United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · North Lanarkshire

North Lanarkshire: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

North Lanarkshire elects all 77 councillors in 21 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 39 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 36, Labour 32, Conservative 5, Independent 2, Others 1, Green 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP +1
37 seats · 32–42 in 80% of runs · 2022: 36 Control 32%
−10
22 seats · 20–28 in 80% of runs · 2022: 32 Control 0%
+14
14 seats · 4–19 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
Independent +1
3 seats · 2–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%
Others ±0
1 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
−5
0 seats · 0–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (39 of 77). No overall control in 68% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About North Lanarkshire

    North Lanarkshire elects 77 councillors in 21 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 264,519 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 36 seats, Labour 32 and the Conservatives 5. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 37 of 77 seats, 2 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Kilsyth3 seats 2 Labour SNP Labour 41 · SNP 34 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 52 · SNP 37 · Conservative 6; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    2. Ward 10 - Coatbridge West3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 44 · Labour 29 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 48 · Labour 39 · Others 7; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    3. Ward 11 - Coatbridge South4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 50 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 53 · Labour 35 · Conservative 7; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    4. Ward 12 - Airdrie South4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 46 · Labour 28 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 48 · Labour 35 · Conservative 17; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    5. Ward 13 - Fortissat4 seats Labour SNP Others Reform UK SNP 28 · Labour 27 · Others 22 2022: Labour 36 · SNP 31 · Others 19; elected 2 Labour, SNP, Others
    6. Ward 14 - Thorniewood3 seats SNP Labour Independent SNP 33 · Labour 33 · Independent 15 2022: Labour 43 · SNP 37 · Independent 13; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    7. Ward 15 - Bellshill4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 38 · Labour 30 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 41 · Labour 39 · Conservative 14; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    8. Ward 16 - Mossend and Holytown3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 40 · Labour 30 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 43 · Labour 39 · Conservative 13; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    9. Ward 17 - Motherwell West3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 40 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 41 · Labour 32 · Conservative 19; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    10. Ward 18 - Motherwell North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 43 · Labour 28 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 47 · Labour 37 · Conservative 11; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    11. Ward 19 - Motherwell South East and Ravenscraig4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 42 · Labour 25 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 43 · Labour 31 · Conservative 17; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    12. Ward 2 - Cumbernauld North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 48 · Labour 21 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 50 · Labour 28 · Conservative 14; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    13. Ward 20 - Murdostoun4 seats Independent SNP Labour Reform UK Independent 36 · SNP 25 · Labour 20 2022: Independent 33 · SNP 30 · Labour 29; elected 2 Labour, Independent, SNP
    14. Ward 21 - Wishaw4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 44 · Labour 28 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 45 · Labour 36 · Conservative 19; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    15. Ward 3 - Cumbernauld South4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 48 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 52 · Labour 36 · Conservative 8; elected 2 Labour, 2 SNP
    16. Ward 4 - Cumbernauld East4 seats 3 SNP Labour SNP 55 · Labour 16 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 59 · Labour 23 · Conservative 9; elected 3 SNP, Labour
    17. Ward 5 - Stepps, Chryston and Muirhead3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 35 · Labour 27 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 36 · Labour 35 · Conservative 15; elected SNP, Labour, Green
    18. Ward 6 - Gartcosh, Glenboig and Moodiesburn3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 45 · Labour 31 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 47 · Labour 39 · Conservative 9; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    19. Ward 7 - Coatbridge North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 42 · Labour 25 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 46 · Labour 34 · Others 10; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    20. Ward 8 - Airdrie North4 seats SNP Independent Labour Reform UK SNP 31 · Independent 25 · Labour 20 2022: SNP 36 · Labour 29 · Independent 22; elected 2 SNP, Independent, Labour
    21. Ward 9 - Airdrie Central4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 39 · Labour 33 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 42 · SNP 42 · Conservative 14; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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