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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Argyll & Bute

Argyll & Bute: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Argyll & Bute elects all 36 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 19 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 12, Conservative 10, Independent 7, Lib Dem 5, Labour 1, Green 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
12 seats · 11–14 in 80% of runs · 2022: 12 Control 0%
Independent +4
11 seats · 4–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 7 Control 0%
+6
6 seats · 2–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−7
3 seats · 2–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 10 Control 0%
−2
3 seats · 1–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (19 of 36). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Argyll & Bute

    Argyll & Bute elects 36 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 69,469 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 12 seats, the Conservatives 10 and independents 7. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 12 of 36 seats, 7 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - South Kintyre3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 38 · SNP 27 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 36 · SNP 33 · Conservative 23; elected Independent, SNP, Conservative
    2. Ward 10 - Helensburgh Central4 seats Conservative SNP Labour Reform UK Conservative 25 · SNP 21 · Labour 16 2022: Conservative 37 · SNP 21 · Labour 21; elected Conservative, SNP, Labour, Lib Dem
    3. Ward 11 - Helensburgh and Lomond South3 seats Conservative SNP Lib Dem Conservative 33 · SNP 25 · Lib Dem 21 2022: Conservative 48 · SNP 26 · Lib Dem 18; elected Conservative, SNP, Lib Dem
    4. Ward 2 - Kintyre and the Islands3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 40 · SNP 23 · Lib Dem 16 2022: Independent 40 · SNP 30 · Lib Dem 16; elected SNP, Independent, Lib Dem
    5. Ward 3 - Mid-Argyll3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 47 · SNP 24 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 47 · SNP 31 · Conservative 12; elected Independent, SNP, Conservative
    6. Ward 4 - Oban South and the Isles4 seats 2 SNP Independent Reform UK Independent 32 · SNP 32 · Reform UK 13 2022: SNP 38 · Independent 30 · Conservative 12; elected 2 SNP, Conservative, Independent
    7. Ward 5 - Oban North and Lorn4 seats 2 Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 34 · SNP 26 · Reform UK 13 2022: Independent 32 · SNP 31 · Conservative 19; elected SNP, Conservative, Independent, Green
    8. Ward 6 - Cowal3 seats SNP Conservative Lib Dem SNP 37 · Lib Dem 18 · Conservative 15 2022: SNP 42 · Conservative 26 · Lib Dem 17; elected SNP, Conservative, Lib Dem
    9. Ward 7 - Dunoon3 seats SNP Lib Dem Reform UK SNP 35 · Independent 18 · Lib Dem 17 2022: SNP 41 · Conservative 18 · Lib Dem 17; elected SNP, Conservative, Lib Dem
    10. Ward 8 - Isle of Bute3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 48 · SNP 21 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 46 · SNP 25 · Conservative 18; elected SNP, Independent, Conservative
    11. Ward 9 - Lomond North3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 38 · SNP 21 · Conservative 15 2022: Independent 34 · Conservative 26 · SNP 24; elected Conservative, SNP, Independent

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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