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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Falkirk

Falkirk: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Falkirk elects all 30 councillors in 9 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 16 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 12, Labour 9, Conservative 5, Independent 4.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP +1
13 seats · 12–16 in 80% of runs · 2022: 12 Control 13%
−2
7 seats · 3–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 0%
+4
4 seats · 1–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−2
3 seats · 0–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
Independent −1
3 seats · 2–4 in 80% of runs · 2022: 4 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (16 of 30). No overall control in 87% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Falkirk

    Falkirk elects 30 councillors in 9 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 125,891 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 12 seats, Labour 9 and the Conservatives 5. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 13 of 30 seats, 3 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Boness and Blackness3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 44 · SNP 18 · Reform UK 13 2022: Independent 41 · SNP 22 · Labour 19; elected Independent, SNP, Labour
    2. Ward 2 - Grangemouth3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 41 · Independent 18 · Labour 17 2022: SNP 45 · Labour 23 · Independent 15; elected SNP, Labour, Independent
    3. Ward 3 - Denny and Banknock4 seats 2 SNP Labour Independent SNP 43 · Independent 16 · Labour 15 2022: SNP 46 · Labour 21 · Conservative 16; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Independent
    4. Ward 4 - Carse, Kinnaird and Tryst4 seats 2 SNP Labour Conservative SNP 43 · Labour 19 · Conservative 15 2022: SNP 44 · Labour 25 · Conservative 24; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    5. Ward 5 - Bonnybridge and Larbert3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK SNP 30 · Independent 29 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 34 · Independent 25 · Conservative 18; elected Independent, SNP, Labour
    6. Ward 6 - Falkirk North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 45 · Labour 22 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 47 · Labour 29 · Conservative 13; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    7. Ward 7 - Falkirk South3 seats SNP Conservative Labour SNP 41 · Conservative 19 · Labour 17 2022: SNP 42 · Conservative 29 · Labour 22; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour
    8. Ward 8 - Lower Braes3 seats Labour SNP Conservative SNP 38 · Labour 21 · Conservative 15 2022: SNP 39 · Labour 27 · Conservative 23; elected Labour, SNP, Conservative
    9. Ward 9 - Upper Braes3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 32 · Labour 17 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 35 · Labour 23 · Conservative 22; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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