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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Inverclyde

Inverclyde: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Inverclyde elects all 22 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 12 make a majority. In 2022: Labour 9, SNP 8, Independent 3, Conservative 2.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP +1
9 seats · 6–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 8 Control 0%
−3
6 seats · 4–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 0%
+4
4 seats · 3–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
Independent ±0
3 seats · 1–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 3 Control 0%
−2
0 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (12 of 22). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Inverclyde

    Inverclyde elects 22 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 52,386 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 Labour won 9 seats, the SNP 8 and independents 3. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 9 of 22 seats, 3 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Inverclyde East3 seats 3 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected Conservative, Labour, SNP
    2. Ward 2 - Inverclyde East Central3 seats Labour SNP Independent SNP 37 · Labour 22 · Independent 19 2022: SNP 42 · Labour 31 · Independent 17; elected Labour, SNP, Independent
    3. Ward 3 - Inverclyde Central3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 39 · Labour 37 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 48 · SNP 42 · Conservative 6; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    4. Ward 4 - Inverclyde North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 31 · Labour 27 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 36 · SNP 34 · Conservative 15; elected 2 Labour, SNP, Conservative
    5. Ward 5 - Inverclyde West3 seats Independent SNP Labour Independent 34 · SNP 22 · Labour 17 2022: Independent 32 · SNP 27 · Labour 26; elected Independent, SNP, Labour
    6. Ward 6 - Inverclyde South West3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 40 · Labour 21 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 45 · Labour 29 · Conservative 12; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    7. Ward 7 - Inverclyde South3 seats SNP Labour Independent SNP 36 · Independent 26 · Labour 19 2022: SNP 42 · Labour 28 · Independent 23; elected SNP, Labour, Independent

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

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