United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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Na h-Eileanan Siar: independents would keep a majority between them

Na h-Eileanan Siar elects all 27 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 14 make a majority. In 2022: Independent 20, SNP 6, Conservative 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

Independent −3
17 seats · 13–18 in 80% of runs · 2022: 20 Control 88%
SNP −1
5 seats · 3–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 6 Control 0%
+5
5 seats · 4–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–0 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No overall control in 12% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Na h-Eileanan Siar

    Na h-Eileanan Siar elects 27 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 17,882 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 independents won 20 seats, the SNP 6 and the Conservatives 1. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has independents largest on 17 of 27 seats, a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 Barraigh agus Bhatarsaigh1 seats Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected Independent
    2. Ward 10 Steòrnabhagh a Deas4 seats 2 Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 63 · SNP 25 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 66 · SNP 34; elected 2 Independent, 2 SNP
    3. Ward 11 Sgìre an Rubha2 seats 2 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected 2 Independent
    4. Ward 2 Uibhist a Deas Èirisgeigh agus Beinn na Faoghla3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 60 · SNP 13 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 63 · SNP 17 · Green 13; elected 2 Independent, SNP
    5. Ward 3 Uibhist a Tuath2 seats 2 Independent Independent 78 · Reform UK 11 · Conservative 9 2022: Independent 80 · Conservative 20; elected 2 Independent
    6. Ward 4 Na Hearadh2 seats 2 Independent Independent 75 · SNP 13 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 82 · SNP 18; elected 2 Independent
    7. Ward 5 Sgìre nan Loch2 seats 2 Independent Independent 81 · Reform UK 10 · SNP 7 2022: Independent 90 · SNP 10; elected 2 Independent
    8. Ward 6 Sgìr’ Ùige agus Carlabhagh1 seats Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected Conservative
    9. Ward 7 An Taobh Siar agus Nis3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 66 · SNP 21 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 71 · SNP 29; elected 2 Independent, SNP
    10. Ward 8 Loch a Tuath3 seats 2 Independent SNP Independent 72 · SNP 16 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 78 · SNP 22; elected 2 Independent, SNP
    11. Ward 9 Steòrnabhagh a Tuath4 seats 3 Independent SNP Independent 71 · SNP 17 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 77 · SNP 23; elected 3 Independent, SNP

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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