Ward 4 - Livingston South4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 36 · Labour 24 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 39 · Labour 32 · Conservative 12; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    5. Ward 5 - East Livingston and East Calder4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 39 · Labour 15 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 42 · Labour 21 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, Conservative, Labour
    6. Ward 6 - Fauldhouse and the Breich Valley3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 36 · Labour 32 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 40 · SNP 38 · Conservative 14; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    7. Ward 7 - Whitburn and Blackburn4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 37 · Labour 30 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 39 · Labour 37 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    8. Ward 8 - Bathgate4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 38 · Labour 31 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 40 · Labour 39 · Conservative 14; elected 2 Labour, 2 SNP
    9. Ward 9 - Armadale and Blackridge3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 51 · SNP 18 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 49 · SNP 22 · Labour 14; elected Independent, SNP, Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

    You may also like

    Local elections, May 2027 215 English councils, ward by ward Seats All 650 constituencies: results, projections and seats at risk Map Every seat on a hex or real map, under any reading of the polls By-elections What the polls imply, and how by-elections differ