United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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Shetland Islands: independents would keep a majority between them

Shetland Islands elects all 22 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 12 make a majority. In 2022: Independent 19, Green 1, SNP 1, Labour 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

Independent −4
15 seats · 11–15 in 80% of runs · 2022: 19 Control 83%
+6
6 seats · 5–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
SNP −1
0 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–0 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (12 of 22). No overall control in 17% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Shetland Islands

    Shetland Islands elects 22 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 13,326 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 independents won 19 seats, the Greens 1 and the SNP 1. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has independents largest on 15 of 22 seats, a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 -North Isles2 seats 2 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected 2 Independent
    2. Ward 2- Shetland North3 seats 3 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected 2 Independent, Labour
    3. Ward 3 - Shetland West2 seats 2 Independent Independent 77 · Reform UK 11 · Green 6 2022: Independent 83 · Green 9 · SNP 8; elected 2 Independent
    4. Ward 4 - Shetland Central4 seats 4 Independent Independent 83 · Reform UK 11 · Green 5 2022: Independent 91 · Green 7 · Others 2; elected 4 Independent
    5. Ward 5 - Lerwick North and Bressay3 seats 3 Independent Independent 88 · Reform UK 10 · Green 2 2022: Independent 100; elected 3 Independent
    6. Ward 6 - Lerwick South4 seats 4 Independent Independent 88 · Reform UK 10 · Green 2 2022: Independent 100; elected 4 Independent
    7. Ward 7 - Shetland South4 seats 2 Independent Green Reform UK Independent 70 · Reform UK 11 · Green 10 2022: Independent 73 · Green 15 · SNP 12; elected 2 Independent, Green, SNP

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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